diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index 4d8845e5..9ba44236 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -1,10 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783572616.4091802,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0x5722484337aefe9be286d817e81add6fda71cb1bba703f7f46fdb39115f29649",
-    "0x6b9b7e969582f4cc9b19730738f3d4901350cf2e3967f69e1ff5ff99d5d0c489",
-    "0x6d9e7718d09e8d6fb201f13e79f6aa709bcc70a1047ac27abaabc1e61e9298f8",
-    "0x8bc613e2d89303133d677b08ac15fb0ffdbfb113cc6fd9f2e221b859ca7894da",
     "0x43c0a9f672a612e4d12faaede3daa07b4d52bdacde07b9d35c6788a535eeeb8f",
     "0x6980de1b2d4c7a1d77a26fa9dd5f079bc9ec440d8ade0435d078c8e1d0b5794e",
     "0xf25eb3c07633bb148085811e78249ada330a6a9ae63c79ac76d7c186de16d426",
@@ -5000,7 +4996,11 @@
     "0x096bc130cb6e435bcb360c6f6c71e646c1e34534c3bb042561fa10ab736102d0",
     "0xe7195cdbab5adb7bae530c7851273017dc3c49b6def480c8648e272a666f870c",
     "0x4a42fe611b47dca979af31eae2a96b9a43027c491da3b25c10ae0449f2550c6f",
-    "0x457620c43f12140cfb46b3c58ee1ae097942be790df4e35513edcc3991d01d71"
+    "0x457620c43f12140cfb46b3c58ee1ae097942be790df4e35513edcc3991d01d71",
+    "0x73385ddd7cd10d74b9c06ae5ebcb632349f25931b024df318da38d0142534e11",
+    "0x1ba5d4f101206ff1472788c1873c23f4d088fd353765267960425724cf8a83e3",
+    "0x5eb1a5c3402d659e5f61f882fceb262e1761e6982c15bfd3cbeba361c987bf3b",
+    "0x49163985c2dcdb28585c7489accea007fa2bbd1b1b3942286e85f2094d9d2b00"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -10700,15 +10700,6 @@
       "event": null,
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0xf137d500bee37ff54903e73dfb8cabcfdf8ef4c13c1dd322b649c329cb70c008"
-    },
-    "107519224001054263439274706964696866987866557807915774909819079291264377299291": {
-      "shares": 0.12395200000000002,
-      "cost": 0.05453888000000001,
-      "title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner",
-      "outcome": "BetBoom Team",
-      "event": "dota2-bb4-pari-2026-07-19",
-      "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
-      "cond": "0x2621f174955892ef32bcabd62ae74d1e14530f0585527322fdf2d2cb7e41c27a"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
@@ -10790,8 +10781,7 @@
     "38596120750074321785333064789385162164853013897516945380739845321752073819772": "0xf137d500bee37ff54903e73dfb8cabcfdf8ef4c13c1dd322b649c329cb70c008",
     "42900587076366844229913834194744356425297818081286466764921250179690312755990": "0xc0f70912445fc2aeee051c61d367a31ceebe940831ac329e63a406bdbc31528a",
     "37824164809093918071945208007872743881921286805762898355468714704460471077939": "0x98eef4e57a64e6a05cd0ad81b173ef6e4ea3a6790f91d41b2a72958d87d64a7c",
-    "55756224092672312452220271511023752032089675393435446819167450327852495044652": "0xc0f70912445fc2aeee051c61d367a31ceebe940831ac329e63a406bdbc31528a",
-    "107519224001054263439274706964696866987866557807915774909819079291264377299291": "0x2621f174955892ef32bcabd62ae74d1e14530f0585527322fdf2d2cb7e41c27a"
+    "55756224092672312452220271511023752032089675393435446819167450327852495044652": "0xc0f70912445fc2aeee051c61d367a31ceebe940831ac329e63a406bdbc31528a"
   },
   "cash": 46.158452,
   "lag": {
@@ -12832,10 +12822,10 @@
       "cost": 2.12,
       "fee": 0.0356,
       "opened": 1784473788,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "lost",
+      "exit_price": 0.0,
+      "pnl": -0.1,
+      "settled": 1784485559,
       "sold_shares": 4.6899999999999995,
       "sold_proceeds": 2.05374415
     }
@@ -15703,8 +15693,8 @@
       "name": "1kto1m"
     }
   ],
-  "feed_sig": "3f14d24aa3f1a4b8084ee1942a2a6746",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784485409.0542586,
+  "feed_sig": "af062e8d2e8f80b8f8a582b7e2d114a8",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784485534.5316827,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783906689,
@@ -15728,15 +15718,7 @@
     }
   ],
   "pending_orders": [],
-  "exit_retries": [
-    {
-      "token": "107519224001054263439274706964696866987866557807915774909819079291264377299291",
-      "shares": 0.12395200000000002,
-      "label": "BetBoom Team \u00b7 Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game ",
-      "attempts": 5,
-      "ts": 1784485154
-    }
-  ],
+  "exit_retries": [],
   "exit_attempts": {
     "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305": 25,
     "111238155193029214626119372717509509454868187612257655146390848111901958320265": 1,
@@ -15763,7 +15745,7 @@
     "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784480334,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784482447,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784472576,
-    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784485513,
+    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784485540,
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784482278
   },
   "boot": {
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index e3e8a614..4665bc12 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -6,12 +6,12 @@
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 61.23,
  "cash": 46.16,
- "deployed": 12.71,
+ "deployed": 12.66,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": -16.94,
+ "realized": -16.99,
  "adjustments": 9.39,
  "ledger_drift": 0.0,
- "open_count": 10,
+ "open_count": 9,
  "fees_paid": 2.79,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
@@ -60,10 +60,10 @@
    "cost": 2.12,
    "fee": 0.04,
    "opened": 1784473788,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -0.1,
+   "settled": 1784485559,
    "sold_shares": 4.69,
    "sold_proceeds": 2.05
   },
@@ -3002,5 +3002,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 1051.59,
- "updated": 1784485479
+ "updated": 1784485561
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
index c75dd225..d97e3cde 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
@@ -2492,3 +2492,7 @@
 {"ts": 1784485512.41, "trade_ts": 1784485512, "lat_s": 0.41, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 19, "price": 0.62, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET", "tx": "0xe7195cdbab5adb7bae530c7851273017dc3c49b6def480c8648e272a666f870c", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784485513.52, "trade_ts": 1784485513, "lat_s": 0.52, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 10, "price": 0.62, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET", "tx": "0x4a42fe611b47dca979af31eae2a96b9a43027c491da3b25c10ae0449f2550c6f", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784485529.77, "trade_ts": 1784485529, "lat_s": 0.77, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 404.44, "price": 0.5062338047670853, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET", "tx": "0x457620c43f12140cfb46b3c58ee1ae097942be790df4e35513edcc3991d01d71", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784485540.54, "trade_ts": 1784485540, "lat_s": 0.54, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 149, "price": 0.5, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET", "tx": "0x73385ddd7cd10d74b9c06ae5ebcb632349f25931b024df318da38d0142534e11", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784485540.64, "trade_ts": 1784485540, "lat_s": 0.64, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 538.11, "price": 0.5087125308951701, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET", "tx": "0x1ba5d4f101206ff1472788c1873c23f4d088fd353765267960425724cf8a83e3", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784485540.74, "trade_ts": 1784485540, "lat_s": 0.74, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 2.42, "price": 0.5, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET", "tx": "0x5eb1a5c3402d659e5f61f882fceb262e1761e6982c15bfd3cbeba361c987bf3b", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784485588.48, "trade_ts": 1784485588, "lat_s": 0.48, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 0.01, "price": 0.63, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET", "tx": "0x49163985c2dcdb28585c7489accea007fa2bbd1b1b3942286e85f2094d9d2b00", "seen": false}