From 76c7ec96ae04a9416e13290dcd4e1d694c170570 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Tue, 21 Jul 2026 15:52:22 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_state.json | 74 +++++++------------ live/copybot_live.json | 158 ++++++++++++++++++++--------------------- 2 files changed, 105 insertions(+), 127 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 46742d86..f5a7c21a 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -11075,15 +11075,6 @@ "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "cond": "0xd17e44ec063959238b3e4587475977a584618f7e18892d7b13b47051dbaa9a35" }, - "47930487385442068307660985236580604031118404338161837203208216877292039014153": { - "shares": 8.78593697677524, - "cost": 5.798718404671658, - "title": "", - "outcome": "", - "event": null, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "cond": "" - }, "6237386819428750235511557154093150991879160039847931747938354455286350107208": { "shares": 10.795348837209303, "cost": 9.284, @@ -11120,15 +11111,6 @@ "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "cond": "0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8" }, - "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102": { - "shares": 178.56927010860838, - "cost": 103.57017666299285, - "title": "", - "outcome": "", - "event": null, - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "cond": "" - }, "96493470136581654430268359631814450290137534659017161119334974730318350734648": { "shares": 115.40491831587862, "cost": 104.67226091250191, @@ -11285,7 +11267,6 @@ "38404839370859900572663651821110620858010736415606391321540518400366572036926": "0x8e7b2d6fe9eeba28fa7147588594a162db197ffe4165ed3587f9e6380f8d01ed", "114408446604886353206911847633106829807018038464913763376714523293436793199652": "0x6afe2473bc068e6dcd842c3e2792c3b5e85fbec71b6112d86c648fe46e9014c2", "16167991169842969662552149172415147847102093356587677921265845709187217219794": "0x6afe2473bc068e6dcd842c3e2792c3b5e85fbec71b6112d86c648fe46e9014c2", - "47930487385442068307660985236580604031118404338161837203208216877292039014153": "", "6237386819428750235511557154093150991879160039847931747938354455286350107208": "0x94e9c8fdb3f40e0a92ac28ce63459cda5a755709bb62fb3442948cf7c2fbf671", "31227781598316880280877760465683086508096359894740658336497080463300979927822": "0x89bc4921c2e0090c1ebe9c821e5ab77c329aca125cc65b4c3b6a1e95a3bb740c", "63771637378784413148462482237923583124136983802351410739819251381721139402800": "0xcb1ce68d68dfda31c9f49b9b839afd9ff89feaeb3a8e7b90eed5fda189d57159", @@ -11309,7 +11290,6 @@ "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": "0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8", "75636274443607445614938470591337628868615181893893587977168160999705149850480": "0x7446c13b91bf8ece3c07cb6127008ff534ab2853dd3cd31dce5a1452367b461a", "37906844316173351653431141004376509492088028380479597728611617251805844178802": "0xd1bb7552943d2403bb56fc3eaf03a1c28d8b48db16aa48eebc76e9c429cf05d8", - "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102": "", "110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115": "0xe6a1205d55c0fed0427084000f6e35b2b481003e509a4be0d4678715898c0ae2", "52277341117061676402936201599481724705704245418989224868304419115133008528281": "0xaf2ddfecd93bfdea73d0fe3a8fab8fb1a00a7da4e92ce77803d8c893f10ee6a0", "6542858065381328138604971534407515790260577773140917193780294419054693674045": "0x6266a812b672fb0424235909307279a2d4f52ad291b00e4a85767c146d10a2c0", @@ -11340,7 +11320,7 @@ "20484110521571350875001435184260822941122652573371898844393462992759163157997": "0xb21d4b44e3ea95538a40c635241b96d4560e38791a2ab14e34d7dd90cacd0c72", "41408557405269649927496726924900111227532817303569129089131556212120131473157": "0x1ff3ead7a1d127fc8c042b3ce50ee5f9deece22799b0ce440801da1becd1b038" }, - "cash": 1507.661606817097, + "cash": 1695.0168139024806, "lag": { "n": 213, "sum_s": 6054.691945552826, @@ -13692,8 +13672,8 @@ "token": "47930487385442068307660985236580604031118404338161837203208216877292039014153", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", - "outcome": "", - "title": "", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Will France win the World Cup?", "their_price": 0.7168, "my_price": 0.66, "slippage_pct": -0.0793, @@ -13702,10 +13682,10 @@ "cost": 7.82, "fee": 0.0797, "opened": 1784056902, - "status": "open", - "exit_price": null, - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, + "status": "won", + "exit_price": 1.0, + "pnl": 3.42, + "settled": 1784649072, "sold_shares": 3.056487265649002, "sold_proceeds": 2.537962443775903 }, @@ -14379,8 +14359,8 @@ "token": "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", - "outcome": "", - "title": "", + "outcome": "Yes", + "title": "Will \"The Odyssey\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?", "their_price": 0.59, "my_price": 0.58, "slippage_pct": -0.0169, @@ -14389,10 +14369,10 @@ "cost": 103.57, "fee": 1.305, "opened": 1784174231, - "status": "open", - "exit_price": null, - "pnl": null, - "settled": null + "status": "won", + "exit_price": 1.0, + "pnl": 73.69, + "settled": 1784649072 }, "110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115": { "token": "110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115", @@ -15241,8 +15221,8 @@ } }, "hwm": 2849.150445045735, - "feed_sig": "38854526f9930b4284dcc48fd50866c0", - "feed_pushed_at": 1784648752.7404938, + "feed_sig": "4c8c617a3e514864b1520602f5fa33cc", + "feed_pushed_at": 1784649010.7614987, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783590977, @@ -16710,15 +16690,15 @@ "ts": 1784128795, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "36572361863292743525172722296256449344593421343195350786366455281513675169221", - "cond": "", - "title": "", - "outcome": "", + "cond": "0xd2a97dd956e70c9c4abda30d2864588ece0c7213013eb3fa664b88509ff829b1", + "title": "Will \"The Odyssey\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?", + "outcome": "No", "price": 0.44, "stake": 99.83, "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.09 > 0.08)", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, + "status": "lost", + "pnl": -101.51, + "settled": 1784649073, "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" }, { @@ -16772,15 +16752,15 @@ "ts": 1784148369, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "97790474719190241406489821993233180311618193540151039410585653304993937141574", - "cond": "", - "title": "", - "outcome": "", + "cond": "0xb2af625fa98691e234f918fb36e5063ca14d436d5d7b1a1ad299bbb1890694a3", + "title": "Will Argentina win the World Cup?", + "outcome": "No", "price": 0.716, "stake": 64.21, "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.14 > 0.08)", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, + "status": "won", + "pnl": 24.92, + "settled": 1784649073, "name": "0xbadaf319" }, { diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index 0d8c9c95..75f6926b 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -1,17 +1,17 @@ { "mode": "paper", "bankroll": 1000.0, - "stake": 107.22, + "stake": 110.34, "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 2849.15, - "cash": 1507.66, - "deployed": 1172.94, + "cash": 1695.02, + "deployed": 1063.57, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": 1680.57, + "realized": 1758.55, "adjustments": 0.03, - "ledger_drift": -0.02, - "open_count": 20, + "ledger_drift": -0.01, + "open_count": 18, "fees_paid": 323.15, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { @@ -46,6 +46,46 @@ "AIcAIc": 344.56 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "47930487385442068307660985236580604031118404338161837203208216877292039014153", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Will France win the World Cup?", + "their_price": 0.7168, + "my_price": 0.66, + "slippage_pct": -0.0793, + "lag_s": 0.6, + "shares": 11.84, + "cost": 7.82, + "fee": 0.08, + "opened": 1784056902, + "status": "won", + "exit_price": 1.0, + "pnl": 3.42, + "settled": 1784649072, + "sold_shares": 3.06, + "sold_proceeds": 2.54 + }, + { + "token": "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102", + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", + "outcome": "Yes", + "title": "Will \"The Odyssey\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?", + "their_price": 0.59, + "my_price": 0.58, + "slippage_pct": -0.0169, + "lag_s": 0.6, + "shares": 178.57, + "cost": 103.57, + "fee": 1.3, + "opened": 1784174231, + "status": "won", + "exit_price": 1.0, + "pnl": 73.69, + "settled": 1784649072 + }, { "token": "41408557405269649927496726924900111227532817303569129089131556212120131473157", "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", @@ -953,25 +993,6 @@ "sold_shares": 221.79, "sold_proceeds": 110.2 }, - { - "token": "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102", - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", - "outcome": "", - "title": "", - "their_price": 0.59, - "my_price": 0.58, - "slippage_pct": -0.0169, - "lag_s": 0.6, - "shares": 178.57, - "cost": 103.57, - "fee": 1.3, - "opened": 1784174231, - "status": "open", - "exit_price": null, - "pnl": null, - "settled": null - }, { "token": "37906844316173351653431141004376509492088028380479597728611617251805844178802", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", @@ -1617,27 +1638,6 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null }, - { - "token": "47930487385442068307660985236580604031118404338161837203208216877292039014153", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "name": "0xbadaf319", - "outcome": "", - "title": "", - "their_price": 0.7168, - "my_price": 0.66, - "slippage_pct": -0.0793, - "lag_s": 0.6, - "shares": 11.84, - "cost": 7.82, - "fee": 0.08, - "opened": 1784056902, - "status": "open", - "exit_price": null, - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "sold_shares": 3.06, - "sold_proceeds": 2.54 - }, { "token": "16167991169842969662552149172415147847102093356587677921265845709187217219794", "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", @@ -2104,6 +2104,36 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1784128795, + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "token": "36572361863292743525172722296256449344593421343195350786366455281513675169221", + "cond": "0xd2a97dd956e70c9c4abda30d2864588ece0c7213013eb3fa664b88509ff829b1", + "title": "Will \"The Odyssey\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.44, + "stake": 99.83, + "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.09 > 0.08)", + "status": "lost", + "pnl": -101.51, + "settled": 1784649073, + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" + }, + { + "ts": 1784148369, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "97790474719190241406489821993233180311618193540151039410585653304993937141574", + "cond": "0xb2af625fa98691e234f918fb36e5063ca14d436d5d7b1a1ad299bbb1890694a3", + "title": "Will Argentina win the World Cup?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.716, + "stake": 64.21, + "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.14 > 0.08)", + "status": "won", + "pnl": 24.92, + "settled": 1784649073, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1784597503, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -3015,40 +3045,8 @@ "settled": 1784305303, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.2367 - }, - { - "ts": 1784303812, - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "token": "110536989543612561899836326685728311541346128503675227319696677241365666291302", - "cond": "0x33202ea27cf7fbf8d387c6ef1e0eb956dc999ffb96385b6fe67b84ea4a364952", - "title": "Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "price": 0.57, - "stake": 102.53, - "reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": -15.26, - "settled": 1784303999, - "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", - "exit_price": 0.5 - }, - { - "ts": 1784287003, - "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", - "token": "99769792009260570054217311703996683522727922229995804271060316488330979046706", - "cond": "0x9d407ed371fd904ef375724783d30eef0405e5d63d6bf1280d913b76492a035d", - "title": "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner", - "outcome": "Hanwha Life Esports", - "price": 0.5699, - "stake": 104.86, - 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