diff --git a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl index 85ce86a3..ecf74e9f 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl @@ -13,3 +13,4 @@ {"ts": 1783762647.1, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "51058471821673607745532428112221296386180873156470169836568216937497505135529", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "outcome": "BetBoom Team", "title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 26.1, "their_price": 0.6567, "my_price": 0.66, "slippage_pct": 0.005, "shares": 1.56, "cost": 1.03, "fee": 0.0105, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.62, "ba": 0.66, "spread": 0.04, "bid5c": 6096.63, "ask5c": 5186.64}} {"ts": 1783762710.5, "side": "SELL", "token": "51058471821673607745532428112221296386180873156470169836568216937497505135529", "shares": 1.56, "price": 0.59, "fee": 0.0113, "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1783764625.4, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "outcome": "GamerLegion", "title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 35.4, "their_price": 0.45, "my_price": 0.41, "slippage_pct": -0.0889, "shares": 2.5, "cost": 1.02, "fee": 0.0181, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.32, "ba": 0.45, "spread": 0.13, "bid5c": 396.49, "ask5c": 2447.17}} +{"ts": 1783767106.7, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "73893970296257160435491465547806830475405138836098479326244164349063701653888", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "outcome": "Poor Rangers", "title": "Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 6.7, "their_price": 0.4702, "my_price": 0.5, "slippage_pct": 0.0633, "shares": 2.04, "cost": 1.02, "fee": 0.0153, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.48, "ba": 0.49, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 130.08, "ask5c": 673.0}} diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json index 101d32db..af7b6a37 100644 --- a/copybot_state.live.json +++ b/copybot_state.live.json @@ -83,6 +83,7 @@ "0xb97c4c495ba985dbd6e1ebb2618c095f783e10c7261a167fb532ce84a75b59cd", "0x8ecc66f903016b7a9ced553782a7ac3dbff3f652d2b0a14a7c6af3f084570780", "0xd59f4ebccb26f4239f401b7dfa78fe7f21e56454db8a9a8d3d42b37306c5bcd3", + "0xa5b8a681f4f01199753271f43c701ffab5c4306c36b6b23a4e5815d8be7f4648", "0xbb1f34d8543587207c8aee3d129aa61d857d95880ccd37f4c76e73a9876798ac", "0xef2a32f1de587292a91e0134b0a44eddf28264adec0c6d6de95ae14680c1ee3d", "0xa5ec8518eb4c6c6b2c5ab7c468e8577e7fcfa08515edcffabe6e5428e350d5e8", @@ -493,6 +494,7 @@ "0x029b6f41d1a20a4ffec519f488751d7c25556246d1aceba62e7d5b7eb03481ab", "0x96361c13bceb128aaca430810b28132cb341f74451e95b2a6e9beccce9a18313", "0xf363c49ab6a7a2851d968b9b93c5edb7af23761f41dca0ea07a495fecd67b673", + "0x3b7c7cf2f0b713999c46bb0a6f62b7163188ee8b2911202582f5b15e36eac593", "0x123a28da116051311757d9e7833bdc0f05bfcadb4416ea5e87feb8fde53cb357", "0x400c5007e46f10f1f4ef650aab62b96cd6622ab6420ed3e55d3f035a78539e87", "0x10b11890d2735f6994109aeba821c9dd68a0c229a279fe3eb776722719b500fa", @@ -582,6 +584,7 @@ "0x9968d5cac12af749510d195eeecee402a88e3928564a7e1507dbadea78646d86", "0x175f14dfb703f3c887b7d8f62e8e88c15235747f70f150b84e3bacd3b1dd4f5b", "0x6047e9d3b4f0eab2feff0dd8aba65686798290f2637c12db3a203fede4957cf4", + "0x82402a2123cfb79827ad5e15396cf442ece833d7918ec2c2a8df9ae1c3a57237", "0x415cd0442d1e35543a7453ba3702e3ffea7b7a846bc91178a532b091d7fe5216", "0x12eb2795ccf8da012b871781d034b5d4a49054017a9b33c6795f29bc9ad11725", "0x22db6e5cf4f614090d79572b8c983f0e7a74324ea2af6776274da4b284ef89a0", @@ -921,6 +924,7 @@ "0xfa4a7ea1fedc94ec84418385832908d87efdada8ccb8567fb8120d208430b245", "0x1c451c8444abe79d4f3309db62742826a3756780a1bc234f1208864b0ca89d5f", "0x0f7a33989c3d8b731f2573601a3386c6d6c84e8cce8c4f1df67463a9a571ed09", + "0x7f176dbc39c0a0bb30be52bef642c88c9fee142156839c1e072a39155e1965c2", "0x4b8c2c632b22735168bf9573936050172a0640463f21ba75505ea310dc6460b0", "0x3b7698a5194f8c7d9d36b40359ab3f3e78d8c71e116898f31139e8ff6b55afd6", "0x50c9c463e67239c0f97b92aa01685aad2226577833c178e931f0a4d1ef2a06ec", @@ -2018,6 +2022,7 @@ "0x1db705e7d07a1db1e97a2349808c9531256fdf023c9fa833594fa32d57747f43", "0x8bc613e2d89303133d677b08ac15fb0ffdbfb113cc6fd9f2e221b859ca7894da", "0x9dcfe829b142c923456ad9426a3867131553ec2387042cc5f377a9cfdbee3525", + "0x2d367b8980a6f8bb94786137e38b546671383b435886320829f5eefb181609c1", "0xefea14a8c187a4b18c55a4052db2b959e1905752c54fb65ba6270e517db57e2b", "0x92d4e700ad4f3bda634dc410a15f133352587dcddb000d794014ee30603d09c9", "0xbeadc053bea413e21a3c3a248598dc0b7f83b0c376ad225dbfe3ca76fa64cfd0", @@ -2065,6 +2070,7 @@ "0xe5aa55ad4ba207042bf345fe2c5e4ef1185918dd6da1e1048df0ddcd76ed7cc4", "0x6d0a05917831981d43b7d5c7d460f8b40fbbd6d8d0d36adc25a642e30f5fccac", "0x1aa866c112e35f5515ff877b6ee4a9621143abe12d13d03ef789b3fa8ed446a8", + "0x150663aaf14a26960e7df3f6265f3def435b7babca19efa21171cf5890bd9214", "0xc292015a94072f4b2f5d273fc20bf7521770dcddeacbbd3865bf83de11074883", "0x1a37ebeb68b37c8e231116dc1f54f8dfcd585f1bafd9c5a6df0757e7ec53c12a", "0x2637cb1d11631ddb135b8b91b9b9bef2f28fa0686dbe54393f8d125895b84041", @@ -2506,7 +2512,8 @@ "94261332494094465883021120894226351499139897211148377866980779595546383514545": 2390.681705, "103676338032335044429709174398685887348332725157638903811532034719301297769141": 1441, "45067024850792209345478857935402657293140220516974974516913686785034525226149": 1006.59, - "450532511416617317422023347985812754726537054168862599701458545366746660302": 0.0 + "450532511416617317422023347985812754726537054168862599701458545366746660302": 0.0, + "94086717682175488292372912031763512631835050964973472839161913179834160769254": 590.164178 }, "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": { "49283686456928993851464146670574883277266999919056843343822740024885909556550": 5266.1727, @@ -2830,7 +2837,7 @@ "108350797064712631531806179873768297583556506182247801751253131741319771729069": 113.9565, "68965308729146679687623775784577719926277867733393627091174339424728791612843": 113.6551, "96178098051455987859668265888301863012882311962507342689316919846741344800474": 113.535, - "21160394395874664365375959865071544624636593871972306004550450142576255386146": 93.9761, + "21160394395874664365375959865071544624636593871972306004550450142576255386146": 74.98610000000001, "244048590847349569142622450288686721247802348946192951002087804863968899": 112.8911, "114438668120550594619280306008505720737088672442325260133281136436019228087961": 112.2, "77607386536136873619919229554334103970855541119080964835652196221435503555150": 108.2142, @@ -3820,7 +3827,9 @@ "100310596270945062702362561514133867597710410244661432843863262063183415273493": 0.006550000000061118, "69332829857352543341630758571211075272974294373246290749231665438041402756556": 0.00783000000001266, "51058471821673607745532428112221296386180873156470169836568216937497505135529": 0.001965999999924861, - "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305": 0.0 + "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305": 0.0, + "72360978495452180080538327232926295248474801559995120453489389067546448362850": 1481.48148, + "73893970296257160435491465547806830475405138836098479326244164349063701653888": 637.51 }, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": { "113186575675900877797300695454355745875377602467971187276073118459901699932154": 767.49, @@ -3992,7 +4001,9 @@ "104991676509458935872902670573863089983650175686835859047092464495899660697324": 0.0, "66572575886087002093675612625761679742426575725132489892138793406826088369258": 0.0, "76668431089191294884722284769810081002688692300759117208537364410807093425248": 0.0, - "50567998380162630124717223302580932453337297346775875738207135526542463897935": 0.0 + "50567998380162630124717223302580932453337297346775875738207135526542463897935": 0.0, + "42989303455186706713513382122968647779751477666173689080805913121783219030597": 0.0, + "92950933553696620776259984960439527261870065697561173144850335659119904396252": 0.0 }, "0xd9fa6d54cf294343ee42bbb735b7cff20a4bf0b9": {} }, @@ -5361,11 +5372,20 @@ "event": "dota2-bb4-gl-2026-07-11", "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "cond": "0x32c45da56bf405f951f62fbf1c6d84d16e18a258870438aabb26ed314210d16d" + }, + "73893970296257160435491465547806830475405138836098479326244164349063701653888": { + "shares": 2.040815, + "cost": 1.0204075, + "title": "Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner", + "outcome": "Poor Rangers", + "event": "dota2-poorra-re-2026-07-11", + "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", + "cond": "0x0cc3c7d669843de4f7ded48b2b98b44d912054fa42744c65833aca349b23a9e9" } }, "spend": { "date": "2026-07-11", - "usd": 3.0860998399999997 + "usd": 4.106507339999999 }, "seeded": [ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -5381,15 +5401,16 @@ "76668431089191294884722284769810081002688692300759117208537364410807093425248": "0x11430681158d08a5c6146596ed6ad9a89f2226505329ab859a1463aab90a0057", "97030903347936099809712211774880132820716149097020948618258743557775057824890": "0xc944b0677a883c8dc0bbeb4eab57c573d19335012968bb0f38dad40bc2a058d8", "51058471821673607745532428112221296386180873156470169836568216937497505135529": "0x32c45da56bf405f951f62fbf1c6d84d16e18a258870438aabb26ed314210d16d", - "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305": "0x32c45da56bf405f951f62fbf1c6d84d16e18a258870438aabb26ed314210d16d" + "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305": "0x32c45da56bf405f951f62fbf1c6d84d16e18a258870438aabb26ed314210d16d", + "73893970296257160435491465547806830475405138836098479326244164349063701653888": "0x0cc3c7d669843de4f7ded48b2b98b44d912054fa42744c65833aca349b23a9e9" }, - "cash": 16.546915756988003, + "cash": 15.511202144488003, "lag": { - "n": 5, - "sum_s": 528.9594333171844, - "sum_slip_pct": -0.09624455907440763 + "n": 6, + "sum_s": 535.6331951618195, + "sum_slip_pct": -0.03296729482156585 }, - "fees_paid": 0.7956954030119998, + "fees_paid": 0.8110015155119998, "lag_recent": [ [ 1783727680.5, @@ -5410,6 +5431,11 @@ 1783764625.4, 35.4, -0.08889 + ], + [ + 1783767106.7, + 6.7, + 0.06328 ] ], "bets": { @@ -5622,6 +5648,24 @@ "exit_price": null, "pnl": null, "settled": null + }, + "73893970296257160435491465547806830475405138836098479326244164349063701653888": { + "token": "73893970296257160435491465547806830475405138836098479326244164349063701653888", + "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", + "name": "gkmgkldfmg", + "outcome": "Poor Rangers", + "title": "Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner", + "their_price": 0.4702, + "my_price": 0.5, + "slippage_pct": 0.0633, + "shares": 2.04, + "cost": 1.02, + "fee": 0.0153, + "opened": 1783767100, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null } }, "no_miss_toks": [ @@ -6771,10 +6815,39 @@ "settled": 1783765559, "name": "AIcAIc", "exit_price": 0.96 + }, + { + "ts": 1783767045, + "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", + "token": "72360978495452180080538327232926295248474801559995120453489389067546448362850", + "cond": "0x4e63ee19d9d959a06acfd379800ffc7bd0c70bb69178c4c7e6626962309f6af1", + "title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner", + "outcome": "GamerLegion", + "price": 0.26, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (45s)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "gkmgkldfmg" + }, + { + "ts": 1783767111, + "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", + "token": "94086717682175488292372912031763512631835050964973472839161913179834160769254", + "cond": "0x14272984bc3c6a49e9c6141e93b2b6534573765ec89c438986f26151ccfa3d3c", + "title": "Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-11?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.5987, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null } ], - "feed_sig": "c9da854a98e941428b5e7d9df052c15e", - "feed_pushed_at": 1783765494.6599438, + "feed_sig": "34c093411131743ffa6a8e64713db258", + "feed_pushed_at": 1783766985.4294086, "adjustments": [ { "ts": 1783718232, @@ -6782,9 +6855,28 @@ "note": "2026-07-10 rebase to $22.28 equity baseline (user: retire caps, 4% paper-parity sizing; prior incident P&L stays in history)" } ], - "pending_orders": [], + "pending_orders": [ + { + "order_id": "0x172d66ef47a6c7c4f1f0a017ea4998e843d05cb3d245ca7baec739a1e711f6e6", + "bal0": 2.5, + "token": "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305", + "side": "SELL", + "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", + "title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner", + "outcome": "GamerLegion", + "event": "dota2-bb4-gl-2026-07-11", + "cond": "0x32c45da56bf405f951f62fbf1c6d84d16e18a258870438aabb26ed314210d16d", + "their_price": 0.001, + "their_ts": null, + "price": 0.001, + "is_add": false, + "stake": 0.0025, + "ts": 1783767110.9466763, + "ttl_s": 600 + } + ], "exit_retries": [], "exit_attempts": { - "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305": 1 + "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305": 6 } } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json index 671f28dc..143c5802 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json @@ -5,20 +5,20 @@ "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 24.73, - "cash": 16.55, - "deployed": 6.02, + "cash": 15.51, + "deployed": 7.05, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": -1.91, + "realized": -1.93, "adjustments": 2.2, "ledger_drift": -0.01, - "open_count": 2, - "fees_paid": 0.8, + "open_count": 3, + "fees_paid": 0.81, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 5, - "n24": 4, - "avg_s": 65.2, - "avg_slip_pct": -0.0241, + "n": 6, + "n24": 5, + "avg_s": 53.5, + "avg_slip_pct": -0.0066, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -49,6 +49,24 @@ "1kto1m": 320.95 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "73893970296257160435491465547806830475405138836098479326244164349063701653888", + "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", + "name": "gkmgkldfmg", + "outcome": "Poor Rangers", + "title": "Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner", + "their_price": 0.4702, + "my_price": 0.5, + "slippage_pct": 0.0633, + "shares": 2.04, + "cost": 1.02, + "fee": 0.02, + "opened": 1783767100, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null + }, { "token": "2744571775903589106980317653847400232271579861889013320024551414528092561305", "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", @@ -261,6 +279,36 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1783767111, + "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", + "token": "94086717682175488292372912031763512631835050964973472839161913179834160769254", + "cond": "0x14272984bc3c6a49e9c6141e93b2b6534573765ec89c438986f26151ccfa3d3c", + "title": "Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-11?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.5987, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "LSB1" + }, + { + "ts": 1783767045, + "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", + "token": "72360978495452180080538327232926295248474801559995120453489389067546448362850", + "cond": "0x4e63ee19d9d959a06acfd379800ffc7bd0c70bb69178c4c7e6626962309f6af1", + "title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner", + "outcome": "GamerLegion", + "price": 0.26, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (45s)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "gkmgkldfmg" + }, { "ts": 1783763871, "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", @@ -1183,40 +1231,8 @@ "settled": 1783620308, "name": "Kruto2027", "exit_price": 0.4899 - }, - { - "ts": 1783613625, - "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", - "token": "50563396050108174063968999790600921955430682357744232042472551252897944666519", - "cond": "0xaddacc919dbdf646885587fff2dd2967bc88b0c87f00ae3f014f8038597696f2", - "title": "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner", - "outcome": "Team Spirit", - "price": 0.62, - "stake": 5.0, - "reason": "price moved 0.40\u21920.62", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": -0.08, - "settled": 1783620308, - "name": "gkmgkldfmg", - "exit_price": 0.6241 - }, - { - "ts": 1783589790, - "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", - "token": "5935284746747952722647052327314425731758209998268351888638837864133688247636", - "cond": "0xfd86b89971a603925c2ae6662ecbd5b6ed700de4440cb935aa0c64282fc2ab16", - "title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 9?", - "outcome": "Down", - "price": 0.83, - "stake": 5.0, - "reason": "followed but not placed \u2014 silent exit at copy time (thin/no-ask book most likely; both silent paths instrumented 2026-07-09)", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": -0.15, - "settled": 1783620307, - "name": "1kto1m", - "exit_price": 0.8142 } ], "missed_pnl": 102.8, - "updated": 1783765562 + "updated": 1783767113 } \ No newline at end of file