From 7eac0c87c5124dca42aa54d2eaa3e7e1d455e576 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Tue, 28 Jul 2026 18:53:09 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl | 20 ++ copybot_rejects.jsonl | 1 + copybot_state.json | 663 ++++++++++++++++++------------------ live/copybot_live.json | 99 +++--- live/copybot_live_full.json | 97 +++--- rtds_shadow.jsonl | 3 + 6 files changed, 460 insertions(+), 423 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl index 005bc86a..66b75764 100644 --- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl +++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl @@ -1598,3 +1598,23 @@ {"ts": 1785262736.0, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.13, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1785262736.5, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1785262738.0, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263082.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263084.8, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.13, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263085.1, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263086.6, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263427.1, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263429.4, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.13, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263429.9, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263431.8, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263773.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263776.3, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.13, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263776.6, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785263778.2, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785264117.9, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785264120.4, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.13, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785264120.9, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785264122.8, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785264773.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785264775.9, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.11, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785264776.5, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.36, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785264778.3, "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 30.23, "cost_held": 14.34, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} diff --git a/copybot_rejects.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.jsonl index 32a345f2..f2edfc12 100644 --- a/copybot_rejects.jsonl +++ b/copybot_rejects.jsonl @@ -574,3 +574,4 @@ {"ts": 1785261049.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "14375810288989127157592243904303885095146273338974123179830407021529455054497", "cond": "0x073ca5657f1176276aab63652f31aa3c80aa07b4cd28c299373bbc264c5e13a9", "usd": 22.4, "price": 0.56, "reason": "$22 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a ", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1785261051.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "92205817338549581942996291977146287067184626116756204357001405482376199798910", "cond": "0xbdc6833f8a1907f7103fd11b3212a270abdc79fca68c247942efd492956b38ac", "usd": 23.75, "price": 0.4, "reason": "$24 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a ", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1785262341.9, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "token": "11950315022184991618449167467401242511648474846744526366438611754084658573200", "cond": "0xe889f33b91a2a3991332a44d89d2a268ae2d94cc576e9a49c5a09600e3690383", "usd": 4.97, "price": 0.31, "reason": "$5 < conviction floor $735", "title": "LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1785264664.1, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "token": "47525702922677518892043236282987037162522625423547508334987145420459202874873", "cond": "0xcd2eee522a0dd69d7efec8df7dce9bafba45d545919206f4d88b767c00f78a9c", "usd": 134.2, "price": 0.38, "reason": "$134 < conviction floor $735", "title": "Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)", "mode": "paper"} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 8eb56233..e0622672 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -1,8 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783541947.246319, "seen_tx": [ - "0x374f9d3baa44a0ef450dc7a6d112f548955d9583e26cdb221e734d208a75a6fa", - "0xf73085912ed09154503d66f4c137d710e9e1b69aa8b4855511a53f6fa43e01bf", "0x2260d89a7b18de77b573dd957a62e236f4efa33d2d8513ef1a315a4ca4e009b4", "0xafcf81d29ead33bbf7b219b3f08ab9c9f408b8a22cd7928db8eee2234d30255b", "0x4bc8db7c2af03f7e079b97ff38f83a2e80b0a0191f00487fd61c04749989694a", @@ -5000,7 +4998,9 @@ "0xbe44cf7eee9633bdfb8e422645b872427357a19236da321650ae3e92883e47b8", "0x53dcdaaf2440566083872538ea22540bf08b5569cde6c302ec3205c261102aa5", "0xe5d4087cb76511a3023ac96f0229558be60ddfbedec6464debfb5c152ba606ee", - "0xd70cae41987c2d972ee0c3a57eab660fdb601654013fe487e19340606ccb8f1b" + "0xd70cae41987c2d972ee0c3a57eab660fdb601654013fe487e19340606ccb8f1b", + "0x63a6b4c0e11ce43d651a034dbcd6b577c2c47e911f4428afa94f074cd12378ab", + "0xe5d33a65b32f158f1308a126055486a2569eaa3eea9549dbc1af56dfb02723a2" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -7592,7 +7592,7 @@ "72390610971847240530790888781244761130230984056520109713373301062594615349318": 0.0, "74165349531972272247667542412106411216240960878134251306779736612154299812249": 0.0, "104773201597671600243256952609292706658538711103957385804822808454424041963488": 0.0, - "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684": 0.164, + "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684": 0.0, "101295746010579200034361457953918788054158349320811077664021306163857985466385": 0.0, "6037730298735199817450191455632193088195289583969915221211119041074247950436": 0.0, "60075955349298827607548447868184067703870715664503960130503466642079448672564": 0.0, @@ -7625,7 +7625,7 @@ "93570985691362138679209043728832713601038324500709968201680272304956741139144": 0.0, "28154486677146502217557460776108915429948874457488413931732443983934695647078": 0.0, "80036504380584421040735188770516846822274171188200801692202445975383628115751": 0.0, - "35886998552783861513685353913940426093865851929878480433719442414123918040441": 21.016948, + "35886998552783861513685353913940426093865851929878480433719442414123918040441": 0.006947999999997734, "48824398491280100431239513921328336173859523998182185336991038266268084020611": 0.0, "33707674901387494882510832780063101180447157377494642117139451030535958080645": 0.0, "24411114427282578875426055969732348605035863582713101684063218947039334428561": 0.0, @@ -7696,7 +7696,7 @@ "11839168084840622249119854938968216569778924691672033683793489339701753383298": 0.0, "77310127335256562345237020943428281530692528017058406621951655434281438018639": 0.0, "1950440670371542698425447917333834541960712334197715488162942250293347408493": 0.0, - "4725621767646797937918206024832177295593632589877868366197031747377041042448": 249.7607, + "4725621767646797937918206024832177295593632589877868366197031747377041042448": 0.0, "42255817850096714307727261256815922486155091845919156053691558108406981739401": 40.0, "17134661345456576368649105915172731982021858521164350891623490989146906914237": 0.0, "5077704444493151080264925665851037137944006008077551357452496217305333007216": 0.0, @@ -9635,7 +9635,7 @@ "28239418772633645184924651434956000849078365566842629564562475378531350731731": 4068.81, "53147856084273572324920349998954911060427762367735766007832600228479869956378": 407.15999999999997, "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": 1070.2359, - "87461865681689699081648262736937951256169066109275377425968376597869321557502": 996.4064, + "87461865681689699081648262736937951256169066109275377425968376597869321557502": 0.0, "88095392088380018988811128905056685420681684247700244221273733002608971216833": 4179.93, "111604417349377875799825956621596386269673370070912696668140891647145772186047": 1477.71, "101732096022791033420874767768998282176255049842341266029460503775596933298889": 1212.76, @@ -19423,8 +19423,8 @@ } }, "hwm": 3385.4117262488894, - "feed_sig": "f8f2d4a177232e7422b2ec5339364547", - "feed_pushed_at": 1785262595.628074, + "feed_sig": "a71de93e29466b3e69437121a1c64425", + "feed_pushed_at": 1785264636.0172734, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783690584, @@ -21978,10 +21978,11 @@ "price": 0.72, "stake": 123.96, "reason": "price moved 0.62\u21920.72", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "0xbadaf319" + "status": "sold", + "pnl": 21.25, + "settled": 1785264783, + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_price": 0.8532 }, { "ts": 1784905448, @@ -22294,10 +22295,11 @@ "price": 0.49, "stake": 61.02, "reason": "thin book ($7 within 5c < $50)", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "0xbadaf319" + "status": "sold", + "pnl": 57.09, + "settled": 1785264785, + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_price": 0.9572 }, { "ts": 1785110815, @@ -22575,10 +22577,11 @@ "price": 0.1124, "stake": 28.32, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "0xbadaf319" + "status": "sold", + "pnl": -29.01, + "settled": 1785264788, + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_price": 0.0003 }, { "ts": 1785261051, @@ -22607,7 +22610,8 @@ "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "open", "pnl": null, - "settled": null + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" } ], "no_miss_toks": [ @@ -22731,29 +22735,32 @@ "111238155193029214626119372717509509454868187612257655146390848111901958320265": 1, "54808825071623730922593344072571837691813951745707044026991588993889799442913": 1, "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 1, - "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 1064, + "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 1069, "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978": 1, "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": 1, "30105308353288988924984162628182939641372197734077392129497102501234749347616": 1, "30763135880765767714915424809927017029690489225123793413196619783027580637320": 1, "111811929502290362982122721758046162774175984777524039918857735995004907450973": 42, "107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933": 1, - "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228": 217, + "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228": 222, "79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928": 4, - "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 184, + "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 189, "64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290": 15, - "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": 24 + "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": 29, + "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684": 5, + "4725621767646797937918206024832177295593632589877868366197031747377041042448": 4, + "87461865681689699081648262736937951256169066109275377425968376597869321557502": 3 }, "trade_cursor": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970, "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702, "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1785256441, - "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785260755, + "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785262903, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785248999, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1785074847, "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1785242708, "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785252556, - "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1785252572 + "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1785264664 }, "boot": { "id": "016d484f75b6", @@ -22773,306 +22780,6 @@ "misses": 28 }, "ignored_exits": [ - { - "ts": 1785241707.6, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.89, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785241709.7, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.27, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785241710.2, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242046.4, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.89, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242048.2, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.27, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242048.6, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242384.4, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.89, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242386.7, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.27, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242387.2, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242695.6, - "token": "64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290", - "their_size": 851.55, - "their_prev": 1121.17, - "frac": 0.7595, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.37, - "shares_held": 242.63, - "cost_held": 108.52, - "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ET", - "outcome": "Down", - "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242697.4, - "token": "64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290", - "their_size": 5.027026, - "their_prev": 269.6200000000001, - "frac": 0.0186, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.37, - "shares_held": 242.63, - "cost_held": 108.52, - "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ET", - "outcome": "Down", - "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242708.9, - "token": "64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290", - "their_size": 635, - "their_prev": 264.59297400000014, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.48, - "shares_held": 242.63, - "cost_held": 108.52, - "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ET", - "outcome": "Down", - "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242709.2, - "token": "64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290", - "their_size": 0.98, - "their_prev": 0.0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.48, - "shares_held": 242.63, - "cost_held": 108.52, - "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ET", - "outcome": "Down", - "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242719.7, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.89, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242721.8, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.27, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242722.1, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785242723.4, - "token": "64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.51, - "shares_held": 242.63, - "cost_held": 108.52, - "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ET", - "outcome": "Down", - "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785243367.4, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.89, - "shares_held": 0.8746, - "cost_held": 0.61, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785243369.1, - "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.26, - "shares_held": 37.5315, - "cost_held": 23.64, - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1785243369.5, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.38, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, { "ts": 1785243370.7, "token": "64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290", @@ -25772,6 +25479,306 @@ "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263082.4, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263084.8, + "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.13, + "shares_held": 37.5315, + "cost_held": 23.64, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263085.1, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.36, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263086.6, + "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.001, + "shares_held": 30.23, + "cost_held": 14.34, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263427.1, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263429.4, + "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.13, + "shares_held": 37.5315, + "cost_held": 23.64, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263429.9, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.36, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263431.8, + "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.001, + "shares_held": 30.23, + "cost_held": 14.34, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263773.5, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263776.3, + "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.13, + "shares_held": 37.5315, + "cost_held": 23.64, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263776.6, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.36, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785263778.2, + "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.001, + "shares_held": 30.23, + "cost_held": 14.34, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785264117.9, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785264120.4, + "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.13, + "shares_held": 37.5315, + "cost_held": 23.64, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785264120.9, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.36, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785264122.8, + "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.001, + "shares_held": 30.23, + "cost_held": 14.34, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785264773.3, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 0.8746, + "cost_held": 0.61, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785264775.9, + "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.11, + "shares_held": 37.5315, + "cost_held": 23.64, + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785264776.5, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.36, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1785264778.3, + "token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.001, + "shares_held": 30.23, + "cost_held": 14.34, + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" } ] } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index f5364f93..a3dbbc47 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -2149,6 +2149,54 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785254456, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "10729113877982954627733259296519930255153096234865579997117363600105394623598", + "cond": "0x31a3ddeea7de2cede5400708fa2916a3d9e14e57aef68737a358027a84f88943", + "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.1124, + "stake": 28.32, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "sold", + "pnl": -29.01, + "settled": 1785264788, + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_price": 0.0003 + }, + { + "ts": 1785110779, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "35886998552783861513685353913940426093865851929878480433719442414123918040441", + "cond": "0x61eb75dae104f136d5946682f241c554f6282f81a4489285d134170526be41e0", + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.49, + "stake": 61.02, + "reason": "thin book ($7 within 5c < $50)", + "status": "sold", + "pnl": 57.09, + "settled": 1785264785, + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_price": 0.9572 + }, + { + "ts": 1784902289, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "38365494018831710677520416689919565222584467732964144219797493486772775024046", + "cond": "0x4d7f97d4107a6b724a4f5bff30dd2821841a6e025ee61eae84cc9e3facf40349", + "title": "Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.72, + "stake": 123.96, + "reason": "price moved 0.62\u21920.72", + "status": "sold", + "pnl": 21.25, + "settled": 1785264783, + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_price": 0.8532 + }, { "ts": 1785262738, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -2212,21 +2260,6 @@ "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.999 }, - { - "ts": 1785254456, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "10729113877982954627733259296519930255153096234865579997117363600105394623598", - "cond": "0x31a3ddeea7de2cede5400708fa2916a3d9e14e57aef68737a358027a84f88943", - "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.1124, - "stake": 28.32, - "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "0xbadaf319" - }, { "ts": 1785252427, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -2508,21 +2541,6 @@ "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.895 }, - { - "ts": 1785110779, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "35886998552783861513685353913940426093865851929878480433719442414123918040441", - "cond": "0x61eb75dae104f136d5946682f241c554f6282f81a4489285d134170526be41e0", - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.49, - "stake": 61.02, - "reason": "thin book ($7 within 5c < $50)", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "0xbadaf319" - }, { "ts": 1784990183, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -2858,21 +2876,6 @@ "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" }, - { - "ts": 1784902289, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "38365494018831710677520416689919565222584467732964144219797493486772775024046", - "cond": "0x4d7f97d4107a6b724a4f5bff30dd2821841a6e025ee61eae84cc9e3facf40349", - "title": "Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "price": 0.72, - "stake": 123.96, - "reason": "price moved 0.62\u21920.72", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "0xbadaf319" - }, { "ts": 1784823420, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -3096,7 +3099,7 @@ "name": "0xbadaf319" } ], - "missed_pnl": 111211.69, + "missed_pnl": 111261.02, "last_fill": { "ts": 1785253798, "side": "SELL", @@ -3113,7 +3116,7 @@ "open_cost": 1178.75, "open_n": 18, "miss_n": 90, - "miss_pnl": 111974.17, + "miss_pnl": 112023.5, "last_ts": 1785253659 }, "gkmgkldfmg": { @@ -3207,5 +3210,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1785262747 + "updated": 1785264789 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json index dc1d3ae1..1fd09db4 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "paper", - "updated": 1785262747, + "updated": 1785264789, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": 555.08, @@ -9,7 +9,7 @@ "open_cost": 1178.75, "open_n": 18, "miss_n": 90, - "miss_pnl": 111974.17, + "miss_pnl": 112023.5, "last_ts": 1785253659 }, "gkmgkldfmg": { @@ -5437,6 +5437,54 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785254456, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "10729113877982954627733259296519930255153096234865579997117363600105394623598", + "cond": "0x31a3ddeea7de2cede5400708fa2916a3d9e14e57aef68737a358027a84f88943", + "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.1124, + "stake": 28.32, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "sold", + "pnl": -29.01, + "settled": 1785264788, + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_price": 0.0003 + }, + { + "ts": 1785110779, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "35886998552783861513685353913940426093865851929878480433719442414123918040441", + "cond": "0x61eb75dae104f136d5946682f241c554f6282f81a4489285d134170526be41e0", + "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.49, + "stake": 61.02, + "reason": "thin book ($7 within 5c < $50)", + "status": "sold", + "pnl": 57.09, + "settled": 1785264785, + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_price": 0.9572 + }, + { + "ts": 1784902289, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "38365494018831710677520416689919565222584467732964144219797493486772775024046", + "cond": "0x4d7f97d4107a6b724a4f5bff30dd2821841a6e025ee61eae84cc9e3facf40349", + "title": "Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.72, + "stake": 123.96, + "reason": "price moved 0.62\u21920.72", + "status": "sold", + "pnl": 21.25, + "settled": 1785264783, + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "exit_price": 0.8532 + }, { "ts": 1785262738, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -5500,21 +5548,6 @@ "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.999 }, - { - "ts": 1785254456, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "10729113877982954627733259296519930255153096234865579997117363600105394623598", - "cond": "0x31a3ddeea7de2cede5400708fa2916a3d9e14e57aef68737a358027a84f88943", - "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.1124, - "stake": 28.32, - "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "0xbadaf319" - }, { "ts": 1785252427, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -5796,21 +5829,6 @@ "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.895 }, - { - "ts": 1785110779, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "35886998552783861513685353913940426093865851929878480433719442414123918040441", - "cond": "0x61eb75dae104f136d5946682f241c554f6282f81a4489285d134170526be41e0", - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.49, - "stake": 61.02, - "reason": "thin book ($7 within 5c < $50)", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "0xbadaf319" - }, { "ts": 1784990183, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -6146,21 +6164,6 @@ "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" }, - { - "ts": 1784902289, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "38365494018831710677520416689919565222584467732964144219797493486772775024046", - "cond": "0x4d7f97d4107a6b724a4f5bff30dd2821841a6e025ee61eae84cc9e3facf40349", - "title": "Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "price": 0.72, - "stake": 123.96, - "reason": "price moved 0.62\u21920.72", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "0xbadaf319" - }, { "ts": 1784823420, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl index 87ee21b4..d43a7950 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl @@ -2416,3 +2416,6 @@ {"ts": 1785261048.95, "trade_ts": 1785261048, "lat_s": 0.95, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 40, "price": 0.56, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Lea", "tx": "0xabd661ec3f0e761911b48adac56a4ecd894962de49dc563a5b9614d89d2c9bd8", "seen": false} {"ts": 1785261051.47, "trade_ts": 1785261051, "lat_s": 0.47, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 59.375, "price": 0.4, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Lea", "tx": "0x2948837a84e37968abc0cc4cb77b10316ff15f8cfa94f97778b36da3b346e85e", "seen": false} {"ts": 1785261051.62, "trade_ts": 1785261051, "lat_s": 0.62, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 57.92, "price": 0.56, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Lea", "tx": "0xd70cae41987c2d972ee0c3a57eab660fdb601654013fe487e19340606ccb8f1b", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785262901.31, "trade_ts": 1785262900, "lat_s": 1.31, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 20, "price": 0.02, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $134 Week of July 27 2026", "tx": "0x63a6b4c0e11ce43d651a034dbcd6b577c2c47e911f4428afa94f074cd12378ab", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785262902.98, "trade_ts": 1785262902, "lat_s": 0.97, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 21.01, "price": 0.99, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026", "tx": "0xe5d33a65b32f158f1308a126055486a2569eaa3eea9549dbc1af56dfb02723a2", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1785264664.01, "trade_ts": 1785264663, "lat_s": 1.01, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "name": "JuiceFarm", "side": "BUY", "size": 353.17, "price": 0.38, "title": "Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)", "tx": "0x4d5ba3c4f4fcdaddc3fcb1277ef9679a008331d58abaf220ab89d1ddde0360e2", "seen": false}