diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
index e5c9fcc0..3163f36d 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
@@ -419,3 +419,6 @@
 {"ts": 1785009661.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785010002.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785010334.8, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785010670.6, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785011002.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785011339.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_rejects.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.jsonl
new file mode 100644
index 00000000..e3c5a57a
--- /dev/null
+++ b/copybot_rejects.jsonl
@@ -0,0 +1,2 @@
+{"ts": 1785011009.7, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "9778337357085497929007901423868259790092154116748585191406014066386135272948", "cond": "0x64e2986a47cc4e152b9ab5010f16d17ddc62035ff113c07544c4d05db08ff083", "usd": 17.57, "price": 0.26, "reason": "$18 < conviction floor $227", "title": "US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785011375.2, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "78982154269276409499665894465056184044397294473008355207270242076898779910159", "cond": "0x89ebfdaea8e5edb1d5c91d24e1a47dbfc6fd950603f682c0379d07f1eee9327b", "usd": 0.37, "price": 0.5, "reason": "$0 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will \"Minions & Monsters\" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 17addb9e..ce235828 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -13551,15 +13551,6 @@
       "event": "ma-08-democratic-primary-winner",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0xf56efa5879b1ac0496b649b97793e321e65bed2aff9cfed42d9efa87a0cd7680"
-    },
-    "8520939197524385894693978702254214426383751437032693433763418213436851058226": {
-      "shares": 174.52,
-      "cost": 87.26,
-      "title": "Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?",
-      "outcome": "No",
-      "event": "f1-hungarian-grand-prix-driver-pole-position-2026-07-25",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "cond": "0xb4e3b496c3fc4787fa8bf353914ca955d475a60296fe80624ad180f1aab3f9ed"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
@@ -13741,7 +13732,6 @@
     "30763135880765767714915424809927017029690489225123793413196619783027580637320": "0xf56efa5879b1ac0496b649b97793e321e65bed2aff9cfed42d9efa87a0cd7680",
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-    "8520939197524385894693978702254214426383751437032693433763418213436851058226": "0xb4e3b496c3fc4787fa8bf353914ca955d475a60296fe80624ad180f1aab3f9ed",
     "49331878508394871833592446045300865060542314418976779518068691623730505202112": "0xb7ff4745276006c8f163d67d588b3320c2a088e1ef72633405a77e3267ef0931"
   },
   "cash": 1182.7224565746867,
@@ -18668,10 +18658,10 @@
       "cost": 87.26,
       "fee": 1.3089,
       "opened": 1784991649,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "lost",
+      "exit_price": 0.0,
+      "pnl": -88.57,
+      "settled": 1785011468,
       "end_ts": 1785542400
     },
     "49331878508394871833592446045300865060542314418976779518068691623730505202112": {
@@ -18698,8 +18688,8 @@
     }
   },
   "hwm": 3279.700634625008,
-  "feed_sig": "bf3858336da69c80cedc72216c8eacae",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1785010336.5347524,
+  "feed_sig": "780d532af6b9f2ae5611099e0e515055",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1785011405.9200158,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,
@@ -21996,7 +21986,7 @@
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     "54808825071623730922593344072571837691813951745707044026991588993889799442913": 1,
     "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 1,
-    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 348,
+    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 351,
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     "30105308353288988924984162628182939641372197734077392129497102501234749347616": 1,
@@ -22008,11 +21998,11 @@
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784882427,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785005440,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785008209,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784980261,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784999560,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784981110,
-    "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785004240,
+    "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785008409,
     "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1785002011
   },
   "boot": {
@@ -22033,51 +22023,6 @@
     "misses": 14
   },
   "ignored_exits": [
-    {
-      "ts": 1784955147.8,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.87,
-      "shares_held": 0.8746,
-      "cost_held": 0.61,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1784955478.3,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.87,
-      "shares_held": 0.8746,
-      "cost_held": 0.61,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1784955805.4,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.87,
-      "shares_held": 0.8746,
-      "cost_held": 0.61,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
     {
       "ts": 1784956138.7,
       "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
@@ -25032,6 +24977,51 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785010670.6,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785011002.4,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785011339.0,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
     }
   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 3563e119..e1b5e99d 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 117.28,
+ "stake": 113.79,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 3279.7,
  "cash": 1182.72,
- "deployed": 1749.28,
+ "deployed": 1662.02,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1931.97,
+ "realized": 1844.71,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": -0.02,
- "open_count": 24,
+ "open_count": 23,
  "fees_paid": 378.14,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
@@ -49,6 +49,26 @@
   "JuiceFarm": 735.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "8520939197524385894693978702254214426383751437032693433763418213436851058226",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?",
+   "their_price": 0.5,
+   "my_price": 0.5,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 2.7,
+   "shares": 174.52,
+   "cost": 87.26,
+   "fee": 1.31,
+   "opened": 1784991649,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -88.57,
+   "settled": 1785011468,
+   "end_ts": 1785542400
+  },
   {
    "token": "107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933",
    "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
@@ -111,26 +131,6 @@
    "settled": 1784994471,
    "end_ts": 1784937600
   },
-  {
-   "token": "8520939197524385894693978702254214426383751437032693433763418213436851058226",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "title": "Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?",
-   "their_price": 0.5,
-   "my_price": 0.5,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 2.7,
-   "shares": 174.52,
-   "cost": 87.26,
-   "fee": 1.31,
-   "opened": 1784991649,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785542400
-  },
   {
    "token": "31734979589136676783620439669736424886669000930046383039286241799551299417224",
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -3103,14 +3103,14 @@
  },
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
-   "realized": 593.76,
-   "n": 59,
+   "realized": 505.19,
+   "n": 60,
    "wins": 19,
-   "open_cost": 783.25,
-   "open_n": 12,
+   "open_cost": 695.99,
+   "open_n": 11,
    "miss_n": 72,
    "miss_pnl": 111875.27,
-   "last_ts": 1784991649
+   "last_ts": 1785011468
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
    "realized": 776.39,
@@ -3193,5 +3193,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785010467
+ "updated": 1785011471
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index 97f70216..245bcb05 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785010467,
+ "updated": 1785011471,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
-   "realized": 593.76,
-   "n": 59,
+   "realized": 505.19,
+   "n": 60,
    "wins": 19,
-   "open_cost": 783.25,
-   "open_n": 12,
+   "open_cost": 695.99,
+   "open_n": 11,
    "miss_n": 72,
    "miss_pnl": 111875.27,
-   "last_ts": 1784991649
+   "last_ts": 1785011468
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
    "realized": 776.39,
@@ -94,6 +94,26 @@
   }
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "8520939197524385894693978702254214426383751437032693433763418213436851058226",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?",
+   "their_price": 0.5,
+   "my_price": 0.5,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 2.7,
+   "shares": 174.52,
+   "cost": 87.26,
+   "fee": 1.3089,
+   "opened": 1784991649,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -88.57,
+   "settled": 1785011468,
+   "end_ts": 1785542400
+  },
   {
    "token": "107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933",
    "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
@@ -156,26 +176,6 @@
    "settled": 1784994471,
    "end_ts": 1784937600
   },
-  {
-   "token": "8520939197524385894693978702254214426383751437032693433763418213436851058226",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "title": "Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?",
-   "their_price": 0.5,
-   "my_price": 0.5,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
-   "lag_s": 2.7,
-   "shares": 174.52,
-   "cost": 87.26,
-   "fee": 1.3089,
-   "opened": 1784991649,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785542400
-  },
   {
    "token": "31734979589136676783620439669736424886669000930046383039286241799551299417224",
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",