diff --git a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl index 7fafe3be..6e7c9ce3 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl @@ -360,3 +360,4 @@ {"ts": 1784908522.9, "side": "SELL", "token": "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978", "shares": 1.26, "price": 0.953, "fee": 0.0017, "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1784908683.4, "side": "SELL", "token": "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978", "shares": 0.03, "price": 0.993, "fee": 0.0, "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1784908779.4, "side": "SELL", "token": "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978", "shares": 0.07, "price": 0.981, "fee": 0.0, "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1784923243.8, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "5506960250160396168975872633831816223181816814113506849144916695207660278211", "name": "1kto1m", "outcome": "Down", "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", "detect_lag_s": 1.8, "their_price": 0.5, "my_price": 0.5, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 4.74, "cost": 2.37, "fee": 0.0355, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": null, "ba": 0.5, "spread": null, "bid5c": null, "ask5c": 964.24}, "maker": true} diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl index e31f84a0..9691e268 100644 --- a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl @@ -102,3 +102,5 @@ {"ts": 1784922020.1, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1784922345.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1784922671.1, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1784923005.2, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1784923326.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json index 6cdfba7e..8b8cac3a 100644 --- a/copybot_state.live.json +++ b/copybot_state.live.json @@ -1,8 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783572616.4091802, "seen_tx": [ - "0xb3cdc042419e9c8658b8606cc97b486b136c6b2f571ba7fd18cea697a11aaa4d", - "0x15394cc362681e39ada2cbd91dc9dd0ab6dbf8ff99891ffec0ca5ade9ffd96db", "0xa4b70b5956455e97193a4364af9c09bf2f855da8ac5d32794c62b6a18fd154ea", "0x75c52a1b8057e189129725ed982d03e7f021bf28ae966b52f1aaf9dd2e2c739b", "0x66999411d3398e2f30dc08c0cee5da8d9dc9235ff81c6bcc5d390fd739cbaf7a", @@ -5000,7 +4998,9 @@ "0x176382f15cf9063a70323255166ba4cab1ab7ed724e4524d9d157283591db7c9", "0x4bffcad0e5b51eb3aaa322a2b4ddd7fc960371e7076dc4c803cea16c055eeb5f", "0x4a3634195b4948216657758d18880bd9c2acbf3475e75660b5c6b9fb277dfea3", - "0xe0666ee60f67ccc2dbe10ce9ba4edce2adc450cc3fd6b0082a7f4c47245cb6ca" + "0xe0666ee60f67ccc2dbe10ce9ba4edce2adc450cc3fd6b0082a7f4c47245cb6ca", + "0xaabb0a8a2bb63fe4694dd46124325994e712679f8b37fdb7a44d083d52d16c28", + "0x765899cb0820b793bf334b1861041cf06a329b5123361e779a807afb33d5799f" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -7342,7 +7342,8 @@ "9287176329658086254229244038643916434031076655796160064021171776320847465234": 0.0, "92254305598823024250960238040448037686318555998337518675099218136944109207567": 0.0, "88766089494926476951601164418158489633153099045978724875702186558036791873991": 0.0, - 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"feed_sig": "4323e65e9b72b4aa2364a86460ced12e", - "feed_pushed_at": 1784922672.2902882, + "feed_sig": "d62a035ed98499e9333bb9ec46cdf825", + "feed_pushed_at": 1784923199.977844, "adjustments": [ { "ts": 1783906689, @@ -19215,7 +19236,7 @@ "6457952357077230044054791268159160058712529625831041550558183767114352456975": 1, "61895825019286928316753689208545457497714235075046708292847356747636406191670": 1, "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 1, - "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 102 + "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 104 }, "trade_cursor": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970, @@ -19224,7 +19245,7 @@ "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784920306, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784886999, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784904358, - "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784922669, + "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784923242, "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784916631, "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1784865762 }, @@ -19233,12 +19254,12 @@ "ts": 1784914813 }, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784908779, - "side": "SELL", - "price": 0.981, - "shares": 0.07, - "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?", - "outcome": "Yes" + "ts": 1784923243, + "side": "BUY", + "price": 0.5, + "shares": 4.74, + "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", + "outcome": "Down" }, "ignored_exits": [ { @@ -20798,6 +20819,36 @@ "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live" + }, + { + "ts": 1784923005.2, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.87, + "shares_held": 3.4789, + "cost_held": 2.47, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "live" + }, + { + "ts": 1784923326.4, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.87, + "shares_held": 3.4789, + "cost_held": 2.47, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "live" } ], "maker_stats": { diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json index 47b9d5c4..c7d956f2 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json @@ -5,20 +5,20 @@ "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 63.02, - "cash": 27.98, - "deployed": 31.3, + "cash": 25.58, + "deployed": 33.67, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": -16.58, + "realized": -16.61, "adjustments": 9.44, "ledger_drift": 0.02, - "open_count": 15, - "fees_paid": 3.33, + "open_count": 16, + "fees_paid": 3.37, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 116, - "n24": 4, - "avg_s": 4.5, - "avg_slip_pct": -0.0022, + "n": 117, + "n24": 5, + "avg_s": 3.9, + "avg_slip_pct": -0.0018, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -49,6 +49,26 @@ "JuiceFarm": 752.73 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "5506960250160396168975872633831816223181816814113506849144916695207660278211", + "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", + "name": "1kto1m", + "outcome": "Down", + "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", + "their_price": 0.5, + "my_price": 0.5, + "slippage_pct": 0.0, + "lag_s": 1.8, + "shares": 4.74, + "cost": 2.37, + "fee": 0.04, + "opened": 1784923242, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "end_ts": 1784851200 + }, { "token": "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -2088,26 +2108,6 @@ "sold_shares": 4.52, "sold_proceeds": 1.38, "note": "2026-07-13 corrected from chain fills (phantom-sell incident)" - }, - { - "token": "67314542042181807230524008268090407287895594712641843494670955324585909703902", - "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", - "name": "AIcAIc", - "outcome": "Hanwha Life Esports", - "title": "Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)", - "their_price": 0.6467, - "my_price": 0.66, - "slippage_pct": 0.0205, - "shares": 1.54, - "cost": 1.02, - "fee": 0.01, - "opened": 1783841984, - "status": "closed", - "exit_price": 0.5928, - "pnl": -0.12, - "settled": 1783842020, - "sold_shares": 1.53, - "sold_proceeds": 0.91 } ], "missed": [ @@ -3073,12 +3073,12 @@ ], "missed_pnl": 1164.01, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784908779, - "side": "SELL", - "price": 0.981, - "shares": 0.07, - "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?", - "outcome": "Yes" + "ts": 1784923243, + "side": "BUY", + "price": 0.5, + "shares": 4.74, + "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", + "outcome": "Down" }, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { @@ -3125,11 +3125,11 @@ "realized": 0.31, "n": 7, "wins": 1, - "open_cost": 0.0, - "open_n": 0, + "open_cost": 2.37, + "open_n": 1, "miss_n": 21, "miss_pnl": -0.82, - "last_ts": 1784206643 + "last_ts": 1784923242 }, "LSB1": { "realized": -1.22, @@ -3192,5 +3192,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1784922678 + "updated": 1784923248 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json index 7b9d55ae..46fcb59f 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "live", - "updated": 1784922678, + "updated": 1784923248, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": 0.48, @@ -46,11 +46,11 @@ "realized": 0.31, "n": 7, "wins": 1, - "open_cost": 0.0, - "open_n": 0, + "open_cost": 2.37, + "open_n": 1, "miss_n": 21, "miss_pnl": -0.82, - "last_ts": 1784206643 + "last_ts": 1784923242 }, "LSB1": { "realized": -1.22, @@ -114,6 +114,26 @@ } }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "5506960250160396168975872633831816223181816814113506849144916695207660278211", + "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", + "name": "1kto1m", + "outcome": "Down", + "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", + "their_price": 0.5, + "my_price": 0.5, + "slippage_pct": 0.0, + "lag_s": 1.8, + "shares": 4.74, + "cost": 2.37, + "fee": 0.0355, + "opened": 1784923242, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "end_ts": 1784851200 + }, { "token": "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl index 7941a656..d03d467f 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl @@ -2132,3 +2132,6 @@ {"ts": 1784922678.47, "trade_ts": 1784922668, "lat_s": 10.47, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 189.12, "price": 0.26, "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 24?", "tx": "0x176382f15cf9063a70323255166ba4cab1ab7ed724e4524d9d157283591db7c9", "seen": true} {"ts": 1784922690.23, "trade_ts": 1784922690, "lat_s": 0.23, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 214.13, "price": 0.2246700602437771, "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 24?", "tx": "0x4a3634195b4948216657758d18880bd9c2acbf3475e75660b5c6b9fb277dfea3", "seen": false} {"ts": 1784922692.7, "trade_ts": 1784922692, "lat_s": 0.7, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 147.46, "price": 0.1948725077987251, "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", "tx": "0xe0666ee60f67ccc2dbe10ce9ba4edce2adc450cc3fd6b0082a7f4c47245cb6ca", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784923204.01, "trade_ts": 1784923203, "lat_s": 1.01, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 0.22, "price": 0.001, "title": "Will \"Desire\" be the top US Netflix movie this week?", "tx": "0xaabb0a8a2bb63fe4694dd46124325994e712679f8b37fdb7a44d083d52d16c28", "seen": true} +{"ts": 1784923242.48, "trade_ts": 1784923242, "lat_s": 0.48, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 86.78, "price": 0.5, "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", "tx": "0x821a5df11a3d21e983f3e0006c3b0ef24f27576c297f8713d5fd84315a4655e5", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784923242.8, "trade_ts": 1784923242, "lat_s": 0.8, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 1000, "price": 0.5, "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?", "tx": "0x765899cb0820b793bf334b1861041cf06a329b5123361e779a807afb33d5799f", "seen": false}