diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
index 7f8882fd..2f297536 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
@@ -305,3 +305,7 @@
 {"ts": 1784989239.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784989556.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784989877.9, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1784990201.9, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.87, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1784990528.2, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1784990861.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1784991188.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index 27ad9902..05282d82 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -7460,7 +7460,7 @@
       "11006369718549274989933863816158067649870082004018929688576313587735635915280": 0.0,
       "60763696122119509007587395489040708095232156021879038654932778922116790300932": 0.0,
       "48606102783812348479549638943905043244330817094351935533076042243655518226923": 0.0,
-      "81971570430631246702272897060581472251947225950350133003310719122599499176971": 62.54444
+      "81971570430631246702272897060581472251947225950350133003310719122599499176971": 0.3571
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -13398,15 +13398,6 @@
       "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
       "cond": "0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f"
     },
-    "31734979589136676783620439669736424886669000930046383039286241799551299417224": {
-      "shares": 4.66,
-      "cost": 2.2368,
-      "title": "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
-      "outcome": "Weibo Gaming",
-      "event": null,
-      "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
-      "cond": "0xc3e1ba8dfe6c47150155a2b90997a58ff23169a4af45fe36a2ba87d71e0991fb"
-    },
     "107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933": {
       "shares": 2.78,
       "cost": 2.2518,
@@ -13536,7 +13527,6 @@
     "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191": "0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f",
     "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978": "0x561e9279ca4e2fc1cdea5b0c1ae13559bfa8f6bb3be7e3015ffc548db34ab234",
     "41128359410147540990090031143993561801439881809667646963277254224817395601063": "0xba5c00eaab56d7b64b194e8ed03dae7f9f29b98e215601aa147fc30fd59af78a",
-    "31734979589136676783620439669736424886669000930046383039286241799551299417224": "0xc3e1ba8dfe6c47150155a2b90997a58ff23169a4af45fe36a2ba87d71e0991fb",
     "24538227191540742319290192357327280598675171199196475574105878696409564463051": "0xe901d84e835d00e4899ffd2f3ad57e5517b8eb5bb0ecb954038d7e8175ed71cf",
     "107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933": "0x0e000fcdcc214b1a05b9f10611ae307210a43bf083643d021573aa4dc7e5fe75",
     "37396056216978472002674926504514491318505793793759544366379504943870958326106": "0xa255ab978a1eab78a7bd29479b0b9fe8e3de1904044f9887e470cebb7e04c63b",
@@ -16182,10 +16172,10 @@
       "cost": 2.24,
       "fee": 0.0349,
       "opened": 1784974783,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "lost",
+      "exit_price": 0.0,
+      "pnl": -2.27,
+      "settled": 1784991381,
       "end_ts": 1784937600
     },
     "24538227191540742319290192357327280598675171199196475574105878696409564463051": {
@@ -19552,8 +19542,8 @@
       "exit_price": 0.3115
     }
   ],
-  "feed_sig": "e3a77b3ebfcd5ff2a80082378e22fd36",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784990008.5211458,
+  "feed_sig": "7859de60e3c4b44acd27f5578c9fa1bf",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784991319.4877102,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783906689,
@@ -19604,14 +19594,14 @@
     "6457952357077230044054791268159160058712529625831041550558183767114352456975": 1,
     "61895825019286928316753689208545457497714235075046708292847356747636406191670": 1,
     "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 1,
-    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 301,
+    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 305,
     "24538227191540742319290192357327280598675171199196475574105878696409564463051": 1
   },
   "trade_cursor": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784882427,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784990098,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784990110,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784980261,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784987794,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784981110,
@@ -19631,66 +19621,6 @@
     "outcome": "No"
   },
   "ignored_exits": [
-    {
-      "ts": 1784923982.0,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.87,
-      "shares_held": 3.4789,
-      "cost_held": 2.47,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "live"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1784924307.8,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.87,
-      "shares_held": 3.4789,
-      "cost_held": 2.47,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "live"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1784924624.3,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.87,
-      "shares_held": 3.4789,
-      "cost_held": 2.47,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "live"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1784924939.6,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.87,
-      "shares_held": 3.4789,
-      "cost_held": 2.47,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "live"
-    },
     {
       "ts": 1784925264.2,
       "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
@@ -22630,6 +22560,66 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784990201.9,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.87,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784990528.2,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784990861.3,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784991188.3,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
     }
   ],
   "maker_stats": {
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index 5cc95304..20417346 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 {
  "mode": "live",
  "bankroll": 66.42,
- "stake": 2.26,
+ "stake": 2.17,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 63.02,
  "cash": 16.19,
- "deployed": 40.21,
+ "deployed": 37.97,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": -19.47,
+ "realized": -21.7,
  "adjustments": 9.44,
- "ledger_drift": 0.03,
- "open_count": 19,
+ "ledger_drift": 0.02,
+ "open_count": 18,
  "fees_paid": 3.54,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
@@ -49,6 +49,26 @@
   "JuiceFarm": 752.73
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "31734979589136676783620439669736424886669000930046383039286241799551299417224",
+   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
+   "name": "AIcAIc",
+   "outcome": "Weibo Gaming",
+   "title": "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
+   "their_price": 0.48,
+   "my_price": 0.48,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 3.2,
+   "shares": 4.66,
+   "cost": 2.24,
+   "fee": 0.03,
+   "opened": 1784974783,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -2.27,
+   "settled": 1784991381,
+   "end_ts": 1784937600
+  },
   {
    "token": "81971570430631246702272897060581472251947225950350133003310719122599499176971",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -131,26 +151,6 @@
    "sold_shares": 2.98,
    "sold_proceeds": 2.73
   },
-  {
-   "token": "31734979589136676783620439669736424886669000930046383039286241799551299417224",
-   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
-   "name": "AIcAIc",
-   "outcome": "Weibo Gaming",
-   "title": "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
-   "their_price": 0.48,
-   "my_price": 0.48,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 3.2,
-   "shares": 4.66,
-   "cost": 2.24,
-   "fee": 0.03,
-   "opened": 1784974783,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1784937600
-  },
   {
    "token": "41128359410147540990090031143993561801439881809667646963277254224817395601063",
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -3101,14 +3101,14 @@
    "last_ts": 1784990098
   },
   "AIcAIc": {
-   "realized": -13.41,
-   "n": 16,
+   "realized": -15.68,
+   "n": 17,
    "wins": 0,
-   "open_cost": 4.5,
-   "open_n": 2,
+   "open_cost": 2.26,
+   "open_n": 1,
    "miss_n": 14,
    "miss_pnl": 3.33,
-   "last_ts": 1784982970
+   "last_ts": 1784991381
   },
   "(incident)": {
    "realized": 5.86,
@@ -3201,5 +3201,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1784990104
+ "updated": 1784991384
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
index 51b892b0..916701ef 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "live",
- "updated": 1784990104,
+ "updated": 1784991384,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 0.94,
@@ -13,14 +13,14 @@
    "last_ts": 1784990098
   },
   "AIcAIc": {
-   "realized": -13.41,
-   "n": 16,
+   "realized": -15.68,
+   "n": 17,
    "wins": 0,
-   "open_cost": 4.5,
-   "open_n": 2,
+   "open_cost": 2.26,
+   "open_n": 1,
    "miss_n": 14,
    "miss_pnl": 3.33,
-   "last_ts": 1784982970
+   "last_ts": 1784991381
   },
   "(incident)": {
    "realized": 5.86,
@@ -114,6 +114,26 @@
   }
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "31734979589136676783620439669736424886669000930046383039286241799551299417224",
+   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
+   "name": "AIcAIc",
+   "outcome": "Weibo Gaming",
+   "title": "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
+   "their_price": 0.48,
+   "my_price": 0.48,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 3.2,
+   "shares": 4.66,
+   "cost": 2.24,
+   "fee": 0.0349,
+   "opened": 1784974783,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -2.27,
+   "settled": 1784991381,
+   "end_ts": 1784937600
+  },
   {
    "token": "81971570430631246702272897060581472251947225950350133003310719122599499176971",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -196,26 +216,6 @@
    "sold_shares": 2.98,
    "sold_proceeds": 2.72699989
   },
-  {
-   "token": "31734979589136676783620439669736424886669000930046383039286241799551299417224",
-   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
-   "name": "AIcAIc",
-   "outcome": "Weibo Gaming",
-   "title": "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
-   "their_price": 0.48,
-   "my_price": 0.48,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 3.2,
-   "shares": 4.66,
-   "cost": 2.24,
-   "fee": 0.0349,
-   "opened": 1784974783,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1784937600
-  },
   {
    "token": "41128359410147540990090031143993561801439881809667646963277254224817395601063",
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",