From 96f464a46f482b5a18a39eaa84fb4fc21341c975 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Tue, 4 Aug 2026 14:09:30 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_missed_archive.jsonl | 1 + copybot_rejects.jsonl | 4 +++ copybot_state.json | 48 ++++++++++++++++++------------------ live/copybot_live.json | 36 +++++++++++++-------------- live/copybot_live_full.json | 19 ++++++++++++-- rtds_shadow.jsonl | 4 +++ 6 files changed, 68 insertions(+), 44 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl index ead164fe..8f732560 100644 --- a/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl +++ b/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl @@ -103,3 +103,4 @@ {"ts": 1784292916, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "60643960237912042991623385995992740897392655866310010945852324078346572439711", "cond": "0x0cd083d5f5c038e479f99618104cf4c1189a26db07b36806d4e46d4c21d019a7", "title": "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Vici Gaming", "price": 0.3425, "stake": 105.13, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.34, "settled": 1784293574, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.3572} {"ts": 1784303812, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "110536989543612561899836326685728311541346128503675227319696677241365666291302", "cond": "0x33202ea27cf7fbf8d387c6ef1e0eb956dc999ffb96385b6fe67b84ea4a364952", "title": "Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.57, "stake": 102.53, "reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a", "status": "sold", "pnl": -15.26, "settled": 1784303999, "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "exit_price": 0.5} {"ts": 1784305076, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "28782906734976367034652809126970357901755811695575578507894349405056833093999", "cond": "0x2958e5aaa8ff729d588001f798ea3b84ad0d786927e1a92bd819d8c87477a640", "title": "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Nigma Galaxy", "price": 0.09, "stake": 102.53, "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.16 > 0.08)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 158.1, "settled": 1784305303, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.2367} +{"ts": 1784340508, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "75617938399072215829402097410146281839699850277349010268419461006890822261261", "cond": "0x68ffc65d12b23f8f259ff5e69c3af7a2403fc324ce812ea36fb645c8f5e66be3", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET", "outcome": "Up", "price": 0.2037, "stake": 105.73, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 340.64, "settled": 1784341135, "name": "1kto1m", "exit_price": 0.8683} diff --git a/copybot_rejects.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.jsonl index bc976656..f86648c1 100644 --- a/copybot_rejects.jsonl +++ b/copybot_rejects.jsonl @@ -2316,3 +2316,7 @@ {"ts": 1785851539.5, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "33434553646433873066691190813166713385472132781052531982775029257732345265276", "cond": "0xfd08056dee526375e4a4ec411cd1dc0026ca76413a7ee135a658b6a8e8f219b9", "usd": 5.0, "price": 0.001, "reason": "$5 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1785851555.4, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "76355575366199131615480497373071177054974407943554205063526354154961569390080", "cond": "0xd807b4f7da58129a1f3b63c3bf17e6f789876a34c3bf1b00aafce5a9f4d89bdf", "usd": 18.4, "price": 0.04, "reason": "$18 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1785851562.1, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "76355575366199131615480497373071177054974407943554205063526354154961569390080", "cond": "0xd807b4f7da58129a1f3b63c3bf17e6f789876a34c3bf1b00aafce5a9f4d89bdf", "usd": 12.01, "price": 0.04, "reason": "$12 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785851871.2, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "104628309488587616237515900963758328926363798303475209280258444561216878013118", "cond": "0xceb73b756d1dffbb60452a86efbca93efea9453a6f5078b2c8fd49dda3f5ccee", "usd": 116.66, "price": 0.7, "reason": "$117 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785852019.4, "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", "token": "70442277358045220295202702179666923304931957383531190500310453084573026048426", "cond": "0xbbab6708cab2be32ffb3bd7ced3ba1a16a57c53a1de04afa9864a3b6a349e5ff", "usd": 0.09, "price": 0.5, "reason": "$0 < conviction floor $80", "title": "Aston Villa vs. BG Pathum United: Both Teams to Score", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785852373.0, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318", "cond": "0x30174f3f46398e37c96a07b45916e01eab9a8a854ecb624ac73a91a8490fd074", "usd": 54.5, "price": 0.0637751173214432, "reason": "$54 < conviction floor $227", "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785852517.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "23850405574478816400886386948262747932170814770599060543337553186558852100354", "cond": "0x4938db4a60db6a4de08e1e602f21e7a6eaab093c0b2d3fb5f69beb04d638d1ab", "usd": 22.93, "price": 0.3399999918, "reason": "$23 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026?", "mode": "paper"} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 6d0b4660..bdd96863 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -1,7 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783541947.246319, "seen_tx": [ - "0x34bfca3d8e9ce551e3752341c1f194ee3dc3187c27d452dd847976cf17313bdd", "0xdbb05fcc4258d3ea72a5a312410050b3f617c46780e61db5d00d075a44f5a06f", "0x00221de186fbcf150e4a456824a2a80ab4cd39b996a6ceffd63c783e1cfe3942", "0x639f303ee469c5dacf67613b8de3fc1c5ad153e208d86ffff91f4349981957bf", @@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@ "0x82ad8e7691511fcf9084be9b1d192cc73b145952112c51cf4abdc05528b8de4d", "0xadfc11250c2b5b07352f4a9a116a6cc6a5f0b1d4021546c455e2d8bd8f0990ed", "0x55f3f9c95f7cf735637ab76d4fca38f38ec2ace0bdf6b613c634ffe0f1cd6e55", - "0xc748690c8b86482eb6a32e5b541aac2d8ee556a6ccb95e207dbdf5401e0c925e" + "0xc748690c8b86482eb6a32e5b541aac2d8ee556a6ccb95e207dbdf5401e0c925e", + "0xd643c30a90abd5448c3df95bad94c3117e3e61853c1f82a111ceb216044ec279" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -7994,7 +7994,8 @@ "107357148322312303082076717944621942755425671514925383367747556579524494621779": 0.0, "19740170008252304805212251881042413299490894274311314565362589020531658512914": 0.0, "8792878761142363176583400078674604662858862537191704613342105676087881657980": 0.0, - "105325057331617843593500921322985327200497446237876935215440565478876478702870": 0.0 + "105325057331617843593500921322985327200497446237876935215440565478876478702870": 0.0, + "44952859930591206375449316303350129121071883825837753443431097609201876804363": 64.9 }, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": { "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848, @@ -21575,8 +21576,8 @@ } }, "hwm": 3600.1933566560215, - "feed_sig": "3b71f3bca35fdf1b507b1a414ffaf012", - "feed_pushed_at": 1785851699.6826591, + "feed_sig": "9ea81c1891ff654b35899490abfac66c", + "feed_pushed_at": 1785852448.9418397, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783889397, @@ -21608,22 +21609,6 @@ "settled": null, "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" }, - { - "ts": 1784340508, - "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", - "token": "75617938399072215829402097410146281839699850277349010268419461006890822261261", - "cond": "0x68ffc65d12b23f8f259ff5e69c3af7a2403fc324ce812ea36fb645c8f5e66be3", - "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET", - "outcome": "Up", - "price": 0.2037, - "stake": 105.73, - "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": 340.64, - "settled": 1784341135, - "name": "1kto1m", - "exit_price": 0.8683 - }, { "ts": 1784377056, "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", @@ -24753,6 +24738,21 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, + { + "ts": 1785852517, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "44952859930591206375449316303350129121071883825837753443431097609201876804363", + "cond": "0x5f8b66fe0b59a44b181102f8c02b69630b5feddae7185ad5bf150fe4ee9aa16e", + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.6, + "stake": 52.95, + "reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" } ], "no_miss_toks": [ @@ -24952,12 +24952,12 @@ "trade_cursor": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970, "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702, - "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1785841140, - "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785851288, + "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1785852018, + "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785852516, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785429351, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1785849980, "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1785834869, - "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785851555, + "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785852372, "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1785617775 }, "boot": { diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index c3899c1f..4c32e5ea 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -2150,6 +2150,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785852517, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "44952859930591206375449316303350129121071883825837753443431097609201876804363", + "cond": "0x5f8b66fe0b59a44b181102f8c02b69630b5feddae7185ad5bf150fe4ee9aa16e", + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.6, + "stake": 52.95, + "reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1785838288, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -3076,24 +3091,9 @@ "settled": 1785494766, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.2972 - }, - { - "ts": 1785458766, - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "token": "78728112054519033757681466973844566499703528896052761274000178959410659593", - "cond": "0x424a35de2ed7150339423462d110256fd1a40b6a5f07c0002433bc89201798d7", - "title": "Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.75, - "stake": 53.59, - "reason": "price moved 0.68\u21920.75", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" } ], - "missed_pnl": 21278.53, + "missed_pnl": 20937.89, "last_fill": { "ts": 1785849945, "side": "BUY", @@ -3109,7 +3109,7 @@ "wins": 36, "open_cost": 695.3, "open_n": 13, - "miss_n": 135, + "miss_n": 136, "miss_pnl": 112417.55, "last_ts": 1785844868 }, @@ -3204,5 +3204,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1785851760 + "updated": 1785852517 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json index 875474c0..fc6adda5 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "paper", - "updated": 1785851760, + "updated": 1785852517, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": 655.37, @@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ "wins": 36, "open_cost": 695.3, "open_n": 13, - "miss_n": 135, + "miss_n": 136, "miss_pnl": 112417.55, "last_ts": 1785844868 }, @@ -7079,6 +7079,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785852517, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "44952859930591206375449316303350129121071883825837753443431097609201876804363", + "cond": "0x5f8b66fe0b59a44b181102f8c02b69630b5feddae7185ad5bf150fe4ee9aa16e", + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.6, + "stake": 52.95, + "reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1785838288, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl index 11cd02e4..4d66e9e6 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl @@ -2123,3 +2123,7 @@ {"ts": 1785851539.52, "trade_ts": 1785851539, "lat_s": 0.52, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 5005, "price": 0.001, "title": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4,", "tx": "0x42a8353e2d18f29d236ebc8f578cb6e79d35a7d1baf5cbd62216cab3c0a09732", "seen": false} {"ts": 1785851555.23, "trade_ts": 1785851555, "lat_s": 0.23, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 460, "price": 0.04, "title": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4,", "tx": "0x5954889d622dd9648439eddf3b2bd5df1bd9f2e3d9a54d6839fb0e7d151c3664", "seen": false} {"ts": 1785851562.08, "trade_ts": 1785851561, "lat_s": 1.08, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 300.15, "price": 0.04, "title": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4,", "tx": "0xe2faa3f51b4ac8fd530b03b72f03353afd6465d9933fa683731cd438436a70c4", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785851871.12, "trade_ts": 1785851870, "lat_s": 1.12, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 166.66, "price": 0.7, "title": "Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?", "tx": "0xaa4ecacf1608e3700f2bba3e051f65aaff8957e73824cb404f6e78e1513ee944", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785852019.34, "trade_ts": 1785852019, "lat_s": 0.33, "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", "name": "Kruto2027", "side": "BUY", "size": 0.18, "price": 0.5, "title": "Aston Villa vs. BG Pathum United: Both Teams to Score", "tx": "0xef7c3aaf663cf3403945596545ee80c7a9a96d869d8bb142acf3610ce9023616", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785852372.91, "trade_ts": 1785852372, "lat_s": 0.91, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 531.91, "price": 0.06, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?", "tx": "0x916ef5d2f18e388f5a6b1c8f125af7c22d2995b0f17cbfcaa23f2df7a3d5fd7f", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785852373.05, "trade_ts": 1785852372, "lat_s": 1.05, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 322.58, "price": 0.07, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?", "tx": "0x916ef5d2f18e388f5a6b1c8f125af7c22d2995b0f17cbfcaa23f2df7a3d5fd7f", "seen": false}