From a7b782cda8e2492fac6d0808b43cd258699808e1 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: jaxperro Date: Mon, 6 Jul 2026 14:50:07 -0400 Subject: [PATCH] =?UTF-8?q?live:=20daily=20refresh=20=E2=80=94=20skilled?= =?UTF-8?q?=20+=20sharp=20wallets=20[skip=20ci]?= MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit --- live/conviction_wallets.json | 748 +++++++++-------- live/dashboard.html | 14 +- live/portfolio.json | 2 +- live/watch_sharps.json | 1485 +++++++++++++++++----------------- live/watch_skilled.json | 116 ++- 5 files changed, 1221 insertions(+), 1144 deletions(-) diff --git a/live/conviction_wallets.json b/live/conviction_wallets.json index c1e58d63..c9924075 100644 --- a/live/conviction_wallets.json +++ b/live/conviction_wallets.json @@ -39,18 +39,18 @@ "train_n": 79, "fwd_win": 100.0, "fwd_conv_roi": 1.146, - "fwd_n": 16 + "fwd_n": 19 }, { "wallet": "0x72e1597864456eda62878413cf3e60c332e4a45d", "name": "0x72e15978", "train_win": 99.1, "train_conv_roi": 0.971, - "train_z": 17.98, + "train_z": 18.01, "z_all": 29.09, - "med_stake": 422, + "med_stake": 419, "avg_entry": 0.52, - "train_n": 338, + "train_n": 339, "fwd_win": 99.4, "fwd_conv_roi": 1.08, "fwd_n": 154 @@ -58,13 +58,13 @@ { "wallet": "0x99292fe5c401a3a2b8df0e65e6e7df0b5ab6919e", "name": "0x99292fe5", - "train_win": 81.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.82, - "train_z": 11.37, - "z_all": 5.86, - "med_stake": 444, + "train_win": 81.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.826, + "train_z": 10.76, + "z_all": 5.55, + "med_stake": 441, "avg_entry": 0.45, - "train_n": 239, + "train_n": 215, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -94,19 +94,19 @@ "avg_entry": 0.53, "train_n": 106, "fwd_win": 100.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 1.213, - "fwd_n": 83 + "fwd_conv_roi": 1.203, + "fwd_n": 88 }, { "wallet": "0x2ba9075a4393227d4f1bee910725a6706de0b078", "name": "0x2ba9075a", "train_win": 79.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.699, - "train_z": 10.02, - "z_all": 4.56, - "med_stake": 426, + "train_conv_roi": 0.7, + "train_z": 9.6, + "z_all": 4.34, + "med_stake": 424, "avg_entry": 0.47, - "train_n": 227, + "train_n": 207, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -135,9 +135,9 @@ "med_stake": 311, "avg_entry": 0.47, "train_n": 258, - "fwd_win": 78.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.523, - "fwd_n": 56 + "fwd_win": 78.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.52, + "fwd_n": 57 }, { "wallet": "0xfc81760d44a21acc9fd4b749a5bf9a9b2eeae072", @@ -156,13 +156,13 @@ { "wallet": "0x04be12cdb4f3f0e43bb78c6145f442ed53411aec", "name": "0x04be12cd", - "train_win": 68.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.589, - "train_z": 9.56, - "z_all": 9.35, - "med_stake": 487, + "train_win": 68.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.595, + "train_z": 8.91, + "z_all": 8.39, + "med_stake": 491, "avg_entry": 0.42, - "train_n": 307, + "train_n": 257, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -181,20 +181,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x49818089c6e2755e0e300a48a8dc4747cf9cd2b4", - "name": "0x49818089", - "train_win": 75.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.576, - "train_z": 2.52, - "z_all": 2.43, - "med_stake": 109, - "avg_entry": 0.48, - "train_n": 20, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x0a548e78f65c6e2fc91514aa812f8062575c7c49", "name": "0x0a548e78", @@ -209,20 +195,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.515, "fwd_n": 34 }, - { - "wallet": "0x9def39cb6f7f37a9bdd91c444e4c200778576eac", - "name": "0x9def39cb", - "train_win": 84.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.544, - "train_z": 5.24, - "z_all": 7.31, - "med_stake": 910, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 82, - "fwd_win": 38.2, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.147, - "fwd_n": 76 - }, { "wallet": "0x945bccea4eeb353bf459e95c7c98ad8f3557e533", "name": "0x945bccea", @@ -265,13 +237,27 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x9def39cb6f7f37a9bdd91c444e4c200778576eac", + "name": "0x9def39cb", + "train_win": 81.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.491, + "train_z": 4.62, + "z_all": 7.15, + "med_stake": 816, + "avg_entry": 0.57, + "train_n": 79, + "fwd_win": 38.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.146, + "fwd_n": 78 + }, { "wallet": "0x8e9eedf20dfa70956d49f608a205e402d9df38e4", "name": "0x8e9eedf2", "train_win": 70.8, "train_conv_roi": 0.439, "train_z": 4.94, - "z_all": 13.24, + "z_all": 13.34, "med_stake": 3505, "avg_entry": 0.62, "train_n": 346, @@ -303,9 +289,9 @@ "med_stake": 171, "avg_entry": 0.52, "train_n": 34, - "fwd_win": 64.2, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.112, - "fwd_n": 176 + "fwd_win": 63.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.104, + "fwd_n": 180 }, { "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -313,13 +299,27 @@ "train_win": 74.7, "train_conv_roi": 0.414, "train_z": 3.16, - "z_all": 4.22, + "z_all": 4.35, "med_stake": 68, "avg_entry": 0.6, "train_n": 79, - "fwd_win": 76.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.124, - "fwd_n": 154 + "fwd_win": 76.2, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.132, + "fwd_n": 160 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x6d2292935570e3fad05b392d49e60699c1024b50", + "name": "0x6d229293", + "train_win": 78.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.401, + "train_z": 2.67, + "z_all": 4.43, + "med_stake": 3250, + "avg_entry": 0.62, + "train_n": 51, + "fwd_win": 66.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.018, + "fwd_n": 3 }, { "wallet": "0xe542afd3881c4c330ba0ebbb603bb470b2ba0a37", @@ -327,7 +327,7 @@ "train_win": 68.2, "train_conv_roi": 0.376, "train_z": 7.94, - "z_all": 14.36, + "z_all": 14.38, "med_stake": 841, "avg_entry": 0.53, "train_n": 484, @@ -345,23 +345,9 @@ "med_stake": 2439, "avg_entry": 0.56, "train_n": 134, - "fwd_win": 64.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.203, - "fwd_n": 156 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x6d2292935570e3fad05b392d49e60699c1024b50", - "name": "0x6d229293", - "train_win": 76.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.355, - "train_z": 2.43, - "z_all": 4.63, - "med_stake": 3060, - "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 55, - "fwd_win": 66.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.018, - "fwd_n": 3 + "fwd_win": 63.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.188, + "fwd_n": 159 }, { "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", @@ -373,23 +359,23 @@ "med_stake": 138, "avg_entry": 0.56, "train_n": 72, - "fwd_win": 72.1, + "fwd_win": 72.2, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.257, - "fwd_n": 179 + "fwd_n": 198 }, { - "wallet": "0xc0b646c3d97e2e86a1bceaa880ad2f628eb33a92", - "name": "0xc0b646c3", - "train_win": 75.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.32, - "train_z": 2.3, - "z_all": 2.98, - "med_stake": 160, + "wallet": "0x88ad3166c6cce6a1bf732050749089273252a1f3", + "name": "0x88ad3166", + "train_win": 70.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.322, + "train_z": 5.62, + "z_all": 5.58, + "med_stake": 57, "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 36, - "fwd_win": 64.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.037, - "fwd_n": 39 + "train_n": 375, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0xc904211fd4412d5caa0b51f923304bf5e1821e9a", @@ -397,7 +383,7 @@ "train_win": 78.9, "train_conv_roi": 0.309, "train_z": 2.36, - "z_all": 4.14, + "z_all": 4.05, "med_stake": 108, "avg_entry": 0.73, "train_n": 152, @@ -405,20 +391,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x8c44dcfe1178aa04dfa44e000f5b89a054027baf", - "name": "0x8c44dcfe", - "train_win": 79.5, - "train_conv_roi": 0.309, - "train_z": 4.64, - "z_all": 6.9, - "med_stake": 116, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 166, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x69b9bd4fa27813091fcfe726541f2fd7baa3a5d5", "name": "0x69b9bd4f", @@ -433,6 +405,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.119, "fwd_n": 73 }, + { + "wallet": "0x098eddabb2d388f31e79aaf525e49588f22a6fa2", + "name": "0x098eddab", + "train_win": 82.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.308, + "train_z": 4.27, + "z_all": 3.44, + "med_stake": 211, + "avg_entry": 0.67, + "train_n": 99, + "fwd_win": 76.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.048, + "fwd_n": 34 + }, { "wallet": "0x0bd753cbeb82b4dc735fdd84955f99fbaf258553", "name": "0x0bd753cb", @@ -447,16 +433,44 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.013, "fwd_n": 31 }, + { + "wallet": "0xc0b646c3d97e2e86a1bceaa880ad2f628eb33a92", + "name": "0xc0b646c3", + "train_win": 75.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.295, + "train_z": 2.05, + "z_all": 2.39, + "med_stake": 166, + "avg_entry": 0.6, + "train_n": 29, + "fwd_win": 62.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.025, + "fwd_n": 35 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x1262247f4d8b64274ece92a47e294ef81ae22fc9", + "name": "0x1262247f", + "train_win": 72.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.291, + "train_z": 3.33, + "z_all": 8.14, + "med_stake": 60, + "avg_entry": 0.6, + "train_n": 145, + "fwd_win": 78.6, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.125, + "fwd_n": 322 + }, { "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "0x215adbb6", - "train_win": 71.9, + "train_win": 71.5, "train_conv_roi": 0.29, - "train_z": 5.93, - "z_all": 4.84, + "train_z": 5.89, + "z_all": 4.85, "med_stake": 388, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 313, + "avg_entry": 0.57, + "train_n": 309, "fwd_win": 61.4, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.205, "fwd_n": 236 @@ -476,33 +490,19 @@ "fwd_n": 11 }, { - "wallet": "0x88ad3166c6cce6a1bf732050749089273252a1f3", - "name": "0x88ad3166", - "train_win": 69.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.277, - "train_z": 5.17, - "z_all": 5.68, - "med_stake": 58, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 420, + "wallet": "0x8c44dcfe1178aa04dfa44e000f5b89a054027baf", + "name": "0x8c44dcfe", + "train_win": 78.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.273, + "train_z": 3.55, + "z_all": 6.62, + "med_stake": 118, + "avg_entry": 0.64, + "train_n": 134, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x098eddabb2d388f31e79aaf525e49588f22a6fa2", - "name": "0x098eddab", - "train_win": 82.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.276, - "train_z": 4.13, - "z_all": 3.61, - "med_stake": 233, - "avg_entry": 0.68, - "train_n": 110, - "fwd_win": 78.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.088, - "fwd_n": 32 - }, { "wallet": "0xd6a21015449cb457cc62c4398eadd9e5b3911228", "name": "0xd6a21015", @@ -520,30 +520,16 @@ { "wallet": "0xf6099a9eacfef24a4161bd857fbfbcd36cdfe68b", "name": "0xf6099a9e", - "train_win": 81.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.27, - "train_z": 3.8, - "z_all": 3.65, - "med_stake": 59, - "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 91, - "fwd_win": 75.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, - "fwd_n": 268 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xfa0be712f974eb9933427c2202d1ae2561571001", - "name": "0xfa0be712", - "train_win": 72.3, + "train_win": 81.1, "train_conv_roi": 0.259, - "train_z": 4.73, - "z_all": 8.99, - "med_stake": 324, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 249, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "train_z": 3.63, + "z_all": 3.47, + "med_stake": 60, + "avg_entry": 0.65, + "train_n": 90, + "fwd_win": 75.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.112, + "fwd_n": 259 }, { "wallet": "0xed37e7316f6b1b99da8893e0c09cfe0bf1b62f93", @@ -563,26 +549,12 @@ "wallet": "0xa5427f80816486ad3e4c80aad9711f87b8b5172c", "name": "0xa5427f80", "train_win": 81.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.244, - "train_z": 4.77, - "z_all": 2.61, - "med_stake": 132, - "avg_entry": 0.64, - "train_n": 160, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xed61f86bb5298d2f27c21c433ce58d80b88a9aa3", - "name": "0xed61f86b", - "train_win": 87.2, "train_conv_roi": 0.236, - "train_z": 2.15, - "z_all": 5.21, - "med_stake": 500, - "avg_entry": 0.75, - "train_n": 47, + "train_z": 4.71, + "z_all": 2.59, + "med_stake": 132, + "avg_entry": 0.65, + "train_n": 160, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -590,13 +562,13 @@ { "wallet": "0x1f2ea878eece1493f887f6ad99fd41cbe68a1730", "name": "0x1f2ea878", - "train_win": 84.5, - "train_conv_roi": 0.226, - "train_z": 7.67, - "z_all": 3.45, - "med_stake": 111, + "train_win": 84.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.229, + "train_z": 7.72, + "z_all": 3.43, + "med_stake": 110, "avg_entry": 0.68, - "train_n": 400, + "train_n": 397, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -677,7 +649,7 @@ "train_win": 85.8, "train_conv_roi": 0.198, "train_z": 4.98, - "z_all": 12.38, + "z_all": 12.34, "med_stake": 339, "avg_entry": 0.75, "train_n": 310, @@ -685,6 +657,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.158, "fwd_n": 230 }, + { + "wallet": "0x3621b2b189bfeada31f2de84065a51b81b6f2d2d", + "name": "0x3621b2b1", + "train_win": 74.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.195, + "train_z": 2.14, + "z_all": 2.0, + "med_stake": 281, + "avg_entry": 0.59, + "train_n": 39, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x3eff118d4bc1742903d9516edf2e3c991600ae12", "name": "0x3eff118d", @@ -699,6 +685,34 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0xfa0be712f974eb9933427c2202d1ae2561571001", + "name": "0xfa0be712", + "train_win": 67.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.187, + "train_z": 2.83, + "z_all": 6.41, + "med_stake": 327, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 173, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xc684828f6b03487759ced2ebdd975f91f3532228", + "name": "0xc684828f", + "train_win": 77.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.181, + "train_z": 3.97, + "z_all": 4.03, + "med_stake": 911, + "avg_entry": 0.67, + "train_n": 247, + "fwd_win": 68.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.051, + "fwd_n": 61 + }, { "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "0xa1d57d32", @@ -709,9 +723,9 @@ "med_stake": 488, "avg_entry": 0.66, "train_n": 139, - "fwd_win": 74.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.201, - "fwd_n": 143 + "fwd_win": 74.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.249, + "fwd_n": 153 }, { "wallet": "0x98a5dfa64a24be313adebf9a2c052411f04fd074", @@ -727,20 +741,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.518, "fwd_n": 7 }, - { - "wallet": "0xc684828f6b03487759ced2ebdd975f91f3532228", - "name": "0xc684828f", - "train_win": 77.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.173, - "train_z": 3.83, - "z_all": 4.0, - "med_stake": 921, - "avg_entry": 0.67, - "train_n": 246, - "fwd_win": 67.8, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.066, - "fwd_n": 59 - }, { "wallet": "0xa6a67037b21956e7fbec5bc7e27a076276088651", "name": "0xa6a67037", @@ -798,32 +798,46 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0x13659c6a1aacd0e3bcb022e06261fff367f6c82a", - "name": "0x13659c6a", - "train_win": 70.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.15, - "train_z": 2.85, - "z_all": 2.1, - "med_stake": 1495, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 237, - "fwd_win": 63.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.01, - "fwd_n": 184 + "wallet": "0xfdf2da3ea2c095d8f91aa24256bd862006e1225e", + "name": "0xfdf2da3e", + "train_win": 65.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.152, + "train_z": 3.14, + "z_all": 2.63, + "med_stake": 181, + "avg_entry": 0.54, + "train_n": 146, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0x13464aabec792c36b062316f474713e681330448", "name": "0x13464aab", - "train_win": 69.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.143, - "train_z": 3.69, - "z_all": 8.14, - "med_stake": 165, + "train_win": 70.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.149, + "train_z": 3.7, + "z_all": 8.08, + "med_stake": 166, "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 354, - "fwd_win": 68.8, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.182, - "fwd_n": 93 + "train_n": 351, + "fwd_win": 66.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.145, + "fwd_n": 96 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x13659c6a1aacd0e3bcb022e06261fff367f6c82a", + "name": "0x13659c6a", + "train_win": 69.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.141, + "train_z": 2.74, + "z_all": 2.29, + "med_stake": 1523, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 226, + "fwd_win": 63.2, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.013, + "fwd_n": 182 }, { "wallet": "0x3ab5ad27c676c4be1218397912eab5396e6de56f", @@ -870,27 +884,41 @@ { "wallet": "0xb8f6c79e452d7247d0cf47d16eaf7911953c4f7f", "name": "0xb8f6c79e", - "train_win": 68.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.118, - "train_z": 2.31, + "train_win": 68.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.121, + "train_z": 2.38, "z_all": 3.44, "med_stake": 67, "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 346, - "fwd_win": 82.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.117, - "fwd_n": 132 + "train_n": 345, + "fwd_win": 83.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, + "fwd_n": 136 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xe74b89a7c41f37460a977a542488429bbe09ee88", + "name": "0xe74b89a7", + "train_win": 68.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.12, + "train_z": 2.03, + "z_all": 5.19, + "med_stake": 690, + "avg_entry": 0.62, + "train_n": 182, + "fwd_win": 56.6, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.123, + "fwd_n": 53 }, { "wallet": "0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1", "name": "0x8f692690", - "train_win": 77.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.117, - "train_z": 2.4, - "z_all": 3.12, - "med_stake": 6650, + "train_win": 77.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.118, + "train_z": 2.42, + "z_all": 3.07, + "med_stake": 6625, "avg_entry": 0.71, - "train_n": 222, + "train_n": 223, "fwd_win": 59.4, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.036, "fwd_n": 64 @@ -900,14 +928,14 @@ "name": "0xa9aca75f", "train_win": 66.0, "train_conv_roi": 0.117, - "train_z": 2.89, - "z_all": 2.77, + "train_z": 2.91, + "z_all": 2.75, "med_stake": 1400, "avg_entry": 0.59, "train_n": 256, - "fwd_win": 65.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.196, - "fwd_n": 157 + "fwd_win": 64.2, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.282, + "fwd_n": 162 }, { "wallet": "0x9c5ee2dbc061988546414f0ef376c430c56287da", @@ -933,20 +961,20 @@ "med_stake": 325, "avg_entry": 0.71, "train_n": 155, - "fwd_win": 78.2, + "fwd_win": 77.9, "fwd_conv_roi": -0.023, - "fwd_n": 202 + "fwd_n": 204 }, { "wallet": "0x23f544a1f92150f25ebafae0e40f5db448b37a6e", "name": "0x23f544a1", - "train_win": 72.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.115, + "train_win": 72.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.116, "train_z": 2.62, - "z_all": 2.28, - "med_stake": 466, + "z_all": 2.23, + "med_stake": 465, "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 259, + "train_n": 257, "fwd_win": 78.6, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.065, "fwd_n": 98 @@ -961,9 +989,23 @@ "med_stake": 1690, "avg_entry": 0.69, "train_n": 313, - "fwd_win": 71.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.133, - "fwd_n": 122 + "fwd_win": 70.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.097, + "fwd_n": 130 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xab417c0bacc9fe17368d5d662c957f54a1fcc453", + "name": "0xab417c0b", + "train_win": 70.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.108, + "train_z": 3.36, + "z_all": 2.29, + "med_stake": 221, + "avg_entry": 0.63, + "train_n": 389, + "fwd_win": 64.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.122, + "fwd_n": 220 }, { "wallet": "0x8fe9f78102c6f550b6bb88ba695e45917df2c6dc", @@ -980,18 +1022,18 @@ "fwd_n": 5 }, { - "wallet": "0xab417c0bacc9fe17368d5d662c957f54a1fcc453", - "name": "0xab417c0b", - "train_win": 70.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.106, - "train_z": 3.34, - "z_all": 2.35, - "med_stake": 221, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 391, - "fwd_win": 64.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.128, - "fwd_n": 217 + "wallet": "0xb98eaac2a5fd3ee9dfad64c0af1e5f59da578823", + "name": "0xb98eaac2", + "train_win": 80.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.105, + "train_z": 1.93, + "z_all": 2.56, + "med_stake": 1111, + "avg_entry": 0.72, + "train_n": 95, + "fwd_win": 60.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.329, + "fwd_n": 10 }, { "wallet": "0x46505242a39685d82de798a83da3f4a6fda0f3f0", @@ -1021,20 +1063,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.049, "fwd_n": 161 }, - { - "wallet": "0x87909a89ee551c8616e5bff9089c81545bfd010b", - "name": "0x87909a89", - "train_win": 69.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.101, - "train_z": 2.33, - "z_all": 4.14, - "med_stake": 5479, - "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 210, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 2 - }, { "wallet": "0x3c1e0ca47fda726d4711e193f63c44e20ce29514", "name": "0x3c1e0ca4", @@ -1049,47 +1077,47 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.028, "fwd_n": 296 }, - { - "wallet": "0xd67ba35aef659c872377a5ac2becb7ada7f85780", - "name": "0xd67ba35a", - "train_win": 78.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.084, - "train_z": 1.85, - "z_all": 2.42, - "med_stake": 2988, - "avg_entry": 0.73, - "train_n": 151, - "fwd_win": 75.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, - "fwd_n": 52 - }, { "wallet": "0x3746dc1ec0dc01352dc141b310e5da81fd7ea99f", "name": "0x3746dc1e", - "train_win": 68.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.081, - "train_z": 3.3, - "z_all": 2.38, - "med_stake": 51, - "avg_entry": 0.6, - "train_n": 350, + "train_win": 69.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.092, + "train_z": 3.32, + "z_all": 2.07, + "med_stake": 52, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 304, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0x94f471f68396ff4a3cab8cb5c47c86274b8b77a2", - "name": "0x94f471f6", - "train_win": 68.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.077, - "train_z": 2.04, - "z_all": 2.21, - "med_stake": 660, + "wallet": "0x87909a89ee551c8616e5bff9089c81545bfd010b", + "name": "0x87909a89", + "train_win": 70.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.09, + "train_z": 2.08, + "z_all": 3.65, + "med_stake": 5601, "avg_entry": 0.64, - "train_n": 301, - "fwd_win": 64.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.047, - "fwd_n": 84 + "train_n": 184, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 2 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xd67ba35aef659c872377a5ac2becb7ada7f85780", + "name": "0xd67ba35a", + "train_win": 78.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.084, + "train_z": 1.85, + "z_all": 2.38, + "med_stake": 2988, + "avg_entry": 0.73, + "train_n": 151, + "fwd_win": 75.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.129, + "fwd_n": 53 }, { "wallet": "0xe0a2f29b1fadb2259111bbeca392d3805ec4a349", @@ -1101,20 +1129,34 @@ "med_stake": 622, "avg_entry": 0.6, "train_n": 180, - "fwd_win": 60.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.08, - "fwd_n": 48 + "fwd_win": 58.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.112, + "fwd_n": 51 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x94f471f68396ff4a3cab8cb5c47c86274b8b77a2", + "name": "0x94f471f6", + "train_win": 68.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.074, + "train_z": 1.96, + "z_all": 2.25, + "med_stake": 660, + "avg_entry": 0.64, + "train_n": 299, + "fwd_win": 64.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.047, + "fwd_n": 84 }, { "wallet": "0x3a847382ad6fff9be1db4e073fd9b869f6884d44", "name": "0x3a847382", "train_win": 68.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.064, - "train_z": 3.74, - "z_all": 2.37, - "med_stake": 711, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 346, + "train_conv_roi": 0.063, + "train_z": 3.47, + "z_all": 2.32, + "med_stake": 705, + "avg_entry": 0.6, + "train_n": 318, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -1122,41 +1164,55 @@ { "wallet": "0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2", "name": "0x809205fb", - "train_win": 76.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.056, - "train_z": 2.02, + "train_win": 76.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.057, + "train_z": 2.04, "z_all": 2.96, "med_stake": 97, "avg_entry": 0.73, - "train_n": 259, + "train_n": 260, "fwd_win": 77.8, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.082, "fwd_n": 27 }, { - "wallet": "0x1dd17e22aaf80db74706d3771843aeba576fc5eb", - "name": "0x1dd17e22", - "train_win": 66.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.055, - "train_z": 2.77, - "z_all": 3.59, - "med_stake": 1058, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 335, + "wallet": "0xa85ce6075994cf3e069feeb2ccd9667608533463", + "name": "0xa85ce607", + "train_win": 70.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.057, + "train_z": 3.53, + "z_all": 3.84, + "med_stake": 162, + "avg_entry": 0.62, + "train_n": 299, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0xa85ce6075994cf3e069feeb2ccd9667608533463", - "name": "0xa85ce607", - "train_win": 69.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.047, - "train_z": 3.19, - "z_all": 3.93, - "med_stake": 160, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 317, + "wallet": "0x1dd17e22aaf80db74706d3771843aeba576fc5eb", + "name": "0x1dd17e22", + "train_win": 65.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.024, + "train_z": 2.11, + "z_all": 3.68, + "med_stake": 1079, + "avg_entry": 0.6, + "train_n": 257, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xe1a532a9991cc9ce27174b0296d077f824149dad", + "name": "0xe1a532a9", + "train_win": 72.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.024, + "train_z": 2.53, + "z_all": 3.88, + "med_stake": 142, + "avg_entry": 0.65, + "train_n": 189, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -1178,15 +1234,15 @@ { "wallet": "0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124", "name": "0x0d42cc5f", - "train_win": 67.3, + "train_win": 67.2, "train_conv_roi": 0.012, "train_z": 2.15, "z_all": 5.8, - "med_stake": 418, + "med_stake": 419, "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 355, - "fwd_win": 73.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.14, - "fwd_n": 57 + "train_n": 354, + "fwd_win": 72.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.135, + "fwd_n": 59 } ] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/dashboard.html b/live/dashboard.html index b3a945d7..4dd8a94b 100644 --- a/live/dashboard.html +++ b/live/dashboard.html @@ -36,13 +36,13 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de .b{color:var(--green)}.s{color:var(--red)}

Skilled Wallets · Polymarket

-

22 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-07-05 12:57

+

21 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-07-06 14:50

-
Validated wallets
22
-
Median z
5.5
-
Median OOS z
4.1
-
Value / longshot
18
-
Favorite-rider
2
+
Validated wallets
21
+
Median z
5.6
+
Median OOS z
4.2
+
Value / longshot
16
+
Favorite-rider
3
@@ -68,7 +68,7 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de

How to read it. z = how far the wallet beat the prices it paid (skill; >3 is strong). OOS z = whether that skill held on held-out bets — the gate that separates real edge from luck. Alpha 0.2–0.4 = share of bets in the underdog value zone where research finds real edge concentrates. Value wallets win by beating longshot/mid prices (the copyable alpha); Favorite-rider wallets post high win rates buying near-certain favorites (real but thin, hard to copy). Click any row for live recent trades. Not financial advice — split-half OOS, forward-track before sizing.