diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index ce0fec80..7b48475e 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -14062,15 +14062,6 @@
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0xe9ab976f5c3b9c65ea229b1a7890ba92da55c06a8c5dfe6c911320d5ecfa6a9f"
     },
-    "68654388570090540693504706309016258592141967889448520850585121976978344249779": {
-      "shares": 16.437877965417442,
-      "cost": 9.862726726649257,
-      "title": "Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on July 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "event": "msft-close-above-450-on-july-31-2026",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "cond": "0x4b6a88f2cdaa221d98451e3c2de0087e93341a7e6b771a6fd392cb4d8690009a"
-    },
     "115635155479667353862665794187637382945087171557088427227495541201629678991249": {
       "shares": 77.64,
       "cost": 54.02719962532363,
@@ -14300,10 +14291,9 @@
     "108571806153453077888243294663984245780177684183406082076002016448584873901936": "0xa6aa5a20027dd49336ca96b7ccbe0fabad29bf3ec01045cf8dc8535ea80156f2",
     "64268764042079970141370201979497971145194836965078827125217869938686952808386": "0x2438cd58efb9b64117ae559e9b725a11232e49d978ba304c13e271bcdd5acf8f",
     "98864892241165634034845879919226813719761907293882249061978686663075404066718": "0x10d762e78e07d5841596887320dd38dd3ba6f2c044b9bf81da6c6ac60f67e56f",
-    "68654388570090540693504706309016258592141967889448520850585121976978344249779": "0x4b6a88f2cdaa221d98451e3c2de0087e93341a7e6b771a6fd392cb4d8690009a",
     "115635155479667353862665794187637382945087171557088427227495541201629678991249": "0x76c25e86c5067b4b36d428d6aac9005c4463c8541a8300d66738ffb051de52b9"
   },
-  "cash": 1382.6359159911103,
+  "cash": 1399.0737939565279,
   "lag": {
     "n": 352,
     "sum_s": 7312.391540288925,
@@ -20602,10 +20592,10 @@
       "cost": 10.5,
       "fee": 0.126,
       "opened": 1785504608,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "won",
+      "exit_price": 1.0,
+      "pnl": 6.87,
+      "settled": 1785529502,
       "end_ts": 1785456000,
       "sold_shares": 1.062122034582557,
       "sold_proceeds": 1.062122034582557
@@ -20652,8 +20642,8 @@
     }
   },
   "hwm": 3600.1933566560215,
-  "feed_sig": "3e532580bf18c48a3401d588e8822123",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1785529290.1094449,
+  "feed_sig": "58fbd64ba3c8d4c08c06f6cafe3bcb17",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1785529436.7659829,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783856662,
@@ -23783,9 +23773,9 @@
       "price": 0.3111,
       "stake": 46.19,
       "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-      "status": "open",
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "lost",
+      "pnl": -47.14,
+      "settled": 1785529506,
       "name": "0xbadaf319"
     },
     {
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 332b7b26..cde676c2 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 55.44,
+ "stake": 55.57,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 3600.19,
- "cash": 1382.64,
- "deployed": 1389.49,
+ "cash": 1399.07,
+ "deployed": 1379.62,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1772.09,
+ "realized": 1778.67,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": -0.06,
- "open_count": 31,
+ "open_count": 30,
  "fees_paid": 434.24,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
@@ -50,6 +50,28 @@
   "JuiceFarm": 735.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "68654388570090540693504706309016258592141967889448520850585121976978344249779",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on July 31?",
+   "their_price": 0.6,
+   "my_price": 0.6,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 4.2,
+   "shares": 17.5,
+   "cost": 10.5,
+   "fee": 0.13,
+   "opened": 1785504608,
+   "status": "won",
+   "exit_price": 1.0,
+   "pnl": 6.87,
+   "settled": 1785529502,
+   "end_ts": 1785456000,
+   "sold_shares": 1.06,
+   "sold_proceeds": 1.06
+  },
   {
    "token": "66731682772014681185953064174456659922804074645921817840242815858628390435891",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -132,28 +154,6 @@
    "settled": null,
    "end_ts": 1785456000
   },
-  {
-   "token": "68654388570090540693504706309016258592141967889448520850585121976978344249779",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "title": "Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on July 31?",
-   "their_price": 0.6,
-   "my_price": 0.6,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 4.2,
-   "shares": 17.5,
-   "cost": 10.5,
-   "fee": 0.13,
-   "opened": 1785504608,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785456000,
-   "sold_shares": 1.06,
-   "sold_proceeds": 1.06
-  },
   {
    "token": "69355216620763944290038016217055240184869140983658291063098880395274580074984",
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -2171,6 +2171,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785505110,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "25526593810196524643796155718642580515954324477358866326703379026943421853087",
+   "cond": "0xc550d430fb66ae9694f620dd61cd2d9b4883f064f2cb27d9f3a2aad57f09ff80",
+   "title": "Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31?",
+   "outcome": "Down",
+   "price": 0.3111,
+   "stake": 46.19,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "lost",
+   "pnl": -47.14,
+   "settled": 1785529506,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1785456903,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2310,21 +2325,6 @@
    "name": "AIcAIc",
    "exit_checked": true
   },
-  {
-   "ts": 1785505110,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "25526593810196524643796155718642580515954324477358866326703379026943421853087",
-   "cond": "0xc550d430fb66ae9694f620dd61cd2d9b4883f064f2cb27d9f3a2aad57f09ff80",
-   "title": "Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31?",
-   "outcome": "Down",
-   "price": 0.3111,
-   "stake": 46.19,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
   {
    "ts": 1785399884,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -3112,7 +3112,7 @@
    "exit_price": 0.5779
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": 111744.6,
+ "missed_pnl": 111697.46,
  "last_fill": {
   "ts": 1785519401,
   "side": "SELL",
@@ -3123,14 +3123,14 @@
  },
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
-   "realized": 518.97,
-   "n": 81,
-   "wins": 26,
-   "open_cost": 961.87,
-   "open_n": 20,
+   "realized": 525.84,
+   "n": 82,
+   "wins": 27,
+   "open_cost": 951.37,
+   "open_n": 19,
    "miss_n": 113,
-   "miss_pnl": 112277.35,
-   "last_ts": 1785529424
+   "miss_pnl": 112230.21,
+   "last_ts": 1785529502
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
    "realized": 948.45,
@@ -3223,5 +3223,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785529436
+ "updated": 1785529506
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index 85271e59..6669b237 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785529436,
+ "updated": 1785529506,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
-   "realized": 518.97,
-   "n": 81,
-   "wins": 26,
-   "open_cost": 961.87,
-   "open_n": 20,
+   "realized": 525.84,
+   "n": 82,
+   "wins": 27,
+   "open_cost": 951.37,
+   "open_n": 19,
    "miss_n": 113,
-   "miss_pnl": 112277.35,
-   "last_ts": 1785529424
+   "miss_pnl": 112230.21,
+   "last_ts": 1785529502
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
    "realized": 948.45,
@@ -104,6 +104,28 @@
   }
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "68654388570090540693504706309016258592141967889448520850585121976978344249779",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on July 31?",
+   "their_price": 0.6,
+   "my_price": 0.6,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 4.2,
+   "shares": 17.5,
+   "cost": 10.5,
+   "fee": 0.126,
+   "opened": 1785504608,
+   "status": "won",
+   "exit_price": 1.0,
+   "pnl": 6.87,
+   "settled": 1785529502,
+   "end_ts": 1785456000,
+   "sold_shares": 1.062122034582557,
+   "sold_proceeds": 1.062122034582557
+  },
   {
    "token": "66731682772014681185953064174456659922804074645921817840242815858628390435891",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -186,28 +208,6 @@
    "settled": null,
    "end_ts": 1785456000
   },
-  {
-   "token": "68654388570090540693504706309016258592141967889448520850585121976978344249779",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "title": "Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on July 31?",
-   "their_price": 0.6,
-   "my_price": 0.6,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 4.2,
-   "shares": 17.5,
-   "cost": 10.5,
-   "fee": 0.126,
-   "opened": 1785504608,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785456000,
-   "sold_shares": 1.062122034582557,
-   "sold_proceeds": 1.062122034582557
-  },
   {
    "token": "69355216620763944290038016217055240184869140983658291063098880395274580074984",
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -6373,6 +6373,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785505110,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "25526593810196524643796155718642580515954324477358866326703379026943421853087",
+   "cond": "0xc550d430fb66ae9694f620dd61cd2d9b4883f064f2cb27d9f3a2aad57f09ff80",
+   "title": "Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31?",
+   "outcome": "Down",
+   "price": 0.3111,
+   "stake": 46.19,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "lost",
+   "pnl": -47.14,
+   "settled": 1785529506,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1785456903,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -6512,21 +6527,6 @@
    "name": "AIcAIc",
    "exit_checked": true
   },
-  {
-   "ts": 1785505110,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "25526593810196524643796155718642580515954324477358866326703379026943421853087",
-   "cond": "0xc550d430fb66ae9694f620dd61cd2d9b4883f064f2cb27d9f3a2aad57f09ff80",
-   "title": "Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31?",
-   "outcome": "Down",
-   "price": 0.3111,
-   "stake": 46.19,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
   {
    "ts": 1785399884,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",