From 8cba3dbfe74c80a83f6b080dff7b4fd61ea880d4 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Tue, 28 Jul 2026 18:19:07 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl | 20 ++ copybot_missed_archive.jsonl | 1 + copybot_rejects.jsonl | 1 + copybot_state.json | 640 +++++++++++++++++------------------ live/copybot_live.json | 37 +- live/copybot_live_full.json | 19 +- 6 files changed, 376 insertions(+), 342 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl index 696c2fc2..005bc86a 100644 --- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl +++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl @@ -1578,3 +1578,23 @@ {"ts": 1785260672.6, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.16, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1785260673.1, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1785260674.6, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785261342.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785261344.7, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.13, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785261345.1, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785261346.6, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785261690.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785261692.4, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.13, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785261692.7, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785261694.3, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262043.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262045.8, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.13, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262046.2, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262048.3, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262389.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262391.2, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.13, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262391.5, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262392.9, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262734.2, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262736.0, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.13, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262736.5, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262738.0, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl index 1a8cd7f5..beac100c 100644 --- a/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl +++ b/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl @@ -25,3 +25,4 @@ {"ts": 1783685101, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "99750659249903955439120052604225640907367048033793216838103937845588350738197", "cond": "0x54d63713c8802102f64ee5134c567576c6bb43b458e218c8475f67a20f466b06", "title": "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner", "outcome": "PlayTime", "price": 0.37, "stake": 88.13, "reason": "price moved 0.33\u21920.37", "status": "sold", "pnl": 19.05, "settled": 1783685797, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.4644} {"ts": 1783688210, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "30046078570478042875484019498188445069739353707631130122422440814625914406231", "cond": "0x7664d545626cce2926008f88cf77c53e705c817404ada24e31d638e4031c8645", "title": "Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "L1ga Team", "price": 0.15, "stake": 88.58, "reason": "price moved 0.14\u21920.15", "status": "sold", "pnl": 13.34, "settled": 1783688625, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.1809} {"ts": 1783689565, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "49886282303318964434544606851164664333698127985256361511182784657423645654000", "cond": "0x8545a030f00ef7748aa1c00481a9f01ec4b73550aef97b564a3f5a07b31f8f9d", "title": "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Aurora", "price": 0.6799, "stake": 82.22, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 7.01, "settled": 1783689878, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.75} +{"ts": 1783690401, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "84864321844564005123638956205037810292837868807558456388220877376462415276538", "cond": "0x8545a030f00ef7748aa1c00481a9f01ec4b73550aef97b564a3f5a07b31f8f9d", "title": "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "PlayTime", "price": 0.56, "stake": 82.17, "reason": "price moved 0.49\u21920.56", "status": "sold", "pnl": -1.46, "settled": 1783690503, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.5648} diff --git a/copybot_rejects.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.jsonl index c2b534ca..32a345f2 100644 --- a/copybot_rejects.jsonl +++ b/copybot_rejects.jsonl @@ -573,3 +573,4 @@ {"ts": 1785261048.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "92205817338549581942996291977146287067184626116756204357001405482376199798910", "cond": "0xbdc6833f8a1907f7103fd11b3212a270abdc79fca68c247942efd492956b38ac", "usd": 16.4, "price": 0.4, "reason": "$16 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a ", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1785261049.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "14375810288989127157592243904303885095146273338974123179830407021529455054497", "cond": "0x073ca5657f1176276aab63652f31aa3c80aa07b4cd28c299373bbc264c5e13a9", "usd": 22.4, "price": 0.56, "reason": "$22 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a ", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1785261051.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "92205817338549581942996291977146287067184626116756204357001405482376199798910", "cond": "0xbdc6833f8a1907f7103fd11b3212a270abdc79fca68c247942efd492956b38ac", "usd": 23.75, "price": 0.4, "reason": "$24 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a ", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785262341.9, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "token": "11950315022184991618449167467401242511648474846744526366438611754084658573200", "cond": "0xe889f33b91a2a3991332a44d89d2a268ae2d94cc576e9a49c5a09600e3690383", "usd": 4.97, "price": 0.31, "reason": "$5 < conviction floor $735", "title": "LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season", "mode": "paper"} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 355804e2..8eb56233 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -19424,24 +19424,8 @@ }, "hwm": 3385.4117262488894, "feed_sig": "f8f2d4a177232e7422b2ec5339364547", - "feed_pushed_at": 1785260951.0037467, + "feed_pushed_at": 1785262595.628074, "missed": [ - { - "ts": 1783690401, - "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", - "token": "84864321844564005123638956205037810292837868807558456388220877376462415276538", - "cond": "0x8545a030f00ef7748aa1c00481a9f01ec4b73550aef97b564a3f5a07b31f8f9d", - "title": "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner", - "outcome": "PlayTime", - "price": 0.56, - "stake": 82.17, - "reason": "price moved 0.49\u21920.56", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": -1.46, - "settled": 1783690503, - "name": "gkmgkldfmg", - "exit_price": 0.5648 - }, { "ts": 1783690584, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", @@ -22610,6 +22594,20 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262738, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "92205817338549581942996291977146287067184626116756204357001405482376199798910", + "cond": "0xbdc6833f8a1907f7103fd11b3212a270abdc79fca68c247942efd492956b38ac", + "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.4, + "stake": 40.15, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null } ], "no_miss_toks": [ @@ -22733,18 +22731,18 @@ "111238155193029214626119372717509509454868187612257655146390848111901958320265": 1, "54808825071623730922593344072571837691813951745707044026991588993889799442913": 1, "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 1, - "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 1059, + "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 1064, "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978": 1, "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": 1, "30105308353288988924984162628182939641372197734077392129497102501234749347616": 1, "30763135880765767714915424809927017029690489225123793413196619783027580637320": 1, "111811929502290362982122721758046162774175984777524039918857735995004907450973": 42, "107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933": 1, - "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228": 212, + "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228": 217, "79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928": 4, - "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 179, + "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 184, "64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290": 15, - "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": 19 + "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": 24 }, "trade_cursor": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970, @@ -22775,306 +22773,6 @@ "misses": 28 }, "ignored_exits": [ - { - "ts": 1785238375.9, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785238724.5, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.88, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785239040.8, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.88, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785239042.8, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.29, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785239043.2, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785239381.5, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.88, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785239383.3, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.27, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785239383.6, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785240028.0, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.89, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785240030.3, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.27, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785240030.6, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785240368.9, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.89, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785240370.7, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.27, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785240371.0, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785240720.3, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.89, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785240722.4, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.27, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785240722.7, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785241368.2, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.89, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785241370.3, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.27, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785241370.6, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, { "ts": 1785241707.6, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", @@ -25774,6 +25472,306 @@ "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785261342.7, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785261344.7, + "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.13, + "shares_held": 37.5315, + "cost_held": 23.64, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785261345.1, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.36, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785261346.6, + "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.001, + "shares_held": 30.23, + "cost_held": 14.34, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785261690.5, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785261692.4, + "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.13, + "shares_held": 37.5315, + "cost_held": 23.64, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785261692.7, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.36, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785261694.3, + "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.001, + "shares_held": 30.23, + "cost_held": 14.34, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262043.4, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262045.8, + "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.13, + "shares_held": 37.5315, + "cost_held": 23.64, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262046.2, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.36, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262048.3, + "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.001, + "shares_held": 30.23, + "cost_held": 14.34, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262389.0, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262391.2, + "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.13, + "shares_held": 37.5315, + "cost_held": 23.64, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262391.5, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.36, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262392.9, + "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.001, + "shares_held": 30.23, + "cost_held": 14.34, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262734.2, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262736.0, + "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.13, + "shares_held": 37.5315, + "cost_held": 23.64, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262736.5, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.36, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785262738.0, + "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.001, + "shares_held": 30.23, + "cost_held": 14.34, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" } ] } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index 19c64787..f5364f93 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -2149,6 +2149,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785262738, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "92205817338549581942996291977146287067184626116756204357001405482376199798910", + "cond": "0xbdc6833f8a1907f7103fd11b3212a270abdc79fca68c247942efd492956b38ac", + "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.4, + "stake": 40.15, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1785261051, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -3079,25 +3094,9 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" - }, - { - "ts": 1784818263, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "27550239637632399096048782995950028754921427598196211548179911390834637255919", - "cond": "0xa843abc8eee73c1dcf3871d27b50200900767539d9638446eb0bceff0f363a8c", - "title": "Hibernian FC to score first vs. FC Malisheva?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.96, - "stake": 56.11, - "reason": "thin book ($29 within 5c < $50)", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": -17.6, - "settled": 1784820188, - "name": "0xbadaf319", - "exit_price": 0.6667 } ], - "missed_pnl": 111210.23, + "missed_pnl": 111211.69, "last_fill": { "ts": 1785253798, "side": "SELL", @@ -3113,7 +3112,7 @@ "wins": 20, "open_cost": 1178.75, "open_n": 18, - "miss_n": 89, + "miss_n": 90, "miss_pnl": 111974.17, "last_ts": 1785253659 }, @@ -3208,5 +3207,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1785261051 + "updated": 1785262747 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json index 96fb22eb..dc1d3ae1 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "paper", - "updated": 1785261051, + "updated": 1785262747, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": 555.08, @@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ "wins": 20, "open_cost": 1178.75, "open_n": 18, - "miss_n": 89, + "miss_n": 90, "miss_pnl": 111974.17, "last_ts": 1785253659 }, @@ -5437,6 +5437,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785262738, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "92205817338549581942996291977146287067184626116756204357001405482376199798910", + "cond": "0xbdc6833f8a1907f7103fd11b3212a270abdc79fca68c247942efd492956b38ac", + "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.4, + "stake": 40.15, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1785261051, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",