diff --git a/live/conviction_wallets.json b/live/conviction_wallets.json index 8ccd1f88..58e7ad77 100644 --- a/live/conviction_wallets.json +++ b/live/conviction_wallets.json @@ -33,7 +33,7 @@ "train_win": 100.0, "train_conv_roi": 1.249, "train_z": 9.66, - "z_all": 20.89, + "z_all": 20.95, "med_stake": 9800, "avg_entry": 0.46, "train_n": 79, @@ -45,15 +45,15 @@ "wallet": "0x72e1597864456eda62878413cf3e60c332e4a45d", "name": "0x72e15978", "train_win": 99.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.97, - "train_z": 17.86, + "train_conv_roi": 0.968, + "train_z": 17.6, "z_all": 29.09, - "med_stake": 426, + "med_stake": 464, "avg_entry": 0.52, - "train_n": 334, + "train_n": 325, "fwd_win": 99.0, "fwd_conv_roi": 1.069, - "fwd_n": 203 + "fwd_n": 199 }, { "wallet": "0xc78cdeb598f0bb8bae62a80e8134e842b3c44455", @@ -125,6 +125,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.766, "fwd_n": 63 }, + { + "wallet": "0x04be12cdb4f3f0e43bb78c6145f442ed53411aec", + "name": "0x04be12cd", + "train_win": 68.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.587, + "train_z": 9.69, + "z_all": 9.65, + "med_stake": 487, + "avg_entry": 0.42, + "train_n": 317, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x1b1879b8c069a92b3cb32659a879cf02721670da", "name": "0x1b1879b8", @@ -153,20 +167,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.515, "fwd_n": 34 }, - { - "wallet": "0x04be12cdb4f3f0e43bb78c6145f442ed53411aec", - "name": "0x04be12cd", - "train_win": 72.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.549, - "train_z": 2.99, - "z_all": 2.25, - "med_stake": 427, - "avg_entry": 0.45, - "train_n": 29, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x945bccea4eeb353bf459e95c7c98ad8f3557e533", "name": "0x945bccea", @@ -293,20 +293,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.138, "fwd_n": 202 }, - { - "wallet": "0x88ad3166c6cce6a1bf732050749089273252a1f3", - "name": "0x88ad3166", - "train_win": 86.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.411, - "train_z": 3.23, - "z_all": 2.16, - "med_stake": 58, - "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 45, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xbf1040ad7009ed6532f885c2043630d1cedf15ce", "name": "0xbf1040ad", @@ -321,20 +307,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.143, "fwd_n": 10 }, - { - "wallet": "0xf82addf4684c494dff04d634bed736d5039f237f", - "name": "0xf82addf4", - "train_win": 88.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.39, - "train_z": 2.14, - "z_all": 2.28, - "med_stake": 100, - "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 18, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xe542afd3881c4c330ba0ebbb603bb470b2ba0a37", "name": "0xe542afd3", @@ -345,9 +317,23 @@ "med_stake": 841, "avg_entry": 0.53, "train_n": 484, - "fwd_win": 57.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.122, - "fwd_n": 130 + "fwd_win": 57.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.096, + "fwd_n": 129 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x88ad3166c6cce6a1bf732050749089273252a1f3", + "name": "0x88ad3166", + "train_win": 73.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.359, + "train_z": 6.96, + "z_all": 5.77, + "med_stake": 58, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 434, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", @@ -363,6 +349,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.228, "fwd_n": 220 }, + { + "wallet": "0xa354c4d6bc6dbcdd804cdbac820949e7defeb85f", + "name": "0xa354c4d6", + "train_win": 68.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.348, + "train_z": 2.88, + "z_all": 8.09, + "med_stake": 200, + "avg_entry": 0.53, + "train_n": 76, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x82d2e4dbb0a849ff8e2f5380719769145648beea", "name": "0x82d2e4db", @@ -391,6 +391,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.007, "fwd_n": 54 }, + { + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "name": "0x215adbb6", + "train_win": 72.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.311, + "train_z": 5.85, + "z_all": 5.04, + "med_stake": 400, + "avg_entry": 0.57, + "train_n": 289, + "fwd_win": 55.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.327, + "fwd_n": 276 + }, { "wallet": "0xc904211fd4412d5caa0b51f923304bf5e1821e9a", "name": "0xc904211f", @@ -425,27 +439,13 @@ "train_win": 83.7, "train_conv_roi": 0.308, "train_z": 4.21, - "z_all": 3.89, + "z_all": 3.99, "med_stake": 59, "avg_entry": 0.65, "train_n": 86, - "fwd_win": 74.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.103, - "fwd_n": 265 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "name": "0x215adbb6", - "train_win": 71.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.305, - "train_z": 5.78, - "z_all": 5.0, - "med_stake": 398, - "avg_entry": 0.57, - "train_n": 291, - "fwd_win": 55.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.323, - "fwd_n": 277 + "fwd_win": 75.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.107, + "fwd_n": 264 }, { "wallet": "0x0bd753cbeb82b4dc735fdd84955f99fbaf258553", @@ -461,20 +461,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.013, "fwd_n": 31 }, - { - "wallet": "0x8c44dcfe1178aa04dfa44e000f5b89a054027baf", - "name": "0x8c44dcfe", - "train_win": 82.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.292, - "train_z": 1.98, - "z_all": 4.0, - "med_stake": 127, - "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 28, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x460d15ce9258fb8ce6a94d984574598d2f1c9d5f", "name": "0x460d15ce", @@ -489,6 +475,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.259, "fwd_n": 11 }, + { + "wallet": "0xd6a21015449cb457cc62c4398eadd9e5b3911228", + "name": "0xd6a21015", + "train_win": 89.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.271, + "train_z": 3.09, + "z_all": 2.22, + "med_stake": 131, + "avg_entry": 0.72, + "train_n": 48, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0xa5427f80816486ad3e4c80aad9711f87b8b5172c", "name": "0xa5427f80", @@ -503,6 +503,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x098eddabb2d388f31e79aaf525e49588f22a6fa2", + "name": "0x098eddab", + "train_win": 82.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.249, + "train_z": 3.91, + "z_all": 3.96, + "med_stake": 231, + "avg_entry": 0.68, + "train_n": 112, + "fwd_win": 73.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.124, + "fwd_n": 52 + }, { "wallet": "0xed37e7316f6b1b99da8893e0c09cfe0bf1b62f93", "name": "0xed37e731", @@ -517,20 +531,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 1.024, "fwd_n": 17 }, - { - "wallet": "0x098eddabb2d388f31e79aaf525e49588f22a6fa2", - "name": "0x098eddab", - "train_win": 81.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.23, - "train_z": 3.76, - "z_all": 3.92, - "med_stake": 231, - "avg_entry": 0.68, - "train_n": 112, - "fwd_win": 73.1, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.124, - "fwd_n": 52 - }, { "wallet": "0x2d462b29127b919ae4c085e03be44ae7077e3e2d", "name": "0x2d462b29", @@ -541,9 +541,9 @@ "med_stake": 355, "avg_entry": 0.71, "train_n": 166, - "fwd_win": 65.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.34, - "fwd_n": 170 + "fwd_win": 66.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.364, + "fwd_n": 178 }, { "wallet": "0x753e554feb327f9d4f7bff8a6ebdced98fbd2046", @@ -559,20 +559,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x08bfd9feb2e1f1dc0a32e5edec57ef184b818b4d", - "name": "0x08bfd9fe", - "train_win": 67.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.212, - "train_z": 3.36, - "z_all": 2.05, - "med_stake": 800, - "avg_entry": 0.55, - "train_n": 159, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x63fd80f1f506134d4787a7519877d0515c205c9c", "name": "0x63fd80f1", @@ -597,9 +583,9 @@ "med_stake": 220, "avg_entry": 0.66, "train_n": 106, - "fwd_win": 75.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.149, - "fwd_n": 32 + "fwd_win": 74.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.145, + "fwd_n": 35 }, { "wallet": "0xe0b311527157158117b34bb5841dcb45602c4132", @@ -632,16 +618,30 @@ { "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "0x41558102", - "train_win": 85.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.198, - "train_z": 4.84, - "z_all": 12.04, - "med_stake": 348, - "avg_entry": 0.75, - "train_n": 295, - "fwd_win": 87.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.141, - "fwd_n": 279 + "train_win": 85.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.199, + "train_z": 4.74, + "z_all": 11.87, + "med_stake": 355, + "avg_entry": 0.74, + "train_n": 289, + "fwd_win": 87.2, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.135, + "fwd_n": 288 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xa2e5927b38c42d1fdd6c05d70492c3f4208fc8d1", + "name": "0xa2e5927b", + "train_win": 70.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.193, + "train_z": 1.78, + "z_all": 2.29, + "med_stake": 85, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 44, + "fwd_win": 51.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.078, + "fwd_n": 29 }, { "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", @@ -657,6 +657,20 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.019, "fwd_n": 282 }, + { + "wallet": "0x0c3e55cf50a00a7e74fabd8584c6fdde21603c4c", + "name": "0x0c3e55cf", + "train_win": 75.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.19, + "train_z": 3.74, + "z_all": 10.09, + "med_stake": 442, + "avg_entry": 0.65, + "train_n": 237, + "fwd_win": 73.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.019, + "fwd_n": 422 + }, { "wallet": "0x3eff118d4bc1742903d9516edf2e3c991600ae12", "name": "0x3eff118d", @@ -695,9 +709,9 @@ "med_stake": 148, "avg_entry": 0.54, "train_n": 53, - "fwd_win": 45.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.481, - "fwd_n": 11 + "fwd_win": 53.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.443, + "fwd_n": 13 }, { "wallet": "0x12f93b2a5cd5d370e2e2772246c3c7ceed7774ba", @@ -709,9 +723,9 @@ "med_stake": 1019, "avg_entry": 0.72, "train_n": 336, - "fwd_win": 73.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.046, - "fwd_n": 184 + "fwd_win": 73.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.04, + "fwd_n": 188 }, { "wallet": "0xa6a67037b21956e7fbec5bc7e27a076276088651", @@ -727,34 +741,48 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.409, "fwd_n": 33 }, - { - "wallet": "0x0c3e55cf50a00a7e74fabd8584c6fdde21603c4c", - "name": "0x0c3e55cf", - "train_win": 80.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.169, - "train_z": 3.8, - "z_all": 10.26, - "med_stake": 438, - "avg_entry": 0.72, - "train_n": 264, - "fwd_win": 74.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.027, - "fwd_n": 385 - }, { "wallet": "0xc684828f6b03487759ced2ebdd975f91f3532228", "name": "0xc684828f", - "train_win": 77.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.168, - "train_z": 3.79, - "z_all": 4.09, + "train_win": 76.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.167, + "train_z": 3.76, + "z_all": 4.07, "med_stake": 929, "avg_entry": 0.67, - "train_n": 248, + "train_n": 247, "fwd_win": 70.8, "fwd_conv_roi": -0.036, "fwd_n": 65 }, + { + "wallet": "0x7ccec29637829abd9e5d6f2cb68d4225c8fa8713", + "name": "0x7ccec296", + "train_win": 67.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.164, + "train_z": 2.56, + "z_all": 2.88, + "med_stake": 775, + "avg_entry": 0.57, + "train_n": 114, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x13464aabec792c36b062316f474713e681330448", + "name": "0x13464aab", + "train_win": 70.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.161, + "train_z": 3.88, + "z_all": 8.46, + "med_stake": 168, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 338, + "fwd_win": 66.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.246, + "fwd_n": 122 + }, { "wallet": "0x2842d5201b2119d0ec14581fee3c3324bc0c9bab", "name": "0x2842d520", @@ -783,34 +811,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x13464aabec792c36b062316f474713e681330448", - "name": "0x13464aab", - "train_win": 69.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.151, - "train_z": 3.87, - "z_all": 8.3, - "med_stake": 165, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 343, - "fwd_win": 65.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.192, - "fwd_n": 117 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x7ccec29637829abd9e5d6f2cb68d4225c8fa8713", - "name": "0x7ccec296", - "train_win": 69.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.151, - "train_z": 2.6, - "z_all": 2.64, - "med_stake": 785, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 113, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x1aeebd7b0eb92037a630004f8eabc0759c36c139", "name": "0x1aeebd7b", @@ -821,24 +821,38 @@ "med_stake": 4423, "avg_entry": 0.68, "train_n": 87, - "fwd_win": 78.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.063, - "fwd_n": 23 + "fwd_win": 79.2, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.056, + "fwd_n": 24 }, { "wallet": "0xed61f86bb5298d2f27c21c433ce58d80b88a9aa3", "name": "0xed61f86b", "train_win": 73.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.136, - "train_z": 3.03, - "z_all": 10.31, - "med_stake": 1315, + "train_conv_roi": 0.137, + "train_z": 3.04, + "z_all": 10.29, + "med_stake": 1305, "avg_entry": 0.66, "train_n": 305, "fwd_win": 85.7, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.156, "fwd_n": 21 }, + { + "wallet": "0xc2d9576f67db505cf2e74a9c82b8be2b09f81ef4", + "name": "0xc2d9576f", + "train_win": 66.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.135, + "train_z": 6.37, + "z_all": 2.11, + "med_stake": 189, + "avg_entry": 0.57, + "train_n": 697, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 2 + }, { "wallet": "0x3ab5ad27c676c4be1218397912eab5396e6de56f", "name": "0x3ab5ad27", @@ -868,32 +882,46 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0xc2d9576f67db505cf2e74a9c82b8be2b09f81ef4", - "name": "0xc2d9576f", - "train_win": 65.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.127, - "train_z": 5.97, - "z_all": 2.21, - "med_stake": 189, - "avg_entry": 0.56, - "train_n": 702, + "wallet": "0xc13109a557892f483bc0532a7838b2b4c3b3f5d5", + "name": "0xc13109a5", + "train_win": 65.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.13, + "train_z": 4.21, + "z_all": 3.94, + "med_stake": 119, + "avg_entry": 0.55, + "train_n": 400, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 1 + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1", "name": "0xa9aca75f", - "train_win": 65.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.126, - "train_z": 2.93, - "z_all": 2.72, + "train_win": 65.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.125, + "train_z": 2.82, + "z_all": 2.7, "med_stake": 1410, "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 255, - "fwd_win": 63.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.28, - "fwd_n": 169 + "train_n": 254, + "fwd_win": 63.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.267, + "fwd_n": 177 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xb8f6c79e452d7247d0cf47d16eaf7911953c4f7f", + "name": "0xb8f6c79e", + "train_win": 68.7, + "train_conv_roi": 0.125, + "train_z": 2.45, + "z_all": 3.44, + "med_stake": 68, + "avg_entry": 0.63, + "train_n": 342, + "fwd_win": 83.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.099, + "fwd_n": 174 }, { "wallet": "0xc52fead8edac49825f5c52aff6e63cd331980981", @@ -909,34 +937,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.025, "fwd_n": 123 }, - { - "wallet": "0xb8f6c79e452d7247d0cf47d16eaf7911953c4f7f", - "name": "0xb8f6c79e", - "train_win": 68.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.124, - "train_z": 2.45, - "z_all": 3.35, - "med_stake": 68, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 344, - "fwd_win": 83.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.096, - "fwd_n": 170 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x0b9353aea88d01ed1912013b435dd39947d0a6cc", - "name": "0x0b9353ae", - "train_win": 81.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.121, - "train_z": 4.2, - "z_all": 2.14, - "med_stake": 178, - "avg_entry": 0.71, - "train_n": 337, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xe74b89a7c41f37460a977a542488429bbe09ee88", "name": "0xe74b89a7", @@ -994,18 +994,18 @@ "fwd_n": 98 }, { - "wallet": "0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1", - "name": "0x8f692690", - "train_win": 76.9, + "wallet": "0x0b9353aea88d01ed1912013b435dd39947d0a6cc", + "name": "0x0b9353ae", + "train_win": 80.3, "train_conv_roi": 0.114, - "train_z": 2.43, - "z_all": 2.9, - "med_stake": 6664, - "avg_entry": 0.7, - "train_n": 225, - "fwd_win": 59.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.036, - "fwd_n": 64 + "train_z": 4.17, + "z_all": 2.26, + "med_stake": 177, + "avg_entry": 0.71, + "train_n": 350, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 }, { "wallet": "0x86c878cde72660ec52f5e6f0f0438b76de8fc867", @@ -1017,9 +1017,23 @@ "med_stake": 1690, "avg_entry": 0.69, "train_n": 313, - "fwd_win": 70.9, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.102, - "fwd_n": 148 + "fwd_win": 71.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.103, + "fwd_n": 149 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1", + "name": "0x8f692690", + "train_win": 76.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.11, + "train_z": 2.37, + "z_all": 2.9, + "med_stake": 6680, + "avg_entry": 0.71, + "train_n": 225, + "fwd_win": 59.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.036, + "fwd_n": 64 }, { "wallet": "0x8fe9f78102c6f550b6bb88ba695e45917df2c6dc", @@ -1053,15 +1067,15 @@ "wallet": "0xab417c0bacc9fe17368d5d662c957f54a1fcc453", "name": "0xab417c0b", "train_win": 69.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.104, - "train_z": 3.13, - "z_all": 2.27, - "med_stake": 223, - "avg_entry": 0.62, - "train_n": 377, - "fwd_win": 64.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.129, - "fwd_n": 229 + "train_conv_roi": 0.103, + "train_z": 3.04, + "z_all": 2.13, + "med_stake": 226, + "avg_entry": 0.63, + "train_n": 364, + "fwd_win": 64.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.128, + "fwd_n": 228 }, { "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", @@ -1073,9 +1087,9 @@ "med_stake": 900, "avg_entry": 0.7, "train_n": 318, - "fwd_win": 56.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.057, - "fwd_n": 168 + "fwd_win": 56.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.055, + "fwd_n": 169 }, { "wallet": "0xee01a81b4410e4341db0e15550c7d3b6f9f2bb53", @@ -1119,16 +1133,30 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71", + "name": "0x60a92c86", + "train_win": 77.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.089, + "train_z": 1.97, + "z_all": 2.02, + "med_stake": 5599, + "avg_entry": 0.7, + "train_n": 123, + "fwd_win": 70.6, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.023, + "fwd_n": 68 + }, { "wallet": "0x3746dc1ec0dc01352dc141b310e5da81fd7ea99f", "name": "0x3746dc1e", - "train_win": 68.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.087, + "train_win": 69.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.088, "train_z": 3.2, - "z_all": 2.1, + "z_all": 2.05, "med_stake": 56, "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 321, + "train_n": 319, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -1161,20 +1189,48 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.057, "fwd_n": 72 }, + { + "wallet": "0x011f2d377e56119fb09196dffb0948ae55711122", + "name": "0x011f2d37", + "train_win": 80.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.063, + "train_z": 2.94, + "z_all": 6.93, + "med_stake": 3561, + "avg_entry": 0.75, + "train_n": 267, + "fwd_win": 59.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.076, + "fwd_n": 105 + }, { "wallet": "0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2", "name": "0x809205fb", - "train_win": 76.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.049, - "train_z": 1.89, - "z_all": 2.98, - "med_stake": 97, + "train_win": 76.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.05, + "train_z": 1.94, + "z_all": 2.95, + "med_stake": 98, "avg_entry": 0.73, - "train_n": 263, + "train_n": 264, "fwd_win": 77.8, "fwd_conv_roi": 0.082, "fwd_n": 27 }, + { + "wallet": "0xa85ce6075994cf3e069feeb2ccd9667608533463", + "name": "0xa85ce607", + "train_win": 68.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.033, + "train_z": 3.1, + "z_all": 3.85, + "med_stake": 163, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 322, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x25d8c73a5ebeb6db934d8da68592ba3d4f1ca71f", "name": "0x25d8c73a", @@ -1189,19 +1245,33 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.083, "fwd_n": 60 }, + { + "wallet": "0xe1a532a9991cc9ce27174b0296d077f824149dad", + "name": "0xe1a532a9", + "train_win": 69.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.026, + "train_z": 3.03, + "z_all": 3.87, + "med_stake": 129, + "avg_entry": 0.64, + "train_n": 382, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124", "name": "0x0d42cc5f", - "train_win": 67.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.02, - "train_z": 2.28, - "z_all": 6.65, + "train_win": 68.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.025, + "train_z": 2.34, + "z_all": 6.69, "med_stake": 447, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 382, - "fwd_win": 71.9, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.115, - "fwd_n": 57 + "avg_entry": 0.64, + "train_n": 380, + "fwd_win": 72.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.124, + "fwd_n": 59 }, { "wallet": "0x16abe608bee11347334a2da15b96c185ee8e2f10", @@ -1217,27 +1287,13 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.135, "fwd_n": 4 }, - { - "wallet": "0xe1d6b51521bd4365769199f392f9818661bd907c", - "name": "0xe1d6b515", - "train_win": 65.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.018, - "train_z": 3.42, - "z_all": 3.78, - "med_stake": 1158, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 492, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x83d9c8fe37f1b5141f3219219403d87f4513651b", "name": "0x83d9c8fe", "train_win": 75.6, "train_conv_roi": 0.016, "train_z": 1.88, - "z_all": 2.15, + "z_all": 2.16, "med_stake": 3442, "avg_entry": 0.72, "train_n": 361, @@ -1246,17 +1302,17 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0xe1a532a9991cc9ce27174b0296d077f824149dad", - "name": "0xe1a532a9", - "train_win": 69.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.011, - "train_z": 2.82, - "z_all": 3.35, - "med_stake": 130, - "avg_entry": 0.64, - "train_n": 370, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "wallet": "0x993c072519306017fe9a6b3ee6fa4a02b3056787", + "name": "0x993c0725", + "train_win": 65.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.007, + "train_z": 1.78, + "z_all": 2.09, + "med_stake": 6032, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 93, + "fwd_win": 61.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.062, + "fwd_n": 39 } ] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot.paper.json b/live/copybot.paper.json index 0ba3b7fe..3404d032 100644 --- a/live/copybot.paper.json +++ b/live/copybot.paper.json @@ -26,13 +26,13 @@ "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "class": "volume", - "floor": 328.32 + "floor": 328.31 }, { "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "class": "volume", - "floor": 221.89 + "floor": 227.39 } ], "follow": { diff --git a/live/dashboard.html b/live/dashboard.html index 74d3b026..441024f4 100644 --- a/live/dashboard.html +++ b/live/dashboard.html @@ -36,13 +36,13 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de .b{color:var(--green)}.s{color:var(--red)}

Skilled Wallets · Polymarket

-

71 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-07-15 00:59

+

63 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-07-15 11:25

-
Validated wallets
71
-
Median z
3.8
-
Median OOS z
3.0
-
Value / longshot
50
-
Favorite-rider
9
+
Validated wallets
63
+
Median z
4.2
+
Median OOS z
3.2
+
Value / longshot
47
+
Favorite-rider
8
@@ -68,7 +68,7 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de

How to read it. z = how far the wallet beat the prices it paid (skill; >3 is strong). OOS z = whether that skill held on held-out bets — the gate that separates real edge from luck. Alpha 0.2–0.4 = share of bets in the underdog value zone where research finds real edge concentrates. Value wallets win by beating longshot/mid prices (the copyable alpha); Favorite-rider wallets post high win rates buying near-certain favorites (real but thin, hard to copy). Click any row for live recent trades. Not financial advice — split-half OOS, forward-track before sizing.