From d7b882c3bec4fb17a2d550ff62f638a34a36e13f Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Sat, 11 Jul 2026 15:39:46 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_fills.live.jsonl | 2 + copybot_state.live.json | 95 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++----- live/copybot_live_real.json | 52 ++++++++++++++++---- 3 files changed, 129 insertions(+), 20 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl index 393b51b6..d886476c 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl @@ -23,3 +23,5 @@ {"ts": 1783772855.4, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "43551466881329966936571085042990699617845453317700345932385022134457322350137", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "outcome": "PlayTime", "title": "Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 127.4, "their_price": 0.3585, "my_price": 0.41, "slippage_pct": 0.1436, "shares": 2.5, "cost": 1.02, "fee": 0.0181, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.39, "ba": 0.41, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 6322.81, "ask5c": 8968.69}} {"ts": 1783774112.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "43551466881329966936571085042990699617845453317700345932385022134457322350137", "shares": 2.5, "price": 0.5, "fee": 0.0187, "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1783779830.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "31844421127747452247920361772593140342967161564902355004027803194678743954899", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?", "detect_lag_s": 22.1, "their_price": 0.9155, "my_price": 0.93, "slippage_pct": 0.0159, "shares": 1.08, "cost": 1.0, "fee": 0.0021, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.91, "ba": 0.93, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 520.3, "ask5c": 303.39}} +{"ts": 1783784291.4, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "113091218397444067989972632020225312341889014436526883908493943923995167586912", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?", "detect_lag_s": 28.4, "their_price": 0.905, "my_price": 0.892, "slippage_pct": -0.0144, "shares": 1.12, "cost": 1.0, "fee": 0.0032, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.794, "ba": 0.92, "spread": 0.126, "bid5c": 1275.68, "ask5c": 145.48}} +{"ts": 1783784386.2, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "78788260288922080326905341117968551697712240104712932735403261835886217664335", "name": "1kto1m", "outcome": "Down", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET", "detect_lag_s": 5.2, "their_price": 0.9499, "my_price": 0.96, "slippage_pct": 0.0106, "shares": 1.04, "cost": 1.0, "fee": 0.0012, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.95, "ba": 0.96, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 1326.6, "ask5c": 4380.25}} diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json index 179474b2..f3bb9230 100644 --- a/copybot_state.live.json +++ b/copybot_state.live.json @@ -195,6 +195,7 @@ "0x42659af8a8c00cdf5ef9b27addf1f6130a5e8e2db623eaa66225ee7562b05f22", "0x03603ede8510b4881f1f6aec354abe9603a873846f5d132edcbae32fc9c47d10", "0x80637855e2d31be7d15142fa5a0a940679e48a17324d0ec73bbe1084b9120a58", + "0xaf9224a4a8f1440cb99ae95f309f07fa1fabfd00882f5017fccc30ad79d47923", "0x8cd0325a8a682f2edb1f486a1e69bf07ffbe344192ed428633d2c56bb5f56611", "0xdd21318f30af4f7fb99957af3105fbf7949530aab933c953b371f2e3010bb0fc", "0xb375c90dbfd2a0d30e71cddc21465535409060cae86cfbe3cdd08241654041eb", @@ -488,6 +489,7 @@ "0x63ef3691bb8d87c7d178b6d29f09043743d81cd61d069b7aeb391409aa4dd799", "0x99fedb78aaf0fbd3efe5458b499bb0ab8eeb9779ce936b8eeb1889ffb2cf0b2d", "0xe8db99c5dfc44ddb330bd4cc81ba898896ca543ba74a4da2e6016d79b37cf40f", + "0x5fc5159aa8336097479634e0294f4c5172743d7c7f1be8a91e15ad885fabe848", "0x53c0cf970ed8ceb7817f02058c0b21490e66bf088f281899de375c21f6cdec7a", "0x9c0ab68fac7946a7b95a81bda3a6b840c14a8df1d770fa92b536c97d594c5486", "0x7da5e58b47e04c4c852db75b4493d0e139de6bad2d4dedae5377c0dc2b05397e", @@ -653,6 +655,7 @@ "0xbbbe046ef5f8af38a1528e0651c565fcd1cae0a676084ebae01d195cb0abac43", "0xff4a18ed95296facabcbe4522064b0f2f94ec69f6494fa8d472be9d51010a984", "0xf8b2aadbee2eff431bc984eab5ada16dc90bcfe2a3c909de96944f57b88051d9", + "0xb1ed1130757575d5623478acf7e6a5883b7cf022ad220e9aed64adba33ee9d6a", "0xc76aefebe82af068827156737af4ef732942a8dd16bb16d3d11fc840085af2b8", "0x60a91ab59dc2676681808d267b1d6bcc75d895fddee2128234cd1e3cebc3085b", "0xad77d54f7f2d2e0e1c6b7edb0c606546b56f441c786ef8bda54bbf3657f495f8", @@ -925,6 +928,7 @@ "0x258906c8c68827c3ecbdb902c8aefed64dbd5369046aa755fb114520d2ed4e95", "0xf643a401c053d85e6abc62d5449a32a0b17f62ea797dfcd9242aa7281ae3c1b5", "0x8c25a0314d1b334ef8fabd4e1e189e80e0eb465d1e6dc38db12c0449e5faa034", + "0x055be65900114aeedc0ad8445d7101ecafc6bae7ee0b3740605c84cbd0117881", "0x5a797f7f02a28042d55e45b19d005734a96c684db93edf82018087d6b5c9df99", "0x3c2418fa41163176c4ec82482227fa1f969462b0c821582a500fda67d7bdbdd9", "0x6840c1ee05dfe43ab002f97a8e68362915c7ff500d65e5630456d4de082c749d", @@ -1038,6 +1042,7 @@ "0xb9fa2ceec47232461ae9a83126ce14e4cce114e0d1701f4daca234e8e31820d3", "0x7169220bc64f9511111805333132ee1491a85970ccb05d260c5db7e5df48d088", "0x9fb0e965ae8141384dc74097c9232b3a88a2a825315882a1a4d6526c42505671", + "0x1f64c2591523079b6563a1a658fc473928dbafc4e8b98b7125383295313c896f", "0xf4df0df7179e20e08825dc5179cc0c29dfb1113295d84561b2dc1810e49206d8", "0xb003d2dbbc06b7bb08d633a42c72a530913a6d2ca7651e26c84b87d90a9855e0", "0x1ca858e355e5b2d4f336b9ddcda21726e869833aed7cc9e04cdcb801f1824548", @@ -1073,12 +1078,15 @@ "0x32aff44c844f81be82d57976bc2e165d0b017cd44cf215d966657a02b1a71414", "0xe594d71c1273b87ca3b90ad121486398fbfdd9dec8a221fb9515362bb88eb7e8", "0x73b38a88a469e0e13f37299677519f4851c58f507a1d0f825e1293d6a31d69dd", + "0xf01f3c9da231f819d8dafd8b006529e05918bddfdb8d7205d8d4773c4f05e3fc", "0x70a1f552c93c15c25e362205fe7a913a63fc91f0bd3564568f8dc2244f3f6213", + "0x218430e1ce21cb20a229704fcb9794e5d05adeb8e4fe1d691ebd92d0da6b0652", "0x5a3d097093d1d0b1781f8cf6a0b363d90fb5ef7e1c3a57c7bc2b335760fa7a34", "0xb99572e04674f8f5a83bb36bea7271297c9e1282ea866ed328bff925c9c744b3", "0xbecdc112860812f640048f279963725634f071a41dd7b91f5a5e31db138db03c", "0xf04cd5e11c72f11b7a8ed7f335a360f44c3c3eb311f2c7842b41dd70e12b653e", "0x4ba94cb80612fcc21cadd7ef0f41e8c20dd3928c4de579c9fe85c091396dfbf1", + "0xcaf5dcbef56099d742a81252b42f3670c3fa6c4a82234d9821d97dd4488a6d4b", "0x5c5c615b8bd7c76f893bd2202432e4df8472700d298334e3e6b071dd6650589d", "0xd0b5145937b12daa548f24cc2f3da69a475ba7eaa0ba71d7a3bdb0804a04ec9a", "0x5a41067c9523f58b5613c9248179fe2350985681f763bc69d287a24b5e6e732c", @@ -1161,6 +1169,7 @@ "0xc495a0251017df198baa599323b3bc55063db895d2caded2def533424ccad052", "0xf5b9bb4a582218937ea20dea77b3ad2500e1a635f545668e3e3505ca37825e45", "0xa72162cf6eeee1750017b58e6a119fc254bc0b2f8f9f583bd2a6e6e27ecb213a", + "0x3f5381b5d19281ace64bf60964641b709b730b835bee59a6c6593e9910ed6f11", "0x390d21caad064a91a8b5663e0880798961cc76e15d36b0dcd98cfd533955eb2e", "0xf3827463ba5510ddd69d0247efd42ef0210d7f02285082e96835c2d65aa9f76a", "0xb12681ddffc33affe29ecab949e3a8e9c3eb106b451468628a8f85d97c3b5a37", @@ -1339,6 +1348,7 @@ "0x05f8a5c6f7d8ab0a28909f76559c5f79bd62347edf1418a1e4b3a5712a6ad767", "0xf5fba079c9bd59e5469e97118d0d9d22553d05d45075c101c9261770f47b6e01", "0xe4c9998e05c284715511a75abb2c9a588bfaf9b87ecd5fc2b95c8ee862013e50", + "0x1f19d86e56ac80df57c9f630e84ed54f0a0759ab5fa2745e5c8fa4e3d72b39d8", "0x4f8167660937ff28c57c00cd9b71b4745db13ec12d1829ee022d0b2de54e38ad", "0x4640e718240eeb054ac9b8b69f8bdc6b8cc3acee843467dfe9a6a9227c485f2e", "0x2b436f9ed58b7fb06372355b72dfd6beae42e3b6156fb3f2467175285250d5b9", @@ -1519,6 +1529,7 @@ "0x7fc0dc5e943c9d8685fa92d6486a5dfd1d925787d52ab4fc04b5c9f9be087f49", "0x27cc871254a67fede7790a7b23f352c95d06d55bc127e7964b323a4490c4027e", "0x7fbb031de6467426ed2ebb5732e66575dbf53d444007f16e4d005b18c39deced", + "0x822b975cd4a588a3ee87de27a6881d05a9cd343868b633ef7948bbd98ae8bc92", "0xb862951b879920f3ca3c7f1afa68052a43581efda6862e922037bf3863be7f42", "0xe4923c16cf6ac13c66bc7e3712952fc2013d498bacb1bede4cd73ec9e2a65afb", "0x03964e00f17ee2ab3e4be4ca76f34ec80af4fb895f0696306204c80d15b8a612", @@ -2028,6 +2039,7 @@ "0x0e340e7cd420505e0d63d99f0a30cc137e0982053b1f5c72dd8adb4995eb32dc", "0x45136b93d1185e34642f9f8c2f8dea67888e604bb69b17c4de17621943ed3a84", "0x1a77a45ec58012d3f296475215eec3695295bef2fe282f40d7631f2bb73d8aab", + "0x0607c0198f370657698ce1daed056cc9168b6c9dad8967f32caa10fc8637c3ef", "0xbdc9b27496dec73674a135024bdb5a72bb7226ed2b34230d3d87039f4922d68a", "0x5b5cfdccc597abcf955a208bf15c33757836c8a334d3743f62576e2b37d5de76", "0x37bf979ca3d524fa2bf9987c37f1b7a092e80ad1908445bcd8e4da8ad233f94c", @@ -2110,6 +2122,7 @@ "0xa1257cb79912fcdbe5c20149933d378387d33c1d8ae81d8109001de4f7a5a642", "0x74de32f4a0b4ac1058cc4569296a6f58684ce95ec46ba8e8c4d0af9a26aa5971", "0x8416fb14714e4bfe27d0d6b50265254ed4d50cad3e986a86c4b1ffef5e3b2f0d", + "0xe659ff11b246c1cc3a129346e3776a2133b5cc901e24d7ec0aa8d5ad7604000f", "0x3cf015a18e28281fc12c6291c5a4e19657df55aebff9472b74c51aee3bd830d8", "0x22d749fd8eec9736aa2ada43058c02317b24183bf0563c8e721093eef67ef6e0", "0xf2826b8771b05121fcd19479906d1a27b98785a50e12a64d8a15b0a6cd76deea", @@ -2183,6 +2196,7 @@ "0x5578eda79e35664024360552a33ccd7a4cd20fd12f14d333a8b04d930dad8c28", "0xdab136c039ee4c55530ab3f92c175bea745170581706aa1ed83003726393c781", "0xfd3a344d4e988ed4cbd5456240e821541b3948fe7df8255dc1134509c21dae6a", + "0xfb06371ec35c557ebcb8198028ca392fc4ca23b0353990a9974754296774e4c9", "0x262ad4190fc88093d0c512bc04250a0ef69ded00a7f7d90e3ad18a4754338431", "0x557c63a1d56bf5187e4ea78fb5fdd3a74ea4811e29f73538a908ae5a6f415f84", "0xd739bd98834789110faa6a7cb2338d85be8ea7ea7dd7c899435f08beeedc5bae", @@ -3789,7 +3803,12 @@ "86415790546436933604059359027893720425908643475708388565883807642658198456580": 0.0, "49760330068526938994620059031800727039215744224230796330766407634125712166271": 0.0, "50602019240941809622861470779703535720835263427930127933401833028250618535493": 75.300464, - "6204759428229444483121269411993202060365882790720181835870759405978643810801": 80.107287 + "6204759428229444483121269411993202060365882790720181835870759405978643810801": 8.177286999999994, + "56351444145336383887091062411570839924210579791102952993425274242808769340616": 0.0, + "54787391400901780163105033237011281169792496644622631933618538386253274597008": 0.0, + "61668453339153593613682445494479096882961042498795227888780484596097089734338": 0.0, + "113091218397444067989972632020225312341889014436526883908493943923995167586912": 52.629831, + "62547240096849542839985583448006296041649840326647499413100698012147425607437": 0.0 }, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": { "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848, @@ -4214,7 +4233,8 @@ "48895247436179762701203858914432711485570438278949853722892036721839900585907": 0.0, "64898168088859273009334211095166872963974868380884962285728074320375273216231": 0.0, "81341422098910486501333760521532672523093054884135238043416373455493144353866": 0.0, - "110631690582363681881245303215592653475042740715196677946697550411774304718819": 0.0 + "110631690582363681881245303215592653475042740715196677946697550411774304718819": 0.0, + "78788260288922080326905341117968551697712240104712932735403261835886217664335": 427.07 }, "0xd9fa6d54cf294343ee42bbb735b7cff20a4bf0b9": {} }, @@ -5583,11 +5603,29 @@ "event": "amazon-2026-capex-above-180b", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "cond": "0x0a1a5f0cd3445aee7ec41eb2756dada597876031c718f31a9bf6ddde8250be6f" + }, + "113091218397444067989972632020225312341889014436526883908493943923995167586912": { + "shares": 1.121074, + "cost": 0.999998, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?", + "outcome": "No", + "event": "bitcoin-price-on-july-11-2026", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "cond": "0x92934161d139762306dabfd449d5b710ba54c3a6cf1f04bef1663a59fea5023e" + }, + "78788260288922080326905341117968551697712240104712932735403261835886217664335": { + "shares": 1.04165, + "cost": 0.999984, + "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET", + "outcome": "Down", + "event": "btc-updown-15m-1783783800", + "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", + "cond": "0x570f16a3eae196cf7b05cc0cd97ef100ac9a462db9fd92621146b8ce9ae843b3" } }, "spend": { "date": "2026-07-11", - "usd": 9.200121229999999 + "usd": 11.200103229999998 }, "seeded": [ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -5606,15 +5644,16 @@ "106618579082857173205099187418291680068349149870923665139597643374871754972322": "0xbb5243e8e12a186025c0f27597a8c4808a206379f1f9762d4072718644dc9fa3", "81413637292297741701558038706628285500354162735615522867827508680184700465994": "0x4b1e0b818817492afa73944f7271cc744a6e9027f2c26888b8a6ee76e6aba311", "43551466881329966936571085042990699617845453317700345932385022134457322350137": "0xd58ac06933e3a4c74c5014a99e74ad7e9b73b4a0afcd74319de8bf109343ee8a", - "31844421127747452247920361772593140342967161564902355004027803194678743954899": "0x0a1a5f0cd3445aee7ec41eb2756dada597876031c718f31a9bf6ddde8250be6f" + "31844421127747452247920361772593140342967161564902355004027803194678743954899": "0x0a1a5f0cd3445aee7ec41eb2756dada597876031c718f31a9bf6ddde8250be6f", + "113091218397444067989972632020225312341889014436526883908493943923995167586912": "0x92934161d139762306dabfd449d5b710ba54c3a6cf1f04bef1663a59fea5023e" }, - "cash": 13.884699468950002, + "cash": 12.881461475215922, "lag": { - "n": 11, - "sum_s": 1001.5074236392975, - "sum_slip_pct": 0.26647534360907993 + "n": 12, + "sum_s": 1029.9465460777283, + "sum_slip_pct": 0.25211069582019346 }, - "fees_paid": 0.8997903010499999, + "fees_paid": 0.9030302947840799, "lag_recent": [ [ 1783727680.5, @@ -5665,6 +5704,11 @@ 1783779830.1, 22.1, 0.01588 + ], + [ + 1783784291.4, + 28.4, + -0.01436 ] ], "bets": { @@ -5991,6 +6035,24 @@ "exit_price": null, "pnl": null, "settled": null + }, + "113091218397444067989972632020225312341889014436526883908493943923995167586912": { + "token": "113091218397444067989972632020225312341889014436526883908493943923995167586912", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?", + "their_price": 0.905, + "my_price": 0.892, + "slippage_pct": -0.0144, + "shares": 1.12, + "cost": 1.0, + "fee": 0.0032, + "opened": 1783784263, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null } }, "no_miss_toks": [ @@ -6009,6 +6071,7 @@ "34320045222277936713720830397426891082987734367890243003396143984338989258132", "50791341385334046613460519572782001062280267000857299264059966530179274650265", "5755211297434956696279302572789330402227935659122535568245047976652499077681", + "59242854348515943417008071314724224311211838679625959551969245948366236018960", "59431170399170756403869949971919672748369536534274541894295709999455639039278", "65984611303909407052169607993537741220891602509766446043631462077119911368849", "67641966972047957873936737096988118191995511744453931882847190188392441958087", @@ -7475,8 +7538,8 @@ "name": "LSB1" } ], - "feed_sig": "a305e9397fc65713219c3f4cad9b0176", - "feed_pushed_at": 1783781273.1981692, + "feed_sig": "4d24e5cd1819750c854873bead514399", + "feed_pushed_at": 1783784265.812812, "adjustments": [ { "ts": 1783718232, @@ -7485,7 +7548,15 @@ } ], "pending_orders": [], - "exit_retries": [], + "exit_retries": [ + { + "token": "113091218397444067989972632020225312341889014436526883908493943923995167586912", + "shares": 0.17900000400767485, + "label": "No \u00b7 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,0", + "attempts": 1, + "ts": 1783784291 + } + ], "exit_attempts": { "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305": 25, "111238155193029214626119372717509509454868187612257655146390848111901958320265": 1 diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json index 87ec1dba..243286f0 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json @@ -5,20 +5,20 @@ "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 24.73, - "cash": 13.88, - "deployed": 6.0, + "cash": 11.88, + "deployed": 8.0, "reserve": 0.0, "realized": -4.6, "adjustments": 2.2, "ledger_drift": -0.01, - "open_count": 2, + "open_count": 4, "fees_paid": 0.9, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 11, - "n24": 10, - "avg_s": 73.3, - "avg_slip_pct": 0.0266, + "n": 13, + "n24": 12, + "avg_s": 63.9, + "avg_slip_pct": 0.0219, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -49,6 +49,42 @@ "1kto1m": 320.95 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "78788260288922080326905341117968551697712240104712932735403261835886217664335", + "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", + "name": "1kto1m", + "outcome": "Down", + "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET", + "their_price": 0.9499, + "my_price": 0.96, + "slippage_pct": 0.0106, + "shares": 1.04, + "cost": 1.0, + "fee": 0.0, + "opened": 1783784381, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null + }, + { + "token": "113091218397444067989972632020225312341889014436526883908493943923995167586912", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?", + "their_price": 0.905, + "my_price": 0.892, + "slippage_pct": -0.0144, + "shares": 1.12, + "cost": 1.0, + "fee": 0.0, + "opened": 1783784263, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null + }, { "token": "111238155193029214626119372717509509454868187612257655146390848111901958320265", "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -1334,5 +1370,5 @@ } ], "missed_pnl": 103.07, - "updated": 1783781339 + "updated": 1783784386 } \ No newline at end of file