diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
index c60e2ffc..a5881ad8 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
@@ -114,3 +114,4 @@
 {"ts": 1784925910.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784926230.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784926553.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1784926879.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
index 23f4fafc..1a8e151b 100644
--- a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
@@ -28,3 +28,4 @@
 {"ts": 1783770912, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "58977437171225124002548434766056119596861991011293700343028569254570529602303", "cond": "0x4b1e0b818817492afa73944f7271cc744a6e9027f2c26888b8a6ee76e6aba311", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7AM ET", "outcome": "Up", "price": 0.39, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.33\u21920.39", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.22, "settled": 1783771255, "name": "1kto1m", "exit_price": 0.3191}
 {"ts": 1783770930, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "token": "14720921693726444993132286510480864959564663807713006631795468793505944795957", "cond": "0x6750fe34aa15e45304c8591f574ae62e792c34d78809bdcbc012e1bed5adfc0b", "title": "Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-11?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.8269, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "won", "pnl": 0.2, "settled": 1783781079, "name": "0x41558102", "exit_checked": true}
 {"ts": 1783771804, "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", "token": "14558559907212874105816406765075619812711660815177458275599881262140416485351", "cond": "0xcff1cd5b482a91c324614ee06b7e43c7a702f192bedca126a7e0e6d9bf70c75d", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET", "outcome": "Up", "price": 0.99, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.57\u21920.99", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.01, "settled": 1783771902, "name": "0xd96750bf", "exit_price": 1.0}
+{"ts": 1783771810, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "66515436880642025537496135879126489789070102463895353529834261649239057001921", "cond": "0xe6103ce2b5b59939d3371f16aa6516f9828f3a9194fe8b13a96e0747a1fa487e", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET", "outcome": "Up", "price": 0.5, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.31\u21920.50", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.57, "settled": 1783771903, "name": "1kto1m", "exit_price": 0.226}
diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index 4cf9ee0f..ad0c4508 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -1,7 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783572616.4091802,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0x244cbf20a23bad4e799d5e6e610db1c9404d9fe5c712271d5feac039b48dcb5b",
     "0xb3b854eda511efabdcaff5cd0e4e0439c0d7c0e662fb0a0a577949e48c376bad",
     "0x4c9212ee6f293d2c274bf1f987c77f1fed0e6d0387aa2e50140c69ec18ba90d9",
     "0x7bff6b8a47ffd1453c5ec2115aad7986a6516a1dee5eb77f8bf0977060187ef6",
@@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@
     "0x4ce4ef55936bcdae2ab42f2582c562006a6b4d8cd11c5e20eff2bd8d719207d7",
     "0x9e872050a57ead1ce1fea112014600fcabb4ee3e3c6fb4f44b07e52c788b0957",
     "0x8224285d7ac65e9f4ea920ab6676e5b10875979a8d288eaee93138b5a885771d",
-    "0xea3dfc599adcfa42380db9baed69c8f62b7f238daf70f2d858876316590241c9"
+    "0xea3dfc599adcfa42380db9baed69c8f62b7f238daf70f2d858876316590241c9",
+    "0xe89d741f3f401fc3fb63795b2c551bd16937f8bba596506cafe2798ad5864091"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -7222,7 +7222,7 @@
       "68854335563876532485452411153724535124672791150015256681144425235039935848852": 0.0,
       "81700707943793803492846780413225834195248901573741113191386221048186430681727": 0.0,
       "27856148994962607577529516809417432704670710902034937993066190223170163139669": 0.0,
-      "13771338838328601734339816906945515194595281212781971576981933533238318254216": 0.0,
+      "13771338838328601734339816906945515194595281212781971576981933533238318254216": 62.032257,
       "93583981738620670180491967108300382537931239788947645367505200985151298628271": 0.0,
       "71033237571518544791228024008218576654816466047172847377804682632737691630564": 0.0,
       "84885414739160162667771157408891806795830696640847835551515711340508797877832": 0.0,
@@ -15997,22 +15997,6 @@
   ],
   "hwm": 63.02149853522214,
   "missed": [
-    {
-      "ts": 1783771810,
-      "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
-      "token": "66515436880642025537496135879126489789070102463895353529834261649239057001921",
-      "cond": "0xe6103ce2b5b59939d3371f16aa6516f9828f3a9194fe8b13a96e0747a1fa487e",
-      "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET",
-      "outcome": "Up",
-      "price": 0.5,
-      "stake": 1.0,
-      "reason": "price moved 0.31\u21920.50",
-      "status": "sold",
-      "pnl": -0.57,
-      "settled": 1783771903,
-      "name": "1kto1m",
-      "exit_price": 0.226
-    },
     {
       "ts": 1783774507,
       "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -19192,10 +19176,25 @@
       "settled": 1784920711,
       "name": "1kto1m",
       "exit_price": 0.568
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784926954,
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "token": "13771338838328601734339816906945515194595281212781971576981933533238318254216",
+      "cond": "0xfb4d7cdb6ded97ed94b0cc9e9cfd89b93b41bc1a0768b095c1329e65aeaf2375",
+      "title": "Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 60m by August 31?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "price": 0.89,
+      "stake": 2.37,
+      "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0x4166ca4fae37199fcfd53c21152b054ba4e61339f",
+      "status": "open",
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null,
+      "name": "0xbadaf319"
     }
   ],
-  "feed_sig": "2c02f6930a70971daefc73c462ff8e5e",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784926423.4702146,
+  "feed_sig": "6aff8fe9cd7ed37b61fe463e0d0418a6",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784926945.0151787,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783906689,
@@ -19246,18 +19245,18 @@
     "6457952357077230044054791268159160058712529625831041550558183767114352456975": 1,
     "61895825019286928316753689208545457497714235075046708292847356747636406191670": 1,
     "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 1,
-    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 114
+    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 115
   },
   "trade_cursor": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784882427,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784925796,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784926804,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784886999,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784904358,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784923242,
-    "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784916631,
-    "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1784926021
+    "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784925792,
+    "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1784926056
   },
   "boot": {
     "id": "9bd34bdee6e2",
@@ -21009,6 +21008,21 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784926879.7,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.87,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
     }
   ],
   "maker_stats": {
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index c7d8bc31..baff8c61 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -2111,6 +2111,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1784926954,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "13771338838328601734339816906945515194595281212781971576981933533238318254216",
+   "cond": "0xfb4d7cdb6ded97ed94b0cc9e9cfd89b93b41bc1a0768b095c1329e65aeaf2375",
+   "title": "Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 60m by August 31?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.89,
+   "stake": 2.37,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0x4166ca4fae37199fcfd53c21152b054ba4e61339f",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1784905371,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -3056,26 +3071,9 @@
    "name": "0xbadaf319",
    "exit_checked": true,
    "exit_price": 0.8369
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784506363,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "27385644035915002110547363484247121532744022000859958113912667466557544439681",
-   "cond": "0x365fe978d6a00ed0afdfb7b0d097df040fd0dbb56065c42617c05b37de3d459a",
-   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of July 20 2026?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.52,
-   "stake": 2.41,
-   "reason": "thin book ($36 within 5c < $50)",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 2.08,
-   "settled": 1784555605,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_checked": true,
-   "exit_price": 0.9768
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": 1164.89,
+ "missed_pnl": 1165.46,
  "last_fill": {
   "ts": 1784923243,
   "side": "BUY",
@@ -3091,7 +3089,7 @@
    "wins": 5,
    "open_cost": 13.33,
    "open_n": 5,
-   "miss_n": 67,
+   "miss_n": 68,
    "miss_pnl": 1170.13,
    "last_ts": 1784910835
   },
@@ -3196,5 +3194,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1784926560
+ "updated": 1784926954
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
index 6ca1f25b..0342975b 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "live",
- "updated": 1784926560,
+ "updated": 1784926954,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 0.48,
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
    "wins": 5,
    "open_cost": 13.33,
    "open_n": 5,
-   "miss_n": 67,
+   "miss_n": 68,
    "miss_pnl": 1170.13,
    "last_ts": 1784910835
   },
@@ -2618,6 +2618,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1784926954,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "13771338838328601734339816906945515194595281212781971576981933533238318254216",
+   "cond": "0xfb4d7cdb6ded97ed94b0cc9e9cfd89b93b41bc1a0768b095c1329e65aeaf2375",
+   "title": "Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 60m by August 31?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.89,
+   "stake": 2.37,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0x4166ca4fae37199fcfd53c21152b054ba4e61339f",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1784905371,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
index d1a28b88..fea59a27 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
@@ -2174,3 +2174,9 @@
 {"ts": 1784926056.25, "trade_ts": 1784926055, "lat_s": 1.25, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "name": "JuiceFarm", "side": "BUY", "size": 889.04, "price": 0.76, "title": "LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO", "tx": "0x4106dc1db10a8a7f183fe9615b3656dd0a4f2ccfb1823cb11aa5c391950e1c5f", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784926554.81, "trade_ts": 1784926554, "lat_s": 0.81, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 20, "price": 0.42, "title": "", "tx": "0x8224285d7ac65e9f4ea920ab6676e5b10875979a8d288eaee93138b5a885771d", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784926560.27, "trade_ts": 1784926554, "lat_s": 6.27, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 20, "price": 0.58, "title": "", "tx": "0xea3dfc599adcfa42380db9baed69c8f62b7f238daf70f2d858876316590241c9", "seen": true}
+{"ts": 1784926725.43, "trade_ts": 1784926725, "lat_s": 0.43, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 7, "price": 0.26, "title": "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 15", "tx": "0x3b18f2059b8e57e321ff5397bce2cc21ea9047407adfee4fc2ab9c7109fcc584", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784926726.48, "trade_ts": 1784926725, "lat_s": 1.48, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 7.09859, "price": 0.709999873214258, "title": "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 15", "tx": "0xc3812cf11acb69632fd253f9d289c414f56c1b33ce1f6251083517e3ba4f4e63", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784926804.47, "trade_ts": 1784926804, "lat_s": 0.47, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 6.084506, "price": 0.7099999572685112, "title": "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 15", "tx": "0x12c41dcdea2a530e1e0616f005ce68e1debc24c2fa402e290d309e66c748b4a4", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784926804.53, "trade_ts": 1784926804, "lat_s": 0.53, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 6, "price": 0.26, "title": "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 15", "tx": "0xe9dcdefc27318f8b4d4f1f12ab618474ee06f41269c25716316975209e9ae06b", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784926953.47, "trade_ts": 1784926953, "lat_s": 0.47, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 62.032257, "price": 0.9299999998387934, "title": "", "tx": "0xe89d741f3f401fc3fb63795b2c551bd16937f8bba596506cafe2798ad5864091", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784926954.5, "trade_ts": 1784926953, "lat_s": 1.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 76.8398, "price": 0.0480219886048636, "title": "", "tx": "0x1938e62a07581d7cb5888c707b7883f3e3e6fa4d47052aff3f29b783888c4b1b", "seen": false}