From 8b6c1299c404ea416d260c569527484a8fc32f65 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Sun, 26 Jul 2026 09:58:26 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl | 1 + copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl | 1 + copybot_rejects.live.jsonl | 3 ++ copybot_state.live.json | 74 +++++++++++++++---------------- live/copybot_live_real.json | 38 ++++++++-------- live/copybot_live_real_full.json | 19 +++++++- rtds_shadow.live.jsonl | 4 ++ 7 files changed, 81 insertions(+), 59 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl index 19b86666..c534f48e 100644 --- a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl @@ -504,3 +504,4 @@ {"ts": 1785058724.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785059051.1, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785059379.1, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785059709.9, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl index 1495668e..ec540520 100644 --- a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl @@ -46,3 +46,4 @@ {"ts": 1783818828, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "token": "14635675870982897917581198649476127837975251193150495566552970565909631535281", "cond": "0x95f726bbb693b945f94473908298b2389989550b08a7bfd90f97ce7ba62cb719", "title": "Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.727, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.48, "settled": 1783828831, "name": "0x41558102", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.3899} {"ts": 1783819878, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "75547676899565417061748996551784035227286947758945008419210215158883005757610", "cond": "0x3c8f0d7032eab68cfbfcd50bd36f4d2749851d8a13df42f15740e9ac3381fe4c", "title": "UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)", "outcome": "King Green", "price": 0.99, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.62\u21920.99", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.01, "settled": 1783820084, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.999} {"ts": 1783821747, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "80695764145597442773109303072961778341865154823453604006436935638165430171016", "cond": "0x78fdaa290adbb2780e5f3b391b6cb5009d7c849a1a774bf1966115b75f8d4554", "title": "UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)", "outcome": "Loneer Kavanagh", "price": 0.89, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.74\u21920.89", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.31, "settled": 1783821961, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.6264} +{"ts": 1783821956, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "60829743230974931197831424477251722921940032428553255171871752877191212996952", "cond": "0x78fdaa290adbb2780e5f3b391b6cb5009d7c849a1a774bf1966115b75f8d4554", "title": "UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)", "outcome": "Brandon Royval", "price": 0.54, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (8s)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.84, "settled": 1783822587, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.999} diff --git a/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl index dc16e833..eb48c19d 100644 --- a/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl @@ -86,3 +86,6 @@ {"ts": 1785052675.4, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "57659115647237644383083261244405473973371550594893628060570490095466382758598", "cond": "0xfeeb91365b8afda4337d052e50a2a9b4d85cdbd7a7325caeb71aed7f9d86b690", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.2914492530508223, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785055140.7, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "113845221891701809727661291176213155130590292178068007084949331950321038079720", "cond": "0x69d885fa6636f3fa02b59b426666ec90f8189594013c4b2a8fc3a601f500e0f9", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.3558992146087233, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785057684.0, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "9813729238721622440295199072182483266069584287294397729904340441074427123910", "cond": "0x429f11968ea12d2f528bff9ce14d601fe160aa8e84ad78e6b33ce894bfe7ca29", "usd": 400.0, "price": 0.579999999739, "reason": "$400 < conviction floor $471", "title": "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785059815.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "101295746010579200034361457953918788054158349320811077664021306163857985466385", "cond": "0xf479f3e8d1ee87a98a5ef7a8d0e00f55bd5bc6f52b4c02136f3858ddc0010c7e", "usd": 6.2, "price": 0.0879999876232256, "reason": "$6 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785059820.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684", "cond": "0xfe395db7923c74606153cd29c07c46c2e4421f57983408965937dacf02aa062d", "usd": 11.74, "price": 0.8799999970017033, "reason": "$12 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785059820.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "101295746010579200034361457953918788054158349320811077664021306163857985466385", "cond": "0xf479f3e8d1ee87a98a5ef7a8d0e00f55bd5bc6f52b4c02136f3858ddc0010c7e", "usd": 1.32, "price": 0.1, "reason": "$1 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026", "mode": "live"} diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json index a99f8363..5af41fb7 100644 --- a/copybot_state.live.json +++ b/copybot_state.live.json @@ -1,7 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783572616.4091802, "seen_tx": [ - "0x0d6d1522eec438db6fa409faf60f561f575f90ee3726df86cd348f5613991a62", "0xf6b20434b96ff27cd19ac3175dd0af98ba53a692272a44073582d0d06416d5bc", "0x04a095cc3ddf0a4bc7e20eacf40acbde08ad9a84172d295a16e68f5ac7d3a14e", "0xd8d2617a4cb21dcf10ac4e8bcfbcd808e1528b76d2d7a05e698c66f31480c44f", @@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@ "0x817f659da29b2b70b89a0cae8a5986b96fc15a3ec98698a7fdfa905fce278174", "0x9ed4cc30d2aecb12c05d3126e4dd449177a297fbb0e370589fae3c8cfcf12575", "0x24971153509279c8cda5506b0e8ec247e3f7f61435ae643dd7709bb5fdc6d888", - "0x242804838cfbd184703de7752c563175bd88ca7ed8be8666cb48091978d5fb65" + "0x242804838cfbd184703de7752c563175bd88ca7ed8be8666cb48091978d5fb65", + "0x8905e6c827e4212e9f619668f946573903d0f211490d86d00ee900a930847d13" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -7536,7 +7536,8 @@ "49402029832991432028255355991719107276501039753006309101787018470041200234687": 0.0, "77876375125658579679484310807826179711234562048104269277106248570394939003753": 0.0, "74165349531972272247667542412106411216240960878134251306779736612154299812249": 0.0, - "104773201597671600243256952609292706658538711103957385804822808454424041963488": 0.0 + "104773201597671600243256952609292706658538711103957385804822808454424041963488": 0.0, + "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684": 62.693175 }, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": { "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848, @@ -16477,22 +16478,6 @@ "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" }, - { - "ts": 1783821956, - "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", - "token": "60829743230974931197831424477251722921940032428553255171871752877191212996952", - "cond": "0x78fdaa290adbb2780e5f3b391b6cb5009d7c849a1a774bf1966115b75f8d4554", - "title": "UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)", - "outcome": "Brandon Royval", - "price": 0.54, - "stake": 1.0, - "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (8s)", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": 0.84, - "settled": 1783822587, - "name": "gkmgkldfmg", - "exit_price": 0.999 - }, { "ts": 1783823519, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -19649,10 +19634,25 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "AIcAIc" + }, + { + "ts": 1785059815, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684", + "cond": "0xfe395db7923c74606153cd29c07c46c2e4421f57983408965937dacf02aa062d", + "title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.813, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.994", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" } ], - "feed_sig": "f28666e866b8921f257b8a43a2381013", - "feed_pushed_at": 1785059510.251059, + "feed_sig": "9f4684572a9f42a6b4797cc0f2c39fee", + "feed_pushed_at": 1785059776.2051826, "adjustments": [ { "ts": 1783906689, @@ -19703,7 +19703,7 @@ "6457952357077230044054791268159160058712529625831041550558183767114352456975": 1, 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"30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", @@ -22729,6 +22714,21 @@ "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live" + }, + { + "ts": 1785059709.9, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.88, + "shares_held": 3.4789, + "cost_held": 2.47, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "live" } ], "maker_stats": { diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json index 441a976a..1cc01aa9 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json @@ -2120,6 +2120,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785059815, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684", + "cond": "0xfe395db7923c74606153cd29c07c46c2e4421f57983408965937dacf02aa062d", + "title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.813, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.994", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1785059589, "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", @@ -3055,26 +3070,9 @@ "settled": 1784713275, "name": "AIcAIc", "exit_price": 0.85 - }, - { - "ts": 1784528216, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "80568398380615613281811262196000400273657215935776416622694841219164637714912", - "cond": "0xfcb2ba978ce2e5cc300f76adca25f8b74d9eede005f089498aa6dc0faaf7aaee", - "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "price": 0.56, - "stake": 2.41, - "reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": 0.8, - "settled": 1784700488, - "name": "0xbadaf319", - "exit_checked": true, - "exit_price": 0.7583 } ], - "missed_pnl": 1725.86, + "missed_pnl": 1725.02, "last_fill": { "ts": 1784999565, "side": "SELL", @@ -3090,7 +3088,7 @@ "wins": 6, "open_cost": 15.58, "open_n": 6, - "miss_n": 79, + "miss_n": 80, "miss_pnl": 1731.6, "last_ts": 1785011532 }, @@ -3195,5 +3193,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1785059589 + "updated": 1785059820 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json index abfdf670..c4f27a4f 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "live", - "updated": 1785059589, + "updated": 1785059820, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": -1.26, @@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ "wins": 6, "open_cost": 15.58, "open_n": 6, - "miss_n": 79, + "miss_n": 80, "miss_pnl": 1731.6, "last_ts": 1785011532 }, @@ -2826,6 +2826,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785059815, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684", + "cond": "0xfe395db7923c74606153cd29c07c46c2e4421f57983408965937dacf02aa062d", + "title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.813, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.994", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1785059589, "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl index 42c900d3..d36f96dc 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl @@ -2228,3 +2228,7 @@ {"ts": 1785059061.37, "trade_ts": 1785059061, "lat_s": 0.37, "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "name": "AIcAIc", "side": "SELL", "size": 1000, "price": 0.95, "title": "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner", "tx": "0x9ed4cc30d2aecb12c05d3126e4dd449177a297fbb0e370589fae3c8cfcf12575", "seen": false} {"ts": 1785059546.23, "trade_ts": 1785059545, "lat_s": 1.23, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "SELL", "size": 689.65, "price": 0.999, "title": "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner", "tx": "0x24971153509279c8cda5506b0e8ec247e3f7f61435ae643dd7709bb5fdc6d888", "seen": false} {"ts": 1785059588.63, "trade_ts": 1785059588, "lat_s": 0.63, "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "name": "AIcAIc", "side": "BUY", "size": 1750, "price": 0.53, "title": "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0x242804838cfbd184703de7752c563175bd88ca7ed8be8666cb48091978d5fb65", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785059815.32, "trade_ts": 1785059815, "lat_s": 0.32, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 62.693175, "price": 0.88, "title": "", "tx": "0x8905e6c827e4212e9f619668f946573903d0f211490d86d00ee900a930847d13", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785059815.84, "trade_ts": 1785059815, "lat_s": 0.84, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 70.454544, "price": 0.0879999876232256, "title": "", "tx": "0x5fd3eb4c7a3a532a43f1b53c3471ba48d35abd58b901d561eec7ae0f0740d27a", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785059820.72, "trade_ts": 1785059820, "lat_s": 0.72, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 13.340908, "price": 0.8799999970017033, "title": "", "tx": "0x2e0027b5a1e16281f584fa55db3c831d078895da0c38d6b8669c27ba9704326b", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785059820.83, "trade_ts": 1785059820, "lat_s": 0.83, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 13.18, "price": 0.1, "title": "", "tx": "0x64770985d0341eb158f6a1aa40ee667a68842606ce9a951d61d7456a905e0a81", "seen": false}