From 8b1ccb93fcc1db678d37292c3456ee113fcabfa3 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: jaxperro Date: Tue, 23 Jun 2026 12:46:20 -0600 Subject: [PATCH] live: commit dashboard.html each daily run (keep tree clean) The daily run regenerates dashboard.html but the publish step never committed it, leaving it perpetually modified. Add it to the publish git add list and commit the current snapshot. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 --- live/daily.sh | 2 +- live/dashboard.html | 14 +++++++------- 2 files changed, 8 insertions(+), 8 deletions(-) diff --git a/live/daily.sh b/live/daily.sh index 30068968..3f59de98 100755 --- a/live/daily.sh +++ b/live/daily.sh @@ -37,7 +37,7 @@ python3 dashboard.py mkdir -p history && cp watch_skilled.json "history/watch_$(date '+%Y%m%d').json" 2>/dev/null echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 6/6 publish (commit + push refreshed outputs)" PUBLISH="no changes" -git add watch_skilled.json watch_sharps.json conviction_wallets.json 2>/dev/null +git add watch_skilled.json watch_sharps.json conviction_wallets.json dashboard.html 2>/dev/null if git diff --cached --quiet 2>/dev/null; then echo "[daily] no output changes to publish" elif git commit -q -m "live: daily refresh — skilled + sharp wallets [skip ci]"; then diff --git a/live/dashboard.html b/live/dashboard.html index 80716a42..192b4d97 100644 --- a/live/dashboard.html +++ b/live/dashboard.html @@ -36,13 +36,13 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de .b{color:var(--green)}.s{color:var(--red)}

Skilled Wallets · Polymarket

-

107 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-06-16 07:37

+

61 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-06-23 10:33

-
Validated wallets
107
-
Median z
4.0
-
Median OOS z
3.0
-
Value / longshot
69
-
Favorite-rider
21
+
Validated wallets
61
+
Median z
4.2
+
Median OOS z
3.2
+
Value / longshot
37
+
Favorite-rider
12
@@ -68,7 +68,7 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de

How to read it. z = how far the wallet beat the prices it paid (skill; >3 is strong). OOS z = whether that skill held on held-out bets — the gate that separates real edge from luck. Alpha 0.2–0.4 = share of bets in the underdog value zone where research finds real edge concentrates. Value wallets win by beating longshot/mid prices (the copyable alpha); Favorite-rider wallets post high win rates buying near-certain favorites (real but thin, hard to copy). Click any row for live recent trades. Not financial advice — split-half OOS, forward-track before sizing.