diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl index 5e1ccff2..2e643ac7 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl @@ -4,3 +4,4 @@ {"ts": 1783556029.9, "side": "SELL", "token": "81571380492002640837831762878498865181928814950219688494239020033973603013673", "shares": 38.6295, "price": 0.992, "fee": 0.0092, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1783568521.6, "side": "SELL", "token": "244048590847349569142622450288686721247802348946192951002087804863968899", "shares": 9.3311, "price": 0.95, "fee": 0.0133, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1783572102.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "39972622924517602245489680060778385204723280241121244048574854937226619835364", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 9?", "detect_lag_s": 145.6, "their_price": 0.65, "my_price": 0.63, "slippage_pct": -0.0308, "shares": 63.61, "cost": 40.08, "fee": 0.4448, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.63, "ba": 0.67, "spread": 0.04, "bid5c": 173.0, "ask5c": 67.0}} +{"ts": 1783573792.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "71026075704437556922683872464818734295123056708831878845925107841264506547843", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 6 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 2.1, "their_price": 0.9036, "my_price": 0.889, "slippage_pct": -0.0161, "shares": 45.06, "cost": 40.06, "fee": 0.1334, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.889, "ba": 0.914, "spread": 0.025, "bid5c": 73.78, "ask5c": 191.09}} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index e2e15a6f..19a4629a 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -80,6 +80,7 @@ "0x57a5be236aa73c6c936a9ef3bc2cc4ffd44663b73926779f5664f14f4b9a5543", "0xcc71b7649c8a0fd1d8e8b1b8cbb8ed1098d3e61e6a86f0a5874c4a7bfb015099", "0xe16c8dbd7d25ee350d554f5212a8536b9645ffb31858972ac9414a3b929d1840", + "0xa903797e9b8dd03e6b65ca08942664c1eec46d9b029f4d4d4f7be67881f853ed", "0x0c32777001f75e98dfce664cece0a821cdecbcf42b80612310a4fb399f881a41", "0xf9cdb63324965c572b7086ef3b498a379a36a4ee34a120fb0bc332a360ba1b35", "0x5a4429d3480b4e3e5cc58ec71e766d968769c9467d923925f97c82001b0ed7f2", @@ -159,6 +160,7 @@ "0x1d9f39be0cd9b2f3bf4bc235e31c60b7567fbec2dad9326aa10ca5200b5ff403", "0xbac1bc442fea6307c29366b665179a370748265645a206760c3eb1b10f9b0f76", "0x9821e50ab1e6d932d8a07620d10a781ed2a7efc7d1100a7b75fe6d85fa8aca27", + "0xb18968dbd742de7f9be4552aa716b7c55bd8d35716c02eb202e0ea147703468b", "0x0de3a9b15615658b8e6e78c4bcb6fc42213ab21e6c9e73b37aa3ab518a6240e0", "0xe05f0ffab6f29d7fb9bf4abbb661a6da36c1dedaca059b6e96cdaf5507d8226d", "0x66cc2d8eded5cc3c976347d6d44f4d46c1b5964042ccc7a6d0eeae92b492e6e9", @@ -282,6 +284,7 @@ "0xa79bc0b9d51832efada6beecbb09d1c5e6086af800a370204af4c5b2d6b2c670", "0x400c5007e46f10f1f4ef650aab62b96cd6622ab6420ed3e55d3f035a78539e87", "0x3a705d0bd63c39b5706261bb38f29ab308eb5231a412d6ec31fe338aeab4d08f", + "0xbfbaf7419b9ae8d61bd2aaafc9124bd96edb8cea5b003a02744b78977be7fb16", "0xc3f9a83637a5694e9edb85d1f34e44dc0926e38dbd0409974e17bcac75298bd0", "0x557c63a1d56bf5187e4ea78fb5fdd3a74ea4811e29f73538a908ae5a6f415f84", "0x787d991ace7eaba470de03463a583303f42fca35f36e52f72517558cc2d48721", @@ -336,6 +339,7 @@ "0xec53f5d79c4c1fa93768688a09299a1604b562a069e5b30f46c3ec4c0d4bf80e", "0xadd763f058e5400eda2a65947893f9ee7fd7e004b7af6bd295df1ced470b677d", "0x94789b8e4d62d44e3b9f05214cc43ae74887c6142fe8083399156b84f448c907", + "0x43c90783638901248facbf2a0c8ee234fd1806db862c5e23d1c75d4931c5f95b", "0xacecb854cc5a5ed283e16107a822cb86c9a460760ee93068d72fb7fc1c620c53", "0x66bbbdabc0949d50e2a0385b666f678feb204dd9c51a3954ee24b87bcbe42d39", "0x22b4f3f6c169733c1581c991c893dc4e0f5239f7a6e2203fb317a947ac125e33", @@ -1735,7 +1739,7 @@ "28692447398770759943042864471443220785093760274377631310955655259264180754075": 0.3404, "96694076290964346965971956323655414024895798809544559297541517920793495809057": 0.3225, "59567405942473873835267493286164539275481542131230433257972974798834669229824": 0.3141, - "40103919924727410017277104156210498910974027120815873556930910518710280840775": 0.3125, + "40103919924727410017277104156210498910974027120815873556930910518710280840775": 0.0, "94478832199431982665132869770244764655722473558453080081283002857601912694003": 0.3103, "26347856928261190434533440834466396059766582779244133331675037540059457531981": 0.3076, "100136928416605608013790749647714742469599668396987913645053756317516242444068": 0.3, @@ -1799,7 +1803,10 @@ "81571380492002640837831762878498865181928814950219688494239020033973603013673": 0.0, "61611296599949824909206783514749852726650300729047414769602141803865853307947": 0.0, "10670199150066839803926891833161156752386773629695806421815601276018263777744": 0.0, - "39972622924517602245489680060778385204723280241121244048574854937226619835364": 136.118252 + "39972622924517602245489680060778385204723280241121244048574854937226619835364": 259.0656, + "59941323575874938895311615489568840711008884312669193592073628352096369189884": 0.0, + "52350351180554645362679449617430763289121451602447588817164786369962504939024": 0.0, + "71026075704437556922683872464818734295123056708831878845925107841264506547843": 62.109894 }, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": { "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848, @@ -3499,11 +3506,20 @@ "event": "spy-closes-above-on-july-9-2026", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "cond": "0x87d5052a897b913ba74ca48298556d2563ca6f2de536dc89a7b1fd81d4a5cce0" + }, + "71026075704437556922683872464818734295123056708831878845925107841264506547843": { + "shares": 45.05876880207243, + "cost": 40.05724546504239, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 6 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "event": "will-abnb-dip-to-136-by-july-6-2026", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "cond": "0x1d53a348f5012b8b6e4e9dd3fd6ddf07759d1a78579579c6727e70615b6677f3" } }, "spend": { "date": "2026-07-09", - "usd": 80.07023878226171 + "usd": 120.1274842473041 }, "seeded": [ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -3517,15 +3533,16 @@ "conds": { "244048590847349569142622450288686721247802348946192951002087804863968899": "0xa9e02ddf507d5db703833c985899989a0debe08caa4bd80fccf2b774b6c960d4", "81571380492002640837831762878498865181928814950219688494239020033973603013673": "0xe090ca571503dda9b9865e56a8657f02cfbe5ae4659489720718adb2571c7bb1", - "39972622924517602245489680060778385204723280241121244048574854937226619835364": "0x87d5052a897b913ba74ca48298556d2563ca6f2de536dc89a7b1fd81d4a5cce0" + "39972622924517602245489680060778385204723280241121244048574854937226619835364": "0x87d5052a897b913ba74ca48298556d2563ca6f2de536dc89a7b1fd81d4a5cce0", + "71026075704437556922683872464818734295123056708831878845925107841264506547843": "0x1d53a348f5012b8b6e4e9dd3fd6ddf07759d1a78579579c6727e70615b6677f3" }, - "cash": 929.754101638296, + "cash": 889.563465545855, "lag": { - "n": 3, - "sum_s": 165.55987095832825, - "sum_slip_pct": -0.04763023330271608 + "n": 4, + "sum_s": 167.62378978729248, + "sum_slip_pct": -0.06374388846932201 }, - "fees_paid": 0.6500668777120812, + "fees_paid": 0.7834575051106722, "lag_recent": [ [ 1783545809.5, @@ -3541,6 +3558,11 @@ 1783572102.6, 145.6, -0.03077 + ], + [ + 1783573792.1, + 2.1, + -0.01611 ] ], "bets": { @@ -3601,11 +3623,29 @@ "exit_price": null, "pnl": null, "settled": null + }, + "71026075704437556922683872464818734295123056708831878845925107841264506547843": { + "token": "71026075704437556922683872464818734295123056708831878845925107841264506547843", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 6 2026?", + "their_price": 0.9036, + "my_price": 0.889, + "slippage_pct": -0.0161, + "shares": 45.06, + "cost": 40.06, + "fee": 0.1334, + "opened": 1783573790, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null } }, "hwm": 1001.8759695565427, - "feed_sig": "d59310747795c24917b07b54d7713072", - "feed_pushed_at": 1783572040.443158, + "feed_sig": "dba01b7c8bb98f22efd44ece030e7f61", + "feed_pushed_at": 1783573748.4701903, "missed": [], "no_miss_toks": [ "108097819032362232168754373234866768117360060536989734427640383701915911737522", diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index 8ec35131..880082b8 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -1,23 +1,23 @@ { "mode": "paper", "bankroll": 1000.0, - "stake": 40.06, + "stake": 40.05, "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 1001.88, - "cash": 929.75, - "deployed": 71.68, + "cash": 889.56, + "deployed": 111.73, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": 1.43, + "realized": 1.3, "adjustments": 0, "ledger_drift": 0.01, - "open_count": 2, - "fees_paid": 0.65, + "open_count": 3, + "fees_paid": 0.78, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 3, - "n24": 3, - "avg_s": 55.2, + "n": 4, + "n24": 4, + "avg_s": 41.9, "avg_slip_pct": -0.0159, "window_h": 24 }, @@ -49,6 +49,24 @@ "1kto1m": 320.95 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "71026075704437556922683872464818734295123056708831878845925107841264506547843", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 6 2026?", + "their_price": 0.9036, + "my_price": 0.889, + "slippage_pct": -0.0161, + "shares": 45.06, + "cost": 40.06, + "fee": 0.13, + "opened": 1783573790, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null + }, { "token": "39972622924517602245489680060778385204723280241121244048574854937226619835364", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -110,5 +128,5 @@ ], "missed": [], "missed_pnl": 0, - "updated": 1783572103 + "updated": 1783573792 } \ No newline at end of file