diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl index 2c3c01dd..e76b6d62 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl @@ -889,3 +889,4 @@ {"ts": 1784820994.7, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "No", "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "detect_lag_s": 0.7, "their_price": 0.51, "my_price": 0.53, "slippage_pct": 0.0392, "shares": 43.86, "cost": 23.24, "fee": 0.3277, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.53, "ba": 0.55, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 959.68, "ask5c": 1249.59}} {"ts": 1784821177.8, "side": "SELL", "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353", "shares": 42.364, "price": 0.89, "fee": 0.1244, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1784824868.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "78639892723644623147617890032845605442018473848411325154446303980329931711515", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?", "detect_lag_s": 2.5, "their_price": 0.8998, "my_price": 0.887, "slippage_pct": -0.0142, "shares": 52.99, "cost": 47.0, "fee": 0.1593, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.887, "ba": 0.931, "spread": 0.044, "bid5c": 212.78, "ask5c": 549.55}} +{"ts": 1784825314.3, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "No", "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", "detect_lag_s": 1.3, "their_price": 0.909, "my_price": 0.906, "slippage_pct": -0.0033, "shares": 129.28, "cost": 117.13, "fee": 0.3303, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.906, "ba": 0.935, "spread": 0.029, "bid5c": 434.23, "ask5c": 180158.93}} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 3fc2d647..b6889996 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -1,7 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783541947.246319, "seen_tx": [ - "0xa4e00dbe85adfe9c4b33f5aa8436c6ba72f0a87f360a7506218457e013bde73a", "0x10063bb0526a273cae3a1cfc65badaeca4320424c704f9c9976edbac73af3b08", "0xdc95ec0986326ab5c26b7b12dedf4dc7cdda930eb1d880513745e63326f4ae4f", "0x196e1c7e94442b87ecfd6b3dd2428063fab49bb90a195fedac9c4b606bd9b686", @@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@ "0x708d601470545c86709390c6c0ce0ce4ab4146da0e13fdaf067a184615c8d4e3", "0x435830e976614237bed30dff0ef286bc002e98cf22b787e78b13139dffb7a714", "0x1f1e6c0587285fa3a47b052fb0220344f79fc0b959dbc1cb1d8155b2ee71ab8e", - "0xaa5d28104f1195b296af036a42c60018d7e33a18cdc0d3eaf79fbf1900c04584" + "0xaa5d28104f1195b296af036a42c60018d7e33a18cdc0d3eaf79fbf1900c04584", + "0x93277480e159d2484a6df9bb29a9d900a3c1924094c4ed2a3b530c6318c38946" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -9107,7 +9107,8 @@ "68080778697884921540335032370654180051222428162809511382222697646266365598353": 535.71, "6942521039548952262803452715536366269632833663841807575802631974514414220741": 2348.54, "28239418772633645184924651434956000849078365566842629564562475378531350731731": 4068.81, - "53147856084273572324920349998954911060427762367735766007832600228479869956378": 407.15999999999997 + "53147856084273572324920349998954911060427762367735766007832600228479869956378": 407.15999999999997, + "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": 1070.2359 }, "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": { "114711371330120068482313838962365747984220728893579964288039365743675176387739": 6259.0032, @@ -13166,11 +13167,20 @@ "event": "will-amzn-reach-280-in-july-2026", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "cond": "0xe9ab976f5c3b9c65ea229b1a7890ba92da55c06a8c5dfe6c911320d5ecfa6a9f" + }, + "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": { + "shares": 129.28370370316284, + "cost": 117.13103555506554, + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", + "outcome": "No", + "event": null, + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "cond": "0x968e7d0e59659dc602480ed9ca6fbd933a25912e1667dcec1f43d243cec5e0b0" } }, "spend": { "date": "2026-07-23", - "usd": 316.52832583060007 + "usd": 433.6593613856656 }, "seeded": [ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -13330,15 +13340,16 @@ "55071405929941363854274866721931311048000830793954776923614437932856724606852": "0xfc7e0c5bf5560e39ac944c4fa41e5f907d54cdb1ea5857377d9f94d65a760009", "80270372288514892122229303181424592994977341771902366596528480848577129708762": "0x2c0febfae1214f1a85b6f9a39f4c74523ed5217590eb246857d671d7861b35fe", "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": "0x9d3c9c74d6dc88f3209c85176ee0f88b918d11eb00b59edddbcac37af1860ca3", - "78639892723644623147617890032845605442018473848411325154446303980329931711515": "0xe9ab976f5c3b9c65ea229b1a7890ba92da55c06a8c5dfe6c911320d5ecfa6a9f" + "78639892723644623147617890032845605442018473848411325154446303980329931711515": "0xe9ab976f5c3b9c65ea229b1a7890ba92da55c06a8c5dfe6c911320d5ecfa6a9f", + "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": "0x968e7d0e59659dc602480ed9ca6fbd933a25912e1667dcec1f43d243cec5e0b0" }, - "cash": 1870.8703130711535, + "cash": 1753.4089679958226, "lag": { - "n": 232, - "sum_s": 6173.533925771713, - "sum_slip_pct": -7.244534180504523 + "n": 233, + "sum_s": 6174.824186563492, + "sum_slip_pct": -7.247834511462669 }, - "fees_paid": 344.45341387108124, + "fees_paid": 344.78372339134654, "lag_recent": [ [ 1784790395.8, @@ -13374,6 +13385,11 @@ 1784824868.5, 2.5, -0.01421 + ], + [ + 1784825314.3, + 1.3, + -0.0033 ] ], "bets": { @@ -17541,11 +17557,30 @@ "exit_price": null, "pnl": null, "settled": null + }, + "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": { + "token": "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096", + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", + "their_price": 0.909, + "my_price": 0.906, + "slippage_pct": -0.0033, + "lag_s": 1.3, + "shares": 129.28, + "cost": 117.13, + "fee": 0.3303, + "opened": 1784825313, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null } }, "hwm": 3017.9847339343023, - "feed_sig": "c5783943a68d91e88204e6975d0ba1d4", - "feed_pushed_at": 1784824868.368466, + "feed_sig": "e66927cf5f21e681416b764ecbe40dfa", + "feed_pushed_at": 1784825273.5491471, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783590977, @@ -20403,7 +20438,8 @@ "status": "lost", "pnl": -32.73, "settled": 1784823492, - "name": "0xbadaf319" + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_checked": true }, { "ts": 1784823419, @@ -20433,7 +20469,8 @@ "status": "lost", "pnl": -35.25, "settled": 1784823492, - "name": "0xbadaf319" + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_checked": true }, { "ts": 1784823420, @@ -20546,6 +20583,7 @@ "71111209335732218902295720978325201457781612359385997624260875370534542314790", "73893970296257160435491465547806830475405138836098479326244164349063701653888", "7410717121876145332418373180741433428881685336911848406679670735933068361996", + "74327142115918753649408903691627492742694310958778317668574425755853502322564", "78788260288922080326905341117968551697712240104712932735403261835886217664335", "79142370065090782913562046705822185371997422530826723325260658092723967659275", "83706823954028079478569692463806715067882276398270356395415522600352056028991", @@ -20588,19 +20626,19 @@ "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784824866, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784745123, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784807970, - "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784824716, - "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784824180 + "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784824753, + "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784824282 }, "boot": { "id": "dd9ed6cc5bf2", "ts": 1784823411 }, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784824868, + "ts": 1784825314, "side": "BUY", - "price": 0.887, - "shares": 52.99, - "title": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?", + "price": 0.906, + "shares": 129.28, + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", "outcome": "No" } } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index d8073a91..8742cf89 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -1,24 +1,24 @@ { "mode": "paper", "bankroll": 1000.0, - "stake": 117.13, + "stake": 117.12, "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 3017.98, - "cash": 1870.87, - "deployed": 1057.41, + "cash": 1753.41, + "deployed": 1174.54, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": 1928.25, + "realized": 1927.92, "adjustments": 0.03, "ledger_drift": -0.03, - "open_count": 18, - "fees_paid": 344.45, + "open_count": 19, + "fees_paid": 344.78, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 232, - "n24": 7, - "avg_s": 4.7, - "avg_slip_pct": -0.009, + "n": 233, + "n24": 8, + "avg_s": 4.2, + "avg_slip_pct": -0.0083, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -49,6 +49,25 @@ "JuiceFarm": 752.73 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096", + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", + "their_price": 0.909, + "my_price": 0.906, + "slippage_pct": -0.0033, + "lag_s": 1.3, + "shares": 129.28, + "cost": 117.13, + "fee": 0.33, + "opened": 1784825313, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null + }, { "token": "78639892723644623147617890032845605442018473848411325154446303980329931711515", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -2092,27 +2111,6 @@ "exit_price": null, "pnl": null, "settled": null - }, - { - "token": "103599543732484870090369455326920139987823898856081914791151504750897348686596", - "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", - "name": "gkmgkldfmg", - "outcome": "Team Liquid", - "title": "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner", - "their_price": 0.7957, - "my_price": 0.78, - "slippage_pct": -0.0197, - "lag_s": 0.9, - "shares": 125.04, - "cost": 97.53, - "fee": 0.64, - "opened": 1784039149, - "status": "closed", - "exit_price": 0.9353, - "pnl": 18.77, - "settled": 1784039404, - "sold_shares": 125.04, - "sold_proceeds": 116.94 } ], "missed": [ @@ -2144,7 +2142,8 @@ "status": "lost", "pnl": -32.73, "settled": 1784823492, - "name": "0xbadaf319" + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_checked": true }, { "ts": 1784823420, @@ -2159,7 +2158,8 @@ "status": "lost", "pnl": -35.25, "settled": 1784823492, - "name": "0xbadaf319" + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_checked": true }, { "ts": 1784823420, @@ -3066,11 +3066,11 @@ ], "missed_pnl": 96707.98, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784824868, + "ts": 1784825314, "side": "BUY", - "price": 0.887, - "shares": 52.99, - "title": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?", + "price": 0.906, + "shares": 129.28, + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", "outcome": "No" }, "wallet_pnl": { @@ -3138,11 +3138,11 @@ "realized": 0.07, "n": 7, "wins": 1, - "open_cost": 729.65, - "open_n": 7, + "open_cost": 846.78, + "open_n": 8, "miss_n": 23, "miss_pnl": -466.97, - "last_ts": 1784660784 + "last_ts": 1784825313 }, "0xd96750bf": { "realized": 0.0, @@ -3155,5 +3155,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1784824868 + "updated": 1784825411 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json index dcbea66a..c4788611 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "paper", - "updated": 1784824868, + "updated": 1784825411, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": 557.51, @@ -66,11 +66,11 @@ "realized": 0.07, "n": 7, "wins": 1, - "open_cost": 729.65, - "open_n": 7, + "open_cost": 846.78, + "open_n": 8, "miss_n": 23, "miss_pnl": -466.97, - "last_ts": 1784660784 + "last_ts": 1784825313 }, "0xd96750bf": { "realized": 0.0, @@ -84,6 +84,25 @@ } }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096", + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?", + "their_price": 0.909, + "my_price": 0.906, + "slippage_pct": -0.0033, + "lag_s": 1.3, + "shares": 129.28, + "cost": 117.13, + "fee": 0.3303, + "opened": 1784825313, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null + }, { "token": "78639892723644623147617890032845605442018473848411325154446303980329931711515", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -4279,7 +4298,8 @@ "status": "lost", "pnl": -32.73, "settled": 1784823492, - "name": "0xbadaf319" + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_checked": true }, { "ts": 1784823420, @@ -4294,7 +4314,8 @@ "status": "lost", "pnl": -35.25, "settled": 1784823492, - "name": "0xbadaf319" + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_checked": true }, { "ts": 1784823420, diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl index 21d2665e..811ef1b4 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl @@ -2065,3 +2065,4 @@ {"ts": 1784824866.27, "trade_ts": 1784824866, "lat_s": 0.27, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 47, "price": 0.8997872340425532, "title": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?", "tx": "0x435830e976614237bed30dff0ef286bc002e98cf22b787e78b13139dffb7a714", "seen": false} {"ts": 1784824888.84, "trade_ts": 1784824888, "lat_s": 0.84, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 2.23, "price": 0.12, "title": "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026", "tx": "0x1f1e6c0587285fa3a47b052fb0220344f79fc0b959dbc1cb1d8155b2ee71ab8e", "seen": false} {"ts": 1784824888.94, "trade_ts": 1784824888, "lat_s": 0.94, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 2.23, "price": 0.89, "title": "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026", "tx": "0xaa5d28104f1195b296af036a42c60018d7e33a18cdc0d3eaf79fbf1900c04584", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784825314.06, "trade_ts": 1784825313, "lat_s": 1.06, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 1070.235933, "price": 0.9090000008437392, "title": "", "tx": "0x93277480e159d2484a6df9bb29a9d900a3c1924094c4ed2a3b530c6318c38946", "seen": false}