diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index 99794419..590e2020 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -744,3 +744,5 @@
 {"ts": 1784387166.4, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "outcome": "Team Yandex", "title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 2.4, "their_price": 0.53, "my_price": 0.54, "slippage_pct": 0.0189, "shares": 192.15, "cost": 103.76, "fee": 1.4319, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.54, "ba": 0.55, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 47725.8, "ask5c": 10038.05}}
 {"ts": 1784388058.8, "side": "SELL", "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "shares": 2.197, "price": 0.67, "fee": 0.0146, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1784388909.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016", "shares": 192.1479, "price": 0.51, "fee": 1.4405, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1784389057.7, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "outcome": "Team Yandex", "title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 0.7, "their_price": 0.55, "my_price": 0.59, "slippage_pct": 0.0727, "shares": 144.98, "cost": 85.54, "fee": 1.0521, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.59, "ba": 0.6, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 663.28, "ask5c": 855.36}}
+{"ts": 1784389071.0, "side": "SELL", "token": "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016", "shares": 144.9759, "price": 0.42, "fee": 1.0595, "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 53e81236..7e71f049 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1,10 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783541947.246319,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0x3777a9ed16724442572b2e4ab7391d4b7e8a374d566f476e84280151fc2c6813",
-    "0x084feba5feeb45f0cb423be2e07f6700d1f51935e43e6716b0313ed838970da1",
-    "0xe281915e1988bb3764c9bdc717e93a79cd2913470dd2b5199a51582cf14452f0",
-    "0x6417fc3253eed8b1a6bdbb30f33e61cb11ac563006f69ac483579845623401cf",
     "0xfaf76e41e8dd05ad164a0366e676407b82742ef51badae01a367eba83e18dda2",
     "0x4ef1b5b7d7d9c4ad052af92a84a5bed0bec7943716236b7968ffdff25a8cd9a1",
     "0xec5ae6fea3b24b6641c489cc0b56645d919f6634a8639a37aae744b645d7500e",
@@ -2115,6 +2111,7 @@
     "0xdf5c15971fca4f12765aa7680adc8a1b00b21566033f133115b240a453085d14",
     "0x2d2471a74b024ed3fffe5fe7c9b5cad0725223cc82d82dd18f6a12f7480e1b38",
     "0xc453386fa4f5ec1d95da16d81bdfff0ae093b4f50ec45e7764dbf3dc370d8b07",
+    "0x8ee8941f7094022184a235fd8079c3f8e7d1856a7fe86026a8b614ee0508f87d",
     "0x35b5312efa2cfc7c5d5f17ab4dbfa179f0e5c982bfd8d8f190921449ebb06ce6",
     "0x42520f9b02c51884e0f664899363891b7576bff48427d498d52d2c3d32ae64c9",
     "0x960bbffa89a3d07409fb2cc279382b00ddaea38b0a31652e13bc3c7fd8318c69",
@@ -3102,6 +3099,7 @@
     "0xb30bcde0f6e25f4706e336ec5cb11f48799dcf1fcb5cd4ff84362df561c105c2",
     "0xaae187c78bf16fd783d922bd4d04eaf57275650287164847790284a184169f10",
     "0x476164b2103bbcca877266e8c82ac118b644dc3f5de688c62ea9250fd484ef37",
+    "0xc7699d6f3bcabd3c2173dcef4f94b73d2faa0dad39b02e3c9f8307bf5f3a114b",
     "0x815d1b613fb981712bce24753227e6f4e30b37b385bd522d8d47ad3dbaa9e6de",
     "0xe020e4d917291fbd8141aa099eba473c83ef5bcf571fb81d09d760afb1da197a",
     "0x768404ca9d910f18edf526f035f583e67c95d38271f29ecca8464378f178830e",
@@ -3519,6 +3517,7 @@
     "0x6bae8c2dbd4ff6eaac18924f780edbde87270531edd00409468be2b32a56b9d0",
     "0xad0415460877ecd6dd63546f4432a1b5544e3361945f9875b82d315f722e3b78",
     "0x94789b8e4d62d44e3b9f05214cc43ae74887c6142fe8083399156b84f448c907",
+    "0x5bba96d61b4a90f823ed24a27f16b5eb25e8da5603f9c42dd220548f9217bc5d",
     "0xec53f5d79c4c1fa93768688a09299a1604b562a069e5b30f46c3ec4c0d4bf80e",
     "0x0165fabe3f1b200c3d6f8390680af2519e3f9d193eed4307bb41f627a194823f",
     "0xe60b5fcb5a1a280be7048d45abd0df4a9e6e572376e1b9b69e1c1acbab685559",
@@ -4176,6 +4175,7 @@
     "0x2aed771da7f40f631579780fd2167541c70df14ac274a9b5ba4b9b1927bc6bbe",
     "0x981b642b4dc3fe9ab0f71709b352c94051fb81e1e0bca738249569b22e70c64d",
     "0x4e41f5e2b5c71e21a5dbd4c6b5ff689cbcfd4b505dbe2154897dca26291a8845",
+    "0xd8cbb9e2253f81028f447d58410dd1b6717d268fc419713c1cd3f7ecc1c61426",
     "0x66ccee61e27dc9b54fb01348e002994658de7872d6a28ce3f9557bcb7ce63b29",
     "0xb1ae3db05b4008508428113141434b0afe636cf7f07c3690aca9fee388b94caf",
     "0x94c1f03f8e42edd9f3d55c8e531aeba703fc73199ca6f91ff7d51d80ecbb84ba",
@@ -6886,7 +6886,8 @@
       "90915970792997188955950493878450632454568477251525476099403521695226968742025": 0.0,
       "99187050584684374496347488572453490542664664321038879329793286200731669569886": 0.0,
       "3506443794566179214052380628578788380776940712896382718637294140773955061401": 1497.3906,
-      "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016": 0.0015000000003055902
+      "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016": 0.0024080000002868474,
+      "69652550707564368147617985733665950972926852562360271813685562356348115305033": 2822.004998
     },
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": {
       "113186575675900877797300695454355745875377602467971187276073118459901699932154": 767.49,
@@ -10583,7 +10584,7 @@
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
-    "usd": 731.430279358719
+    "usd": 816.966279358719
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -10725,19 +10726,14 @@
     "3506443794566179214052380628578788380776940712896382718637294140773955061401": "0x48aeb798c038759b99a87db0733aeca6aa31c8ca5292766afd410dfb9caca26b",
     "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016": "0x68bdc057bd18669f01b3e4b408d14733b2680a61c6e5c7a5cd5bdc86a1f41df6"
   },
-  "cash": 1627.0964023074619,
+  "cash": 1600.3386983370442,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 191,
-    "sum_s": 5947.697040081024,
-    "sum_slip_pct": -6.866233020713459
+    "n": 192,
+    "sum_s": 5948.421170949936,
+    "sum_slip_pct": -6.7935057471280045
   },
-  "fees_paid": 288.85435132911874,
+  "fees_paid": 290.9659279125858,
   "lag_recent": [
-    [
-      1784301068.1,
-      17.1,
-      0.00099
-    ],
     [
       1784319283.6,
       7.6,
@@ -10777,6 +10773,11 @@
       1784387166.4,
       2.4,
       0.01887
+    ],
+    [
+      1784389057.7,
+      0.7,
+      0.07273
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -14244,6 +14245,27 @@
       "sold_proceeds": 98.36234533767811
     },
     "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016": {
+      "token": "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016",
+      "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+      "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
+      "outcome": "Team Yandex",
+      "title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner",
+      "their_price": 0.55,
+      "my_price": 0.59,
+      "slippage_pct": 0.0727,
+      "lag_s": 0.7,
+      "shares": 144.98,
+      "cost": 85.54,
+      "fee": 1.0521,
+      "opened": 1784389057,
+      "status": "closed",
+      "exit_price": 0.4127,
+      "pnl": -26.76,
+      "settled": 1784389074,
+      "sold_shares": 144.9758871739267,
+      "sold_proceeds": 59.830388829582155
+    },
+    "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016#1784388912": {
       "token": "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016",
       "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
       "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
@@ -14266,8 +14288,8 @@
     }
   },
   "hwm": 2849.150445045735,
-  "feed_sig": "2c53ec252e72cae54c38871797498280",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784388827.8186548,
+  "feed_sig": "5c011667ce7a23b34ba8b68b2299bbf6",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784388965.4551666,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,
@@ -16044,6 +16066,21 @@
       "pnl": null,
       "settled": null,
       "name": "gkmgkldfmg"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1784389064,
+      "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+      "token": "69652550707564368147617985733665950972926852562360271813685562356348115305033",
+      "cond": "0x68bdc057bd18669f01b3e4b408d14733b2680a61c6e5c7a5cd5bdc86a1f41df6",
+      "title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner",
+      "outcome": "PARIVISION",
+      "price": 0.49,
+      "stake": 103.38,
+      "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.15 > 0.08)",
+      "status": "open",
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null,
+      "name": "gkmgkldfmg"
     }
   ],
   "no_miss_toks": [
@@ -16134,9 +16171,9 @@
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784377266,
     "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784387977,
-    "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784388879,
+    "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784388909,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784387404,
-    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784388895,
+    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784388928,
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784388058
   }
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index c3ad8f9c..23f3df6e 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 103.42,
+ "stake": 102.35,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 2849.15,
- "cash": 1627.1,
+ "cash": 1600.34,
  "deployed": 958.49,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1585.56,
+ "realized": 1558.8,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": -0.02,
  "open_count": 17,
- "fees_paid": 288.85,
+ "fees_paid": 290.97,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 191,
-  "n24": 8,
-  "avg_s": 3.7,
-  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0097,
+  "n": 192,
+  "n24": 9,
+  "avg_s": 3.4,
+  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0167,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -46,6 +46,27 @@
   "AIcAIc": 542.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016",
+   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+   "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
+   "outcome": "Team Yandex",
+   "title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner",
+   "their_price": 0.55,
+   "my_price": 0.59,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0727,
+   "lag_s": 0.7,
+   "shares": 144.98,
+   "cost": 85.54,
+   "fee": 1.05,
+   "opened": 1784389057,
+   "status": "closed",
+   "exit_price": 0.4127,
+   "pnl": -26.76,
+   "settled": 1784389074,
+   "sold_shares": 144.98,
+   "sold_proceeds": 59.83
+  },
   {
    "token": "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016",
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -2065,29 +2086,24 @@
    "settled": 1783824243,
    "sold_shares": 113.49,
    "sold_proceeds": 97.19
-  },
-  {
-   "token": "14635675870982897917581198649476127837975251193150495566552970565909631535281",
-   "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
-   "name": "LSB1",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "title": "Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?",
-   "their_price": 0.7271,
-   "my_price": 0.7475,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0281,
-   "shares": 124.06,
-   "cost": 92.74,
-   "fee": 0.7,
-   "opened": 1783818617,
-   "status": "closed",
-   "exit_price": 0.3308,
-   "pnl": -52.4,
-   "settled": 1783823373,
-   "sold_shares": 124.06,
-   "sold_proceeds": 41.04
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1784389064,
+   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+   "token": "69652550707564368147617985733665950972926852562360271813685562356348115305033",
+   "cond": "0x68bdc057bd18669f01b3e4b408d14733b2680a61c6e5c7a5cd5bdc86a1f41df6",
+   "title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner",
+   "outcome": "PARIVISION",
+   "price": 0.49,
+   "stake": 103.38,
+   "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.15 > 0.08)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "gkmgkldfmg"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1784388877,
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -3026,24 +3042,8 @@
    "settled": 1783786726,
    "name": "0xbadaf319",
    "exit_checked": true
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1783770862,
-   "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
-   "token": "14720921693726444993132286510480864959564663807713006631795468793505944795957",
-   "cond": "0x6750fe34aa15e45304c8591f574ae62e792c34d78809bdcbc012e1bed5adfc0b",
-   "title": "Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-11?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.8269,
-   "stake": 99.96,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "won",
-   "pnl": 20.41,
-   "settled": 1783781024,
-   "name": "0x41558102",
-   "exit_checked": true
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 90132.17,
- "updated": 1784388912
+ "updated": 1784389074
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index 12b105ed..8c3c4715 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -2123,3 +2123,13 @@
 {"ts": 1784388909.13, "trade_ts": 1784388908, "lat_s": 1.13, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "SELL", "size": 6955.45, "price": 0.52, "title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0x8dcba8886a4091e30bcc7e7cdb11d3f0a42e8aab478ddf2e1ebe6a7f86a36157", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784388928.47, "trade_ts": 1784388928, "lat_s": 0.46, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 198.007691, "price": 0.50503088286606, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET", "tx": "0x421ccb03a4109563876f7d6445c19aeccb3900a5735d063c1837959acedbaf0c", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784388928.71, "trade_ts": 1784388928, "lat_s": 0.71, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 209.0156, "price": 0.4784331887189282, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET", "tx": "0x3d12454d2e782f712fd1687c879c0f3af56f3ca6da35dd6eb01603a911883214", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784389027.82, "trade_ts": 1784389027, "lat_s": 0.82, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 194.296225, "price": 0.5146780335027096, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET", "tx": "0x56058e77ba852d6ea7f5a920597b85b6fe39611343cd0788e2cbcd1d59b54554", "seen": false}
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