diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
index e16f963f..ceb71f01 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
@@ -893,3 +893,5 @@
 {"ts": 1785191119.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1785191448.6, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1785191778.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1785192106.9, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1785192439.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
index cfd086d1..a353f775 100644
--- a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
@@ -76,3 +76,4 @@
 {"ts": 1783915414, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "17233538369622331395311990544159709275677306359062920824570611974340792501916", "cond": "0xec4147d703a1013d0bdc0ef4dcaf129fe8443e6ad1318edcd2a2ac9eff6c8421", "title": "Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.8504, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.17, "settled": 1783916967, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.9951}
 {"ts": 1783918819, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "70962318786911412106087113936707965213554584784375688261632728234676581794613", "cond": "0xec6a9c47b73a00f12acbd46e137a9e5da64224be4efdbfea479d64261a44d52f", "title": "Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $102 in July?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.7929, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.04, "settled": 1783936079, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.7698}
 {"ts": 1783933595, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "59710612631848725344763865983471814895562224915658392985168656890608650443974", "cond": "0x1d608eeaf0869a3f906ed50c0340d97a592f9cdcdf7b475524de5d75d847eec8", "title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on July 13?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.84, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "order rejected: exception: max_price must conform to tick size 0.01 with at ", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.04, "settled": 1783948741, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.88}
+{"ts": 1783939156, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "72663413633237870742152602912076949024714881200491601361514812636170232854563", "cond": "0xd50d0276f9b6c57d7a1b23be8be23a8dcdffed0aebae867de372b26593a9a238", "title": "Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.898, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.08, "settled": 1784386262, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.9728}
diff --git a/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl
index faaacacd..735624e8 100644
--- a/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl
@@ -403,3 +403,4 @@
 {"ts": 1785191883.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45691138284392247799480039269191461630142831037707390402697922072569909819489", "cond": "0xec8fb126cb6166a24fe41ca44772fb092efd591ffa9e8a8bd27b292f3353a6b5", "usd": 18.7, "price": 0.55, "reason": "$19 < conviction floor $28", "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1785191883.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "cond": "0x7f0d84b155c484b801f2cba68eb0f9ef8b2a0a54b7e6bb0fa53a1778964f53fd", "usd": 25.9, "price": 0.4, "reason": "$26 < conviction floor $28", "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1785191896.3, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45691138284392247799480039269191461630142831037707390402697922072569909819489", "cond": "0xec8fb126cb6166a24fe41ca44772fb092efd591ffa9e8a8bd27b292f3353a6b5", "usd": 16.62, "price": 0.5599999932611308, "reason": "$17 < conviction floor $28", "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1785192499.4, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "114112791648091992484961360791130871882442300768649687759021814005678770195744", "cond": "0xd2bfe443d711e8b98256a572769876088a7a8d59b8a118be246c561931431d2a", "usd": 15.5, "price": 0.3, "reason": "$16 < conviction floor $28", "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on July 28?", "mode": "live"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index c821c8c1..c6615def 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -1,7 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783572616.4091802,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0xe0ee8a7fa1b088adf5b81ef2db9a51dfc6ecb84dd0a9f7fa1921c567ba410154",
     "0x2adaf3e719b6603c7c3474ec86dcf546276957c180f32f5b55b8933ab425f828",
     "0xce5cb1879d0e82651d60a5d2058afa4b8c8adeac9f1c36dcfc07c4b14ee87774",
     "0xa12c9accccc48671072ffe7288bf2d50aa689160c80d33e31f3382f198f3690d",
@@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@
     "0xadb0df0891cfe23d185e1efb735f0302b5761208e716234d533e9f108a7ed7bd",
     "0xdc1cea326b2f376715a17717634378d6a9df4ac7be710ea18ea0e9e3fab92c52",
     "0x92db963229353a71a5077a28549f2e9345d5d46eb385265c291feea777a78abf",
-    "0x3d192b40d3fd8ef243b024422fd24ab587dfa86cdeea09829f7e9b7d29125efa"
+    "0x3d192b40d3fd8ef243b024422fd24ab587dfa86cdeea09829f7e9b7d29125efa",
+    "0x41adb40618d7719d7f312588b609bc7673b6b30989e7e25575dca3d0abfd216f"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -7616,7 +7616,8 @@
       "7361545935938804750971113494538671145680968001907625519907041646375937676902": 0.0,
       "65075316665858123310904205342608300814898488753088658332913116406808619343398": 0.0,
       "45691138284392247799480039269191461630142831037707390402697922072569909819489": 70.446807,
-      "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 68.975608
+      "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 68.975608,
+      "80566427864683264408132975495806825930535536706191596908698304900201437338755": 50.0
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -16589,22 +16590,6 @@
       "settled": null,
       "name": "0xbadaf319"
     },
-    {
-      "ts": 1783939156,
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "token": "72663413633237870742152602912076949024714881200491601361514812636170232854563",
-      "cond": "0xd50d0276f9b6c57d7a1b23be8be23a8dcdffed0aebae867de372b26593a9a238",
-      "title": "Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "price": 0.898,
-      "stake": 1.0,
-      "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-      "status": "sold",
-      "pnl": 0.08,
-      "settled": 1784386262,
-      "name": "0xbadaf319",
-      "exit_price": 0.9728
-    },
     {
       "ts": 1783941532,
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -19738,10 +19723,24 @@
       "pnl": null,
       "settled": null,
       "name": "0xbadaf319"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785192499,
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "token": "80566427864683264408132975495806825930535536706191596908698304900201437338755",
+      "cond": "0xfcaddf3ef2d9f976e0c9673ed54c380bdc3338d02ab0fa8aa7f22960f594e964",
+      "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 28?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "price": 0.65,
+      "stake": 1.0,
+      "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xa2d10630247477eb272c5a0ed40a7d8a82f013468",
+      "status": "open",
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null
     }
   ],
   "feed_sig": "9f6a912c9db525f0b937a393476c7c88",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1785191844.8658168,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1785192371.7233827,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783906689,
@@ -19792,14 +19791,14 @@
     "6457952357077230044054791268159160058712529625831041550558183767114352456975": 1,
     "61895825019286928316753689208545457497714235075046708292847356747636406191670": 1,
     "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 1,
-    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 886,
+    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 888,
     "24538227191540742319290192357327280598675171199196475574105878696409564463051": 1
   },
   "trade_cursor": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1785182613,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785191856,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785191896,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785099999,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1785074847,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1785121536,
@@ -19819,36 +19818,6 @@
     "outcome": "Yes"
   },
   "ignored_exits": [
-    {
-      "ts": 1785125102.5,
-      "token": "91676177432668319691663213694187810112009835951397620031461215327421238319426",
-      "their_size": 62.45,
-      "their_prev": 228.1082,
-      "frac": 0.2738,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.825,
-      "shares_held": 3.0102,
-      "cost_held": 2.35,
-      "title": "Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "live"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1785125222.5,
-      "token": "91676177432668319691663213694187810112009835951397620031461215327421238319426",
-      "their_size": 62.45,
-      "their_prev": 165.65820000000002,
-      "frac": 0.377,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.825,
-      "shares_held": 3.0102,
-      "cost_held": 2.35,
-      "title": "Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "live"
-    },
     {
       "ts": 1785125223.3,
       "token": "91676177432668319691663213694187810112009835951397620031461215327421238319426",
@@ -22818,6 +22787,36 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785192106.9,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785192439.4,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
     }
   ],
   "maker_stats": {
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index ce4d7ef3..b4fda7a4 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -2120,6 +2120,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785192499,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "80566427864683264408132975495806825930535536706191596908698304900201437338755",
+   "cond": "0xfcaddf3ef2d9f976e0c9673ed54c380bdc3338d02ab0fa8aa7f22960f594e964",
+   "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 28?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.65,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xa2d10630247477eb272c5a0ed40a7d8a82f013468",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1785191856,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -3044,25 +3059,9 @@
    "pnl": null,
    "settled": null,
    "name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784885070,
-   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
-   "token": "34383281909044259756215667723509413820839811815716463480957480797279993360122",
-   "cond": "0xa2822aa2467aca2d04968c26fd5444d88fb54c4dc5f8eac7d27d84a494ac8b50",
-   "title": "LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
-   "outcome": "Team WE",
-   "price": 0.65,
-   "stake": 2.42,
-   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xf108bfade0b5c26134b80f55a6f4d9451bfd28517",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 1.09,
-   "settled": 1784887137,
-   "name": "AIcAIc",
-   "exit_price": 0.95
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": 702.4,
+ "missed_pnl": 702.32,
  "last_fill": {
   "ts": 1785175095,
   "side": "SELL",
@@ -3078,7 +3077,7 @@
    "wins": 7,
    "open_cost": 13.33,
    "open_n": 5,
-   "miss_n": 95,
+   "miss_n": 96,
    "miss_pnl": 1733.79,
    "last_ts": 1785104758
   },
@@ -3183,5 +3182,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785191856
+ "updated": 1785192499
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
index 5c3807e2..2574aba6 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "live",
- "updated": 1785191856,
+ "updated": 1785192499,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": -1.02,
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
    "wins": 7,
    "open_cost": 13.33,
    "open_n": 5,
-   "miss_n": 95,
+   "miss_n": 96,
    "miss_pnl": 1733.79,
    "last_ts": 1785104758
   },
@@ -2828,6 +2828,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785192499,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "80566427864683264408132975495806825930535536706191596908698304900201437338755",
+   "cond": "0xfcaddf3ef2d9f976e0c9673ed54c380bdc3338d02ab0fa8aa7f22960f594e964",
+   "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 28?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.65,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xa2d10630247477eb272c5a0ed40a7d8a82f013468",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1785191856,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",