From 97efb71aebe20963923069d707aa425071471403 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2026 15:18:35 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_fills.jsonl | 1 + copybot_state.json | 47 ++++++++++++++++++++----------------- live/copybot_live.json | 34 +++++++++++++-------------- live/copybot_live_full.json | 12 +++++----- rtds_shadow.jsonl | 7 ++++++ 5 files changed, 57 insertions(+), 44 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl index b8523f73..48164b52 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl @@ -883,3 +883,4 @@ {"ts": 1784791173.9, "side": "SELL", "token": "80270372288514892122229303181424592994977341771902366596528480848577129708762", "shares": 18.9281, "price": 0.958, "fee": 0.0228, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1784791174.8, "side": "SELL", "token": "80270372288514892122229303181424592994977341771902366596528480848577129708762", "shares": 11.541, "price": 0.959, "fee": 0.0136, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1784819629.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 0.5, "their_price": 0.95, "my_price": 0.93, "slippage_pct": -0.0211, "shares": 66.53, "cost": 61.87, "fee": 0.1299, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.93, "ba": 0.95, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 3052.32, "ask5c": 3966.07}} +{"ts": 1784819791.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 1.5, "their_price": 0.92, "my_price": 0.91, "slippage_pct": -0.0109, "shares": 60.1, "cost": 54.69, "fee": 0.1477, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.91, "ba": 0.93, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 3118.58, "ask5c": 3466.74}} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 7f2db117..e7562d84 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -1,7 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783541947.246319, "seen_tx": [ - "0x95caa11590f2c2f0790c3d9951a1cf568802188350046095d800cb3c1681ee96", "0xbbe95a7b769a902962bed155764f6d968eda1bb3bc5077239e986857f84b0bd1", "0xd327a838fdfc93a4b6b0bdcf8c47a401cbd8193841664ef991ea52839f96d53e", "0x9876e9211338e092a3dc8c2fc20ce0438f9817d950c92a0e8f89453c2a33caba", @@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@ "0x90173370a51e9e2f6dc5a70e8ac1b1e4c2ce4fad95663c89facc2112d8fca4b9", "0xb3ffa52aaf202589449c56ed01ddcbf628e91f9e80c87cd9719c7e42652951bd", "0x56e78db2e6806c0de9d0649c253158a98b88f2de3f3b8fd4c923d31d63982306", - "0xbd752ea572e02bdca49882a0485251036a3cfbfbe97301ec39099e8a9c253fdf" + "0xbd752ea572e02bdca49882a0485251036a3cfbfbe97301ec39099e8a9c253fdf", + "0x542a41f9641f05afbf84aedc011ec67c4ca727dc99fdbb39482d73e44b068c24" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -7242,7 +7242,7 @@ "106507761033389376443609222018734385575718403979519595838350473596011994572031": 0.0, "48574977780602359973424721409966057674554416160116329470530397807988468635509": 0.0, "37191856477013737208001983122060014111424139697068666732101920490654689721653": 0.0, - "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 61.87368 + "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 307.6399 }, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": { "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848, @@ -11512,8 +11512,8 @@ "cond": "0x2c0febfae1214f1a85b6f9a39f4c74523ed5217590eb246857d671d7861b35fe" }, "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": { - "shares": 66.53083870967741, - "cost": 61.87367999999999, + "shares": 126.62694703496891, + "cost": 116.56113857601525, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "outcome": "No", "event": "ethereum-price-on-july-23-2026", @@ -11523,7 +11523,7 @@ }, "spend": { "date": "2026-07-23", - "usd": 159.82423999999997 + "usd": 214.51169857601525 }, "seeded": [ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -11683,13 +11683,13 @@ "80270372288514892122229303181424592994977341771902366596528480848577129708762": "0x2c0febfae1214f1a85b6f9a39f4c74523ed5217590eb246857d671d7861b35fe", "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": "0x4bb8b2a094bdb1153e3b6c00ce53427fd5d987edd5090181162782b90764129f" }, - "cash": 1864.992835849481, + "cash": 1810.1577211353106, "lag": { - "n": 228, - "sum_s": 6168.068238735199, - "sum_slip_pct": -7.1961689041147645 + "n": 229, + "sum_s": 6169.526695489883, + "sum_slip_pct": -7.207038469332156 }, - "fees_paid": 343.43706085373043, + "fees_paid": 343.58471699188567, "lag_recent": [ [ 1784790395.8, @@ -11705,6 +11705,11 @@ 1784819629.5, 0.5, -0.02105 + ], + [ + 1784819791.5, + 1.5, + -0.01087 ] ], "bets": { @@ -15819,12 +15824,12 @@ "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "their_price": 0.95, - "my_price": 0.93, + "my_price": 0.9204851994391966, "slippage_pct": -0.0211, "lag_s": 0.5, - "shares": 66.53, - "cost": 61.87, - "fee": 0.1299, + "shares": 126.62610832529148, + "cost": 116.55745857601525, + "fee": 0.27759999999999996, "opened": 1784819629, "status": "open", "exit_price": null, @@ -15833,8 +15838,8 @@ } }, "hwm": 3017.9847339343023, - "feed_sig": "f16917fb34c34459d9d13837e21c16e5", - "feed_pushed_at": 1784819518.6175892, + "feed_sig": "290b7a3979c430d8f0e0cc24716a4263", + "feed_pushed_at": 1784819781.9226665, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783590977, @@ -18767,7 +18772,7 @@ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970, "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702, "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784814235, - "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784819271, + "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784819674, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784745123, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784807970, "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784798961, @@ -18778,10 +18783,10 @@ "ts": 1784658775 }, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784819629, + "ts": 1784819791, "side": "BUY", - "price": 0.93, - "shares": 66.53, + "price": 0.91, + "shares": 60.1, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J", "outcome": "No" } diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index b4046e22..94b214a6 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -5,20 +5,20 @@ "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 3017.98, - "cash": 1864.99, - "deployed": 1049.04, + "cash": 1810.16, + "deployed": 1103.72, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": 1914.0, + "realized": 1913.85, "adjustments": 0.03, "ledger_drift": -0.02, "open_count": 18, - "fees_paid": 343.44, + "fees_paid": 343.58, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 228, - "n24": 3, - "avg_s": 9.0, - "avg_slip_pct": -0.0049, + "n": 229, + "n24": 4, + "avg_s": 7.2, + "avg_slip_pct": -0.0064, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -53,12 +53,12 @@ "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "their_price": 0.95, - "my_price": 0.93, + "my_price": 0.9205, "slippage_pct": -0.0211, "lag_s": 0.5, - "shares": 66.53, - "cost": 61.87, - "fee": 0.13, + "shares": 126.63, + "cost": 116.56, + "fee": 0.28, "opened": 1784819629, "status": "open", "exit_price": null, @@ -3069,10 +3069,10 @@ ], "missed_pnl": 96793.56, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784819629, + "ts": 1784819791, "side": "BUY", - "price": 0.93, - "shares": 66.53, + "price": 0.91, + "shares": 60.1, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J", "outcome": "No" }, @@ -3081,7 +3081,7 @@ "realized": 542.9, "n": 47, "wins": 12, - "open_cost": 798.41, + "open_cost": 853.09, "open_n": 11, "miss_n": 54, "miss_pnl": 97071.82, @@ -3158,5 +3158,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1784819648 + "updated": 1784819792 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json index 3aea2884..71c8c5c5 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json @@ -1,12 +1,12 @@ { "mode": "paper", - "updated": 1784819648, + "updated": 1784819792, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": 542.9, "n": 47, "wins": 12, - "open_cost": 798.41, + "open_cost": 853.09, "open_n": 11, "miss_n": 54, "miss_pnl": 97071.82, @@ -91,12 +91,12 @@ "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "their_price": 0.95, - "my_price": 0.93, + "my_price": 0.9204851994391966, "slippage_pct": -0.0211, "lag_s": 0.5, - "shares": 66.53, - "cost": 61.87, - "fee": 0.1299, + "shares": 126.62610832529148, + "cost": 116.55745857601525, + "fee": 0.27759999999999996, "opened": 1784819629, "status": "open", "exit_price": null, diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl index 6da05204..01149185 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl @@ -2014,3 +2014,10 @@ {"ts": 1784819631.14, "trade_ts": 1784819630, "lat_s": 1.14, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 61.25, "price": 0.04, "title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 23, 12PM ET?", "tx": "0x03d5cdf577fe1b7a15d2f832cc9757e43b98bf065c0b58d1cabb8dec2fcb32d4", "seen": false} {"ts": 1784819645.66, "trade_ts": 1784819645, "lat_s": 0.66, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 60.75, "price": 0.04, "title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 23, 12PM ET?", "tx": "0x1930e153574139fbe43c96592d7dd6e4123da24378107ff4aee31b7a776c76a3", "seen": false} {"ts": 1784819645.89, "trade_ts": 1784819645, "lat_s": 0.89, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 61.395825, "price": 0.9586969798027797, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J", "tx": "0xaec0df6234b201e0e30a7cc78741af041cc3e984feb979268faf3485d99057cc", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784819671.0, "trade_ts": 1784819670, "lat_s": 1.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 81, "price": 0.03, "title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 23, 12PM ET?", "tx": "0x3f230db5aa68317e10a3abf96c4c7bd3e75892bf24dec2383c158551f5630ea0", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784819671.24, "trade_ts": 1784819670, "lat_s": 1.24, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 61.239575, "price": 0.96, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J", "tx": "0xb479dd7cbfdfb1206185b31c111abb44d2ec3e1b5bf77e2e8ff0cf94e553fb95", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784819673.4, "trade_ts": 1784819673, "lat_s": 0.4, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 61.239575, "price": 0.96, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J", "tx": "0xd6b22c70bbd1e6aa70754f329246fb0076450488d2ecf7806aac2f617f2f7593", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784819674.19, "trade_ts": 1784819673, "lat_s": 1.19, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 81, "price": 0.03, "title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 23, 12PM ET?", "tx": "0xdb7cab3b0a53cca7f27c20af63d784bff878dc5b3368544e0fa37bac996fceb1", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784819785.65, "trade_ts": 1784819785, "lat_s": 0.65, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 8.102563, "price": 0.7799999827215166, "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 16\u00b0C on July 25?", "tx": "0xffbc44716c8b43d4e9cbeeb4025b056a36a3932eaecfb293c6f19c005066f8db", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784819791.19, "trade_ts": 1784819790, "lat_s": 1.19, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 61.8913, "price": 0.92, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J", "tx": "0x542a41f9641f05afbf84aedc011ec67c4ca727dc99fdbb39482d73e44b068c24", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1784819791.52, "trade_ts": 1784819791, "lat_s": 0.52, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 71.5, "price": 0.06, "title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 23, 12PM ET?", "tx": "0x667b018751abb9a4a29c1a7fcdeae564affc63ad77bd80750c7784466f5dba5e", "seen": false}