diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index ae557303..ccfc7b69 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -921,3 +921,4 @@
 {"ts": 1784906212.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "41280738325832192366820609767968905496399103307083568825188630965658856693531", "shares": 258.25, "price": 0.91, "fee": 0.6345, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1784908008.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?", "detect_lag_s": 1.1, "their_price": 0.89, "my_price": 0.89, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 41.35, "cost": 36.8, "fee": 0.1214, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.881, "ba": 0.899, "spread": 0.018, "bid5c": 1108.87, "ask5c": 7276.39}, "maker": true}
 {"ts": 1784908135.6, "side": "SELL", "token": "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978", "shares": 17.9739, "price": 0.914, "fee": 0.0424, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1784908328.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?", "detect_lag_s": 0.6, "their_price": 0.922, "my_price": 0.922, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 17.37, "cost": 16.02, "fee": 0.0375, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.919, "ba": 0.922, "spread": 0.003, "bid5c": 5648.4, "ask5c": 4885.51}, "maker": true}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index b1923112..2b6dc0e9 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1,7 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783541947.246319,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0xf953999a6c0829e2cd7cc7c79849452fa21e3c87a3d1dc0ecd499b29be26908d",
     "0x2699e722d321c3b0e7b8da1d1bbe9fba3f6afefb4fa80721ca88eaed95cb03c4",
     "0xfa848981a62f7f4ad55b8f0c2aca8fa9b43eb06d2374318c64eafe7aeb511c9c",
     "0x312d59cc90835b58532ed5a8f3b9c2400615b1a51542ba0f6563061a252f4fea",
@@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@
     "0x0c0fe34c429c79bf32239891ed371573be5d63558e573411425ee0bcca9a18c0",
     "0x939000f07e57218609b6f686b68cdd68c1bf001d73c6d3429a7965c2fab3b6c3",
     "0x256ebab4a0e6972435ce30e8cab0da47a1367c454307a1174312d04a85ecbae1",
-    "0x54bdc4f24ee0dbf4e552cd353f659e8d8cfbee2c687388debf3e612f8ce62dc6"
+    "0x54bdc4f24ee0dbf4e552cd353f659e8d8cfbee2c687388debf3e612f8ce62dc6",
+    "0x4053ad3757ee525d0f7325e7e71fee667e4f48ec649239cfa20a1d77497f83b4"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -7383,7 +7383,7 @@
       "85418243160365189973163574658090696894227655236478183199339782372790668936005": 0.0,
       "66307048107306700318404467492120034148488377529242308634419850090213158293708": 0.0,
       "74151264527846604229362236788758893947682876456777348073220955601685754156080": 0.0,
-      "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978": 83.1011
+      "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978": 145.140138
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -13378,8 +13378,8 @@
       "cond": "0xc3a579d99e8b291b923f6cdf026fe86a510411bb0b5190cb5d8764bd425974de"
     },
     "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978": {
-      "shares": 23.37612856474426,
-      "cost": 20.804754149544102,
+      "shares": 40.74612856474426,
+      "cost": 36.819894139464644,
       "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?",
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "event": "bitcoin-above-on-july-24-2026",
@@ -13389,7 +13389,7 @@
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
-    "usd": 883.3089510697921
+    "usd": 899.3240910597126
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -13565,13 +13565,13 @@
     "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": "0xc3a579d99e8b291b923f6cdf026fe86a510411bb0b5190cb5d8764bd425974de",
     "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978": "0x561e9279ca4e2fc1cdea5b0c1ae13559bfa8f6bb3be7e3015ffc548db34ab234"
   },
-  "cash": 1470.687278349237,
+  "cash": 1454.6346629314612,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 249,
-    "sum_s": 6305.166393041611,
+    "n": 250,
+    "sum_s": 6305.750661373138,
     "sum_slip_pct": -7.247834511462669
   },
-  "fees_paid": 360.67129118020364,
+  "fees_paid": 360.70876660805885,
   "lag_recent": [
     [
       1784824868.5,
@@ -13662,6 +13662,11 @@
       1784908008.1,
       1.1,
       0.0
+    ],
+    [
+      1784908328.6,
+      0.6,
+      0.0
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -18191,12 +18196,12 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?",
       "their_price": 0.89,
-      "my_price": 0.89,
+      "my_price": 0.8994403949237149,
       "slippage_pct": 0.0,
       "lag_s": 1.1,
-      "shares": 41.35,
-      "cost": 36.8,
-      "fee": 0.1214,
+      "shares": 58.72,
+      "cost": 52.81513998992054,
+      "fee": 0.15889999999999999,
       "opened": 1784908007,
       "status": "open",
       "exit_price": null,
@@ -18209,7 +18214,7 @@
   },
   "hwm": 3279.700634625008,
   "feed_sig": "1e1e0020a7e6d6b729130a785810b63e",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784908077.9240057,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784908211.129015,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,
@@ -21342,7 +21347,7 @@
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784882427,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784908069,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784908135,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784886999,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784904358,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784905024,
@@ -21354,16 +21359,16 @@
     "ts": 1784846080
   },
   "last_fill": {
-    "ts": 1784908135,
-    "side": "SELL",
-    "price": 0.914,
-    "shares": 17.97,
+    "ts": 1784908328,
+    "side": "BUY",
+    "price": 0.922,
+    "shares": 17.37,
     "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?",
     "outcome": "Yes"
   },
   "paper_maker": [],
   "maker_stats": {
-    "fills": 16,
+    "fills": 17,
     "misses": 6
   },
   "ignored_exits": [
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 35971fc2..81955a84 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 126.24,
+ "stake": 126.23,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 3279.7,
- "cash": 1470.69,
- "deployed": 1685.22,
+ "cash": 1454.63,
+ "deployed": 1701.24,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 2155.88,
+ "realized": 2155.84,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": -0.02,
  "open_count": 25,
- "fees_paid": 360.67,
+ "fees_paid": 360.71,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 249,
-  "n24": 18,
-  "avg_s": 7.4,
-  "avg_slip_pct": -0.001,
+  "n": 250,
+  "n24": 19,
+  "avg_s": 7.1,
+  "avg_slip_pct": -0.0009,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -56,12 +56,12 @@
    "outcome": "Yes",
    "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?",
    "their_price": 0.89,
-   "my_price": 0.89,
+   "my_price": 0.8994,
    "slippage_pct": 0.0,
    "lag_s": 1.1,
-   "shares": 41.35,
-   "cost": 36.8,
-   "fee": 0.12,
+   "shares": 58.72,
+   "cost": 52.82,
+   "fee": 0.16,
    "opened": 1784908007,
    "status": "open",
    "exit_price": null,
@@ -3089,10 +3089,10 @@
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 96628.37,
  "last_fill": {
-  "ts": 1784908135,
-  "side": "SELL",
-  "price": 0.914,
-  "shares": 17.97,
+  "ts": 1784908328,
+  "side": "BUY",
+  "price": 0.922,
+  "shares": 17.37,
   "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?",
   "outcome": "Yes"
  },
@@ -3101,7 +3101,7 @@
    "realized": 569.48,
    "n": 53,
    "wins": 14,
-   "open_cost": 731.17,
+   "open_cost": 747.18,
    "open_n": 13,
    "miss_n": 64,
    "miss_pnl": 97027.75,
@@ -3188,5 +3188,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1784908142
+ "updated": 1784908335
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index e5cb67db..c96c841d 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,12 +1,12 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1784908142,
+ "updated": 1784908335,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 569.48,
    "n": 53,
    "wins": 14,
-   "open_cost": 731.17,
+   "open_cost": 747.18,
    "open_n": 13,
    "miss_n": 64,
    "miss_pnl": 97027.75,
@@ -101,12 +101,12 @@
    "outcome": "Yes",
    "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?",
    "their_price": 0.89,
-   "my_price": 0.89,
+   "my_price": 0.8994403949237149,
    "slippage_pct": 0.0,
    "lag_s": 1.1,
-   "shares": 41.35,
-   "cost": 36.8,
-   "fee": 0.1214,
+   "shares": 58.72,
+   "cost": 52.81513998992054,
+   "fee": 0.15889999999999999,
    "opened": 1784908007,
    "status": "open",
    "exit_price": null,
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index 3654edf0..6a22c4d5 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -2148,3 +2148,5 @@
 {"ts": 1784908069.69, "trade_ts": 1784908069, "lat_s": 0.69, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 16.181817, "price": 0.879999940674153, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?", "tx": "0x567678c878ed416dcd66e7c4b61510c3ce82980e4f392ae75935eb904b6d73bd", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784908108.67, "trade_ts": 1784908108, "lat_s": 0.67, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 450.26976, "price": 0.15, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?", "tx": "0x7662bb92a3edddd6e1737a32ebcf06c75e63a5c539836a6fe4844117d0732285", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784908135.45, "trade_ts": 1784908135, "lat_s": 0.45, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 16, "price": 0.91, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?", "tx": "0x54bdc4f24ee0dbf4e552cd353f659e8d8cfbee2c687388debf3e612f8ce62dc6", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784908328.34, "trade_ts": 1784908328, "lat_s": 0.34, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 76.09375, "price": 0.064, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on ", "tx": "0x750cf199bf53cb55180eb4c0fc5bf8a61be4cb09705d2acc846c161b101ba5d8", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784908328.39, "trade_ts": 1784908328, "lat_s": 0.39, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 62.039038, "price": 0.9219999994197202, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?", "tx": "0x4053ad3757ee525d0f7325e7e71fee667e4f48ec649239cfa20a1d77497f83b4", "seen": false}