diff --git a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
index 4f347fdf..d8e11b78 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
@@ -229,3 +229,5 @@
 {"ts": 1784212638.7, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "94846649734011849767196765067022411183171400090337931779295250573488021840336", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "outcome": "Dplus KIA", "title": "LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 3.7, "their_price": 0.66, "my_price": 0.68, "slippage_pct": 0.0303, "shares": 1.52, "cost": 1.03, "fee": 0.0099, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.65, "ba": 0.66, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 78270.16, "ask5c": 8978.33}}
 {"ts": 1784213381.0, "side": "SELL", "token": "31227781598316880280877760465683086508096359894740658336497080463300979927822", "shares": 0.12, "price": 0.965, "fee": 0.0001, "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784213386.4, "side": "SELL", "token": "31227781598316880280877760465683086508096359894740658336497080463300979927822", "shares": 0.17, "price": 0.965, "fee": 0.0002, "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1784213776.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 16?", "detect_lag_s": 5.1, "their_price": 0.922, "my_price": 0.92, "slippage_pct": -0.0022, "shares": 1.09, "cost": 1.0, "fee": 0.0024, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.903, "ba": 0.92, "spread": 0.017, "bid5c": 173.47, "ask5c": 4932.98}}
+{"ts": 1784213810.6, "side": "SELL", "token": "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669", "shares": 0.12, "price": 0.95, "fee": 0.0002, "mode": "live"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index f0a7d150..78a6865b 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -1,12 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783572616.4091802,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0x9ffb2a0fcf093d20e08f2331378276b14b8b0399957caa2fb8170c03d279d9d3",
-    "0x2b0e6b845667989f789da47605b70e475186895b75bf8c6159708b12ee526f27",
-    "0xe4b1d40a7b7f8f37baf9d4c8b59bd85efb2e9be14bb8768fd1846862fa8c486f",
-    "0xbf0fecd945cf78a260c3f023b603555b18b2d29143ad20883b696b99692230cb",
-    "0x86162c8571c62cf3f2aa5599da4aa29ef204614472213f83799b6b628467d066",
-    "0xc4d36dea7f3bb4a22fba48eba967c3307fbd909e919acc5fbeaf368372be83ca",
     "0x236d6bee63743d7af497ce4d54d9f9b80057370f7856b6fba220c9560cc871bd",
     "0xd9b8201ae3470dda2e3e9b7702a34ed05cafccf10ff698a37f2535b8abb3dea1",
     "0x3c85c1430d89f9fdd1dfbc2442e23a10422a71d289ae39fdbcfe6c7abf3e6c0d",
@@ -18,6 +12,7 @@
     "0x7169220bc64f9511111805333132ee1491a85970ccb05d260c5db7e5df48d088",
     "0xb56480ed333eafb88805912b617257e2ca7c9b42d2c23df836e9c8b3c33a5c1c",
     "0xad99e7999c0b3cadc5606c8221e3a62af714165c19061eb8613b2c3193a818c4",
+    "0xc9ab472b16573f0e88f05ac426d175f1b3c42044a8669bc122aa0baccf30e027",
     "0x3ba4ef323a15a0a246dd6939b83fc6e76c054a87f15de29703417aef8c7cce4e",
     "0x12d1d105ee23a289f6fadbdcc119931b4eecbda0af15f952180bd58f741f8c0e",
     "0xc8b1f6d284087499d708d24f938cfa93f1189a678a2e4cddb12bf8130e0a960d",
@@ -586,6 +581,7 @@
     "0xa6e7c0167916e067f3e626fc2ac71975a3ece543f89c769abd77144e853602da",
     "0xebaed713341aa1707c062100ed20b3a27c1b802538821eff75378d8c0aa33171",
     "0xf87d0cc2f616fb38616877983d459f1b0d262608cc1d771e2d8c5be07114dbc1",
+    "0x811fc13766cba4ff9c298fc76b4d37e8ca9728e37f07d17159615188a45afabe",
     "0x7fdecee9f47709d078d48869ae59ea2eb4b752cc18aea59b79b54a4eb6577e2c",
     "0xadcfc36be5d1f30dcec73aec161589f7d51b3e917512f4d395c43e6fa7ef30a9",
     "0x1454ebea6f361ae97c075185eef91080afe64f61a29232d73bffe6125c0528ee",
@@ -919,6 +915,7 @@
     "0xe38a768236822d5688c8209516e4f6fb590cd5cbba8defadfd24b462d5661df7",
     "0x883ebfe80d8dad9f1ababadf965031b5e78e71807a3beb6fb3cd44a369772995",
     "0xe3fa4855832140efb886297b1a50ab283aa3c17dbb436caa3fe71514dff4f7a3",
+    "0x9cc342c9fafbdb7018b68b00003b90ace05f720f21401414132cbe7a72d227c6",
     "0xea43415080afff8f72c4c0895331a220ccc79f0323fddbe105e18698144b9d2f",
     "0x2395c1ef05c30aadc10f0764b08641e454ed9bc18b0573c357fa906ad0ea2fbb",
     "0x86cc8fbd686c802ea952ee65d9b22472eaac260f084ecdb560063f0ba0cfa252",
@@ -962,6 +959,7 @@
     "0xfc207c8cf3f70a1828c569ca7deba5eec8722c15869caf1eec6ba3655fe362ca",
     "0x93511286d975c43011962dd6c1dad97e2fedf35eb654cf29dab1ad0c994c6cfa",
     "0x7a5f15919b6b1205ada7115a01a1ef7717e04de9281846ed2f437c4c4e905bc9",
+    "0xf2247c03c667201d798e2b2835bdc6d65d427220f71890c8845f544886bc1ea0",
     "0xa6cd51f7b2548f5d3de49ae2b4591e1029afe3988de2cfaed8b495e5fd5d51a1",
     "0xd9c03f8e6ea7ffa76ff82f721e9499297f8652a47c66d3921354cbd90c4e0ee7",
     "0x58b33a3ab32ebceba7af89c70db53cd041fa6475c606b410e75772ad65c7e055",
@@ -1893,6 +1891,7 @@
     "0x4784762538cb0431a87bf4b1a883e526921a7abf568cf439f45ec88d0dee58f6",
     "0x75e4f50cab6d4a89bc6346272486521a5cff0addef04495b1562970417afca29",
     "0xe66be11634c495450d59aea6ee76aadd8d3d9d7f78cf009dcad8ec24d5f89720",
+    "0xd96c5d498812ffea915878140abfe121351b17b5eef1a3cd77a20c9f7bede5da",
     "0x1ad71140e4907d16fd1e59db8def8cbfaa63c2ce9b02a165eb563bb61aea61a5",
     "0xd103a3d775087884c04c36d2e9bf87b93bcf4a2d471b82c77491ae878c155287",
     "0x7e6f17c72f243aff659123928d017f3a13a4cc5d87c531a899b989241a7d8d43",
@@ -2470,6 +2469,7 @@
     "0xe6940c5cc201fac7fb04b230da719d70b4592036cd39714168be12ae129c41b0",
     "0x50e985f9949b723481e9f8772245ec43c4d7112d27bc9c889e0da620627459be",
     "0x33e2f6294d06596ee6b5139677c91bb40b74c9e3ea5a4e7d848525935c7878bd",
+    "0xaeae432e8ee21d49538a7631a61d2bf2c115f4f3b784ad0b26e308e63190d5aa",
     "0x5f9fc83dc6792f8e2cab26f9fd8fbfcf287650954183e300e9d02743d34335a1",
     "0x43ba762882f6e6c4981618c365d7c4a719b49834431ceda1f7bc1e03ba3c0a85",
     "0xa264954e4d0ab07328f69a99c0885ad5844bb320eb52fb1d2e3d95f7e06ef75e",
@@ -6441,7 +6441,11 @@
       "46225100553989123936245361017195688529068530138507685055866894865656497680335": 0.0,
       "74751467310548001523578174536683436613056298730683710137283385031618966718497": 0.0,
       "88220374085075467863702989399048464959576512486815329373497448055628876688195": 0.0,
-      "110214038121226179942275983424704210214476676225253229237622254164037085833952": 0.0
+      "110214038121226179942275983424704210214476676225253229237622254164037085833952": 0.0,
+      "26916982202125293119747810162791702809123205887331404342397405562283533304808": 0.0,
+      "34749818495492210049867922065695276195329046731136353813405639462573376427574": 0.0,
+      "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669": 80.5643,
+      "1230299720914215431906843044139617258490401461033179181281847427401880955071": 0.0
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -10285,11 +10289,20 @@
       "event": "lol-g2-dk-2026-07-16",
       "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
       "cond": "0xd31423cb4ebe6efffdfcf1657944406765a28719215d8fd90321eb6f6b610f33"
+    },
+    "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669": {
+      "shares": 0.9669500000000001,
+      "cost": 0.8895940000000001,
+      "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 16?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "event": "bitcoin-price-on-july-16-2026",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "cond": "0x5c8ff7602393cc120f311a659a94bd1e886e7e024d9c24c1edeb31c8bc2c0a2a"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
-    "usd": 5.06951399
+    "usd": 6.06950799
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -10353,15 +10366,16 @@
     "110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115": "0xe6a1205d55c0fed0427084000f6e35b2b481003e509a4be0d4678715898c0ae2",
     "52277341117061676402936201599481724705704245418989224868304419115133008528281": "0xaf2ddfecd93bfdea73d0fe3a8fab8fb1a00a7da4e92ce77803d8c893f10ee6a0",
     "6542858065381328138604971534407515790260577773140917193780294419054693674045": "0x6266a812b672fb0424235909307279a2d4f52ad291b00e4a85767c146d10a2c0",
-    "94846649734011849767196765067022411183171400090337931779295250573488021840336": "0xd31423cb4ebe6efffdfcf1657944406765a28719215d8fd90321eb6f6b610f33"
+    "94846649734011849767196765067022411183171400090337931779295250573488021840336": "0xd31423cb4ebe6efffdfcf1657944406765a28719215d8fd90321eb6f6b610f33",
+    "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669": "0x5c8ff7602393cc120f311a659a94bd1e886e7e024d9c24c1edeb31c8bc2c0a2a"
   },
-  "cash": 5.24116346903479,
+  "cash": 4.3525984834347895,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 73,
-    "sum_s": 2855.0138235092163,
-    "sum_slip_pct": 1.8394382934920073
+    "n": 74,
+    "sum_s": 2860.0639927387238,
+    "sum_slip_pct": 1.837269096095044
   },
-  "fees_paid": 2.0783811741156564,
+  "fees_paid": 2.080952159715656,
   "lag_recent": [
     [
       1784127913.4,
@@ -10417,6 +10431,11 @@
       1784212638.7,
       3.7,
       0.0303
+    ],
+    [
+      1784213776.1,
+      5.1,
+      -0.00217
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -12007,6 +12026,27 @@
       "exit_price": null,
       "pnl": null,
       "settled": null
+    },
+    "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669": {
+      "token": "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "name": "0xbadaf319",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 16?",
+      "their_price": 0.922,
+      "my_price": 0.92,
+      "slippage_pct": -0.0022,
+      "lag_s": 5.1,
+      "shares": 1.09,
+      "cost": 1.0,
+      "fee": 0.0024,
+      "opened": 1784213771,
+      "status": "open",
+      "exit_price": null,
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null,
+      "sold_shares": 0.12,
+      "sold_proceeds": 0.113829
     }
   },
   "no_miss_toks": [
@@ -14170,8 +14210,8 @@
       "exit_price": 0.5893
     }
   ],
-  "feed_sig": "748886ede71ff183fd65df8bcb575fbc",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784213357.035758,
+  "feed_sig": "60133e444c9a4bb7c200a7d06683ed65",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784213744.5552714,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783906689,
@@ -14185,7 +14225,7 @@
       "token": "6542858065381328138604971534407515790260577773140917193780294419054693674045",
       "shares": 0.010782999999999987,
       "label": "Team Yandex \u00b7 Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game ",
-      "attempts": 0,
+      "attempts": 6,
       "ts": 1784213485
     }
   ],
@@ -14203,14 +14243,14 @@
     "114408446604886353206911847633106829807018038464913763376714523293436793199652": 25,
     "54808825071623730922593344072571837691813951745707044026991588993889799442913": 1,
     "107621326245822952563176301279688840792822768888579246433859003586959838504667": 1,
-    "6542858065381328138604971534407515790260577773140917193780294419054693674045": 21
+    "6542858065381328138604971534407515790260577773140917193780294419054693674045": 22
   },
   "trade_cursor": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784206159,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784213378,
-    "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784213245,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784213800,
+    "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784213489,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1783843568,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784212885,
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784211014
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index b6df9829..e365127b 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -5,20 +5,20 @@
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 25.94,
- "cash": 5.24,
- "deployed": 11.15,
+ "cash": 4.35,
+ "deployed": 12.04,
  "reserve": 0.0,
  "realized": -5.81,
  "adjustments": -0.08,
  "ledger_drift": 0.0,
- "open_count": 10,
+ "open_count": 11,
  "fees_paid": 2.08,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 73,
-  "n24": 11,
-  "avg_s": 8.0,
-  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0464,
+  "n": 74,
+  "n24": 12,
+  "avg_s": 7.7,
+  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0423,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -43,6 +43,27 @@
   "BikesAreTheBikes": 158.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 16?",
+   "their_price": 0.922,
+   "my_price": 0.92,
+   "slippage_pct": -0.0022,
+   "lag_s": 5.1,
+   "shares": 1.09,
+   "cost": 1.0,
+   "fee": 0.0,
+   "opened": 1784213771,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "sold_shares": 0.12,
+   "sold_proceeds": 0.11
+  },
   {
    "token": "94846649734011849767196765067022411183171400090337931779295250573488021840336",
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -2582,5 +2603,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 1040.87,
- "updated": 1784213386
+ "updated": 1784213810
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
index 7b62fcb2..b6779392 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
@@ -2292,3 +2292,11 @@
 {"ts": 1784213388.78, "trade_ts": 1784213381, "lat_s": 7.78, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 11.65, "price": 0.974, "title": "", "tx": "0xb2988cec4516f5a5ccb605fca646d9d77383ba5d5f6fc46803265b4d10f4a76f", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784213388.83, "trade_ts": 1784213381, "lat_s": 7.83, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 11.65, "price": 0.03, "title": "", "tx": "0x4e90dffe27d73886fdae2e132bce7caa09bd8bb9eeef9c409e4bea89d3f55ae4", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784213433.86, "trade_ts": 1784213433, "lat_s": 0.86, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "BUY", "size": 1818.181817, "price": 0.1099999995215, "title": "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner", "tx": "0x7ce203b7cfebcca2fdd2d36569196621c9e02691568957af91c1e9f93ca4ed44", "seen": false}
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