diff --git a/live/conviction_wallets.json b/live/conviction_wallets.json index 5153ad1f..4028bc67 100644 --- a/live/conviction_wallets.json +++ b/live/conviction_wallets.json @@ -23,9 +23,9 @@ "med_stake": 97, "avg_entry": 0.32, "train_n": 13, - "fwd_win": 55.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.333, - "fwd_n": 9 + "fwd_win": 60.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.399, + "fwd_n": 10 }, { "wallet": "0xf5fe759cece500f58a431ef8dacea321f6e3e23d", @@ -33,27 +33,27 @@ "train_win": 100.0, "train_conv_roi": 1.249, "train_z": 9.66, - "z_all": 20.92, + "z_all": 20.89, "med_stake": 9800, "avg_entry": 0.46, "train_n": 79, "fwd_win": 100.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 1.146, - "fwd_n": 19 + "fwd_conv_roi": 1.148, + "fwd_n": 18 }, { "wallet": "0x72e1597864456eda62878413cf3e60c332e4a45d", "name": "0x72e15978", "train_win": 99.1, "train_conv_roi": 0.97, - "train_z": 17.92, + "train_z": 17.89, "z_all": 29.09, "med_stake": 424, "avg_entry": 0.52, - "train_n": 336, - "fwd_win": 99.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": 1.083, - "fwd_n": 179 + "train_n": 335, + "fwd_win": 98.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 1.07, + "fwd_n": 188 }, { "wallet": "0xc78cdeb598f0bb8bae62a80e8134e842b3c44455", @@ -97,26 +97,12 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x04be12cdb4f3f0e43bb78c6145f442ed53411aec", - "name": "0x04be12cd", - "train_win": 70.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.644, - "train_z": 5.78, - "z_all": 5.39, - "med_stake": 502, - "avg_entry": 0.42, - "train_n": 97, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", "name": "0xe8ca3f75", - "train_win": 71.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.642, - "train_z": 8.46, + "train_win": 71.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.647, + "train_z": 8.6, "z_all": 19.33, "med_stake": 308, "avg_entry": 0.47, @@ -125,20 +111,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.457, "fwd_n": 61 }, - { - "wallet": "0x99292fe5c401a3a2b8df0e65e6e7df0b5ab6919e", - "name": "0x99292fe5", - "train_win": 73.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.628, - "train_z": 4.19, - "z_all": 2.78, - "med_stake": 424, - "avg_entry": 0.45, - "train_n": 56, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xfc81760d44a21acc9fd4b749a5bf9a9b2eeae072", "name": "0xfc81760d", @@ -149,23 +121,9 @@ "med_stake": 80, "avg_entry": 0.63, "train_n": 183, - "fwd_win": 91.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.759, - "fwd_n": 60 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x204b6d506d0b63acd5f4a2e2f2a2e458e8f44605", - "name": "0x204b6d50", - "train_win": 67.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.61, - "train_z": 2.95, - "z_all": 4.78, - "med_stake": 1045, - "avg_entry": 0.42, - "train_n": 31, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "fwd_win": 91.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.763, + "fwd_n": 61 }, { "wallet": "0x1b1879b8c069a92b3cb32659a879cf02721670da", @@ -238,15 +196,15 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0x2ba9075a4393227d4f1bee910725a6706de0b078", - "name": "0x2ba9075a", - "train_win": 69.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.509, - "train_z": 3.49, - "z_all": 2.37, - "med_stake": 412, - "avg_entry": 0.46, - "train_n": 53, + "wallet": "0x04be12cdb4f3f0e43bb78c6145f442ed53411aec", + "name": "0x04be12cd", + "train_win": 68.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.52, + "train_z": 3.45, + "z_all": 2.88, + "med_stake": 480, + "avg_entry": 0.44, + "train_n": 45, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -266,46 +224,32 @@ "fwd_n": 169 }, { - "wallet": "0x065aa0dc7aaa2577928b6865db0edf564ebda6b1", - "name": "0x065aa0dc", - "train_win": 92.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.468, - "train_z": 2.23, - "z_all": 2.31, - "med_stake": 56, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 13, + "wallet": "0x6d2292935570e3fad05b392d49e60699c1024b50", + "name": "0x6d229293", + "train_win": 77.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.46, + "train_z": 2.28, + "z_all": 5.38, + "med_stake": 2739, + "avg_entry": 0.59, + "train_n": 31, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 1 }, - { - "wallet": "0x6d2292935570e3fad05b392d49e60699c1024b50", - "name": "0x6d229293", - "train_win": 80.5, - "train_conv_roi": 0.458, - "train_z": 2.78, - "z_all": 4.68, - "med_stake": 3060, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 41, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 2 - }, { "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "train_win": 76.5, "train_conv_roi": 0.455, "train_z": 3.54, - "z_all": 4.67, + "z_all": 4.55, "med_stake": 68, "avg_entry": 0.6, "train_n": 81, - "fwd_win": 76.8, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.118, - "fwd_n": 164 + "fwd_win": 76.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.113, + "fwd_n": 166 }, { "wallet": "0x8e9eedf20dfa70956d49f608a205e402d9df38e4", @@ -313,7 +257,7 @@ "train_win": 70.8, "train_conv_roi": 0.439, "train_z": 4.94, - "z_all": 13.24, + "z_all": 13.34, "med_stake": 3505, "avg_entry": 0.62, "train_n": 346, @@ -321,20 +265,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.045, "fwd_n": 59 }, - { - "wallet": "0x88ad3166c6cce6a1bf732050749089273252a1f3", - "name": "0x88ad3166", - "train_win": 74.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.432, - "train_z": 4.24, - "z_all": 4.87, - "med_stake": 55, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 183, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xdf1ea9bb646c07f0c3d5cf08d34d76f891095d9b", "name": "0xdf1ea9bb", @@ -359,9 +289,9 @@ "med_stake": 171, "avg_entry": 0.52, "train_n": 34, - "fwd_win": 63.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.121, - "fwd_n": 189 + "fwd_win": 63.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.126, + "fwd_n": 191 }, { "wallet": "0xbf1040ad7009ed6532f885c2043630d1cedf15ce", @@ -377,27 +307,13 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.143, "fwd_n": 10 }, - { - "wallet": "0xb6eb1910b70fd1c2a61e5078a6472953ad038f6b", - "name": "0xb6eb1910", - "train_win": 65.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.391, - "train_z": 1.85, - "z_all": 3.5, - "med_stake": 64, - "avg_entry": 0.48, - "train_n": 26, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xe542afd3881c4c330ba0ebbb603bb470b2ba0a37", "name": "0xe542afd3", - "train_win": 68.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.378, - "train_z": 7.98, - "z_all": 14.51, + "train_win": 68.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.373, + "train_z": 7.89, + "z_all": 14.48, "med_stake": 838, "avg_entry": 0.53, "train_n": 484, @@ -406,18 +322,18 @@ "fwd_n": 109 }, { - "wallet": "0x82d2e4dbb0a849ff8e2f5380719769145648beea", - "name": "0x82d2e4db", - "train_win": 70.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.356, - "train_z": 3.63, - "z_all": 6.99, - "med_stake": 2450, - "avg_entry": 0.56, - "train_n": 134, - "fwd_win": 64.2, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.198, - "fwd_n": 162 + "wallet": "0x88ad3166c6cce6a1bf732050749089273252a1f3", + "name": "0x88ad3166", + "train_win": 85.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.357, + "train_z": 3.53, + "z_all": 2.75, + "med_stake": 58, + "avg_entry": 0.67, + "train_n": 71, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", @@ -429,9 +345,23 @@ "med_stake": 138, "avg_entry": 0.56, "train_n": 72, - "fwd_win": 71.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.241, - "fwd_n": 203 + "fwd_win": 71.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.231, + "fwd_n": 207 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x82d2e4dbb0a849ff8e2f5380719769145648beea", + "name": "0x82d2e4db", + "train_win": 70.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.346, + "train_z": 3.45, + "z_all": 6.91, + "med_stake": 2450, + "avg_entry": 0.56, + "train_n": 134, + "fwd_win": 62.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.169, + "fwd_n": 184 }, { "wallet": "0xc0b646c3d97e2e86a1bceaa880ad2f628eb33a92", @@ -475,6 +405,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.119, "fwd_n": 73 }, + { + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "name": "0x215adbb6", + "train_win": 71.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.306, + "train_z": 5.84, + "z_all": 4.99, + "med_stake": 395, + "avg_entry": 0.57, + "train_n": 293, + "fwd_win": 56.2, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.336, + "fwd_n": 272 + }, { "wallet": "0x0bd753cbeb82b4dc735fdd84955f99fbaf258553", "name": "0x0bd753cb", @@ -490,29 +434,15 @@ "fwd_n": 31 }, { - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "name": "0x215adbb6", - "train_win": 71.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.298, - "train_z": 5.78, - "z_all": 4.84, - "med_stake": 392, - "avg_entry": 0.57, - "train_n": 299, - "fwd_win": 56.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.34, - "fwd_n": 274 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xfa0be712f974eb9933427c2202d1ae2561571001", - "name": "0xfa0be712", - "train_win": 75.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.288, - "train_z": 2.17, - "z_all": 4.86, - "med_stake": 301, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 45, + "wallet": "0x755027f7e982b491a42548263d5a41763e23b512", + "name": "0x755027f7", + "train_win": 66.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.292, + "train_z": 1.83, + "z_all": 2.36, + "med_stake": 96, + "avg_entry": 0.51, + "train_n": 27, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -520,13 +450,13 @@ { "wallet": "0x8c44dcfe1178aa04dfa44e000f5b89a054027baf", "name": "0x8c44dcfe", - "train_win": 79.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.286, - "train_z": 2.75, - "z_all": 6.68, - "med_stake": 128, - "avg_entry": 0.64, - "train_n": 64, + "train_win": 78.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.289, + "train_z": 2.1, + "z_all": 4.71, + "med_stake": 127, + "avg_entry": 0.62, + "train_n": 37, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -548,27 +478,27 @@ { "wallet": "0xf6099a9eacfef24a4161bd857fbfbcd36cdfe68b", "name": "0xf6099a9e", - "train_win": 82.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.275, - "train_z": 3.88, - "z_all": 3.49, + "train_win": 81.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.279, + "train_z": 3.86, + "z_all": 3.55, "med_stake": 60, "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 90, - "fwd_win": 75.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.122, - "fwd_n": 259 + "train_n": 88, + "fwd_win": 75.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.116, + "fwd_n": 257 }, { - "wallet": "0xd6a21015449cb457cc62c4398eadd9e5b3911228", - "name": "0xd6a21015", - "train_win": 88.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.273, - "train_z": 2.98, - "z_all": 2.12, - "med_stake": 132, - "avg_entry": 0.71, - "train_n": 45, + "wallet": "0xf82addf4684c494dff04d634bed736d5039f237f", + "name": "0xf82addf4", + "train_win": 80.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.258, + "train_z": 1.91, + "z_all": 2.13, + "med_stake": 96, + "avg_entry": 0.63, + "train_n": 30, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -577,15 +507,15 @@ "wallet": "0x098eddabb2d388f31e79aaf525e49588f22a6fa2", "name": "0x098eddab", "train_win": 82.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.259, - "train_z": 4.03, - "z_all": 4.06, + "train_conv_roi": 0.249, + "train_z": 3.94, + "z_all": 4.01, "med_stake": 221, - "avg_entry": 0.68, + "avg_entry": 0.69, "train_n": 113, - "fwd_win": 73.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.124, - "fwd_n": 52 + "fwd_win": 71.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.103, + "fwd_n": 53 }, { "wallet": "0xed37e7316f6b1b99da8893e0c09cfe0bf1b62f93", @@ -601,58 +531,16 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 1.024, "fwd_n": 17 }, - { - "wallet": "0xfdf2da3ea2c095d8f91aa24256bd862006e1225e", - "name": "0xfdf2da3e", - "train_win": 68.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.241, - "train_z": 2.91, - "z_all": 2.1, - "med_stake": 194, - "avg_entry": 0.54, - "train_n": 76, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x93164f2f061f931cd4d549834d657bb342ffc00c", "name": "0x93164f2f", - "train_win": 69.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.234, - "train_z": 3.58, - "z_all": 2.61, + "train_win": 67.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.232, + "train_z": 3.67, + "z_all": 2.2, "med_stake": 100, - "avg_entry": 0.56, - "train_n": 165, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xf82addf4684c494dff04d634bed736d5039f237f", - "name": "0xf82addf4", - "train_win": 70.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.225, - "train_z": 3.25, - "z_all": 5.15, - "med_stake": 78, - "avg_entry": 0.56, - "train_n": 117, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x1f2ea878eece1493f887f6ad99fd41cbe68a1730", - "name": "0x1f2ea878", - "train_win": 85.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.225, - "train_z": 6.72, - "z_all": 2.5, - "med_stake": 112, - "avg_entry": 0.69, - "train_n": 293, + "avg_entry": 0.55, + "train_n": 202, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -667,9 +555,9 @@ "med_stake": 355, "avg_entry": 0.71, "train_n": 166, - "fwd_win": 65.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.48, - "fwd_n": 125 + "fwd_win": 66.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.448, + "fwd_n": 139 }, { "wallet": "0x753e554feb327f9d4f7bff8a6ebdced98fbd2046", @@ -685,6 +573,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x60b8f673ae6baeba664b21c0d01e5c484493d47d", + "name": "0x60b8f673", + "train_win": 80.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.212, + "train_z": 1.86, + "z_all": 2.11, + "med_stake": 215, + "avg_entry": 0.69, + "train_n": 46, + "fwd_win": 71.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.134, + "fwd_n": 14 + }, { "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "0xd7d36345", @@ -695,23 +597,23 @@ "med_stake": 293, "avg_entry": 0.59, "train_n": 64, - "fwd_win": 61.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.14, - "fwd_n": 191 + "fwd_win": 59.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.094, + "fwd_n": 214 }, { - "wallet": "0x63fd80f1f506134d4787a7519877d0515c205c9c", - "name": "0x63fd80f1", - "train_win": 68.2, + "wallet": "0x08bfd9feb2e1f1dc0a32e5edec57ef184b818b4d", + "name": "0x08bfd9fe", + "train_win": 67.7, "train_conv_roi": 0.21, - "train_z": 1.8, - "z_all": 3.61, - "med_stake": 100, - "avg_entry": 0.56, - "train_n": 44, - "fwd_win": 55.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.18, - "fwd_n": 18 + "train_z": 3.37, + "z_all": 2.71, + "med_stake": 800, + "avg_entry": 0.55, + "train_n": 161, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0x1cff72c8dddc30a64486fda6eab71ab5f9243984", @@ -744,30 +646,16 @@ { "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "0x41558102", - "train_win": 85.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.197, - "train_z": 4.93, - "z_all": 12.32, - "med_stake": 342, + "train_win": 85.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.198, + "train_z": 4.88, + "z_all": 12.02, + "med_stake": 345, "avg_entry": 0.75, - "train_n": 302, - "fwd_win": 90.2, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.173, - "fwd_n": 245 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xa2e5927b38c42d1fdd6c05d70492c3f4208fc8d1", - "name": "0xa2e5927b", - "train_win": 70.5, - "train_conv_roi": 0.193, - "train_z": 1.78, - "z_all": 2.29, - "med_stake": 85, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 44, - "fwd_win": 51.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.078, - "fwd_n": 29 + "train_n": 298, + "fwd_win": 89.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.163, + "fwd_n": 253 }, { "wallet": "0x3eff118d4bc1742903d9516edf2e3c991600ae12", @@ -793,9 +681,9 @@ "med_stake": 488, "avg_entry": 0.66, "train_n": 139, - "fwd_win": 74.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.243, - "fwd_n": 156 + "fwd_win": 74.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.245, + "fwd_n": 159 }, { "wallet": "0x98a5dfa64a24be313adebf9a2c052411f04fd074", @@ -817,7 +705,7 @@ "train_win": 77.3, "train_conv_roi": 0.173, "train_z": 3.83, - "z_all": 4.05, + "z_all": 4.0, "med_stake": 929, "avg_entry": 0.67, "train_n": 247, @@ -854,18 +742,18 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0x13464aabec792c36b062316f474713e681330448", - "name": "0x13464aab", - "train_win": 70.2, + "wallet": "0x7ccec29637829abd9e5d6f2cb68d4225c8fa8713", + "name": "0x7ccec296", + "train_win": 69.1, "train_conv_roi": 0.155, - "train_z": 3.88, - "z_all": 8.31, - "med_stake": 167, - "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 346, - "fwd_win": 66.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.194, - "fwd_n": 104 + "train_z": 2.62, + "z_all": 2.69, + "med_stake": 775, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 110, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0x46b2f8a865a3572a435813e747e22cce0e835977", @@ -881,6 +769,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x13464aabec792c36b062316f474713e681330448", + "name": "0x13464aab", + "train_win": 69.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.151, + "train_z": 3.82, + "z_all": 8.24, + "med_stake": 165, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 345, + "fwd_win": 66.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.194, + "fwd_n": 104 + }, { "wallet": "0x1aeebd7b0eb92037a630004f8eabc0759c36c139", "name": "0x1aeebd7b", @@ -896,33 +798,61 @@ "fwd_n": 23 }, { - "wallet": "0x13659c6a1aacd0e3bcb022e06261fff367f6c82a", - "name": "0x13659c6a", - "train_win": 70.4, + "wallet": "0xabc203facb9cc81ba9977c4a19b20f0634007048", + "name": "0xabc203fa", + "train_win": 65.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.138, + "train_z": 3.06, + "z_all": 4.11, + "med_stake": 188, + "avg_entry": 0.56, + "train_n": 231, + "fwd_win": 64.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.011, + "fwd_n": 169 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x98a79b835565d6fbc877121d04020e961325b766", + "name": "0x98a79b83", + "train_win": 80.2, "train_conv_roi": 0.137, - "train_z": 2.25, - "z_all": 2.18, - "med_stake": 1689, - "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 162, - "fwd_win": 62.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.005, - "fwd_n": 161 + "train_z": 1.93, + "z_all": 2.88, + "med_stake": 336, + "avg_entry": 0.72, + "train_n": 86, + "fwd_win": 73.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.113, + "fwd_n": 130 }, { "wallet": "0xed61f86bb5298d2f27c21c433ce58d80b88a9aa3", "name": "0xed61f86b", - "train_win": 73.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.137, - "train_z": 3.04, - "z_all": 10.28, - "med_stake": 1305, + "train_win": 73.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.136, + "train_z": 3.01, + "z_all": 10.3, + "med_stake": 1315, "avg_entry": 0.66, - "train_n": 305, + "train_n": 304, "fwd_win": 85.7, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.156, "fwd_n": 21 }, + { + "wallet": "0xc2d9576f67db505cf2e74a9c82b8be2b09f81ef4", + "name": "0xc2d9576f", + "train_win": 65.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.134, + "train_z": 5.88, + "z_all": 2.13, + "med_stake": 190, + "avg_entry": 0.56, + "train_n": 673, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 2 + }, { "wallet": "0x3ab5ad27c676c4be1218397912eab5396e6de56f", "name": "0x3ab5ad27", @@ -951,34 +881,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x83d9c8fe37f1b5141f3219219403d87f4513651b", - "name": "0x83d9c8fe", - "train_win": 71.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.132, - "train_z": 2.19, - "z_all": 2.14, - "med_stake": 2245, - "avg_entry": 0.66, - "train_n": 174, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 1 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x23f544a1f92150f25ebafae0e40f5db448b37a6e", - "name": "0x23f544a1", - "train_win": 71.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.128, - "train_z": 2.43, - "z_all": 2.24, - "med_stake": 471, - "avg_entry": 0.64, - "train_n": 198, - "fwd_win": 78.9, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.061, - "fwd_n": 95 - }, { "wallet": "0xc52fead8edac49825f5c52aff6e63cd331980981", "name": "0xc52fead8", @@ -999,7 +901,7 @@ "train_win": 68.6, "train_conv_roi": 0.124, "train_z": 2.45, - "z_all": 3.37, + "z_all": 3.39, "med_stake": 68, "avg_entry": 0.63, "train_n": 344, @@ -1021,6 +923,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.123, "fwd_n": 53 }, + { + "wallet": "0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1", + "name": "0xa9aca75f", + "train_win": 66.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.119, + "train_z": 2.87, + "z_all": 2.67, + "med_stake": 1430, + "avg_entry": 0.59, + "train_n": 254, + "fwd_win": 63.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.271, + "fwd_n": 166 + }, { "wallet": "0x9c5ee2dbc061988546414f0ef376c430c56287da", "name": "0x9c5ee2db", @@ -1049,27 +965,13 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.023, "fwd_n": 204 }, - { - "wallet": "0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1", - "name": "0xa9aca75f", - "train_win": 65.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.114, - "train_z": 2.77, - "z_all": 2.67, - "med_stake": 1410, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 255, - "fwd_win": 63.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.271, - "fwd_n": 166 - }, { "wallet": "0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1", "name": "0x8f692690", "train_win": 76.9, "train_conv_roi": 0.114, "train_z": 2.43, - "z_all": 2.9, + "z_all": 2.88, "med_stake": 6664, "avg_entry": 0.7, "train_n": 225, @@ -1087,23 +989,23 @@ "med_stake": 1690, "avg_entry": 0.69, "train_n": 313, - "fwd_win": 70.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.104, - "fwd_n": 136 + "fwd_win": 70.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.106, + "fwd_n": 139 }, { - "wallet": "0xc308447bc9ef6e72018a3f3914005bd24c207b09", - "name": "0xc308447b", - "train_win": 75.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.112, - "train_z": 2.52, - "z_all": 5.24, - "med_stake": 150, - "avg_entry": 0.68, - "train_n": 189, - "fwd_win": 55.8, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.186, - "fwd_n": 43 + "wallet": "0x0b9353aea88d01ed1912013b435dd39947d0a6cc", + "name": "0x0b9353ae", + "train_win": 80.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.111, + "train_z": 3.9, + "z_all": 2.03, + "med_stake": 180, + "avg_entry": 0.71, + "train_n": 327, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0x8fe9f78102c6f550b6bb88ba695e45917df2c6dc", @@ -1122,16 +1024,16 @@ { "wallet": "0xab417c0bacc9fe17368d5d662c957f54a1fcc453", "name": "0xab417c0b", - "train_win": 70.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.107, - "train_z": 3.21, - "z_all": 2.24, + "train_win": 69.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.106, + "train_z": 3.18, + "z_all": 2.26, "med_stake": 223, "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 380, + "train_n": 378, "fwd_win": 64.0, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.12, - "fwd_n": 222 + "fwd_n": 225 }, { "wallet": "0x46505242a39685d82de798a83da3f4a6fda0f3f0", @@ -1157,9 +1059,9 @@ "med_stake": 900, "avg_entry": 0.7, "train_n": 318, - "fwd_win": 57.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.049, - "fwd_n": 161 + "fwd_win": 56.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.06, + "fwd_n": 163 }, { "wallet": "0x3c1e0ca47fda726d4711e193f63c44e20ce29514", @@ -1175,20 +1077,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.028, "fwd_n": 296 }, - { - "wallet": "0xfb129bebeda3b049b984ef1965cf69d9806cd1b3", - "name": "0xfb129beb", - "train_win": 65.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.097, - "train_z": 2.4, - "z_all": 2.27, - "med_stake": 100, - "avg_entry": 0.57, - "train_n": 129, - "fwd_win": 56.2, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.137, - "fwd_n": 146 - }, { "wallet": "0x536be02af900fe046fa708c8059c04f737a2cee3", "name": "0x536be02a", @@ -1203,47 +1091,19 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x7ccec29637829abd9e5d6f2cb68d4225c8fa8713", - "name": "0x7ccec296", - "train_win": 70.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.083, - "train_z": 2.09, - "z_all": 2.62, - "med_stake": 775, - "avg_entry": 0.6, - "train_n": 91, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xe0a2f29b1fadb2259111bbeca392d3805ec4a349", "name": "0xe0a2f29b", "train_win": 66.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.082, + "train_conv_roi": 0.075, "train_z": 1.93, "z_all": 3.41, "med_stake": 622, "avg_entry": 0.6, "train_n": 180, - "fwd_win": 60.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.093, - "fwd_n": 56 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xa85ce6075994cf3e069feeb2ccd9667608533463", - "name": "0xa85ce607", - "train_win": 74.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.077, - "train_z": 3.33, - "z_all": 2.86, - "med_stake": 163, - "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 195, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "fwd_win": 60.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.077, + "fwd_n": 58 }, { "wallet": "0x02a40699b5893d160ac1ae719c0700fb95ca6854", @@ -1259,44 +1119,16 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.057, "fwd_n": 72 }, - { - "wallet": "0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2", - "name": "0x809205fb", - "train_win": 76.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.053, - "train_z": 1.93, - "z_all": 3.05, - "med_stake": 97, - "avg_entry": 0.73, - "train_n": 261, - "fwd_win": 77.8, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.082, - "fwd_n": 27 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xe1d6b51521bd4365769199f392f9818661bd907c", - "name": "0xe1d6b515", - "train_win": 65.5, - "train_conv_roi": 0.024, - "train_z": 2.16, - "z_all": 2.21, - "med_stake": 782, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 148, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124", "name": "0x0d42cc5f", - "train_win": 68.1, + "train_win": 67.9, "train_conv_roi": 0.023, - "train_z": 2.35, - "z_all": 6.7, + "train_z": 2.33, + "z_all": 6.63, "med_stake": 446, - "avg_entry": 0.64, - "train_n": 386, + "avg_entry": 0.63, + "train_n": 383, "fwd_win": 71.9, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, "fwd_n": 57 @@ -1316,29 +1148,15 @@ "fwd_n": 4 }, { - "wallet": "0x993c072519306017fe9a6b3ee6fa4a02b3056787", - "name": "0x993c0725", - "train_win": 65.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.007, - "train_z": 1.78, - "z_all": 2.09, - "med_stake": 6032, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 93, - "fwd_win": 61.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.062, - "fwd_n": 39 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xe1a532a9991cc9ce27174b0296d077f824149dad", - "name": "0xe1a532a9", - "train_win": 70.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.005, - "train_z": 3.02, - "z_all": 3.56, - "med_stake": 141, - "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 337, + "wallet": "0x83d9c8fe37f1b5141f3219219403d87f4513651b", + "name": "0x83d9c8fe", + "train_win": 75.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.016, + "train_z": 1.88, + "z_all": 2.15, + "med_stake": 3442, + "avg_entry": 0.72, + "train_n": 361, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 diff --git a/live/copybot.paper.json b/live/copybot.paper.json index 088fd3ff..5bf4526d 100644 --- a/live/copybot.paper.json +++ b/live/copybot.paper.json @@ -8,43 +8,43 @@ "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "LSB1", "class": "volume", - "floor": 258.51 + "floor": 262.26 }, { "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", "name": "imwalkinghere", "class": "volume", - "floor": 122.32 + "floor": 121.8 }, { "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", "name": "Kruto2027", "class": "volume", - "floor": 126.84 + "floor": 126.43 }, { "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "class": "volume", - "floor": 44.98 + "floor": 45.21 }, { "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "class": "volume", - "floor": 304.34 + "floor": 351.5 }, { "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "name": "AIcAIc", "class": "volume", - "floor": 295.32 + "floor": 295.86 }, { "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "class": "volume", - "floor": 320.95 + "floor": 323.3 } ], "follow": { diff --git a/live/dashboard.html b/live/dashboard.html index afd2c434..c46d35e0 100644 --- a/live/dashboard.html +++ b/live/dashboard.html @@ -36,12 +36,12 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de .b{color:var(--green)}.s{color:var(--red)}

Skilled Wallets · Polymarket

-

46 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-07-08 10:55

+

33 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-07-09 12:42

-
Validated wallets
46
-
Median z
4.3
+
Validated wallets
33
+
Median z
4.7
Median OOS z
3.1
-
Value / longshot
34
+
Value / longshot
23
Favorite-rider
6
@@ -68,7 +68,7 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de

How to read it. z = how far the wallet beat the prices it paid (skill; >3 is strong). OOS z = whether that skill held on held-out bets — the gate that separates real edge from luck. Alpha 0.2–0.4 = share of bets in the underdog value zone where research finds real edge concentrates. Value wallets win by beating longshot/mid prices (the copyable alpha); Favorite-rider wallets post high win rates buying near-certain favorites (real but thin, hard to copy). Click any row for live recent trades. Not financial advice — split-half OOS, forward-track before sizing.