From a813ab7cb8b8b1ce0f1da71f853428b8fbaefda0 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: jaxperro Date: Fri, 10 Jul 2026 11:29:24 -0400 Subject: [PATCH] =?UTF-8?q?live:=20daily=20refresh=20=E2=80=94=20skilled?= =?UTF-8?q?=20+=20sharp=20wallets=20[skip=20ci]?= MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit --- live/conviction_wallets.json | 588 ++++++----- live/copybot.paper.json | 14 +- live/dashboard.html | 12 +- live/portfolio.json | 2 +- live/watch_sharps.json | 1872 ++++++++++++++++------------------ live/watch_skilled.json | 402 +++++--- 6 files changed, 1444 insertions(+), 1446 deletions(-) diff --git a/live/conviction_wallets.json b/live/conviction_wallets.json index 4028bc67..e7b0db0a 100644 --- a/live/conviction_wallets.json +++ b/live/conviction_wallets.json @@ -46,14 +46,14 @@ "name": "0x72e15978", "train_win": 99.1, "train_conv_roi": 0.97, - "train_z": 17.89, + "train_z": 17.86, "z_all": 29.09, - "med_stake": 424, + "med_stake": 426, "avg_entry": 0.52, - "train_n": 335, + "train_n": 334, "fwd_win": 98.9, "fwd_conv_roi": 1.07, - "fwd_n": 188 + "fwd_n": 189 }, { "wallet": "0xc78cdeb598f0bb8bae62a80e8134e842b3c44455", @@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ "avg_entry": 0.53, "train_n": 106, "fwd_win": 100.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 1.202, + "fwd_conv_roi": 1.203, "fwd_n": 89 }, { @@ -121,9 +121,9 @@ "med_stake": 80, "avg_entry": 0.63, "train_n": 183, - "fwd_win": 91.8, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.763, - "fwd_n": 61 + "fwd_win": 91.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.767, + "fwd_n": 62 }, { "wallet": "0x1b1879b8c069a92b3cb32659a879cf02721670da", @@ -153,6 +153,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.515, "fwd_n": 34 }, + { + "wallet": "0xf82addf4684c494dff04d634bed736d5039f237f", + "name": "0xf82addf4", + "train_win": 95.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.543, + "train_z": 3.26, + "z_all": 2.96, + "med_stake": 100, + "avg_entry": 0.64, + "train_n": 23, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x945bccea4eeb353bf459e95c7c98ad8f3557e533", "name": "0x945bccea", @@ -198,13 +212,13 @@ { "wallet": "0x04be12cdb4f3f0e43bb78c6145f442ed53411aec", "name": "0x04be12cd", - "train_win": 68.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.52, - "train_z": 3.45, - "z_all": 2.88, - "med_stake": 480, + "train_win": 68.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.51, + "train_z": 3.12, + "z_all": 2.65, + "med_stake": 473, "avg_entry": 0.44, - "train_n": 45, + "train_n": 38, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -223,20 +237,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.028, "fwd_n": 169 }, - { - "wallet": "0x6d2292935570e3fad05b392d49e60699c1024b50", - "name": "0x6d229293", - "train_win": 77.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.46, - "train_z": 2.28, - "z_all": 5.38, - "med_stake": 2739, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 31, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 1 - }, { "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", @@ -247,17 +247,17 @@ "med_stake": 68, "avg_entry": 0.6, "train_n": 81, - "fwd_win": 76.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.113, - "fwd_n": 166 + "fwd_win": 77.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, + "fwd_n": 175 }, { "wallet": "0x8e9eedf20dfa70956d49f608a205e402d9df38e4", "name": "0x8e9eedf2", "train_win": 70.8, "train_conv_roi": 0.439, - "train_z": 4.94, - "z_all": 13.34, + "train_z": 4.95, + "z_all": 13.32, "med_stake": 3505, "avg_entry": 0.62, "train_n": 346, @@ -293,6 +293,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.126, "fwd_n": 191 }, + { + "wallet": "0x88ad3166c6cce6a1bf732050749089273252a1f3", + "name": "0x88ad3166", + "train_win": 89.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.409, + "train_z": 3.81, + "z_all": 3.47, + "med_stake": 58, + "avg_entry": 0.67, + "train_n": 58, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0xbf1040ad7009ed6532f885c2043630d1cedf15ce", "name": "0xbf1040ad", @@ -307,6 +321,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.143, "fwd_n": 10 }, + { + "wallet": "0x5acd5e3552a284932ac6655f8b76379b1497058b", + "name": "0x5acd5e35", + "train_win": 81.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.377, + "train_z": 2.13, + "z_all": 2.28, + "med_stake": 51, + "avg_entry": 0.56, + "train_n": 16, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0xe542afd3881c4c330ba0ebbb603bb470b2ba0a37", "name": "0xe542afd3", @@ -321,20 +349,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.252, "fwd_n": 109 }, - { - "wallet": "0x88ad3166c6cce6a1bf732050749089273252a1f3", - "name": "0x88ad3166", - "train_win": 85.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.357, - "train_z": 3.53, - "z_all": 2.75, - "med_stake": 58, - "avg_entry": 0.67, - "train_n": 71, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", "name": "0xd96750bf", @@ -345,9 +359,9 @@ "med_stake": 138, "avg_entry": 0.56, "train_n": 72, - "fwd_win": 71.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.231, - "fwd_n": 207 + "fwd_win": 71.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.238, + "fwd_n": 210 }, { "wallet": "0x82d2e4dbb0a849ff8e2f5380719769145648beea", @@ -360,8 +374,8 @@ "avg_entry": 0.56, "train_n": 134, "fwd_win": 62.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.169, - "fwd_n": 184 + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.167, + "fwd_n": 192 }, { "wallet": "0xc0b646c3d97e2e86a1bceaa880ad2f628eb33a92", @@ -408,16 +422,16 @@ { "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "0x215adbb6", - "train_win": 71.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.306, - "train_z": 5.84, - "z_all": 4.99, - "med_stake": 395, + "train_win": 71.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.301, + "train_z": 5.76, + "z_all": 4.94, + "med_stake": 398, "avg_entry": 0.57, - "train_n": 293, - "fwd_win": 56.2, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.336, - "fwd_n": 272 + "train_n": 292, + "fwd_win": 56.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.332, + "fwd_n": 275 }, { "wallet": "0x0bd753cbeb82b4dc735fdd84955f99fbaf258553", @@ -433,34 +447,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.013, "fwd_n": 31 }, - { - "wallet": "0x755027f7e982b491a42548263d5a41763e23b512", - "name": "0x755027f7", - "train_win": 66.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.292, - "train_z": 1.83, - "z_all": 2.36, - "med_stake": 96, - "avg_entry": 0.51, - "train_n": 27, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x8c44dcfe1178aa04dfa44e000f5b89a054027baf", - "name": "0x8c44dcfe", - "train_win": 78.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.289, - "train_z": 2.1, - "z_all": 4.71, - "med_stake": 127, - "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 37, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x460d15ce9258fb8ce6a94d984574598d2f1c9d5f", "name": "0x460d15ce", @@ -478,45 +464,31 @@ { "wallet": "0xf6099a9eacfef24a4161bd857fbfbcd36cdfe68b", "name": "0xf6099a9e", - "train_win": 81.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.279, - "train_z": 3.86, - "z_all": 3.55, + "train_win": 82.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.278, + "train_z": 3.89, + "z_all": 3.69, "med_stake": 60, "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 88, - "fwd_win": 75.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.116, - "fwd_n": 257 + "train_n": 89, + "fwd_win": 75.6, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, + "fwd_n": 258 }, { - "wallet": "0xf82addf4684c494dff04d634bed736d5039f237f", - "name": "0xf82addf4", - "train_win": 80.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.258, - "train_z": 1.91, - "z_all": 2.13, - "med_stake": 96, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 30, + "wallet": "0x8c44dcfe1178aa04dfa44e000f5b89a054027baf", + "name": "0x8c44dcfe", + "train_win": 77.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.265, + "train_z": 1.86, + "z_all": 5.01, + "med_stake": 128, + "avg_entry": 0.62, + "train_n": 35, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x098eddabb2d388f31e79aaf525e49588f22a6fa2", - "name": "0x098eddab", - "train_win": 82.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.249, - "train_z": 3.94, - "z_all": 4.01, - "med_stake": 221, - "avg_entry": 0.69, - "train_n": 113, - "fwd_win": 71.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.103, - "fwd_n": 53 - }, { "wallet": "0xed37e7316f6b1b99da8893e0c09cfe0bf1b62f93", "name": "0xed37e731", @@ -532,18 +504,18 @@ "fwd_n": 17 }, { - "wallet": "0x93164f2f061f931cd4d549834d657bb342ffc00c", - "name": "0x93164f2f", - "train_win": 67.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.232, - "train_z": 3.67, - "z_all": 2.2, - "med_stake": 100, - "avg_entry": 0.55, - "train_n": 202, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "wallet": "0x098eddabb2d388f31e79aaf525e49588f22a6fa2", + "name": "0x098eddab", + "train_win": 82.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.241, + "train_z": 3.84, + "z_all": 3.9, + "med_stake": 231, + "avg_entry": 0.69, + "train_n": 112, + "fwd_win": 71.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.103, + "fwd_n": 53 }, { "wallet": "0x2d462b29127b919ae4c085e03be44ae7077e3e2d", @@ -555,9 +527,9 @@ "med_stake": 355, "avg_entry": 0.71, "train_n": 166, - "fwd_win": 66.9, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.448, - "fwd_n": 139 + "fwd_win": 65.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.393, + "fwd_n": 147 }, { "wallet": "0x753e554feb327f9d4f7bff8a6ebdced98fbd2046", @@ -574,18 +546,18 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0x60b8f673ae6baeba664b21c0d01e5c484493d47d", - "name": "0x60b8f673", - "train_win": 80.4, + "wallet": "0x08bfd9feb2e1f1dc0a32e5edec57ef184b818b4d", + "name": "0x08bfd9fe", + "train_win": 67.9, "train_conv_roi": 0.212, - "train_z": 1.86, - "z_all": 2.11, - "med_stake": 215, - "avg_entry": 0.69, - "train_n": 46, - "fwd_win": 71.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.134, - "fwd_n": 14 + "train_z": 3.36, + "z_all": 2.22, + "med_stake": 800, + "avg_entry": 0.55, + "train_n": 159, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", @@ -597,23 +569,9 @@ "med_stake": 293, "avg_entry": 0.59, "train_n": 64, - "fwd_win": 59.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.094, - "fwd_n": 214 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x08bfd9feb2e1f1dc0a32e5edec57ef184b818b4d", - "name": "0x08bfd9fe", - "train_win": 67.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.21, - "train_z": 3.37, - "z_all": 2.71, - "med_stake": 800, - "avg_entry": 0.55, - "train_n": 161, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "fwd_win": 57.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.075, + "fwd_n": 235 }, { "wallet": "0x1cff72c8dddc30a64486fda6eab71ab5f9243984", @@ -629,6 +587,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.122, "fwd_n": 31 }, + { + "wallet": "0x93164f2f061f931cd4d549834d657bb342ffc00c", + "name": "0x93164f2f", + "train_win": 66.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.204, + "train_z": 3.34, + "z_all": 2.03, + "med_stake": 100, + "avg_entry": 0.55, + "train_n": 212, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0xe0b311527157158117b34bb5841dcb45602c4132", "name": "0xe0b31152", @@ -646,16 +618,16 @@ { "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "0x41558102", - "train_win": 85.6, + "train_win": 85.5, "train_conv_roi": 0.198, - "train_z": 4.88, - "z_all": 12.02, - "med_stake": 345, + "train_z": 4.85, + "z_all": 12.0, + "med_stake": 348, "avg_entry": 0.75, - "train_n": 298, - "fwd_win": 89.3, + "train_n": 296, + "fwd_win": 89.4, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.163, - "fwd_n": 253 + "fwd_n": 255 }, { "wallet": "0x3eff118d4bc1742903d9516edf2e3c991600ae12", @@ -681,9 +653,9 @@ "med_stake": 488, "avg_entry": 0.66, "train_n": 139, - "fwd_win": 74.8, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.245, - "fwd_n": 159 + "fwd_win": 75.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.25, + "fwd_n": 160 }, { "wallet": "0x98a5dfa64a24be313adebf9a2c052411f04fd074", @@ -705,13 +677,13 @@ "train_win": 77.3, "train_conv_roi": 0.173, "train_z": 3.83, - "z_all": 4.0, + "z_all": 4.05, "med_stake": 929, "avg_entry": 0.67, "train_n": 247, - "fwd_win": 68.9, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.051, - "fwd_n": 61 + "fwd_win": 69.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.044, + "fwd_n": 63 }, { "wallet": "0xa6a67037b21956e7fbec5bc7e27a076276088651", @@ -727,6 +699,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.409, "fwd_n": 33 }, + { + "wallet": "0x0c3e55cf50a00a7e74fabd8584c6fdde21603c4c", + "name": "0x0c3e55cf", + "train_win": 80.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.161, + "train_z": 3.7, + "z_all": 10.31, + "med_stake": 430, + "avg_entry": 0.72, + "train_n": 267, + "fwd_win": 74.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.033, + "fwd_n": 364 + }, { "wallet": "0x2842d5201b2119d0ec14581fee3c3324bc0c9bab", "name": "0x2842d520", @@ -742,18 +728,18 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0x7ccec29637829abd9e5d6f2cb68d4225c8fa8713", - "name": "0x7ccec296", - "train_win": 69.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.155, - "train_z": 2.62, - "z_all": 2.69, - "med_stake": 775, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 110, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "wallet": "0x13464aabec792c36b062316f474713e681330448", + "name": "0x13464aab", + "train_win": 70.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.154, + "train_z": 3.89, + "z_all": 8.33, + "med_stake": 165, + "avg_entry": 0.62, + "train_n": 344, + "fwd_win": 66.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.2, + "fwd_n": 108 }, { "wallet": "0x46b2f8a865a3572a435813e747e22cce0e835977", @@ -770,18 +756,18 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0x13464aabec792c36b062316f474713e681330448", - "name": "0x13464aab", - "train_win": 69.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.151, - "train_z": 3.82, - "z_all": 8.24, - "med_stake": 165, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 345, - "fwd_win": 66.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.194, - "fwd_n": 104 + "wallet": "0x7ccec29637829abd9e5d6f2cb68d4225c8fa8713", + "name": "0x7ccec296", + "train_win": 68.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.15, + "train_z": 2.57, + "z_all": 2.64, + "med_stake": 785, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 112, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0x1aeebd7b0eb92037a630004f8eabc0759c36c139", @@ -797,62 +783,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.063, "fwd_n": 23 }, - { - "wallet": "0xabc203facb9cc81ba9977c4a19b20f0634007048", - "name": "0xabc203fa", - "train_win": 65.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.138, - "train_z": 3.06, - "z_all": 4.11, - "med_stake": 188, - "avg_entry": 0.56, - "train_n": 231, - "fwd_win": 64.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.011, - "fwd_n": 169 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x98a79b835565d6fbc877121d04020e961325b766", - "name": "0x98a79b83", - "train_win": 80.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.137, - "train_z": 1.93, - "z_all": 2.88, - "med_stake": 336, - "avg_entry": 0.72, - "train_n": 86, - "fwd_win": 73.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.113, - "fwd_n": 130 - }, { "wallet": "0xed61f86bb5298d2f27c21c433ce58d80b88a9aa3", "name": "0xed61f86b", - "train_win": 73.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.136, - "train_z": 3.01, + "train_win": 73.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.137, + "train_z": 3.04, "z_all": 10.3, - "med_stake": 1315, + "med_stake": 1305, "avg_entry": 0.66, - "train_n": 304, + "train_n": 305, "fwd_win": 85.7, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.156, "fwd_n": 21 }, - { - "wallet": "0xc2d9576f67db505cf2e74a9c82b8be2b09f81ef4", - "name": "0xc2d9576f", - "train_win": 65.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.134, - "train_z": 5.88, - "z_all": 2.13, - "med_stake": 190, - "avg_entry": 0.56, - "train_n": 673, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 2 - }, { "wallet": "0x3ab5ad27c676c4be1218397912eab5396e6de56f", "name": "0x3ab5ad27", @@ -881,6 +825,34 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0xc2d9576f67db505cf2e74a9c82b8be2b09f81ef4", + "name": "0xc2d9576f", + "train_win": 65.3, + "train_conv_roi": 0.131, + "train_z": 6.0, + "z_all": 2.17, + "med_stake": 190, + "avg_entry": 0.56, + "train_n": 689, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 1 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1", + "name": "0xa9aca75f", + "train_win": 66.3, + "train_conv_roi": 0.131, + "train_z": 2.98, + "z_all": 2.74, + "med_stake": 1430, + "avg_entry": 0.59, + "train_n": 255, + "fwd_win": 63.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.266, + "fwd_n": 168 + }, { "wallet": "0xc52fead8edac49825f5c52aff6e63cd331980981", "name": "0xc52fead8", @@ -901,13 +873,13 @@ "train_win": 68.6, "train_conv_roi": 0.124, "train_z": 2.45, - "z_all": 3.39, + "z_all": 3.35, "med_stake": 68, "avg_entry": 0.63, "train_n": 344, - "fwd_win": 83.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.118, - "fwd_n": 138 + "fwd_win": 84.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.119, + "fwd_n": 147 }, { "wallet": "0xe74b89a7c41f37460a977a542488429bbe09ee88", @@ -924,18 +896,18 @@ "fwd_n": 53 }, { - "wallet": "0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1", - "name": "0xa9aca75f", - "train_win": 66.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.119, - "train_z": 2.87, - "z_all": 2.67, - "med_stake": 1430, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 254, - "fwd_win": 63.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.271, - "fwd_n": 166 + "wallet": "0x0b9353aea88d01ed1912013b435dd39947d0a6cc", + "name": "0x0b9353ae", + "train_win": 80.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.118, + "train_z": 4.11, + "z_all": 2.05, + "med_stake": 178, + "avg_entry": 0.71, + "train_n": 333, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0x9c5ee2dbc061988546414f0ef376c430c56287da", @@ -971,7 +943,7 @@ "train_win": 76.9, "train_conv_roi": 0.114, "train_z": 2.43, - "z_all": 2.88, + "z_all": 2.87, "med_stake": 6664, "avg_entry": 0.7, "train_n": 225, @@ -989,23 +961,9 @@ "med_stake": 1690, "avg_entry": 0.69, "train_n": 313, - "fwd_win": 70.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.106, - "fwd_n": 139 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x0b9353aea88d01ed1912013b435dd39947d0a6cc", - "name": "0x0b9353ae", - "train_win": 80.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.111, - "train_z": 3.9, - "z_all": 2.03, - "med_stake": 180, - "avg_entry": 0.71, - "train_n": 327, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "fwd_win": 70.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.107, + "fwd_n": 141 }, { "wallet": "0x8fe9f78102c6f550b6bb88ba695e45917df2c6dc", @@ -1027,7 +985,7 @@ "train_win": 69.8, "train_conv_roi": 0.106, "train_z": 3.18, - "z_all": 2.26, + "z_all": 2.22, "med_stake": 223, "avg_entry": 0.62, "train_n": 378, @@ -1059,9 +1017,9 @@ "med_stake": 900, "avg_entry": 0.7, "train_n": 318, - "fwd_win": 56.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.06, - "fwd_n": 163 + "fwd_win": 55.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.072, + "fwd_n": 165 }, { "wallet": "0x3c1e0ca47fda726d4711e193f63c44e20ce29514", @@ -1101,9 +1059,9 @@ "med_stake": 622, "avg_entry": 0.6, "train_n": 180, - "fwd_win": 60.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.077, - "fwd_n": 58 + "fwd_win": 63.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.055, + "fwd_n": 65 }, { "wallet": "0x02a40699b5893d160ac1ae719c0700fb95ca6854", @@ -1120,18 +1078,18 @@ "fwd_n": 72 }, { - "wallet": "0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124", - "name": "0x0d42cc5f", - "train_win": 67.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.023, - "train_z": 2.33, - "z_all": 6.63, - "med_stake": 446, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 383, - "fwd_win": 71.9, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, - "fwd_n": 57 + "wallet": "0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2", + "name": "0x809205fb", + "train_win": 76.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.049, + "train_z": 1.81, + "z_all": 2.98, + "med_stake": 97, + "avg_entry": 0.73, + "train_n": 263, + "fwd_win": 77.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.082, + "fwd_n": 27 }, { "wallet": "0x16abe608bee11347334a2da15b96c185ee8e2f10", @@ -1147,6 +1105,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.135, "fwd_n": 4 }, + { + "wallet": "0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124", + "name": "0x0d42cc5f", + "train_win": 67.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.017, + "train_z": 2.2, + "z_all": 6.61, + "med_stake": 447, + "avg_entry": 0.63, + "train_n": 383, + "fwd_win": 71.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, + "fwd_n": 57 + }, { "wallet": "0x83d9c8fe37f1b5141f3219219403d87f4513651b", "name": "0x83d9c8fe", @@ -1160,5 +1132,19 @@ "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xe1a532a9991cc9ce27174b0296d077f824149dad", + "name": "0xe1a532a9", + "train_win": 70.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.009, + "train_z": 2.88, + "z_all": 3.41, + "med_stake": 130, + "avg_entry": 0.64, + "train_n": 364, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 } ] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot.paper.json b/live/copybot.paper.json index 5bf4526d..c214cae8 100644 --- a/live/copybot.paper.json +++ b/live/copybot.paper.json @@ -8,43 +8,43 @@ "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "LSB1", "class": "volume", - "floor": 262.26 + "floor": 261.31 }, { "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", "name": "imwalkinghere", "class": "volume", - "floor": 121.8 + "floor": 122.43 }, { "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", "name": "Kruto2027", "class": "volume", - "floor": 126.43 + "floor": 125.94 }, { "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "class": "volume", - "floor": 45.21 + "floor": 44.38 }, { "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "class": "volume", - "floor": 351.5 + "floor": 397.8 }, { "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "name": "AIcAIc", "class": "volume", - "floor": 295.86 + "floor": 298.64 }, { "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "class": "volume", - "floor": 323.3 + "floor": 322.02 } ], "follow": { diff --git a/live/dashboard.html b/live/dashboard.html index c46d35e0..4baec3dc 100644 --- a/live/dashboard.html +++ b/live/dashboard.html @@ -36,12 +36,12 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de .b{color:var(--green)}.s{color:var(--red)}

Skilled Wallets · Polymarket

-

33 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-07-09 12:42

+

42 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-07-10 11:29

-
Validated wallets
33
-
Median z
4.7
-
Median OOS z
3.1
-
Value / longshot
23
+
Validated wallets
42
+
Median z
4.6
+
Median OOS z
3.2
+
Value / longshot
28
Favorite-rider
6
@@ -68,7 +68,7 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de

How to read it. z = how far the wallet beat the prices it paid (skill; >3 is strong). OOS z = whether that skill held on held-out bets — the gate that separates real edge from luck. Alpha 0.2–0.4 = share of bets in the underdog value zone where research finds real edge concentrates. Value wallets win by beating longshot/mid prices (the copyable alpha); Favorite-rider wallets post high win rates buying near-certain favorites (real but thin, hard to copy). Click any row for live recent trades. Not financial advice — split-half OOS, forward-track before sizing.