diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index 118540d1..74a8a0fb 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -885,3 +885,4 @@
 {"ts": 1784819629.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 0.5, "their_price": 0.95, "my_price": 0.93, "slippage_pct": -0.0211, "shares": 66.53, "cost": 61.87, "fee": 0.1299, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.93, "ba": 0.95, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 3052.32, "ask5c": 3966.07}}
 {"ts": 1784819791.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 1.5, "their_price": 0.92, "my_price": 0.91, "slippage_pct": -0.0109, "shares": 60.1, "cost": 54.69, "fee": 0.1477, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.91, "ba": 0.93, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 3118.58, "ask5c": 3466.74}}
 {"ts": 1784820189.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "shares": 5.2356, "price": 0.86, "fee": 0.0189, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1784820335.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 0.8, "their_price": 0.8, "my_price": 0.75, "slippage_pct": -0.0625, "shares": 42.36, "cost": 31.77, "fee": 0.2383, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.75, "ba": 0.78, "spread": 0.03, "bid5c": 71.22, "ask5c": 324.58}}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 72c21769..2bb40903 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1,8 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783541947.246319,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0x9876e9211338e092a3dc8c2fc20ce0438f9817d950c92a0e8f89453c2a33caba",
-    "0x413f6e6052f79f21eb852d60c50cd68ef03289abb2be75ca38154734f8dff31f",
     "0x5578eda79e35664024360552a33ccd7a4cd20fd12f14d333a8b04d930dad8c28",
     "0x7c14b096f402ee1f456fe26f3636a6acb97feb9ce647647040104e26b7ec4e8b",
     "0x027a9d882b71a56686cd6fdfc0fbcb1c22f55ac1136065472bf3ff43a5c32c06",
@@ -5000,7 +4998,9 @@
     "0xbd752ea572e02bdca49882a0485251036a3cfbfbe97301ec39099e8a9c253fdf",
     "0x542a41f9641f05afbf84aedc011ec67c4ca727dc99fdbb39482d73e44b068c24",
     "0x92dea0e5b0065eba7cfa24367ffef76475ff584ffe06c67174d49dda4f41c12b",
-    "0xf548e2bfbc6def6f445cf3acabfd13e7d8d8c239c18ee30e713cc2a587e41408"
+    "0xf548e2bfbc6def6f445cf3acabfd13e7d8d8c239c18ee30e713cc2a587e41408",
+    "0x596add106ff60bf34933a08dc2fee25cf3bfaad85a9d7fbc33203eb319b5ac63",
+    "0x7305799a342c5ff02ab426f52b623fdd4e3069475b427342674ddce84415f0a9"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -7243,7 +7243,9 @@
       "48574977780602359973424721409966057674554416160116329470530397807988468635509": 0.0,
       "37191856477013737208001983122060014111424139697068666732101920490654689721653": 0.0,
       "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 294.9199,
-      "70195645594183504777678766878116662362245796053178329148702111955860840923559": 0.0
+      "70195645594183504777678766878116662362245796053178329148702111955860840923559": 0.0,
+      "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 61.85,
+      "43194096588815160672928507072662519771653403729580042724996842887266951343593": 0.0
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -11520,11 +11522,20 @@
       "event": "ethereum-price-on-july-23-2026",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0x4bb8b2a094bdb1153e3b6c00ce53427fd5d987edd5090181162782b90764129f"
+    },
+    "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": {
+      "shares": 42.364000000000004,
+      "cost": 31.773000000000003,
+      "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "event": "highest-temperature-in-london-on-july-23-2026",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "cond": "0x9d3c9c74d6dc88f3209c85176ee0f88b918d11eb00b59edddbcac37af1860ca3"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
-    "usd": 214.51169857601525
+    "usd": 246.28469857601524
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -11682,15 +11693,16 @@
     "95881905429518344941380148326492553933806571454773462059114401886982592434913": "0xae0c8a794fe4d0300eca6b39e8bea60ab0f1a2078aa8ca2aac88adc4808a69a6",
     "55071405929941363854274866721931311048000830793954776923614437932856724606852": "0xfc7e0c5bf5560e39ac944c4fa41e5f907d54cdb1ea5857377d9f94d65a760009",
     "80270372288514892122229303181424592994977341771902366596528480848577129708762": "0x2c0febfae1214f1a85b6f9a39f4c74523ed5217590eb246857d671d7861b35fe",
-    "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": "0x4bb8b2a094bdb1153e3b6c00ce53427fd5d987edd5090181162782b90764129f"
+    "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": "0x4bb8b2a094bdb1153e3b6c00ce53427fd5d987edd5090181162782b90764129f",
+    "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": "0x9d3c9c74d6dc88f3209c85176ee0f88b918d11eb00b59edddbcac37af1860ca3"
   },
-  "cash": 1810.1577211353106,
+  "cash": 1782.6301712555287,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 229,
-    "sum_s": 6169.526695489883,
-    "sum_slip_pct": -7.207038469332156
+    "n": 230,
+    "sum_s": 6170.284677267075,
+    "sum_slip_pct": -7.269538469332156
   },
-  "fees_paid": 343.58471699188567,
+  "fees_paid": 343.8419256587916,
   "lag_recent": [
     [
       1784790395.8,
@@ -11711,6 +11723,11 @@
       1784819791.5,
       1.5,
       -0.01087
+    ],
+    [
+      1784820335.8,
+      0.8,
+      -0.0625
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -15835,12 +15852,33 @@
       "status": "open",
       "exit_price": null,
       "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null,
+      "sold_shares": 5.235649752469704,
+      "sold_proceeds": 4.483747620218025
+    },
+    "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": {
+      "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "name": "0xbadaf319",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?",
+      "their_price": 0.8,
+      "my_price": 0.75,
+      "slippage_pct": -0.0625,
+      "lag_s": 0.8,
+      "shares": 42.36,
+      "cost": 31.77,
+      "fee": 0.2383,
+      "opened": 1784820335,
+      "status": "open",
+      "exit_price": null,
+      "pnl": null,
       "settled": null
     }
   },
   "hwm": 3017.9847339343023,
-  "feed_sig": "290b7a3979c430d8f0e0cc24716a4263",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784820048.092743,
+  "feed_sig": "fe177ee6e109067045235f11a99d3202",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784820319.4192789,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,
@@ -18682,7 +18720,8 @@
       "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
       "status": "open",
       "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null
+      "settled": null,
+      "name": "0xbadaf319"
     }
   ],
   "no_miss_toks": [
@@ -18788,7 +18827,7 @@
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784814235,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784819791,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784820336,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784745123,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784807970,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784798961,
@@ -18799,11 +18838,11 @@
     "ts": 1784658775
   },
   "last_fill": {
-    "ts": 1784819791,
+    "ts": 1784820335,
     "side": "BUY",
-    "price": 0.91,
-    "shares": 60.1,
-    "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J",
+    "price": 0.75,
+    "shares": 42.36,
+    "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?",
     "outcome": "No"
   }
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index eef15f1f..e4336a99 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 116.54,
+ "stake": 116.53,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 3017.98,
- "cash": 1814.64,
- "deployed": 1098.9,
+ "cash": 1782.63,
+ "deployed": 1130.68,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1913.52,
+ "realized": 1913.28,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
- "ledger_drift": -0.02,
- "open_count": 18,
- "fees_paid": 343.6,
+ "ledger_drift": -0.03,
+ "open_count": 19,
+ "fees_paid": 343.84,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 229,
-  "n24": 4,
-  "avg_s": 7.2,
-  "avg_slip_pct": -0.0064,
+  "n": 230,
+  "n24": 5,
+  "avg_s": 5.9,
+  "avg_slip_pct": -0.0176,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -46,6 +46,25 @@
   "AIcAIc": 344.56
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?",
+   "their_price": 0.8,
+   "my_price": 0.75,
+   "slippage_pct": -0.0625,
+   "lag_s": 0.8,
+   "shares": 42.36,
+   "cost": 31.77,
+   "fee": 0.24,
+   "opened": 1784820335,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null
+  },
   {
    "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2091,27 +2110,6 @@
    "settled": 1784036266,
    "sold_shares": 166.95,
    "sold_proceeds": 115.82
-  },
-  {
-   "token": "107133788521613312162567181824294634873967810582690705864827492796504434100258",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 14?",
-   "their_price": 0.86,
-   "my_price": 0.82,
-   "slippage_pct": -0.0465,
-   "lag_s": 3.5,
-   "shares": 75.54,
-   "cost": 61.94,
-   "fee": 0.33,
-   "opened": 1784028613,
-   "status": "closed",
-   "exit_price": 0.9557,
-   "pnl": 9.92,
-   "settled": 1784033039,
-   "sold_shares": 75.54,
-   "sold_proceeds": 72.19
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
@@ -3071,11 +3069,11 @@
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 96775.96,
  "last_fill": {
-  "ts": 1784820189,
-  "side": "SELL",
-  "price": 0.86,
-  "shares": 5.24,
-  "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J",
+  "ts": 1784820335,
+  "side": "BUY",
+  "price": 0.75,
+  "shares": 42.36,
+  "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?",
   "outcome": "No"
  },
  "wallet_pnl": {
@@ -3083,11 +3081,11 @@
    "realized": 542.9,
    "n": 47,
    "wins": 12,
-   "open_cost": 853.09,
-   "open_n": 11,
+   "open_cost": 884.86,
+   "open_n": 12,
    "miss_n": 55,
    "miss_pnl": 97054.22,
-   "last_ts": 1784819629
+   "last_ts": 1784820335
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
    "realized": 776.39,
@@ -3160,5 +3158,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1784820189
+ "updated": 1784820340
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index 1bb14423..c11a258e 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1784820189,
+ "updated": 1784820340,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 542.9,
    "n": 47,
    "wins": 12,
-   "open_cost": 853.09,
-   "open_n": 11,
+   "open_cost": 884.86,
+   "open_n": 12,
    "miss_n": 55,
    "miss_pnl": 97054.22,
-   "last_ts": 1784819629
+   "last_ts": 1784820335
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
    "realized": 776.39,
@@ -84,6 +84,25 @@
   }
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?",
+   "their_price": 0.8,
+   "my_price": 0.75,
+   "slippage_pct": -0.0625,
+   "lag_s": 0.8,
+   "shares": 42.36,
+   "cost": 31.77,
+   "fee": 0.2383,
+   "opened": 1784820335,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null
+  },
   {
    "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index f145829a..91c1b6e8 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -2023,3 +2023,6 @@
 {"ts": 1784819791.52, "trade_ts": 1784819791, "lat_s": 0.52, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 71.5, "price": 0.06, "title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 23, 12PM ET?", "tx": "0x667b018751abb9a4a29c1a7fcdeae564affc63ad77bd80750c7784466f5dba5e", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784820178.7, "trade_ts": 1784820178, "lat_s": 0.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 12.72, "price": 0.14, "title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 23, 12PM ET?", "tx": "0x92dea0e5b0065eba7cfa24367ffef76475ff584ffe06c67174d49dda4f41c12b", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784820189.26, "trade_ts": 1784820178, "lat_s": 11.26, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 12.72, "price": 0.88, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J", "tx": "0xf548e2bfbc6def6f445cf3acabfd13e7d8d8c239c18ee30e713cc2a587e41408", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784820334.59, "trade_ts": 1784820334, "lat_s": 0.59, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 65.333332, "price": 0.1799999883673467, "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 26\u00b0C on July 23?", "tx": "0x575c9de035b84e3d278e9659effe28678301af8100a5ba1fa43e09dca8e9094d", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784820335.6, "trade_ts": 1784820335, "lat_s": 0.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 61.85, "price": 0.8, "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?", "tx": "0x596add106ff60bf34933a08dc2fee25cf3bfaad85a9d7fbc33203eb319b5ac63", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784820346.08, "trade_ts": 1784820345, "lat_s": 1.08, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 61.85, "price": 0.014, "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 28\u00b0C on July 23?", "tx": "0x7305799a342c5ff02ab426f52b623fdd4e3069475b427342674ddce84415f0a9", "seen": false}