diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index b7008af4..3de46f4c 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -46,3 +46,4 @@
 {"ts": 1783498623.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "49668995155793051805808018718891699741213296790665178226190150414520658676729", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 8?", "detect_lag_s": 1.9, "their_price": 0.9362, "my_price": 0.918, "slippage_pct": -0.0194, "shares": 52.87, "cost": 48.53, "fee": 0.1194, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1783499051.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "3190854311118956127770951783770847059067199259326144975916391196231309401395", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on July 8?", "detect_lag_s": 1.9, "their_price": 0.85, "my_price": 0.85, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 57.09, "cost": 48.53, "fee": 0.2184, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1783499159.5, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "95676548525614691656970153001244738030704823210041753577158504248850005676647", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 3.5, "their_price": 0.46, "my_price": 0.45, "slippage_pct": -0.0217, "shares": 107.82, "cost": 48.52, "fee": 0.8006, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1783499430.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "17201633022551770129287755054798695848826438710017215402322556219454538059471", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of July 6 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 2.5, "their_price": 0.7838, "my_price": 0.5, "slippage_pct": -0.3621, "shares": 96.98, "cost": 48.49, "fee": 0.7273, "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 93d4727e..f90a234b 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -2676,6 +2676,7 @@
     "0xea63e9a691bfc67568b0e0411d855004bf97964e2454c3ea0b15683b7c98e501",
     "0x93fcefd98a95dd16cc4c67e5f728cb2ab2bdb8d16d3e05a28a366893fbdb3596",
     "0x2c5d0f0f6fe7d0f43b772f203a96f81e86cc9b433e4f8c63484db724882cbc02",
+    "0x74dc7046209bf22d41c119df9f818831fef48f0a53622cfec27843d3a95e4557",
     "0xf07a64b334d48d0bbef6f3ef28c9e110793cf9ae407dcb3e883d01c64c744643",
     "0x770887fe3e7d9961246b4292c4b914e38c67f5683465669d2be3b645bf9d3e8d",
     "0xc6bd5e3ed7c920d721a3d0b041dabfbe555eab712e1a6466941256e1670eb70a",
@@ -5819,7 +5820,8 @@
       "13965333115565655003656471211434718978592299097659172225985527667118489044999": 0.0,
       "112647675842455810053000856007873928696360897468065849941777938122717569163887": 135.9235,
       "49668995155793051805808018718891699741213296790665178226190150414520658676729": 50.7368,
-      "3190854311118956127770951783770847059067199259326144975916391196231309401395": 78.8111
+      "3190854311118956127770951783770847059067199259326144975916391196231309401395": 78.8111,
+      "17201633022551770129287755054798695848826438710017215402322556219454538059471": 64.215188
     },
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": {
       "10690391194840875541563517589463912963575786539307433160985752952931887140267": 10957.6068,
@@ -8964,11 +8966,20 @@
       "event": "us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-july-31-2026-20260622191708361",
       "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
       "cond": "0xb838caec0354e09985f2c228c54ba190cb284f390beda5ffd58d163ba00648ec"
+    },
+    "17201633022551770129287755054798695848826438710017215402322556219454538059471": {
+      "shares": 96.97601767064491,
+      "cost": 48.488008835322454,
+      "title": "Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of July 6 2026?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "event": "will-hood-dip-to-110-by-july-6-2026",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "cond": "0x71e8b2b601387dc0870ca2a570f8ac83ae25abad78d6f63b9fdddc7d95046a71"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
-    "usd": 451.8205505446635
+    "usd": 500.3085593799859
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
@@ -8996,15 +9007,16 @@
     "112647675842455810053000856007873928696360897468065849941777938122717569163887": "0x1fb9dcb548a42fd978b7d757db5b992f8413a0d1137b89ab3a4b50b0aede98b2",
     "49668995155793051805808018718891699741213296790665178226190150414520658676729": "0x37bb6c9b3c04af86cde262847c801ea05ed44f11c03462346b409ea76b334df3",
     "3190854311118956127770951783770847059067199259326144975916391196231309401395": "0x602ec80113c4fea82606fd78ac90b377a964eb5dd423b507dfcfe7502227c37b",
-    "95676548525614691656970153001244738030704823210041753577158504248850005676647": "0xb838caec0354e09985f2c228c54ba190cb284f390beda5ffd58d163ba00648ec"
+    "95676548525614691656970153001244738030704823210041753577158504248850005676647": "0xb838caec0354e09985f2c228c54ba190cb284f390beda5ffd58d163ba00648ec",
+    "17201633022551770129287755054798695848826438710017215402322556219454538059471": "0x71e8b2b601387dc0870ca2a570f8ac83ae25abad78d6f63b9fdddc7d95046a71"
   },
-  "cash": 940.9094258668808,
+  "cash": 891.6940968990285,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 36,
-    "sum_s": 1478.7535543441772,
-    "sum_slip_pct": -2.8270027897687005
+    "n": 37,
+    "sum_s": 1481.2929074764252,
+    "sum_slip_pct": -3.1890612980676174
   },
-  "fees_paid": 24.963551216917406,
+  "fees_paid": 25.690871349447242,
   "bets": {
     "49050515224512144893403630474493192388276540052107403943769923572957881420203": {
       "token": "49050515224512144893403630474493192388276540052107403943769923572957881420203",
@@ -9599,10 +9611,28 @@
       "exit_price": null,
       "pnl": null,
       "settled": null
+    },
+    "17201633022551770129287755054798695848826438710017215402322556219454538059471": {
+      "token": "17201633022551770129287755054798695848826438710017215402322556219454538059471",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "name": "0xbadaf319",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "title": "Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of July 6 2026?",
+      "their_price": 0.7838,
+      "my_price": 0.5,
+      "slippage_pct": -0.3621,
+      "shares": 96.98,
+      "cost": 48.49,
+      "fee": 0.7273,
+      "opened": 1783499428,
+      "status": "open",
+      "exit_price": null,
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null
     }
   },
-  "feed_sig": "30e378b83243d97cadbee3aed2f86ef8",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1783499065.9123218,
+  "feed_sig": "073af0a059d1be618a8563d5751c347a",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1783499316.8852992,
   "hwm": 1213.5715791233613,
   "missed": [
     {
@@ -10446,6 +10476,11 @@
       1783499159.5,
       3.5,
       -0.02174
+    ],
+    [
+      1783499430.5,
+      2.5,
+      -0.36206
     ]
   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 477867e1..77b64804 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 48.49,
+ "stake": 48.46,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 1213.57,
- "cash": 940.91,
- "deployed": 271.29,
+ "cash": 891.69,
+ "deployed": 319.78,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 196.75,
+ "realized": 196.02,
  "adjustments": 15.45,
- "ledger_drift": -0.01,
- "open_count": 7,
- "fees_paid": 24.96,
+ "ledger_drift": -0.0,
+ "open_count": 8,
+ "fees_paid": 25.69,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 36,
-  "n24": 16,
-  "avg_s": 11.9,
-  "avg_slip_pct": -0.1294,
+  "n": 37,
+  "n24": 17,
+  "avg_s": 11.3,
+  "avg_slip_pct": -0.1431,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -46,6 +46,24 @@
   "BikesAreTheBikes": 215.88
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "17201633022551770129287755054798695848826438710017215402322556219454538059471",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of July 6 2026?",
+   "their_price": 0.7838,
+   "my_price": 0.5,
+   "slippage_pct": -0.3621,
+   "shares": 96.98,
+   "cost": 48.49,
+   "fee": 0.73,
+   "opened": 1783499428,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null
+  },
   {
    "token": "95676548525614691656970153001244738030704823210041753577158504248850005676647",
    "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
@@ -1394,5 +1412,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": -372.25,
- "updated": 1783499159
+ "updated": 1783499430
 }
\ No newline at end of file