diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
index 2d25ec69..04cd99c2 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
@@ -55,3 +55,5 @@
 {"ts": 1784903969.6, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784904292.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784904619.2, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1784904955.6, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1784905282.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
index fd4d25a9..ecb6cedf 100644
--- a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
@@ -26,3 +26,4 @@
 {"ts": 1783770287, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "token": "105212104196091726392140052817325444324784813554106263063196477471085394528921", "cond": "0xde8bac1e7c29832d29ae69c93248e6085e947a9909ff9c95f11ea7504257dd45", "title": "Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 1.5", "outcome": "Over", "price": 0.91, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.1, "settled": 1783780392, "name": "0x41558102", "exit_price": 1.0}
 {"ts": 1783770288, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "81413637292297741701558038706628285500354162735615522867827508680184700465994", "cond": "0x4b1e0b818817492afa73944f7271cc744a6e9027f2c26888b8a6ee76e6aba311", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7AM ET", "outcome": "Down", "price": 0.5504, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.13, "settled": 1783770616, "name": "1kto1m", "exit_price": 0.6384}
 {"ts": 1783770912, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "58977437171225124002548434766056119596861991011293700343028569254570529602303", "cond": "0x4b1e0b818817492afa73944f7271cc744a6e9027f2c26888b8a6ee76e6aba311", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7AM ET", "outcome": "Up", "price": 0.39, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.33\u21920.39", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.22, "settled": 1783771255, "name": "1kto1m", "exit_price": 0.3191}
+{"ts": 1783770930, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "token": "14720921693726444993132286510480864959564663807713006631795468793505944795957", "cond": "0x6750fe34aa15e45304c8591f574ae62e792c34d78809bdcbc012e1bed5adfc0b", "title": "Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-11?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.8269, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "won", "pnl": 0.2, "settled": 1783781079, "name": "0x41558102", "exit_checked": true}
diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index 6e45e5d4..111fb0d0 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -1,8 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783572616.4091802,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0x87651f5c6abfdc27e16dd1f96c4b17215068c2bf1c90dfd77bf7c01ec819f669",
-    "0xe2cb55064f68f9fbc6c378e759159cc1e526dc17327e3c8cf154af52cfeb2a8e",
     "0x016b05222e1ef69c495695274baebb23cdc5a0b5031f72210a74a615a9dc5b10",
     "0xc3869e3bba8c31cacdee4a51597081634c611eaba2eca2f710b7907f92828c90",
     "0x4e97d0558aff1eeffe8bea47426f2a5be2f7c45e5232465f30e56302b5def16c",
@@ -5000,7 +4998,9 @@
     "0x0c0592f7839ee79b63a7d9e6056eae7a684797a83b6c1ff6895ee66e517231fc",
     "0xec8b063c4d65f9a5992d29703734feeb1767afbe93bb9d72c8b4daae7ad329ae",
     "0xe5661f7af762df42fb039179d8012c48dc2b2eeed21ed9bdd9f618b2767ab2ea",
-    "0xe0ed6aeaf919adb775e9a38e92205e773be1765be8cefcc20bc148a15f9e0d8d"
+    "0xe0ed6aeaf919adb775e9a38e92205e773be1765be8cefcc20bc148a15f9e0d8d",
+    "0x2267a27276da7372dd3f13e93b45edc37a7111897c9c0f3f846fcdaa0f735b84",
+    "0x438cc1ec2f3dacf75f5c97492c436f612cc9da154bb41c4f61276f55775f478d"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -7323,7 +7323,8 @@
       "18333660543652756076238532691076573534220684072633038671467792136317052392134": 0.0,
       "68502703196924523645791540785055870801750897340334203812875048387064072976478": 0.0,
       "26803910281975015424354452211838209668630841758853376138795141339624214365294": 0.0,
-      "54376529908017354024986878852295305595840095727608807507361158628919863271361": 0.0
+      "54376529908017354024986878852295305595840095727608807507361158628919863271361": 0.0,
+      "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": 61.843265
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -8228,7 +8229,8 @@
       "86696299877427917473766190859767869874746279220976438765229438172525469456558": 0.0,
       "14829593138506097416616048609824269772072122401358837682030851398840516305986": 0.0,
       "37249161190704775607428575307804845912599555720319144691205132126160430047423": 0.0,
-      "101946995797410619447280728939434901491579999373186976460878634085571934521423": 0.0
+      "101946995797410619447280728939434901491579999373186976460878634085571934521423": 0.0,
+      "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531": 0.0
     },
     "0xd9fa6d54cf294343ee42bbb735b7cff20a4bf0b9": {},
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": {
@@ -15928,22 +15930,6 @@
   ],
   "hwm": 63.02149853522214,
   "missed": [
-    {
-      "ts": 1783770930,
-      "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
-      "token": "14720921693726444993132286510480864959564663807713006631795468793505944795957",
-      "cond": "0x6750fe34aa15e45304c8591f574ae62e792c34d78809bdcbc012e1bed5adfc0b",
-      "title": "Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-11?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "price": 0.8269,
-      "stake": 1.0,
-      "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-      "status": "won",
-      "pnl": 0.2,
-      "settled": 1783781079,
-      "name": "LSB1",
-      "exit_checked": true
-    },
     {
       "ts": 1783771804,
       "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266",
@@ -19118,10 +19104,25 @@
       "pnl": null,
       "settled": null,
       "name": "0xbadaf319"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784905371,
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "token": "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332",
+      "cond": "0xc3a579d99e8b291b923f6cdf026fe86a510411bb0b5190cb5d8764bd425974de",
+      "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 24?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "price": 0.844,
+      "stake": 2.42,
+      "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0x381d202b753c6c4bbb54f66cd4a4cc626bac19b17",
+      "status": "open",
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null,
+      "name": "0xbadaf319"
     }
   ],
-  "feed_sig": "31299d9bf339932f6210b1c281da3de4",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784904487.107808,
+  "feed_sig": "f2cddcdd7925f2429d423aeacc7179d4",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784905283.882998,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783906689,
@@ -19172,17 +19173,17 @@
     "6457952357077230044054791268159160058712529625831041550558183767114352456975": 1,
     "61895825019286928316753689208545457497714235075046708292847356747636406191670": 1,
     "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 1,
-    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 55
+    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 57
   },
   "trade_cursor": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784882427,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784904208,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784904889,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784886999,
-    "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784903476,
+    "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784904358,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784904301,
-    "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784902510,
+    "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784903566,
     "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1784865762
   },
   "boot": {
@@ -20050,6 +20051,36 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784904955.6,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.87,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784905282.5,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.87,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
     }
   ],
   "maker_stats": {
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index d04952bf..d45a1b15 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -2107,6 +2107,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1784905371,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332",
+   "cond": "0xc3a579d99e8b291b923f6cdf026fe86a510411bb0b5190cb5d8764bd425974de",
+   "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 24?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.844,
+   "stake": 2.42,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0x381d202b753c6c4bbb54f66cd4a4cc626bac19b17",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1784898192,
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -3048,25 +3063,9 @@
    "settled": 1784548310,
    "name": "0xbadaf319",
    "exit_price": 0.725
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784506248,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "49788775469879840378761895139813138992013557532307513142725478482968059934617",
-   "cond": "0x56e413f49fa8d580f8bbc354544c6c1c06b0073c4ea572b29136e08924b42fd1",
-   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $154 Week of July 20 2026?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.7738,
-   "stake": 2.41,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 0.23,
-   "settled": 1784513865,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_price": 0.8578
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": 1169.39,
+ "missed_pnl": 1169.19,
  "last_fill": {
   "ts": 1784887122,
   "side": "BUY",
@@ -3082,7 +3081,7 @@
    "wins": 5,
    "open_cost": 13.33,
    "open_n": 5,
-   "miss_n": 66,
+   "miss_n": 67,
    "miss_pnl": 1169.25,
    "last_ts": 1784886185
   },
@@ -3132,8 +3131,8 @@
    "wins": 1,
    "open_cost": 0.0,
    "open_n": 0,
-   "miss_n": 12,
-   "miss_pnl": -3.11,
+   "miss_n": 11,
+   "miss_pnl": -3.31,
    "last_ts": 1783828844
   },
   "BikesAreTheBikes": {
@@ -3172,8 +3171,8 @@
    "wins": 0,
    "open_cost": 0.0,
    "open_n": 0,
-   "miss_n": 8,
-   "miss_pnl": 2.45,
+   "miss_n": 9,
+   "miss_pnl": 2.65,
    "last_ts": 0
   },
   "0xd96750bf": {
@@ -3187,5 +3186,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1784904628
+ "updated": 1784905376
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
index 699c6c4f..25b21f85 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "live",
- "updated": 1784904628,
+ "updated": 1784905376,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 1.61,
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
    "wins": 5,
    "open_cost": 13.33,
    "open_n": 5,
-   "miss_n": 66,
+   "miss_n": 67,
    "miss_pnl": 1169.25,
    "last_ts": 1784886185
   },
@@ -58,8 +58,8 @@
    "wins": 1,
    "open_cost": 0.0,
    "open_n": 0,
-   "miss_n": 12,
-   "miss_pnl": -3.11,
+   "miss_n": 11,
+   "miss_pnl": -3.31,
    "last_ts": 1783828844
   },
   "BikesAreTheBikes": {
@@ -98,8 +98,8 @@
    "wins": 0,
    "open_cost": 0.0,
    "open_n": 0,
-   "miss_n": 8,
-   "miss_pnl": 2.45,
+   "miss_n": 9,
+   "miss_pnl": 2.65,
    "last_ts": 0
   },
   "0xd96750bf": {
@@ -2576,6 +2576,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1784905371,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332",
+   "cond": "0xc3a579d99e8b291b923f6cdf026fe86a510411bb0b5190cb5d8764bd425974de",
+   "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 24?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.844,
+   "stake": 2.42,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0x381d202b753c6c4bbb54f66cd4a4cc626bac19b17",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1784898192,
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -5653,7 +5668,7 @@
    "status": "won",
    "pnl": 0.2,
    "settled": 1783781079,
-   "name": "LSB1",
+   "name": "0x41558102",
    "exit_checked": true
   },
   {
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
index b979bedf..345076de 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
@@ -2057,3 +2057,8 @@
 {"ts": 1784904207.96, "trade_ts": 1784904207, "lat_s": 0.96, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 8.29, "price": 0.001, "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28\u00b0C or higher ", "tx": "0xe5661f7af762df42fb039179d8012c48dc2b2eeed21ed9bdd9f618b2767ab2ea", "seen": false}
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