diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index e50c34ee..3c89fd65 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -584,6 +584,7 @@
     "0xaf8933838f5efdfdcae21713891bb186fa4ef11b1b655b5d497117c1b725c038",
     "0x8794da032081a57ef08eba3a2919a220d6832141b15dbd24cee1b89cf64f0dc5",
     "0x31c740f5f7c404a4260ab516c4fb1d7f373fccd3dda8679d1e5c244c4d55f49d",
+    "0xe811aa280ac3fb62292d4e135239b76ab3fedbfee9e398879da36946a0506136",
     "0x9d62408a0e56d53f57740b6ca95fe3f9e04bf0063af1fa5858eca043909e03a6",
     "0x4cf8a3e422a4fb23ffc8ae0d611063bfc407fa4d6a4e6f0df9b8a062ccde3e10",
     "0x89476073ef03a744fdbcdacbba73c45e8a33ad8aa849cb897e288bfda7dc65ab",
@@ -5766,15 +5767,6 @@
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0x0b6116e7ce990ab76351002a3c7f471e2a499a7bb0cdf6437b5e7fa1412e6179"
     },
-    "98686933205526849260956926098370864586052275369032476650193546947433457446794": {
-      "shares": 162.5558959345802,
-      "cost": 100.78465547943972,
-      "title": "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner",
-      "outcome": "PARIVISION",
-      "event": "dota2-pari-ts8-2026-07-12",
-      "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
-      "cond": "0x5feac6140f642f8c3cc84eec974a63bdc99f3c02e9deeb49cdc654c8a7b21209"
-    },
     "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155": {
       "shares": 295.0683064353806,
       "cost": 100.3232241880294,
@@ -5857,7 +5849,6 @@
     "37098243537063616538853806564974418300652058034370047802005035892401938992764": "0x65c7a8e083ec611beb70c04fd405532f0822b5b009be4a0a6bb5b156c0c6042d",
     "58177852542026635694424411749702887961596240830711524679308970260940138352630": "0x1240e9daca64352fdd8a067349580bc80a4fff281ef206833044d3ed2af6ebc0",
     "45280196732223750989767984101465690442391116346771016128184193629867669221370": "0x660404f310d6d27f728aa0f5494c157c794cc35b0a3b34536e689e6672947d64",
-    "98686933205526849260956926098370864586052275369032476650193546947433457446794": "0x5feac6140f642f8c3cc84eec974a63bdc99f3c02e9deeb49cdc654c8a7b21209",
     "90912190630175200805827076506881962170030344593208497487958283062556067846899": "0x660404f310d6d27f728aa0f5494c157c794cc35b0a3b34536e689e6672947d64",
     "72657587692017665505599725656194205462581472368991422962137490050829927893951": "0x8a89800369f7126ae60760e942afa581f8b248bf197563f98394d3835bb9dbe3",
     "14298727521347397971969992444073213603189753350952512402670010770159778335698": "0x8a89800369f7126ae60760e942afa581f8b248bf197563f98394d3835bb9dbe3",
@@ -7619,10 +7610,10 @@
       "cost": 100.78,
       "fee": 1.1489,
       "opened": 1783848697,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null
+      "status": "lost",
+      "exit_price": 0.0,
+      "pnl": -101.93,
+      "settled": 1783858222
     },
     "90912190630175200805827076506881962170030344593208497487958283062556067846899": {
       "token": "90912190630175200805827076506881962170030344593208497487958283062556067846899",
@@ -7725,7 +7716,7 @@
   },
   "hwm": 2548.9580606723184,
   "feed_sig": "a2445e4215b6dd9088417c424b1fc454",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1783856852.2083719,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1783858097.780403,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 0ccf6913..f19045e7 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 100.41,
+ "stake": 96.38,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 2548.96,
  "cash": 2090.14,
- "deployed": 420.13,
+ "deployed": 319.35,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1510.24,
+ "realized": 1409.46,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": 0.0,
- "open_count": 8,
+ "open_count": 7,
  "fees_paid": 153.32,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
@@ -49,6 +49,24 @@
   "1kto1m": 322.02
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "98686933205526849260956926098370864586052275369032476650193546947433457446794",
+   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+   "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
+   "outcome": "PARIVISION",
+   "title": "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner",
+   "their_price": 0.6499,
+   "my_price": 0.62,
+   "slippage_pct": -0.0459,
+   "shares": 162.56,
+   "cost": 100.78,
+   "fee": 1.15,
+   "opened": 1783848697,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -101.93,
+   "settled": 1783858222
+  },
   {
    "token": "71941893293834599184621753590882651435325558220761902727823613984547213968365",
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -167,24 +185,6 @@
    "sold_shares": 201.69,
    "sold_proceeds": 73.21
   },
-  {
-   "token": "98686933205526849260956926098370864586052275369032476650193546947433457446794",
-   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
-   "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
-   "outcome": "PARIVISION",
-   "title": "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner",
-   "their_price": 0.6499,
-   "my_price": 0.62,
-   "slippage_pct": -0.0459,
-   "shares": 162.56,
-   "cost": 100.78,
-   "fee": 1.15,
-   "opened": 1783848697,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null
-  },
   {
    "token": "58177852542026635694424411749702887961596240830711524679308970260940138352630",
    "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
@@ -2750,5 +2750,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": -345.02,
- "updated": 1783856980
+ "updated": 1783858227
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index 72daa55e..ca7bb574 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -680,3 +680,4 @@
 {"ts": 1783856920.45, "trade_ts": 1783856920, "lat_s": 0.45, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 250, "price": 0.4, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET", "tx": "0x133ab89a75e3f7692ecab85986fa6b527e76f66cb2dcf8d85131be3d0d1e35e8", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1783856922.04, "trade_ts": 1783856921, "lat_s": 1.04, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 246.942194, "price": 0.4049530676802847, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET", "tx": "0x4ef83b0bfbf43b8544ff7341a6e00d398d9f1cc2f600ca4a517e06d9cc4f49b4", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1783856976.08, "trade_ts": 1783856975, "lat_s": 1.08, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 377.75, "price": 0.3516132362673726, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET", "tx": "0x296a9268cedd1069c3ee3825a4c4910f938f4efcfa951cc9c3b2566ea0c2ff90", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1783857001.71, "trade_ts": 1783857001, "lat_s": 0.71, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 378.14, "price": 0.336148516422489, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET", "tx": "0xe811aa280ac3fb62292d4e135239b76ab3fedbfee9e398879da36946a0506136", "seen": false}