From 693bdda3a1cc82dc061d2fe6145a543fd92064ea Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Fri, 10 Jul 2026 02:41:23 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_fills.jsonl | 1 + copybot_state.json | 99 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++--------- live/copybot_live.json | 55 ++++++++++++++++++----- 3 files changed, 124 insertions(+), 31 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl index d5ddf60e..7ed2fb37 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl @@ -136,3 +136,4 @@ {"ts": 1783633987.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "72834495383235297744666280877384242771579363352963523785873024005920870690952", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?", "detect_lag_s": 0.5, "their_price": 0.51, "my_price": 0.5, "slippage_pct": -0.0196, "shares": 168.85, "cost": 84.43, "fee": 1.2664, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.5, "ba": 0.51, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 263.25, "ask5c": 86.27}} {"ts": 1783634213.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "9744962581292514108386284350412915753392587449882449095731887011173957456753", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?", "detect_lag_s": 220.1, "their_price": 0.4513, "my_price": 0.28, "slippage_pct": -0.3796, "shares": 301.35, "cost": 84.38, "fee": 1.8225, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.28, "ba": 0.54, "spread": 0.26, "bid5c": 28.92, "ask5c": 191.91}} {"ts": 1783645451.4, "side": "SELL", "token": "244048590847349569142622450288686721247802348946192951002087804863968899", "shares": 13.7758, "price": 0.965, "fee": 0.014, "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1783651222.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "112398855248126389642334724080634566219399886008841203075173521868162852635909", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?", "detect_lag_s": 252.0, "their_price": 0.5765, "my_price": 0.55, "slippage_pct": -0.0459, "shares": 144.45, "cost": 79.45, "fee": 1.0726, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.55, "ba": 0.58, "spread": 0.03, "bid5c": 105.56, "ask5c": 59.32}} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 1bddad96..3a4bf2f7 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -119,6 +119,7 @@ "0xca6990c539c29b9fe0d4c3aa1371f8963bd10fb1cbc5024613f0ff84fe7ee444", "0x186cf44236a0756098b54f7bb99003d731130715f4dbb1b0d46003e5c78c382d", "0x851778ed1e4a0367e626d2286fd213e9769adbf8277bd8ac06d34fb9eafef311", + "0xcb74c38e7d5131e72a3cfe1092bc8805094887d9ff36a3cf14c2a6d9d3a70ff9", "0x99fedb78aaf0fbd3efe5458b499bb0ab8eeb9779ce936b8eeb1889ffb2cf0b2d", "0x524569df5dc46aa6392f5e1b4ba9566b95ea99c9f0e857cbf06cdc1c40c1d5a2", "0xcd2af16691c64e4410d6f73c11efa732eacb314d88f0755ed43b5c7fb3dc294d", @@ -256,6 +257,7 @@ 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"outcome": "No", + "event": "iaea-visits-isfahan-fordow-or-natanz-nuclear-site-by-july-31-20260624040209014", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "cond": "0x73dd54214430d1d67ddf59ad22fdf62e00e71e273b229dc0040da504e5281b6f" } }, "spend": { - "date": "2026-07-09", - "usd": 1818.5226518357817 + "date": "2026-07-10", + "usd": 79.448273 }, "seeded": [ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -4330,21 +4354,17 @@ "114973484118227793815545241122012985639899573502123700019283561171248113667821": "0x8be4e240ce14fb0c952f3d98d748d4a1f93c97116cff5b9dba139d36f5387d7a", "64240896700312109784630886706605953876703771364083875350159352793781549030993": "0xd2cf27a164b628e715d98d212f16482adef61ac91f8bc635a477f2b5c1c1fdb2", "72834495383235297744666280877384242771579363352963523785873024005920870690952": "0xa6930fadb08512d5f798c2d474493af6d609ba246d43966cdf11af475b139dd6", - "9744962581292514108386284350412915753392587449882449095731887011173957456753": 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"112398855248126389642334724080634566219399886008841203075173521868162852635909", + "cond": "0x73dd54214430d1d67ddf59ad22fdf62e00e71e273b229dc0040da504e5281b6f", + "title": "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.573, + "stake": 69.81, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" } ], "no_miss_toks": [ @@ -5452,6 +5510,7 @@ "108097819032362232168754373234866768117360060536989734427640383701915911737522", "108832705493535187990242535025696912371474352479844673214696754368247925528934", "108947296508063592085718442826411169359443176266922838741305348631169975990701", + "13662583235320132426949657391276078470832417600424257304394004178395357669251", "16160582206993236978999980053505746993397999265023569576003068617693077855919", "18299945771102099327265262165775875395076425670341453782477200409266954800757", "26269799282038255049070834707453795656783818377275969216981597819233465503625", diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index c68f4367..dd05890e 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -1,24 +1,24 @@ { "mode": "paper", "bankroll": 1000.0, - "stake": 84.34, + "stake": 84.3, "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 2111.53, - "cash": 1755.02, - "deployed": 353.45, + "cash": 1674.5, + "deployed": 432.9, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": 1108.45, + "realized": 1107.37, "adjustments": 0.03, "ledger_drift": -0.01, - "open_count": 6, - "fees_paid": 54.97, + "open_count": 7, + "fees_paid": 56.04, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 36, - "n24": 34, - "avg_s": 31.0, - "avg_slip_pct": -0.0727, + "n": 37, + "n24": 35, + "avg_s": 37.3, + "avg_slip_pct": -0.0719, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -49,6 +49,24 @@ "1kto1m": 323.3 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "112398855248126389642334724080634566219399886008841203075173521868162852635909", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?", + "their_price": 0.5765, + "my_price": 0.55, + "slippage_pct": -0.0459, + "shares": 144.45, + "cost": 79.45, + "fee": 1.07, + "opened": 1783650970, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null + }, { "token": "9744962581292514108386284350412915753392587449882449095731887011173957456753", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -683,6 +701,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1783651220, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "112398855248126389642334724080634566219399886008841203075173521868162852635909", + "cond": "0x73dd54214430d1d67ddf59ad22fdf62e00e71e273b229dc0040da504e5281b6f", + "title": "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.573, + "stake": 69.81, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1783628730, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -976,5 +1009,5 @@ } ], "missed_pnl": 19.79, - "updated": 1783645451 + "updated": 1783651222 } \ No newline at end of file