copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl

@@ -651,3 +651,4 @@
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 {"ts": 1785110218.9, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
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copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl

@@ -60,3 +60,4 @@
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 {"ts": 1783854216, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "72657587692017665505599725656194205462581472368991422962137490050829927893951", "cond": "0x8a89800369f7126ae60760e942afa581f8b248bf197563f98394d3835bb9dbe3", "title": "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Team Spirit", "price": 0.48, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.22\u21920.48", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.22, "settled": 1783854450, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.3901}
 {"ts": 1783856323, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "71941893293834599184621753590882651435325558220761902727823613984547213968365", "cond": "0xae59ba73bbfb0e2630cc950c513afa1e536f11a8d52b467282926f91dec3397c", "title": "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Vici Gaming", "price": 0.96, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price 0.960 outside [0.01,0.95]", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.1, "settled": 1783857000, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 1.0545}
+{"ts": 1783856423, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "token": "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155", "cond": "0xba7e1244bc3dabb6c38a128dcf7522104172e8b3a354aa711643c11064e56bf1", "title": "Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.51, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (60s)", "status": "lost", "pnl": -1.01, "settled": 1783867047, "name": "0x41558102", "exit_checked": true}

copybot_rejects.live.jsonl

@@ -208,3 +208,6 @@
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 {"ts": 1785110733.4, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "33707674901387494882510832780063101180447157377494642117139451030535958080645", "cond": "0x73fe8a814cdcad5da7bf5f74cb6008aa0f5f40a28786effebb7d5e417a181bd0", "usd": 6.0, "price": 0.3, "reason": "$6 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 27 2026?", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1785110779.3, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "22328278806218555125185822784995197896568376123470430583250920055878302976998", "cond": "0x5d284999aa83866c46cfa5fe672537a225edd19e2c420433707e08964a3037f0", "usd": 13.2, "price": 0.22, "reason": "$13 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $134 Week of July 27 2026?", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1785110815.3, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "88985397607950225034188222802784705136629843604770691685939886971031444147076", "cond": "0xced86781aa6d2ba184d24ee4e8078f19edf348f627f0028f4a01aa62a5a7cf53", "usd": 12.99, "price": 0.2, "reason": "$13 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of July 27 2026?", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1785110818.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "88985397607950225034188222802784705136629843604770691685939886971031444147076", "cond": "0xced86781aa6d2ba184d24ee4e8078f19edf348f627f0028f4a01aa62a5a7cf53", "usd": 2.08, "price": 0.2, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of July 27 2026?", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1785110818.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "48824398491280100431239513921328336173859523998182185336991038266268084020611", "cond": "0xceb1b54f8e0fa8fb4d240b042505ec7681715758a89f82b3e356a003094c8438", "usd": 13.97, "price": 0.7699999933858264, "reason": "$14 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 27 2026?", "mode": "live"}

copybot_state.live.json

@@ -1,7 +1,6 @@
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@@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@
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+    "0xbf33341934a5dc1f91b5d36100faa9ea34922a63deed84569e8d9ac65654aa42",
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@@ -16515,22 +16516,6 @@
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@@ -19682,11 +19667,27 @@
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+      "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 27 2026?",
+      "outcome": "No",
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+      "stake": 1.0,
+      "reason": "thin book ($21 within 5c < $50)",
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-  "feed_sig": "eb622fb23a7468ba5c45f6ff2066933b",
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@@ -19737,14 +19738,14 @@
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@@ -19764,21 +19765,6 @@
     "outcome": "Karmine Corp"
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@@ -22763,6 +22749,21 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
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       "mode": "live"
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+    {
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+      "mode": "live"
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   "maker_stats": {

live/copybot_live_real.json

@@ -2120,6 +2120,21 @@
   }
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+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 27 2026?",
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+   "reason": "thin book ($21 within 5c < $50)",
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@@ -3048,25 +3063,9 @@
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-   "title": "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?",
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- "missed_pnl": 1725.58,
+ "missed_pnl": 1726.59,
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@@ -3082,7 +3081,7 @@
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@@ -3132,8 +3131,8 @@
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@@ -3172,8 +3171,8 @@
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@@ -3187,5 +3186,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
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+ "updated": 1785110821
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live/copybot_live_real_full.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
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@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
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@@ -58,8 +58,8 @@
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@@ -98,8 +98,8 @@
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@@ -2826,6 +2826,21 @@
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+   "cond": "0xceb1b54f8e0fa8fb4d240b042505ec7681715758a89f82b3e356a003094c8438",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 27 2026?",
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    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -5961,7 +5976,7 @@
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-   "name": "LSB1",
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rtds_shadow.live.jsonl

@@ -2422,3 +2422,7 @@
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