diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl index e48dbf4d..47cbf3fe 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl @@ -658,3 +658,5 @@ {"ts": 1784207069.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "6542858065381328138604971534407515790260577773140917193780294419054693674045", "shares": 157.4103, "price": 0.74, "fee": 0.9086, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1784213380.4, "side": "SELL", "token": "31227781598316880280877760465683086508096359894740658336497080463300979927822", "shares": 11.4849, "price": 0.984, "fee": 0.0054, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1784213382.9, "side": "SELL", "token": "31227781598316880280877760465683086508096359894740658336497080463300979927822", "shares": 17.0397, "price": 0.985, "fee": 0.0076, "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1784213772.2, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 16?", "detect_lag_s": 1.2, "their_price": 0.922, "my_price": 0.936, "slippage_pct": 0.0152, "shares": 59.83, "cost": 56.0, "fee": 0.1075, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.936, "ba": 0.939, "spread": 0.003, "bid5c": 301.71, "ask5c": 857.38}} +{"ts": 1784213800.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669", "shares": 10.6838, "price": 0.956, "fee": 0.0135, "mode": "paper"} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 6055efd0..12d7d8fb 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -1,12 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783541947.246319, "seen_tx": [ - "0xa84b2770da0da5d0bd32054ac3e2e7ecd6b78550713d221f83f779b0751c68c1", - "0x7518ceed9091317a1060bb0c4c8f021604e466f4d467b67000b9104a9d7be093", - "0xa40d955f164e1deb1a713cb49be5b6289c8ecaba11a559138d33e8f8b4ab929b", - "0xe9fa974859b1515cb0a671cc236b52fe3f9e2eedebe290698a97f4e2430f94fc", - "0x41ec222f419f8a2f23f6fa3f12338a78d3145d79edb20cc837490dbab11877f5", - "0x5187714db5aefb0312441027df4db266e3c61963c260de9cce5ae6ec2a476dc8", "0xb4b2e8f1fc888a7bffbaae8d1d5141e1d62b09f0b0b27d3e5c2ff0d24850f3af", "0x298e8e5360581423d0226a7a9ce22ef6c9645f45283118e63c7a66d5828fd471", "0x7de27fecbded9a7d8bc0f5d1e2dd697d1d580bb26f85dbfc4501db08ad479a83", @@ -524,6 +518,7 @@ "0x5c625074f32b4fa9d87e5282eef4db58adcb9353bd2a4ad2fb8613485feb25b4", "0x65670471dbd597c7fe92ac472b82f05b192e91e27419c6ad61e42b6bfb7aed84", "0x6db24f88ae80fca74093663eeb68db032604ff429c64ca456204c262b3de8d3f", + "0x811fc13766cba4ff9c298fc76b4d37e8ca9728e37f07d17159615188a45afabe", "0x03b375834fa366eaba3edf70bdb65116edf93ecb3f7f6dc379b6fa3644036ebf", "0xd4795b9ed0d9956e0be398c3457f925c127703e4bd3e83a4c01d4434f433877a", "0x4415c1790353c8cd907d174e82438cb92da6520ab3bb5e9446e6e0b428afd1d9", @@ -1329,6 +1324,7 @@ "0x0b09326420e7b2fa62e13e038a7b1bca84feea5e1a86912ae7f020bfa58eb470", "0xd8910a29faff040d9389b6ae73c08e3abeac2473f2db49d0a346b8fdc9c62ecb", "0xd5035a1f1fae3b2d3df5986fbef9af40303895090eaa6bff3255d43f0ade346c", + "0xaeae432e8ee21d49538a7631a61d2bf2c115f4f3b784ad0b26e308e63190d5aa", "0x91e1fa02ee5f0eb194b43bffed136a766e72cf7f902397d7ef68896ca712c1ef", "0x529299b0b4a5e044f35dc8af9cc2610e0b2b3d8077a388a94496d64be2951fb9", "0x527509a495036995d929cb90baa0a8386318aad0ef1689b85ce4b0db69718284", @@ -2312,6 +2308,7 @@ "0x01e1cea62dd1677b73d982a763ad45e8e05727616ee06198f6b665c850abbfa7", "0xecc72e5ed6c0165058bb8e59314f7034d35d3c4dc1be5e4ae3f67108d60ac1ac", "0x4e6f178cdb2ed0e805a226f5c978364e343093504d9b25ac5c4faef1c0d23795", + "0xd96c5d498812ffea915878140abfe121351b17b5eef1a3cd77a20c9f7bede5da", "0x78f1906cd2b5edc9b60cb3408736f78ce8e796e4c8891ca71a7737f6383cc80c", "0xd946bcd6f961dc00600d8ca2bbf1be4bbe3f09a8e5d732861b1300ecdf7c9fc4", "0x8794da032081a57ef08eba3a2919a220d6832141b15dbd24cee1b89cf64f0dc5", @@ -2384,6 +2381,7 @@ "0xec2c1afc94eb3713b2aa9a55931c86342e68f40818a7d31216a7448fc160126b", "0xe984da9c65385cf12f2110fc4ba4df05d6185818f4792a70ef451b35b3ae5dd4", "0x15e89f4fa0a2ba15b00e5d3cd8501b16fd077cac8394c2c6b8d84a87b1ea9e3a", + "0xf2247c03c667201d798e2b2835bdc6d65d427220f71890c8845f544886bc1ea0", "0xe8a50f5e4c263f6c0671414c365fba9d5563da8419c82b329f45ef54abbc8ac6", "0x27e8680ae2c4e5cdd8bdbe2fd5a3109ee66d61a87f94197f7db7d2cab476ae6e", "0x43c7fb44a3e5c46d67c0a5276cafb64e1ee210871eba6120f4d711ef2d62b2ea", @@ -2584,6 +2582,7 @@ "0x3e15718c5c3642d4b459ce4289335dc0a75af689a782de79b9bac30aaba7b073", "0x8b63f351449752f8fc3e8f210724cf3df834ba87fc2e90d1a4d8f71942d8ced9", "0xf18c3886875414e25912745cd83f6e71d339ab0f527e89a52cb37c2ddba6f5a5", + "0x9cc342c9fafbdb7018b68b00003b90ace05f720f21401414132cbe7a72d227c6", "0x6023a34b467e324a690adae690cabc8c63d4afade29e0cdc76ec18015963ef30", "0x37ce945835140facfc2e9ec2d2df78a201d9dab2bf421068769936e1771c9847", "0x2fd9c1377f05076b30af8dd906a3f1ecbe7cf4388cb72da12b83e2760db16d51", @@ -2599,6 +2598,7 @@ "0xe7d4aeee67979b2e2fbbe4481e85da95efc3f004c61f69e733e2daaeac054e18", "0x58e4b56bf82c2a9e03129962f5d48167779a8cb049abc72e07be13fd9beac5bf", "0xcec5b602a59ce6e9304fc5edfe4e6dc43a5fd13c6bf8cae57df236b9df375260", + "0xc9ab472b16573f0e88f05ac426d175f1b3c42044a8669bc122aa0baccf30e027", "0x534f12c57a56d160dbd9455daaeb3c7c9b8395967b35f92a4c6a2b658298a855", "0x845460705fb7656fdc3624864c483e96b75004166e7b7ed5aeae079db74a58ba", "0x3923f8e581fafaf3a36a5dc57a8de122150e69a76f6fa19dc61bd01751b4c9dd", @@ -6476,7 +6476,11 @@ "46225100553989123936245361017195688529068530138507685055866894865656497680335": 0.0, "74751467310548001523578174536683436613056298730683710137283385031618966718497": 0.0, "88220374085075467863702989399048464959576512486815329373497448055628876688195": 0.0, - "110214038121226179942275983424704210214476676225253229237622254164037085833952": 0.0 + "110214038121226179942275983424704210214476676225253229237622254164037085833952": 0.0, + "34749818495492210049867922065695276195329046731136353813405639462573376427574": 0.0, + "26916982202125293119747810162791702809123205887331404342397405562283533304808": 0.0, + "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669": 46, + "1230299720914215431906843044139617258490401461033179181281847427401880955071": 0.0 }, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": { "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848, @@ -10380,11 +10384,20 @@ "event": null, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "cond": "" + }, + "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669": { + "shares": 49.14529914529914, + "cost": 46.0, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 16?", + "outcome": "No", + "event": "bitcoin-price-on-july-16-2026", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "cond": "0x5c8ff7602393cc120f311a659a94bd1e886e7e024d9c24c1edeb31c8bc2c0a2a" } }, "spend": { "date": "2026-07-16", - "usd": 605.4884197909277 + "usd": 661.4884197909277 }, "seeded": [ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -10511,21 +10524,17 @@ "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102": "", "110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115": "0xe6a1205d55c0fed0427084000f6e35b2b481003e509a4be0d4678715898c0ae2", "52277341117061676402936201599481724705704245418989224868304419115133008528281": "0xaf2ddfecd93bfdea73d0fe3a8fab8fb1a00a7da4e92ce77803d8c893f10ee6a0", - "6542858065381328138604971534407515790260577773140917193780294419054693674045": "0x6266a812b672fb0424235909307279a2d4f52ad291b00e4a85767c146d10a2c0" + "6542858065381328138604971534407515790260577773140917193780294419054693674045": "0x6266a812b672fb0424235909307279a2d4f52ad291b00e4a85767c146d10a2c0", + "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669": "0x5c8ff7602393cc120f311a659a94bd1e886e7e024d9c24c1edeb31c8bc2c0a2a" }, - "cash": 1818.153580308978, + "cash": 1772.2462534713711, "lag": { - "n": 171, - "sum_s": 5245.42022895813, - "sum_slip_pct": -6.914250592447998 + "n": 172, + "sum_s": 5246.628982067108, + "sum_slip_pct": -6.899066210669257 }, - "fees_paid": 258.1178359790391, + "fees_paid": 258.2388380303212, "lag_recent": [ - [ - 1784124653.5, - 5.5, - -0.01587 - ], [ 1784127882.4, 5.4, @@ -10600,6 +10609,11 @@ 1784207029.4, 11.4, 0.06088 + ], + [ + 1784213772.2, + 1.2, + 0.01518 ] ], "bets": { @@ -13693,11 +13707,32 @@ "settled": 1784206834, "sold_shares": 207.78934006813682, "sold_proceeds": 81.61965277876416 + }, + "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669": { + "token": "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 16?", + "their_price": 0.922, + "my_price": 0.936, + "slippage_pct": 0.0152, + "lag_s": 1.2, + "shares": 59.83, + "cost": 56.0, + "fee": 0.1075, + "opened": 1784213771, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "sold_shares": 10.683760683760683, + "sold_proceeds": 10.20019316239316 } }, "hwm": 2619.544502590673, - "feed_sig": "2961e5fe6be2cbac188704e5ae80e354", - "feed_pushed_at": 1784213285.4122055, + "feed_sig": "b9bdcdc610cded353984692effd6d028", + "feed_pushed_at": 1784213675.5703933, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783590977, @@ -15374,8 +15409,8 @@ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970, "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702, "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784206159, - "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784213378, - "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784213245, + "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784213771, + "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784213489, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1783843568, "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784212885, "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784211014 diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index bfd135c2..306653f4 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -1,24 +1,24 @@ { "mode": "paper", "bankroll": 1000.0, - "stake": 104.43, + "stake": 104.44, "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 2619.54, - "cash": 1818.15, - "deployed": 792.71, + "cash": 1772.25, + "deployed": 838.71, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": 1610.83, + "realized": 1610.93, "adjustments": 0.03, "ledger_drift": -0.02, - "open_count": 17, - "fees_paid": 258.12, + "open_count": 18, + "fees_paid": 258.24, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 171, - "n24": 15, - "avg_s": 3.7, - "avg_slip_pct": -0.002, + "n": 172, + "n24": 16, + "avg_s": 3.5, + "avg_slip_pct": -0.0009, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -43,6 +43,27 @@ "BikesAreTheBikes": 227.39 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "33873561500205954397168619257230846593108517022766612303805480582152511862669", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 16?", + "their_price": 0.922, + "my_price": 0.936, + "slippage_pct": 0.0152, + "lag_s": 1.2, + "shares": 59.83, + "cost": 56.0, + "fee": 0.11, + "opened": 1784213771, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "sold_shares": 10.68, + "sold_proceeds": 10.2 + }, { "token": "6542858065381328138604971534407515790260577773140917193780294419054693674045", "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", @@ -2045,26 +2066,6 @@ "settled": 1783742299, "sold_shares": 0.64, "sold_proceeds": 0.1 - }, - { - "token": "72834495383235297744666280877384242771579363352963523785873024005920870690952", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "name": "0xbadaf319", - "outcome": "No", - "title": "Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?", - "their_price": 0.51, - "my_price": 0.5, - "slippage_pct": -0.0196, - "shares": 168.85, - "cost": 84.43, - "fee": 1.27, - "opened": 1783633987, - "status": "closed", - "exit_price": 0.8185, - "pnl": 52.51, - "settled": 1783732219, - "sold_shares": 168.85, - "sold_proceeds": 138.21 } ], "missed": [ @@ -3024,5 +3025,5 @@ } ], "missed_pnl": 89588.9, - "updated": 1784213385 + "updated": 1784213803 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl index 61e388b5..ec2a3335 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl @@ -2372,3 +2372,12 @@ {"ts": 1784213382.91, "trade_ts": 1784213381, "lat_s": 1.91, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 29.97, "price": 0.0303336670003337, "title": "Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?", "tx": "0x1550f2241da2fef005b77aa776e9bfd7be1b794cb960a4156d62f4696fd04cf9", "seen": false} {"ts": 1784213387.65, "trade_ts": 1784213381, "lat_s": 6.65, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 11.65, "price": 0.974, "title": "", "tx": "0xb2988cec4516f5a5ccb605fca646d9d77383ba5d5f6fc46803265b4d10f4a76f", "seen": false} {"ts": 1784213387.7, "trade_ts": 1784213381, "lat_s": 6.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 11.65, "price": 0.03, "title": "", "tx": "0x4e90dffe27d73886fdae2e132bce7caa09bd8bb9eeef9c409e4bea89d3f55ae4", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784213434.06, "trade_ts": 1784213433, "lat_s": 1.06, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "BUY", "size": 1818.181817, "price": 0.1099999995215, "title": "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner", "tx": "0x7ce203b7cfebcca2fdd2d36569196621c9e02691568957af91c1e9f93ca4ed44", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784213489.95, "trade_ts": 1784213489, "lat_s": 0.95, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "SELL", "size": 1818.18, "price": 0.1329029579029579, "title": "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner", "tx": "0x811fc13766cba4ff9c298fc76b4d37e8ca9728e37f07d17159615188a45afabe", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784213729.59, "trade_ts": 1784213729, "lat_s": 0.59, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 39.410525, "price": 0.9499999809695506, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on ", "tx": "0x28e4ac7ad457549c648571a296517bf5668070945d1e04e312fc9dd89c18a582", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784213730.04, "trade_ts": 1784213729, "lat_s": 1.04, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 50, "price": 0.039, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?", "tx": "0x71acdb022f2f27b722f2f456a9454075e29ed0e252b295ce9f1402f5f8c81f6c", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784213771.82, "trade_ts": 1784213771, "lat_s": 0.82, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 71.333332, "price": 0.0599999871028035, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?", "tx": "0xa3dad6b079c24ea290df997eb16a0facb3a6f4651e019118bf1b5b7b2ca62d96", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784213772.04, "trade_ts": 1784213771, "lat_s": 1.04, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 56, "price": 0.922, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on ", "tx": "0xaeae432e8ee21d49538a7631a61d2bf2c115f4f3b784ad0b26e308e63190d5aa", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784213776.08, "trade_ts": 1784213775, "lat_s": 1.07, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 5.153844, "price": 0.9099999922388027, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on ", "tx": "0x3745df7058b73c2eefff97fffa84a20631cd45e5dbcf8e72c42c62d393e86e77", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784213800.07, "trade_ts": 1784213799, "lat_s": 1.07, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 10, "price": 0.95, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on ", "tx": "0xd96c5d498812ffea915878140abfe121351b17b5eef1a3cd77a20c9f7bede5da", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784213800.21, "trade_ts": 1784213799, "lat_s": 1.21, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 10, "price": 0.06, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?", "tx": "0xf2247c03c667201d798e2b2835bdc6d65d427220f71890c8845f544886bc1ea0", "seen": false}