diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
index 247f590f..55c948df 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
@@ -68,3 +68,4 @@
 {"ts": 1784905865.2, "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.84, "shares_held": 258.25, "cost_held": 123.96, "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", "outcome": "Up", "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1784906209.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1784906541.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1784906877.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index c06dc017..17f89066 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1,12 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783541947.246319,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0x92bcf450e96d1b993539c8b4c88566855b1629142b43d01a0cd243c652600e7f",
-    "0xdd46d3d209db4a01dbce56df3a7928ca6fcb03416c5c9281657ed1a130dd5e19",
-    "0x2e830be123e0c022defb4d3efd19df6a615b87aa39164613ac966adf0fd1f1a6",
-    "0xe6940c5cc201fac7fb04b230da719d70b4592036cd39714168be12ae129c41b0",
-    "0x3d6b524c5908bd60237bf753e55c4d2bf07e6260cdca39f12b3a97f1ba7b6059",
-    "0xde1f38c408b2debbc1f7e6d462ce547f98abd4a8e34ef6bc4027922c179c6f46",
     "0xbac6d0f7b79866a7cc3ccd77de69b560e9d45e8b2a62dfc56ad3c369c5e803aa",
     "0x527168f58c4553171fa20b9277ebcc8f20dc3514dc88bcba42616009d768c15c",
     "0x371f53e51f2ba6f3723adb0c45e055d5e39bdcee884f11f83f45a1bedc5ad64d",
@@ -5000,7 +4994,13 @@
     "0x8c6f07e27b9a9799bdb62a49512434f69de8409bfa3a4690456e4cc7ec907225",
     "0x6d18f53485fd2546b8b952b9c6ca194e1db3a9c120e4e33a05d55c2cbc6662e3",
     "0xc3699c18a94c6b60bc6f9361752f9f0d70be7fb64c360387fbb1863e775e4e7d",
-    "0xbddf9711677e8750e9bc358943b53cad6f6d38eaa7ff2a6692e70f395556da0d"
+    "0xbddf9711677e8750e9bc358943b53cad6f6d38eaa7ff2a6692e70f395556da0d",
+    "0xa9681aa755e4c337b2b470feeb1d20c3acbea0dd6a984c601084d9d9838629f4",
+    "0xb63b037ad7bcd6b5e6023aabfb882ed7d856fcb8504c5b2719bf5d7b65b9eff2",
+    "0x85b0e58f127859589ce79237127f722a3d2f5b1d3e79ccb62c3c0292fb0fafcf",
+    "0x39af544940be923fd027a7d47a15de1ac523654f2a59869c0377b301dc4a00cd",
+    "0x7cddd3b069aa047598109245936d69c650715cabe8f10ff3b9011157e758b1e4",
+    "0xcce1239bd005429bbe09aea791e0cd3ddd848b65c9f2fa90d1194f1736570228"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -7377,7 +7377,10 @@
       "54376529908017354024986878852295305595840095727608807507361158628919863271361": 0.0,
       "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": 153.4608,
       "5830514409989562387485247763167710850116183052931675824492720140008453788725": 0.0,
-      "33046803901526334442226517945609206641259982077674468318466058793271834570586": 0.0
+      "33046803901526334442226517945609206641259982077674468318466058793271834570586": 0.0,
+      "93559322010581057318593146138317341262467976315287566862881182733354272464956": 0.0,
+      "94538197507034131724155137195976069393412480261383985946027902742107809025962": 0.0,
+      "85418243160365189973163574658090696894227655236478183199339782372790668936005": 0.0
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -13362,15 +13365,6 @@
       "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
       "cond": "0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f"
     },
-    "68315926096182221986995516814797530272425122547938404327641913821151049555944": {
-      "shares": 165.41,
-      "cost": 124.0575,
-      "title": "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
-      "outcome": "Bilibili Gaming",
-      "event": null,
-      "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
-      "cond": "0x0d58180fdd497d4b5fad00494ea00827c2ff181cb84893d1aa10aa4e56d68c99"
-    },
     "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": {
       "shares": 32.76,
       "cost": 30.7288799978545,
@@ -13554,7 +13548,6 @@
     "40257860192328331039995645096358822071679870588847044844154817698500464424757": "0xb17f3f3213876e864776f5d20e396ed50235959b22024d257d8d9f0ce4b3f450",
     "34383281909044259756215667723509413820839811815716463480957480797279993360122": "0xa2822aa2467aca2d04968c26fd5444d88fb54c4dc5f8eac7d27d84a494ac8b50",
     "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191": "0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f",
-    "68315926096182221986995516814797530272425122547938404327641913821151049555944": "0x0d58180fdd497d4b5fad00494ea00827c2ff181cb84893d1aa10aa4e56d68c99",
     "73739632839816504626737108532045400878921898467348280846632249640824887675542": "0x6d69e16e27fb4587d357ad9cf30ebd740070d2ed9f615958df4bce0cfbb69bbe",
     "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531": "0x1b9e81dfcbfcf530a3d96c2e67f82d69ef77369c5ada234d52c7c0da21a81c55",
     "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": "0xc3a579d99e8b291b923f6cdf026fe86a510411bb0b5190cb5d8764bd425974de"
@@ -18123,10 +18116,10 @@
       "cost": 124.06,
       "fee": 0.9304,
       "opened": 1784895724,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "lost",
+      "exit_price": 0.0,
+      "pnl": -124.99,
+      "settled": 1784907138,
       "end_ts": 1784851200
     },
     "73739632839816504626737108532045400878921898467348280846632249640824887675542": {
@@ -18195,8 +18188,8 @@
     }
   },
   "hwm": 3279.700634625008,
-  "feed_sig": "b17b4750bedff981f638a78b987ade7e",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784906609.1263278,
+  "feed_sig": "24d19818781a736b935be2adb7861e92",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784907011.059508,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,
@@ -21323,13 +21316,13 @@
     "111238155193029214626119372717509509454868187612257655146390848111901958320265": 1,
     "54808825071623730922593344072571837691813951745707044026991588993889799442913": 1,
     "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 1,
-    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 60
+    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 61
   },
   "trade_cursor": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784882427,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784906493,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784907045,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784886999,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784904358,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784905024,
@@ -22397,6 +22390,21 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784906877.0,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.87,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
     }
   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index fb40905b..dbfcdf7c 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 131.19,
+ "stake": 126.23,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 3279.7,
  "cash": 1491.22,
- "deployed": 1788.48,
+ "deployed": 1664.42,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 2279.67,
+ "realized": 2155.61,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": -0.01,
- "open_count": 25,
+ "open_count": 24,
  "fees_paid": 360.51,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
@@ -49,6 +49,26 @@
   "JuiceFarm": 752.73
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "68315926096182221986995516814797530272425122547938404327641913821151049555944",
+   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
+   "name": "AIcAIc",
+   "outcome": "Bilibili Gaming",
+   "title": "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
+   "their_price": 0.75,
+   "my_price": 0.75,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 20.2,
+   "shares": 165.41,
+   "cost": 124.06,
+   "fee": 0.93,
+   "opened": 1784895724,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -124.99,
+   "settled": 1784907138,
+   "end_ts": 1784851200
+  },
   {
    "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531",
    "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
@@ -113,26 +133,6 @@
    "sold_shares": 213.83,
    "sold_proceeds": 196.25
   },
-  {
-   "token": "68315926096182221986995516814797530272425122547938404327641913821151049555944",
-   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
-   "name": "AIcAIc",
-   "outcome": "Bilibili Gaming",
-   "title": "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
-   "their_price": 0.75,
-   "my_price": 0.75,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 20.2,
-   "shares": 165.41,
-   "cost": 124.06,
-   "fee": 0.93,
-   "opened": 1784895724,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1784851200
-  },
   {
    "token": "40257860192328331039995645096358822071679870588847044844154817698500464424757",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -3147,14 +3147,14 @@
    "last_ts": 1783867043
   },
   "AIcAIc": {
-   "realized": 251.88,
-   "n": 24,
+   "realized": 126.89,
+   "n": 25,
    "wins": 0,
-   "open_cost": 124.06,
-   "open_n": 1,
+   "open_cost": 0.0,
+   "open_n": 0,
    "miss_n": 2,
    "miss_pnl": 60.16,
-   "last_ts": 1784904364
+   "last_ts": 1784907138
   },
   "BikesAreTheBikes": {
    "realized": 0.07,
@@ -3187,5 +3187,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1784906740
+ "updated": 1784907141
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index 39f758fb..2f672d15 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1784906740,
+ "updated": 1784907141,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 569.48,
@@ -53,14 +53,14 @@
    "last_ts": 1783867043
   },
   "AIcAIc": {
-   "realized": 251.88,
-   "n": 24,
+   "realized": 126.89,
+   "n": 25,
    "wins": 0,
-   "open_cost": 124.06,
-   "open_n": 1,
+   "open_cost": 0.0,
+   "open_n": 0,
    "miss_n": 2,
    "miss_pnl": 60.16,
-   "last_ts": 1784904364
+   "last_ts": 1784907138
   },
   "BikesAreTheBikes": {
    "realized": 0.07,
@@ -94,6 +94,26 @@
   }
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "68315926096182221986995516814797530272425122547938404327641913821151049555944",
+   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
+   "name": "AIcAIc",
+   "outcome": "Bilibili Gaming",
+   "title": "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
+   "their_price": 0.75,
+   "my_price": 0.75,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 20.2,
+   "shares": 165.41,
+   "cost": 124.06,
+   "fee": 0.9304,
+   "opened": 1784895724,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -124.99,
+   "settled": 1784907138,
+   "end_ts": 1784851200
+  },
   {
    "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531",
    "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
@@ -158,26 +178,6 @@
    "sold_shares": 213.82668354880147,
    "sold_proceeds": 196.2484195476216
   },
-  {
-   "token": "68315926096182221986995516814797530272425122547938404327641913821151049555944",
-   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
-   "name": "AIcAIc",
-   "outcome": "Bilibili Gaming",
-   "title": "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
-   "their_price": 0.75,
-   "my_price": 0.75,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 20.2,
-   "shares": 165.41,
-   "cost": 124.06,
-   "fee": 0.9304,
-   "opened": 1784895724,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1784851200
-  },
   {
    "token": "40257860192328331039995645096358822071679870588847044844154817698500464424757",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index 0873c49a..ca104514 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -2125,3 +2125,11 @@
 {"ts": 1784906492.95, "trade_ts": 1784906492, "lat_s": 0.95, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 7.78, "price": 0.38, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?", "tx": "0xc3699c18a94c6b60bc6f9361752f9f0d70be7fb64c360387fbb1863e775e4e7d", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784906738.79, "trade_ts": 1784906738, "lat_s": 0.79, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 10, "price": 0.291, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?", "tx": "0xbddf9711677e8750e9bc358943b53cad6f6d38eaa7ff2a6692e70f395556da0d", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784906740.42, "trade_ts": 1784906738, "lat_s": 2.42, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 10, "price": 0.741, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on ", "tx": "0xa9681aa755e4c337b2b470feeb1d20c3acbea0dd6a984c601084d9d9838629f4", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784906903.51, "trade_ts": 1784906903, "lat_s": 0.51, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 2.89, "price": 0.001, "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69\u00b0F or below on Jul", "tx": "0xb63b037ad7bcd6b5e6023aabfb882ed7d856fcb8504c5b2719bf5d7b65b9eff2", "seen": false}
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