diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
index c4e7a4d8..758f4964 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
@@ -3146,3 +3146,6 @@
 {"ts": 1785443638.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785443639.3, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.049, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785443640.2, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.19, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785443989.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785443990.5, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.059, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785443991.1, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.19, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 5bbfcc73..7b1d6130 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -13947,15 +13947,6 @@
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0x81670f6d5e8bd0b3caca401005b8c7af229b9e35a9a72be43ac189598ef524b7"
     },
-    "15936256786231936393406572307889188250969935165041173084711910210197660722650": {
-      "shares": 72.86,
-      "cost": 56.1022,
-      "title": "LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season",
-      "outcome": "Solary",
-      "event": "lol-sly-vitb-2026-07-30",
-      "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
-      "cond": "0x6c8a66834fe74f9a6e5a91e9477aba19bc7bd665a0df72a4a11a106eb3004155"
-    },
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@@ -14187,7 +14178,6 @@
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-    "15936256786231936393406572307889188250969935165041173084711910210197660722650": "0x6c8a66834fe74f9a6e5a91e9477aba19bc7bd665a0df72a4a11a106eb3004155",
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@@ -20278,10 +20268,10 @@
       "cost": 56.1,
       "fee": 0.3871,
       "opened": 1785414421,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "lost",
+      "exit_price": 0.0,
+      "pnl": -56.49,
+      "settled": 1785443983,
       "end_ts": 1785369600
     },
     "102357232418942179672028130858766408228809563367413802735032151943425338940696": {
@@ -20348,8 +20338,8 @@
     }
   },
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-  "feed_sig": "d71eb4898fc22dc035b9109a529df911",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1785443502.4074209,
+  "feed_sig": "3bcd788aaa696d0e0ad15e78cd478855",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1785443920.4418063,
   "missed": [
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@@ -23673,7 +23663,7 @@
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@@ -23682,7 +23672,7 @@
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@@ -23690,7 +23680,7 @@
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@@ -23723,51 +23713,6 @@
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-      "sell_px": 0.038,
-      "shares_held": 263.35,
-      "cost_held": 123.77,
-      "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
-      "mode": "paper"
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-      "shares_held": 168.23,
-      "cost_held": 68.97,
-      "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
-    {
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-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
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-      "their_prev": 0,
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-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.89,
-      "shares_held": 0.8746,
-      "cost_held": 0.61,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
     {
       "ts": 1785418522.2,
       "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191",
@@ -26722,6 +26667,51 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785443989.7,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
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+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.89,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785443990.5,
+      "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.059,
+      "shares_held": 263.35,
+      "cost_held": 123.77,
+      "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785443991.1,
+      "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.19,
+      "shares_held": 168.23,
+      "cost_held": 68.97,
+      "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
     }
   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 8279e6b0..5b024b13 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 54.4,
+ "stake": 53.28,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 3600.19,
  "cash": 1287.3,
- "deployed": 1432.62,
+ "deployed": 1376.52,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1719.89,
+ "realized": 1663.79,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
- "ledger_drift": -0.06,
- "open_count": 29,
+ "ledger_drift": -0.05,
+ "open_count": 28,
  "fees_paid": 429.15,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
@@ -50,6 +50,26 @@
   "JuiceFarm": 735.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "15936256786231936393406572307889188250969935165041173084711910210197660722650",
+   "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
+   "name": "JuiceFarm",
+   "outcome": "Solary",
+   "title": "LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season",
+   "their_price": 0.77,
+   "my_price": 0.77,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 8.3,
+   "shares": 72.86,
+   "cost": 56.1,
+   "fee": 0.39,
+   "opened": 1785414421,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -56.49,
+   "settled": 1785443983,
+   "end_ts": 1785369600
+  },
   {
    "token": "36265250796161854432369131892129450974997795066135083465560318874244070874973",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -152,26 +172,6 @@
    "settled": null,
    "end_ts": 1785456000
   },
-  {
-   "token": "15936256786231936393406572307889188250969935165041173084711910210197660722650",
-   "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
-   "name": "JuiceFarm",
-   "outcome": "Solary",
-   "title": "LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season",
-   "their_price": 0.77,
-   "my_price": 0.77,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 8.3,
-   "shares": 72.86,
-   "cost": 56.1,
-   "fee": 0.39,
-   "opened": 1785414421,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785369600
-  },
   {
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    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -3193,14 +3193,14 @@
    "last_ts": 1785407674
   },
   "JuiceFarm": {
-   "realized": -63.75,
-   "n": 4,
+   "realized": -120.24,
+   "n": 5,
    "wins": 2,
-   "open_cost": 112.2,
-   "open_n": 2,
+   "open_cost": 56.1,
+   "open_n": 1,
    "miss_n": 3,
    "miss_pnl": 90.82,
-   "last_ts": 1785414469
+   "last_ts": 1785443983
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   "0x41558102": {
    "realized": 0.0,
@@ -3223,5 +3223,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785443651
+ "updated": 1785443993
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index 8a748ddc..e2043120 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785443651,
+ "updated": 1785443993,
  "wallet_pnl": {
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@@ -73,14 +73,14 @@
    "last_ts": 1785407674
   },
   "JuiceFarm": {
-   "realized": -63.75,
-   "n": 4,
+   "realized": -120.24,
+   "n": 5,
    "wins": 2,
-   "open_cost": 112.2,
-   "open_n": 2,
+   "open_cost": 56.1,
+   "open_n": 1,
    "miss_n": 3,
    "miss_pnl": 90.82,
-   "last_ts": 1785414469
+   "last_ts": 1785443983
   },
   "0x41558102": {
    "realized": 0.0,
@@ -104,6 +104,26 @@
   }
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "15936256786231936393406572307889188250969935165041173084711910210197660722650",
+   "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
+   "name": "JuiceFarm",
+   "outcome": "Solary",
+   "title": "LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season",
+   "their_price": 0.77,
+   "my_price": 0.77,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 8.3,
+   "shares": 72.86,
+   "cost": 56.1,
+   "fee": 0.3871,
+   "opened": 1785414421,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -56.49,
+   "settled": 1785443983,
+   "end_ts": 1785369600
+  },
   {
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    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -206,26 +226,6 @@
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-   "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
-   "name": "JuiceFarm",
-   "outcome": "Solary",
-   "title": "LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season",
-   "their_price": 0.77,
-   "my_price": 0.77,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 8.3,
-   "shares": 72.86,
-   "cost": 56.1,
-   "fee": 0.3871,
-   "opened": 1785414421,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
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