diff --git a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
index 9fd96e81..e8d2dd67 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
@@ -154,3 +154,5 @@
 {"ts": 1784103766.8, "side": "SELL", "token": "51819545177992980050544653528219085611945377861594412412561048331713992664435", "shares": 0.66, "price": 0.757, "fee": 0.0036, "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784103770.1, "side": "SELL", "token": "51819545177992980050544653528219085611945377861594412412561048331713992664435", "shares": 0.49, "price": 0.757, "fee": 0.0027, "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784103808.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807", "shares": 0.22, "price": 0.78, "fee": 0.0011, "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1784104030.4, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?", "detect_lag_s": 3.4, "their_price": 0.781, "my_price": 0.788, "slippage_pct": 0.009, "shares": 1.27, "cost": 1.0, "fee": 0.0064, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.787, "ba": 0.788, "spread": 0.001, "bid5c": 502.88, "ask5c": 2382.45}}
+{"ts": 1784104035.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807", "shares": 1.26, "price": 0.787, "fee": 0.0063, "mode": "live"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index cb71243f..7c84ca17 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -780,6 +780,7 @@
     "0xa0f169da4bc37fb7c33bbbed42a8283cf0f511c378529415f286aef4f1612c28",
     "0x0bfff6f253a51b25be66b8b0ab4ce378ec1419d1376e07e3324592e1c087fb70",
     "0x00d7baa4b17da009fc52c167cb0429133a5903916b53b5c0f330a6ef637b64e3",
+    "0x2d7dc6aa701d9903f00bfdb920bd2ad8b4a3b96e644dba393c20314eefc24df0",
     "0x63ef3691bb8d87c7d178b6d29f09043743d81cd61d069b7aeb391409aa4dd799",
     "0x5eaa3fc12b8b0f98fe66906ff6e952a909b4ab5ed78ffb36941a4c20e5b9dd98",
     "0x5dec4c610f2d92ccbd98ac381ef6087a9a33d418a31676cf67614482bcb9cc77",
@@ -2250,6 +2251,7 @@
     "0xa4032b71d149883a6d0948da8a74ba3693fe3bd8f5c694f7f992d6b33e068e10",
     "0x0444c8351adc7cf55683cc1678371337f6adf03e048b3b9be1ae27fb987c3bf7",
     "0x2b0453f00a5e1dad9796a5aeed8856192e5124b897b813e85f18dc4bc30889e0",
+    "0xe935c81f239dd3aeac45d850eb874cd74a3f27ec172aa8bcd389729f500adc3a",
     "0xabae554be5f17d48ca863ea3f76a8baed7add7f3666dbbc8bc79d16413daca41",
     "0xeb7ab91c712657c1dc9946f17e48235f1a1917193c5d2d7a01cb1f022ca0c663",
     "0x26e4382fd53026eb52b1abb03552ee47a3018b1118771d90299cf365d797e1cf",
@@ -3800,6 +3802,7 @@
     "0x3b7c7cf2f0b713999c46bb0a6f62b7163188ee8b2911202582f5b15e36eac593",
     "0x60fa4448483cd11a25e7b423067816c38b54cd89c06d1488bbe5a8a58e986c11",
     "0x1e57accdae949e5d7408732e4453886dae48058c74200f9562d85f995b655bc5",
+    "0x76458f02a7ab4a1b67bb69318ea3d6aa232987ef07be2b8ff398a91043d659de",
     "0x6e2cb2b239963e4f23636d800d21c085ced677c6380148ff95746a246058e107",
     "0x92220412fe8decdf0a6e340be2f98af672bc7edece26797cd894ebdfbe321b5d",
     "0x06435c1b6dbfa438c77a7099cd8db7df6e8d7b28ca38d8c117989b1a3b64697e",
@@ -6211,7 +6214,7 @@
       "16686602356235900511267666457287992561973903059220978509691578764880532993490": 50.5263,
       "95334970928001310602865771088754831569470932966442793281889923045514976778223": 0.0,
       "77382974998451572749934722393464104010409791351926054975561751009403437520436": 0.0,
-      "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807": 0.0,
+      "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807": 0.0088439999999963,
       "2095727639302065570465180607725469222723131570608498785177886618037154393648": 0.016910000000002867,
       "8020089880920958927009226502257340268216634167927175441316718981939077905748": 0.00888000000001199,
       "73148754771904705789992839223698652347584217442761841171877207189768130833542": 0.0,
@@ -9992,7 +9995,7 @@
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
-    "usd": 7.999987
+    "usd": 8.999985
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -10043,13 +10046,13 @@
     "8020089880920958927009226502257340268216634167927175441316718981939077905748": "0x8f560e5f5f6634d1105432083412c74b5541b5eeddd677ca8e263ce62d05c217",
     "64181675945626372952323128821772321053980258638788461732824523478139203605986": "0x1a76f4fe42919075b4021360354351cd6dcf3b60704540620a675595dcb3a8cf"
   },
-  "cash": 6.518933975098599,
+  "cash": 6.4978595359240385,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 52,
-    "sum_s": 2704.959848880768,
-    "sum_slip_pct": 1.0083118684591912
+    "n": 53,
+    "sum_s": 2708.32150554657,
+    "sum_slip_pct": 1.0172747356162068
   },
-  "fees_paid": 1.6627652480518502,
+  "fees_paid": 1.67546168722641,
   "lag_recent": [
     [
       1784029181.5,
@@ -10150,6 +10153,11 @@
       1784103756.1,
       3.1,
       -0.0
+    ],
+    [
+      1784104030.4,
+      3.4,
+      0.00896
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -11163,20 +11171,20 @@
       "name": "0xbadaf319",
       "outcome": "No",
       "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?",
-      "their_price": 0.771,
-      "my_price": 0.771,
-      "slippage_pct": -0.0,
-      "lag_s": 2.9,
-      "shares": 1.3,
+      "their_price": 0.781,
+      "my_price": 0.788,
+      "slippage_pct": 0.009,
+      "lag_s": 3.4,
+      "shares": 1.27,
       "cost": 1.0,
-      "fee": 0.0069,
-      "opened": 1784103458,
+      "fee": 0.0064,
+      "opened": 1784104027,
       "status": "closed",
-      "exit_price": 0.7749,
-      "pnl": -0.01,
-      "settled": 1784103812,
-      "sold_shares": 1.29,
-      "sold_proceeds": 0.9995590800000002
+      "exit_price": 0.782,
+      "pnl": -0.02,
+      "settled": 1784104035,
+      "sold_shares": 1.26,
+      "sold_proceeds": 0.9852835482
     },
     "73148754771904705789992839223698652347584217442761841171877207189768130833542": {
       "token": "73148754771904705789992839223698652347584217442761841171877207189768130833542",
@@ -11303,6 +11311,27 @@
       "settled": 1784103574,
       "sold_shares": 1.31,
       "sold_proceeds": 0.9844407257
+    },
+    "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807#1784103812": {
+      "token": "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "name": "0xbadaf319",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?",
+      "their_price": 0.771,
+      "my_price": 0.771,
+      "slippage_pct": -0.0,
+      "lag_s": 2.9,
+      "shares": 1.3,
+      "cost": 1.0,
+      "fee": 0.0069,
+      "opened": 1784103458,
+      "status": "closed",
+      "exit_price": 0.7749,
+      "pnl": -0.01,
+      "settled": 1784103812,
+      "sold_shares": 1.29,
+      "sold_proceeds": 0.9995590800000002
     }
   },
   "no_miss_toks": [
@@ -13073,8 +13102,8 @@
       "exit_price": 0.8976
     }
   ],
-  "feed_sig": "0e7d77d0320f0bfc6f55a77bfec90476",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784103741.1295779,
+  "feed_sig": "384746c5885321d0c87e8721c60e915a",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784104001.5623693,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783906689,
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index 3e09662d..2d6375ca 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -5,20 +5,20 @@
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 25.94,
- "cash": 6.52,
+ "cash": 6.5,
  "deployed": 10.59,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": -5.09,
+ "realized": -5.11,
  "adjustments": -0.08,
  "ledger_drift": 0.01,
  "open_count": 7,
- "fees_paid": 1.66,
+ "fees_paid": 1.68,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 52,
-  "n24": 20,
-  "avg_s": 14.6,
-  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0223,
+  "n": 53,
+  "n24": 21,
+  "avg_s": 14.0,
+  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0217,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -43,6 +43,27 @@
   "BikesAreTheBikes": 158.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?",
+   "their_price": 0.781,
+   "my_price": 0.788,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.009,
+   "lag_s": 3.4,
+   "shares": 1.27,
+   "cost": 1.0,
+   "fee": 0.01,
+   "opened": 1784104027,
+   "status": "closed",
+   "exit_price": 0.782,
+   "pnl": -0.02,
+   "settled": 1784104035,
+   "sold_shares": 1.26,
+   "sold_proceeds": 0.99
+  },
   {
    "token": "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2146,5 +2167,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 1040.17,
- "updated": 1784103812
+ "updated": 1784104035
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
index 2545bb2e..e286fd13 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
@@ -1503,3 +1503,7 @@
 {"ts": 1784103766.82, "trade_ts": 1784103762, "lat_s": 4.82, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 73.04, "price": 0.483, "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?", "tx": "0x6721338dd87767289a1f5ff4211e4cf4c95994808b8b1a8793bae5cd017512cd", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784103769.37, "trade_ts": 1784103764, "lat_s": 5.37, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 73.04, "price": 0.483, "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?", "tx": "0xc5bc0b09e62b04431de9c8e645d2d1d8ba6cb678c9d619daf6dc8e43d6f429ed", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784103769.43, "trade_ts": 1784103765, "lat_s": 4.42, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 66.31, "price": 0.757, "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 13-19?", "tx": "0x098ed37445e98e31cc0d0b8c91da6ab72c6a7d4c3c17fe13d7c0e367de276a62", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784104028.11, "trade_ts": 1784104027, "lat_s": 1.11, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 68.898844, "price": 0.7809999976196988, "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?", "tx": "0x2d7dc6aa701d9903f00bfdb920bd2ad8b4a3b96e644dba393c20314eefc24df0", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784104030.42, "trade_ts": 1784104027, "lat_s": 3.42, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 78.828827, "price": 0.1109999898894855, "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?", "tx": "0x4cbdf76be378f2276cb6b08a86fd14f7af99de21a5a19c257e6ed768e8e249de", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784104030.46, "trade_ts": 1784104028, "lat_s": 2.46, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 78.82, "price": 0.324, "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?", "tx": "0x76458f02a7ab4a1b67bb69318ea3d6aa232987ef07be2b8ff398a91043d659de", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784104032.62, "trade_ts": 1784104030, "lat_s": 2.62, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 68.89, "price": 0.787, "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?", "tx": "0xe935c81f239dd3aeac45d850eb874cd74a3f27ec172aa8bcd389729f500adc3a", "seen": false}