diff --git a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
index f7cadbec..a35823bc 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
@@ -119,3 +119,4 @@
 {"ts": 1784066819.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "43095392816043282955413670152475016788331574493234594924666373412188513296982", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 15?", "detect_lag_s": 1.8, "their_price": 0.92, "my_price": 0.96, "slippage_pct": 0.0435, "shares": 1.04, "cost": 1.0, "fee": 0.0012, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.921, "ba": 0.96, "spread": 0.039, "bid5c": 7026.98, "ask5c": 8773.71}}
 {"ts": 1784098573.1, "side": "SELL", "token": "43095392816043282955413670152475016788331574493234594924666373412188513296982", "shares": 0.09, "price": 0.87, "fee": 0.0003, "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1784100422.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "16686602356235900511267666457287992561973903059220978509691578764880532993490", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?", "detect_lag_s": 4.7, "their_price": 0.95, "my_price": 0.95, "slippage_pct": -0.0, "shares": 1.05, "cost": 1.0, "fee": 0.0015, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.94, "ba": 0.95, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 4373.4, "ask5c": 5475.83}}
+{"ts": 1784103460.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?", "detect_lag_s": 2.9, "their_price": 0.771, "my_price": 0.771, "slippage_pct": -0.0, "shares": 1.3, "cost": 1.0, "fee": 0.0069, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.77, "ba": 0.771, "spread": 0.001, "bid5c": 142.45, "ask5c": 207.02}}
diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index d7001e43..ae6b9914 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -218,6 +218,7 @@
     "0xbe7f1bb8980e60290bb94714d0c9e1f3d9475f63699a896829eca9df6f69ab88",
     "0xf08a856a23e908c74ce17da13b226b66c50dca41594a60062d7ebafc8874583f",
     "0xf13ffc9e7c70598f1a913e1c56b928ed244f3cdbe8149012b15e9e94dc5b8907",
+    "0xb9606fd37a318f533ca6cd17775d17248a5d496f5b73ee95543afe0cfa07f386",
     "0x1d0f6bf4302233fb5b8ccfbcf3e64ce61c532a312b2d2fd5ce727ef3eddb48a5",
     "0xfa4d26273c89bd2aca5357bc7ba103bf73dcf6e03a0bb890c4ffb6c3b72d8735",
     "0x6d0a05917831981d43b7d5c7d460f8b40fbbd6d8d0d36adc25a642e30f5fccac",
@@ -1057,6 +1058,7 @@
     "0xfb1b0c6a08903107fd601c62b77df892c967157f05f8523ec4323ce906debfc5",
     "0x5de75dcb7eae0e2557958a0bdccd43c2194e1f7ed091f808f3634f3df7a5dc34",
     "0x1fe2322510d5d430765f399ca0c52f8e5b69a20192b9a94ebb1cb0eba363a5fb",
+    "0x1c983c27688e2518a10503a6dfe5f61060b15f218bc5a3186184d7bf57f5d506",
     "0xf737a4905d612ac9e0ec92ee42312314f4dfeca42fd38d21ac60831165d29b0c",
     "0x46149f321e953659264ff96fe5f4c1da9e02606114db728e19f93119d619c296",
     "0x6712081f6d1058bbfda4aa9a2fb7df283fbffdd970f292747082a36cc1b89ee4",
@@ -2450,6 +2452,7 @@
     "0x4f9b9e86fe827eceac4ba411ffcadb0af5e8b799f2dd5b1fd9b74ae06f84e7ac",
     "0x6fc5b72bf0c27c7cd45e8f7286836a5c483119d728d0909c38d5385828ee0a96",
     "0xc134df507f5c9bc58c05f6ab747637024631d581af1c7d5b2ec4c41b57c81617",
+    "0x2dd95f1b91c18bd1db9988b45d8f30c397cf8af5a6d9187db1f74ac91289fcd6",
     "0x78935dc1913abe310050cc38172c795b0c09bb85757b2a8095b5d121d27fcdab",
     "0x7e25c6894e39b23e572f5aebcd5bf86c3e555205bbac8afd776fb9ec211d650a",
     "0xb6c1c3b824d545cbd8cdfbaf2710fe83d309173920f823eb5d9314341e228dd3",
@@ -2576,6 +2579,7 @@
     "0xe9af7db5eec7864daecf42fad86869de5fb73ed12209124a2914e34473cf52af",
     "0xdce4d249837c9f9b52b9c134fedd5ac48ee38e755b2d1032ce8d5dc1188b0b20",
     "0x62f70741c3b1e3de168d9ab3dd74b2694bc10d880bfecf823979ae718ceaa388",
+    "0xec21af9f8454e61b0208e881d20704c89176d11371583e83ff6ce3e080e281c1",
     "0x41c3ff3160cf3c79783d4926687521be9266fd80c2f71c43604bb4e3282a750e",
     "0xdd05b54aac7b585f5003f7613591e7272620223b2916f803c3688fe778f402ce",
     "0x68e5b85dbfa143d46e67c86ff65f5d8776fd95d8d42d38d1c0a0070fad18660c",
@@ -3016,6 +3020,7 @@
     "0xe8a1265d6de0e00d5bb0b40310405f1f124fcd381ae6bf5b8bf57b94f8be936c",
     "0x7fc51d0957780812ac8fa66e6366059fe94a4490a9431b6a15866ea544273205",
     "0x5fc5159aa8336097479634e0294f4c5172743d7c7f1be8a91e15ad885fabe848",
+    "0x5a7af34d8fbf6cd24187acad0cde89687a8d6afd55e07c6d34dd271614a88bcd",
     "0x4c04eabb10a614e6b5c7f38e88828c934acfb32699940989095b1433629640d2",
     "0x8abbc439e9d875dcaf3738999522f277e5db1e5b655ea6adf90c46cbbdd960fe",
     "0x12082d15ce5444f2d2662c16812cc0b80b121ed5ce08a0730328792871533ee1",
@@ -3416,6 +3421,7 @@
     "0xe559fe16f6a31981f5ada935a8de47e2578e6e4aac3ce5dbfa932ac05205a272",
     "0xef2a32f1de587292a91e0134b0a44eddf28264adec0c6d6de95ae14680c1ee3d",
     "0x2fda571d00e59a7ec59ff46a7019f82c95902ee377928ba2a5d491e04be969cd",
+    "0xcd554dd5e552ca7142e4e775edc5d44efb90baed047dbdae3afb6f91cbcb40a2",
     "0xf694c2b7e00d08d68dccc846ff3d13a36fe123dbc640fb5593265b5adaf45dc7",
     "0xff98642f7e484f10ca20880090997a9f94310bcc732bf08dcb9d8fbf9651d813",
     "0x4ed5343daf61978970a76bf3aac438444dbfe9365f78358352fb9a8c2b123c9d",
@@ -6107,7 +6113,10 @@
       "14570261891352369732680121274162279290287868373659050692026465007983449143358": 0.0,
       "63771637378784413148462482237923583124136983802351410739819251381721139402800": 61.901097,
       "103999771339729855943866094249908191106404023128507857233998920307084016421870": 0.0,
-      "16686602356235900511267666457287992561973903059220978509691578764880532993490": 50.526314
+      "16686602356235900511267666457287992561973903059220978509691578764880532993490": 50.5263,
+      "95334970928001310602865771088754831569470932966442793281889923045514976778223": 0.0,
+      "77382974998451572749934722393464104010409791351926054975561751009403437520436": 0.0,
+      "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807": 72.243838
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -6385,7 +6394,10 @@
       "13318307853713698631378338331363859253307181326670279453872289373503626710742": 0.0,
       "13027755448818159978871291291491109342503814765448073911807439091030958277880": 0.0,
       "114408446604886353206911847633106829807018038464913763376714523293436793199652": 0.0,
-      "16167991169842969662552149172415147847102093356587677921265845709187217219794": 0.0
+      "16167991169842969662552149172415147847102093356587677921265845709187217219794": 0.0,
+      "53717383177654639921415309181566218119444793295925096790228646350597396260403": 0.0,
+      "28893747825103874962587184711153510614806252999492691235410767946508363057798": 0.0,
+      "106870641200302617512638362248032359430648185852382808744422093253143635777787": 0.0
     },
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": {
       "113186575675900877797300695454355745875377602467971187276073118459901699932154": 767.49,
@@ -9864,11 +9876,20 @@
       "event": null,
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0x13d11b097e5695ff9e9b331350410aed0df3cc8e907e32ec73e9c69edcc0642e"
+    },
+    "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807": {
+      "shares": 1.297013,
+      "cost": 0.999997,
+      "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "event": "what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-july-13-19-2026",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "cond": "0x412b60a3e9a031e4289edc9aaa9a034b3a2ef1fe849fc03d8e366ae3d67f1126"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
-    "usd": 0.999998
+    "usd": 1.9999950000000002
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -12730,7 +12751,7 @@
     }
   ],
   "feed_sig": "caef46c251a0535ce1f9e8d5893a413d",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784100311.0512967,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784103341.0083659,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783906689,
@@ -12757,10 +12778,10 @@
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784072524,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784098568,
-    "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784100308,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784103368,
+    "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784100703,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1783843568,
-    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784097038,
+    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784103103,
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784094884
   }
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index 9c3f2cfb..f94f3335 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -5,20 +5,20 @@
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 25.94,
- "cash": 6.65,
- "deployed": 10.59,
+ "cash": 5.65,
+ "deployed": 11.59,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": -4.96,
+ "realized": -4.97,
  "adjustments": -0.08,
  "ledger_drift": 0.01,
- "open_count": 7,
+ "open_count": 8,
  "fees_paid": 1.58,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 45,
-  "n24": 13,
-  "avg_s": 6.8,
-  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0319,
+  "n": 46,
+  "n24": 14,
+  "avg_s": 6.5,
+  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0296,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -43,6 +43,25 @@
   "BikesAreTheBikes": 158.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "91957590828077571068600467857177108160302141593906132362699363384132161023807",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?",
+   "their_price": 0.771,
+   "my_price": 0.771,
+   "slippage_pct": -0.0,
+   "lag_s": 2.9,
+   "shares": 1.3,
+   "cost": 1.0,
+   "fee": 0.01,
+   "opened": 1784103458,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null
+  },
   {
    "token": "16686602356235900511267666457287992561973903059220978509691578764880532993490",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -1999,5 +2018,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 1040.12,
- "updated": 1784100422
+ "updated": 1784103461
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
index ee32d25f..b2bf8598 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
@@ -1385,3 +1385,9 @@
 {"ts": 1784100308.72, "trade_ts": 1784100308, "lat_s": 0.72, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "BUY", "size": 22.86, "price": 0.4378127734033246, "title": "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0x060e0150d851a8f8bb81fcb9d75c1891b665507c2b88fa55b5d621f6b618ac96", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784100319.69, "trade_ts": 1784100319, "lat_s": 0.69, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "BUY", "size": 466.36, "price": 0.4368110472596278, "title": "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Su", "tx": "0xc0e5339ebfeef7f5e7412c0fc488bfc13a231f3f5ed9cb1a4b5d88e8a2e2078a", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784100333.0, "trade_ts": 1784100332, "lat_s": 1.0, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "BUY", "size": 74.4, "price": 0.46, "title": "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Su", "tx": "0x6379868d6dbd19ed9f7999da637b74f09b2f7cee1a26b5266c062d0ce8550c59", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784103104.02, "trade_ts": 1784103103, "lat_s": 1.02, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 123.456789, "price": 0.809999999271, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET", "tx": "0xa78db56f4f399bd814b01ed1f3a4d5a72bd5f35bef472aa8f74f486129f02494", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784103369.53, "trade_ts": 1784103369, "lat_s": 0.53, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 0.92, "price": 0.08, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 28", "tx": "0xf75e6e79b6bc00104cebfc6b7cd24386a14a198dc8fdeabd8b697482783e9460", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784103369.67, "trade_ts": 1784103369, "lat_s": 0.67, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 16.74444, "price": 0.9, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24", "tx": "0x5b00c4258935ca4f60fc3cf45a7dfa9e15257ebd2f39c03ce47bf978807a95d6", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784103458.44, "trade_ts": 1784103458, "lat_s": 0.44, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 72.243838, "price": 0.7709999986434829, "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?", "tx": "0xcd554dd5e552ca7142e4e775edc5d44efb90baed047dbdae3afb6f91cbcb40a2", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784103460.97, "trade_ts": 1784103458, "lat_s": 2.97, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 79.375, "price": 0.08, "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?", "tx": "0x55ac49dbb73ed9bff544f7337a5a89b481f7dec23c581bfeb68e8c07a1466ca6", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784103461.04, "trade_ts": 1784103460, "lat_s": 1.04, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 77.431903, "price": 0.7709999972491959, "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?", "tx": "0xa1021b3fabe03fab343a36f857db4d2056be6fd293867cbae5a6f93dbce13901", "seen": false}