diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index 93d9e6c3..a35c5692 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -145,3 +145,5 @@
 {"ts": 1783661603.4, "side": "SELL", "token": "72834495383235297744666280877384242771579363352963523785873024005920870690952", "shares": 7.9406, "price": 0.51, "fee": 0.0595, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1783661758.7, "side": "SELL", "token": "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309", "shares": 32.5497, "price": 0.96, "fee": 0.0375, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1783665169.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?", "detect_lag_s": 18.5, "their_price": 0.95, "my_price": 0.91, "slippage_pct": -0.0421, "shares": 55.52, "cost": 50.53, "fee": 0.1364, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.91, "ba": 0.95, "spread": 0.04, "bid5c": 58.89, "ask5c": 45.99}}
+{"ts": 1783671328.9, "side": "SELL", "token": "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309", "shares": 26.2878, "price": 0.98, "fee": 0.0155, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1783671366.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309", "shares": 17.1119, "price": 0.97, "fee": 0.0149, "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 93ac1c4b..b03a43c5 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -191,6 +191,7 @@
     "0xa52d093edf6f3178738b6979a0ddd0154ad4fcade9a64b982ecb4a2e62ddfe3f",
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     "0x18071b1bf3b271e50c5bdfc47323516506474ed28c68ad2ef4c76ccde38c41f2",
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     "0xf363c49ab6a7a2851d968b9b93c5edb7af23761f41dca0ea07a495fecd67b673",
@@ -576,6 +577,7 @@
     "0x0c0061b52a0ea419f721c9f4cbe70b10d199336f1826760de84b7c7ec7039342",
     "0x48df97e382c9643212e610a13a975688ffe6b7adddc164bf98cb86882a5f6ad1",
     "0x6bae8c2dbd4ff6eaac18924f780edbde87270531edd00409468be2b32a56b9d0",
+    "0x406c14d17cbb2b0537db82f65f285f6ee78feba7c7e9f45956f5f669828d9b95",
     "0xe9a7e813bbeab02f342d8317576edafa0e904f516b2b3e02af4a93820ae5b47a",
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     "0x07348d40e396918b1b55e828eda735ac0c4b005d569508ea2e85a11c16bf50ad",
@@ -603,6 +605,7 @@
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     "0x2b12568c0664ee49236d527804a4eea5b231ca759195b58708b92878cba14a3f",
+    "0x0dba7829cdf6aa75aa9a6915a28afedce67098a16c7393607f747b41393f6727",
     "0x421cb922031d8bd11b6585037fba43f1e99c4d42aa9c41165b01b16f5f53d67a",
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@@ -725,6 +728,7 @@
     "0x010774d20dcdf9213c91dad2e8c74cf5db3d1c8fcdd1315e5301ca1e723ca7a3",
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     "0xeeae41aad814115a4e60507bc23a6a2c445dccbf50bd337dfff7961ce8d41525",
+    "0x1a66c621219bb8cb32ec5a513101c76d47f22dd974ad7b8ba116868805202116",
     "0x37ce945835140facfc2e9ec2d2df78a201d9dab2bf421068769936e1771c9847",
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     "0x78ff28fbdf64a2251d36b92c799675daae476b21ed2dc745d7243ebe810efca0",
@@ -852,6 +856,7 @@
     "0xb437239ff97db68c336948d8a7a8f6822f2d20a1d65bf0372c79745e26cf9728",
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     "0x72bb97027dff3e9d55287ba3a40a93ac0efd5dac5443195437cbe42d3334a9a3",
+    "0xa465eae1145f71082c131ed3c0d0828e3d7b22278e8ce4480df205aa9ef60e75",
     "0xa234a43ba19d7387c481869c307e3e0a873090ac67a50424e6cc93f1f3579fee",
     "0x3df78642d81f4395545a06cf0a71560bb6cc26d75c672016a60e843accf9ed8d",
     "0xddbc105200455926c9345db94ab103059587bcc00bf9a4efb5e6d661df9cf921",
@@ -859,6 +864,7 @@
     "0x2c606cb98f890beff0d7c0c1fa9ef6f03eb4a21303f9604b49ddf6f3673ad7cb",
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     "0xc501b8e2f0153842549377f2dbe802452172a1296786703f720d9df3fded5476",
+    "0xc26ebc320d4f27b309e7bacbb0a3f51e9e94a0118e36985894d977fd88d1d6b7",
     "0xc9569f3a5c4058c770965272b1beb331a6c6d1fff4700c3233b1281c6b5702d0",
     "0xe16c8dbd7d25ee350d554f5212a8536b9645ffb31858972ac9414a3b929d1840",
     "0x6131558f7f1eedeb6c9600eec0f0f4223d7296550f127f9e306bfe5a5fc8cbd3",
@@ -1025,6 +1031,7 @@
     "0xec53f5d79c4c1fa93768688a09299a1604b562a069e5b30f46c3ec4c0d4bf80e",
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     "0x158b02c2795ec2520655e0bedde1c75a84f4979693f455135a354f7ed25a4403",
+    "0xb99572e04674f8f5a83bb36bea7271297c9e1282ea866ed328bff925c9c744b3",
     "0xb8ef16f332eef9ea34587b42dc14c101738d2282ebc529d2c2d92d219dc6bf6f",
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@@ -1074,10 +1081,12 @@
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     "0xb12681ddffc33affe29ecab949e3a8e9c3eb106b451468628a8f85d97c3b5a37",
+    "0x9968d5cac12af749510d195eeecee402a88e3928564a7e1507dbadea78646d86",
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     "0x75360584f69a49d91717ba1db71ccf35df312e8293716c3bbd074fbede0b316d",
+    "0xecf72861bd676c449eb96fa9c0156d1cf115618e7dbf4c9572d21559e576ab30",
     "0xf615390deb2a71ec4358f436883055c5cad030770d7d0b5d0caf3a6148ae158a",
     "0xa4e00dbe85adfe9c4b33f5aa8436c6ba72f0a87f360a7506218457e013bde73a",
     "0xa6cd51f7b2548f5d3de49ae2b4591e1029afe3988de2cfaed8b495e5fd5d51a1",
@@ -1147,6 +1156,7 @@
     "0x685a2d30a16659d076e7ae11a08bc3ef1b5782abba505f2ec73341dea0d9ad5b",
     "0x84aec7f76190c8194f7decce71015670af2c9c10706ad29600c49de9d8198ead",
     "0x4598407f40a8ef39b29066aad6f2fe6d8968c6ad542cf7fda1d32ec2594a3e87",
+    "0x7d96b6bb3d03b16e74596af64b11ca84b543313e1293b650609ff60d7daac6af",
     "0xd407ca1695d51ac38adef3a72d23f18644bc372cfe2a3f1cebed0f964abf5852",
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     "0x2ed16eeed7988bc2e282ffc4d1a76c3f6dcaee5673a910e2e85145fbe30066ca",
@@ -1225,12 +1235,14 @@
     "0xbbbe046ef5f8af38a1528e0651c565fcd1cae0a676084ebae01d195cb0abac43",
     "0x43ba762882f6e6c4981618c365d7c4a719b49834431ceda1f7bc1e03ba3c0a85",
     "0x74e21c4eada6e98267cc6be3262714131ff7f03c1040313a2b58ac4a64504849",
+    "0xb2cadf1067300ea0156f0175d2413abe1825fd0b4243ecbfd9a5040ac2fa7ff5",
     "0x098dfd1ae156a8371613a2cbc848bf7b70c34c00b5bc3cdab8865b47e97b7b78",
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     "0x767881b697c8f3d1813ef227b1ef30220ded87457d5751f1d9592216c6371e77",
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     "0xa31fd758c63936594a5bcd6b2cfac6738e9e69a6cccbeae281b6ded722ac871c",
+    "0x04132a0c70a1ab3a1b7f2c05bf3ac6687d0475bd2bcab7eb34a31e7b74956b51",
     "0x653bfce1a3c60a5f30c6880dab6f8298d8f6300f38ec2fca8d9278a7a91ce5d8",
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     "0x5ef19c61b85f8201ba55a1ef6a04797c34ef28600ddb8654ea211c58f6ef9fc3",
@@ -1268,6 +1280,7 @@
     "0x6023a34b467e324a690adae690cabc8c63d4afade29e0cdc76ec18015963ef30",
     "0x0de3a9b15615658b8e6e78c4bcb6fc42213ab21e6c9e73b37aa3ab518a6240e0",
     "0x0ac3fa7a19e3d04e8cd1a89a654e7a01256507bc84cc91aed837896b740fb074",
+    "0x2e610ba3c4d0356484862b942f72d1a13750fc7d47724590dc15395f793fa01f",
     "0x153a93540940c7f43a1c1df693d9df21fd6dd3e3619c47589c95e104c41041ba",
     "0x80e6cb2e0b27de9535dc536df5b118d4894b5bb35bb2629bc18eb6335c3aaa1e",
     "0x105e6c041a73478d6d9d359e784563fbca4b8fda139ac7c3037f41db18014629",
@@ -1734,7 +1747,8 @@
       "91190745364046951572665828020441704759870691245771896612219702285038869407590": 3.5714,
       "23105830786224525097094506948332904668473284251697930440333531286863618703469": 3,
       "71541655082659994890599835762768262434471231057902321146296827929888355060088": 183.44999700000002,
-      "24696476679489653392896522921778886207347569484211127510964843324817442529198": 500
+      "24696476679489653392896522921778886207347569484211127510964843324817442529198": 500,
+      "18269015422382136019818153603324620968900134618004278553305656985016507685122": 749.98395
     },
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": {
       "108657478003961330142453464945523462972627681628264140493092137204528896694316": 772.08,
@@ -2569,9 +2583,11 @@
       "23065452804238654997888331243442427438047892165950306128073597468182021934978": 0.0,
       "106143829686220462038641690660105051299076056751148209194940374465017034304257": 0.0,
       "90812800867011309560420897074991327387414131353807713195859727436592017703729": 0.0,
-      "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309": 42,
+      "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309": 0.0,
       "21921172332233828323193339315605393634845370036368851718786713420854952581266": 0.0,
-      "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193": 50.526314
+      "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193": 50.5263,
+      "50825092058293657542194164596745813272825150865419431118334975989194381746273": 0.0,
+      "1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890": 0.0
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -4337,15 +4353,6 @@
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0x73dd54214430d1d67ddf59ad22fdf62e00e71e273b229dc0040da504e5281b6f"
     },
-    "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309": {
-      "shares": 43.399638336347195,
-      "cost": 34.285714285714285,
-      "title": "Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "event": "will-lambdas-valuation-hit-low-5b-by-december-31",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "cond": "0x20b0a4eb7e7ce4054637462158e6fdf7d8e9dcedc2caa9e398b51665a98364b2"
-    },
     "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193": {
       "shares": 55.52342197802198,
       "cost": 50.526314,
@@ -4395,15 +4402,16 @@
     "72834495383235297744666280877384242771579363352963523785873024005920870690952": "0xa6930fadb08512d5f798c2d474493af6d609ba246d43966cdf11af475b139dd6",
     "9744962581292514108386284350412915753392587449882449095731887011173957456753": "0x0fb63e987b28940eb8d299b466a34e5b404e0bd9a5c98df908bb55e6d00b694b",
     "112398855248126389642334724080634566219399886008841203075173521868162852635909": "0x73dd54214430d1d67ddf59ad22fdf62e00e71e273b229dc0040da504e5281b6f",
-    "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309": "0x20b0a4eb7e7ce4054637462158e6fdf7d8e9dcedc2caa9e398b51665a98364b2"
+    "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309": "0x20b0a4eb7e7ce4054637462158e6fdf7d8e9dcedc2caa9e398b51665a98364b2",
+    "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193": "0xaa7424f5826991fe2e7c67240319aae5dfd798c701afe2fe713afdbf3377e392"
   },
-  "cash": 1709.1590961351958,
+  "cash": 1700.8264922163032,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 38,
-    "sum_s": 1327.6846678256989,
-    "sum_slip_pct": -2.507838456344819
+    "n": 39,
+    "sum_s": 1346.2107169628143,
+    "sum_slip_pct": -2.549943713553683
   },
-  "fees_paid": 57.11207203660226,
+  "fees_paid": 57.27888895110337,
   "lag_recent": [
     [
       1783588745.3,
@@ -4574,6 +4582,11 @@
       1783661098.8,
       2.8,
       0.02597
+    ],
+    [
+      1783665169.5,
+      18.5,
+      -0.04211
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -5244,17 +5257,35 @@
       "cost": 60.0,
       "fee": 0.378,
       "opened": 1783661096,
+      "status": "closed",
+      "exit_price": 0.9683,
+      "pnl": 13.16,
+      "settled": 1783671366,
+      "sold_shares": 75.94936708860759,
+      "sold_proceeds": 73.54037344355461
+    },
+    "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193": {
+      "token": "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "name": "0xbadaf319",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "title": "Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?",
+      "their_price": 0.95,
+      "my_price": 0.91,
+      "slippage_pct": -0.0421,
+      "shares": 55.52,
+      "cost": 50.53,
+      "fee": 0.1364,
+      "opened": 1783665151,
       "status": "open",
       "exit_price": null,
       "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
-      "sold_shares": 32.54972875226039,
-      "sold_proceeds": 31.21024231464737
+      "settled": null
     }
   },
-  "hwm": 2120.609248456887,
-  "feed_sig": "f455a79f5e3fe373d1adbe2787fd156a",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1783665043.9893813,
+  "hwm": 2128.5172442522803,
+  "feed_sig": "b7be7df954d2ef1254297553a77c9864",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1783671260.023872,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,
@@ -5577,11 +5608,28 @@
       "settled": 1783652153,
       "name": "imwalkinghere",
       "exit_price": 0.5108
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1783671341,
+      "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266",
+      "token": "18269015422382136019818153603324620968900134618004278553305656985016507685122",
+      "cond": "0xdd0bb6a9b4914cb6865166a190b2b9965442ac9fcfe3907b98cf140214bbe96c",
+      "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET",
+      "outcome": "Up",
+      "price": 0.99,
+      "stake": 85.02,
+      "reason": "price moved 0.55\u21920.99",
+      "status": "sold",
+      "pnl": -38.02,
+      "settled": 1783671386,
+      "name": "imwalkinghere",
+      "exit_price": 0.555
     }
   ],
   "no_miss_toks": [
     "10156027633494409720695871576446950666751488043725000230955438131793922985630",
     "103773433095736128254470917339076578918263049956717259470854794146346986328749",
+    "104866904114667047609018641631047329062431759421005756799209881897125449726305",
     "108097819032362232168754373234866768117360060536989734427640383701915911737522",
     "108832705493535187990242535025696912371474352479844673214696754368247925528934",
     "108947296508063592085718442826411169359443176266922838741305348631169975990701",
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 5d4886e1..0564d799 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 84.82,
+ "stake": 85.14,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
- "hwm": 2120.61,
- "cash": 1658.5,
- "deployed": 461.98,
+ "hwm": 2128.52,
+ "cash": 1700.83,
+ "deployed": 427.69,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1120.44,
+ "realized": 1128.49,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
- "ledger_drift": -0.0,
- "open_count": 8,
- "fees_paid": 57.25,
+ "ledger_drift": 0.0,
+ "open_count": 7,
+ "fees_paid": 57.28,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
   "n": 39,
@@ -49,6 +49,26 @@
   "1kto1m": 323.3
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?",
+   "their_price": 0.77,
+   "my_price": 0.79,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.026,
+   "shares": 75.95,
+   "cost": 60.0,
+   "fee": 0.38,
+   "opened": 1783661096,
+   "status": "closed",
+   "exit_price": 0.9683,
+   "pnl": 13.16,
+   "settled": 1783671366,
+   "sold_shares": 75.95,
+   "sold_proceeds": 73.54
+  },
   {
    "token": "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -67,26 +87,6 @@
    "pnl": null,
    "settled": null
   },
-  {
-   "token": "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "title": "Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?",
-   "their_price": 0.77,
-   "my_price": 0.79,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.026,
-   "shares": 75.95,
-   "cost": 60.0,
-   "fee": 0.38,
-   "opened": 1783661096,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "sold_shares": 32.55,
-   "sold_proceeds": 31.21
-  },
   {
    "token": "244048590847349569142622450288686721247802348946192951002087804863968899",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -743,6 +743,22 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1783671341,
+   "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266",
+   "token": "18269015422382136019818153603324620968900134618004278553305656985016507685122",
+   "cond": "0xdd0bb6a9b4914cb6865166a190b2b9965442ac9fcfe3907b98cf140214bbe96c",
+   "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET",
+   "outcome": "Up",
+   "price": 0.99,
+   "stake": 85.02,
+   "reason": "price moved 0.55\u21920.99",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": -38.02,
+   "settled": 1783671386,
+   "name": "imwalkinghere",
+   "exit_price": 0.555
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1783652092,
    "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266",
@@ -1066,6 +1082,6 @@
    "name": "0xbadaf319"
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": 0.87,
- "updated": 1783665169
+ "missed_pnl": -37.15,
+ "updated": 1783671387
 }
\ No newline at end of file