diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl index cb77503f..1b9ee0bd 100644 --- a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl @@ -529,3 +529,5 @@ {"ts": 1785067259.2, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785067589.9, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785067918.1, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785068570.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785068899.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"} diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl index 4e3a3c72..e0971967 100644 --- a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl @@ -51,3 +51,4 @@ {"ts": 1783823519, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "token": "30832186473485489334120104796032388930526660633476597146132134578867673440960", "cond": "0x1db0a673e54d03be88c155835d1b08286a469fe9ae8cfffe73777d18431533e4", "title": "Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5", "outcome": "Over", "price": 0.8499, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.17, "settled": 1783828849, "name": "0x41558102", "exit_price": 1.0} {"ts": 1783824116, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "104561914765202402557605641573220843523354738236096573268755318796411743224135", "cond": "0xe2954cca3112c130113fe7d756c802f7d5b1767490b2ae143d7776ca39715d23", "title": "UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)", "outcome": "Mario Bautista", "price": 0.85, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.99)", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.06, "settled": 1783824466, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.81} {"ts": 1783824463, "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", "token": "86486366666900934251692510513012809256323129155701648230490642360929725335546", "cond": "0x74e592f35b0751cf0bf4bc7e04ec5e4722c3bcee1332140faa86307c70616763", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET", "outcome": "Down", "price": 0.5675, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "lost", "pnl": -1.01, "settled": 1783824780, "name": "0xd96750bf", "exit_checked": true} +{"ts": 1783847109, "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", "token": "39914244553987465540792566278348498734923249672615251266280042181105318419717", "cond": "0x248fe1a9b246808baabfb9bf452d3d57f314050eb5776a9c53a5b1c027dd41fc", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET", "outcome": "Down", "price": 0.99, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.81\u21920.99", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.01, "settled": 1783847161, "name": "0xd96750bf", "exit_price": 1.0} diff --git a/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl index acce95bd..f2c65e40 100644 --- a/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl +++ b/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl @@ -99,3 +99,6 @@ {"ts": 1785067130.9, "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "token": "51653736840206909477127809769417338510771268257928893059964060309325560583787", "cond": "0xeb31fb61257a0d23cae612629fecf7f454153f6e3cd2712e8415177b214d4601", "usd": 20.0, "price": 0.8, "reason": "$20 < conviction floor $379", "title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785067138.3, "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "token": "51653736840206909477127809769417338510771268257928893059964060309325560583787", "cond": "0xeb31fb61257a0d23cae612629fecf7f454153f6e3cd2712e8415177b214d4601", "usd": 41.63, "price": 0.8, "reason": "$42 < conviction floor $379", "title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner", "mode": "live"} {"ts": 1785067185.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "6037730298735199817450191455632193088195289583969915221211119041074247950436", "cond": "0x600a01ede4820ba84731c1649d42db99eb4dc2a5361a02e83a0a203add33c73a", "usd": 2.6, "price": 0.5079999273169055, "reason": "$3 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Bitcoin above 63,600 on July 26, 8AM ET?", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785068779.0, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "38870680360291703970571093973856484238741940564373297411198274857317071595974", "cond": "0x849fbccbb748690f5e8775dbd4c6806714bcb87e161de4c7c0877f462d4e835b", "usd": 191.3, "price": 0.3298275862068966, "reason": "$191 < conviction floor $471", "title": "LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785068791.5, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "38870680360291703970571093973856484238741940564373297411198274857317071595974", "cond": "0x849fbccbb748690f5e8775dbd4c6806714bcb87e161de4c7c0877f462d4e835b", "usd": 77.76, "price": 0.32, "reason": "$78 < conviction floor $471", "title": "LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner", "mode": "live"} +{"ts": 1785069159.0, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "38870680360291703970571093973856484238741940564373297411198274857317071595974", "cond": "0x849fbccbb748690f5e8775dbd4c6806714bcb87e161de4c7c0877f462d4e835b", "usd": 90.0, "price": 0.2, "reason": "$90 < conviction floor $471", "title": "LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner", "mode": "live"} diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json index 4cb50a7a..52b8d198 100644 --- a/copybot_state.live.json +++ b/copybot_state.live.json @@ -1,7 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783572616.4091802, "seen_tx": [ - "0xc566ccc28df0e8d38c5d098b36a4ada0e16948fc3d4979b85218d02a236f212a", "0x4c9a805f70d0edeaca4bfec133d8fea1ba1d012e48c617e574f47d3e7db304af", "0xb8306c7467b8035372600c6265ac508458226c459f08ca669e22cfc8331aeff4", "0x36cc890d6f1a346b5f73094a86e625edeb5d2b09defd0472dc21dd7e1e9a3d1a", @@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@ "0xaf862fc50970c21bcb3c4c94635fae81bb523d03a59bd632bebc29aed7a97e73", "0x8bd3b3568fbb672bbb04c39e327d50bdd52cdde89e21949a9c318e99483a9fc5", "0x7c89ec78a8f9dc7347e6b9230cf421ed7c857b44bcee0802d227ec9f7167340e", - "0x46c15afe632cb3dc7b4b828c524b8100f25e86fb817c8e4c2e0e28e1d3699808" + "0x46c15afe632cb3dc7b4b828c524b8100f25e86fb817c8e4c2e0e28e1d3699808", + "0xea5c33ac44724b3e57bca949ce62c83b36a35d681d1a5475e9f9f5654e2b503c" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -7898,7 +7898,8 @@ "40953256834709782582083026137837154363268518322153927046311922612544097496805": 0.0, "21061879239524957707894360327571380285386263211675190125814371772307670161901": 0.0, "9813729238721622440295199072182483266069584287294397729904340441074427123910": 0.0, - "38870680360291703970571093973856484238741940564373297411198274857317071595974": 883.184209 + "38870680360291703970571093973856484238741940564373297411198274857317071595974": 883.184209, + "3632761527830851126218403972215896322866498280718052589856316229871893863849": 1200 }, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": { "113186575675900877797300695454355745875377602467971187276073118459901699932154": 767.49, @@ -16485,22 +16486,6 @@ "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" }, - { - "ts": 1783847109, - "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", - "token": "39914244553987465540792566278348498734923249672615251266280042181105318419717", - "cond": "0x248fe1a9b246808baabfb9bf452d3d57f314050eb5776a9c53a5b1c027dd41fc", - "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET", - "outcome": "Down", - "price": 0.99, - "stake": 1.0, - "reason": "price moved 0.81\u21920.99", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": 0.01, - "settled": 1783847161, - "name": "0xd96750bf", - "exit_price": 1.0 - }, { "ts": 1783848284, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", @@ -19655,10 +19640,25 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "gkmgkldfmg" + }, + { + "ts": 1785069395, + "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", + "token": "3632761527830851126218403972215896322866498280718052589856316229871893863849", + "cond": "0x6c433c24fb3c1f54e74a3a016eaf7820f8b6d18486e04d0ba7ad515085cdecf0", + "title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner", + "outcome": "Anyone's Legend", + "price": 0.5, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "gkmgkldfmg" } ], - "feed_sig": "960a22709356c9cabe07fc6fffa7c99b", - "feed_pushed_at": 1785068171.438518, + "feed_sig": "302b83a340b3598498c5f074b1aa505e", + "feed_pushed_at": 1785069342.296149, "adjustments": [ { "ts": 1783906689, @@ -19709,7 +19709,7 @@ "6457952357077230044054791268159160058712529625831041550558183767114352456975": 1, "61895825019286928316753689208545457497714235075046708292847356747636406191670": 1, "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 1, - "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 525, + "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 527, "24538227191540742319290192357327280598675171199196475574105878696409564463051": 1 }, "trade_cursor": { @@ -19717,7 +19717,7 @@ "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702, "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784882427, "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785067198, - "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785066222, + "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785069159, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1785067971, "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1785061483, "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785048738, @@ -19736,36 +19736,6 @@ "outcome": "Karmine Corp" }, "ignored_exits": [ - { - "ts": 1784998067.7, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.88, - "shares_held": 3.4789, - "cost_held": 2.47, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "live" - }, - { - "ts": 1784998390.6, - "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.88, - "shares_held": 3.4789, - "cost_held": 2.47, - "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "live" - }, { "ts": 1784998721.1, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", @@ -22735,6 +22705,36 @@ "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live" + }, + { + "ts": 1785068570.4, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.88, + "shares_held": 3.4789, + "cost_held": 2.47, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "live" + }, + { + "ts": 1785068899.5, + "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.88, + "shares_held": 3.4789, + "cost_held": 2.47, + "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "live" } ], "maker_stats": { diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json index 812e809e..17853bae 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json @@ -16,8 +16,8 @@ "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { "n": 127, - "n24": 4, - "avg_s": 2.3, + "n24": 3, + "avg_s": 1.7, "avg_slip_pct": 0.0, "window_h": 24 }, @@ -2120,6 +2120,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785069395, + "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", + "token": "3632761527830851126218403972215896322866498280718052589856316229871893863849", + "cond": "0x6c433c24fb3c1f54e74a3a016eaf7820f8b6d18486e04d0ba7ad515085cdecf0", + "title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner", + "outcome": "Anyone's Legend", + "price": 0.5, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "gkmgkldfmg" + }, { "ts": 1785068257, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", @@ -3052,25 +3067,9 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" - }, - { - "ts": 1784714439, - "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", - "token": "26988481082400938234620905580029354496814882411644162756993608321400480311992", - "cond": "0xddfe7926b77c8c942a69d8f655c09bd3acffc469a7b19df5ea4895dc97c95649", - "title": "LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend", - "outcome": "EDward Gaming", - "price": 0.27, - "stake": 2.43, - "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (34s)", - "status": "lost", - "pnl": -2.48, - "settled": 1784732990, - "name": "AIcAIc", - "exit_checked": true } ], - "missed_pnl": 1725.96, + "missed_pnl": 1725.95, "last_fill": { "ts": 1784999565, "side": "SELL", @@ -3116,7 +3115,7 @@ "wins": 3, "open_cost": 0.0, "open_n": 0, - "miss_n": 71, + "miss_n": 72, "miss_pnl": 14.84, "last_ts": 1784655322 }, @@ -3191,5 +3190,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1785068257 + "updated": 1785069396 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json index dc80f892..e2063692 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "live", - "updated": 1785068257, + "updated": 1785069396, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": -1.26, @@ -38,7 +38,7 @@ "wins": 3, "open_cost": 0.0, "open_n": 0, - "miss_n": 71, + "miss_n": 72, "miss_pnl": 14.84, "last_ts": 1784655322 }, @@ -2826,6 +2826,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1785069395, + "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", + "token": "3632761527830851126218403972215896322866498280718052589856316229871893863849", + "cond": "0x6c433c24fb3c1f54e74a3a016eaf7820f8b6d18486e04d0ba7ad515085cdecf0", + "title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner", + "outcome": "Anyone's Legend", + "price": 0.5, + "stake": 1.0, + "reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "gkmgkldfmg" + }, { "ts": 1785068257, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl index 1d6bc100..6230e78b 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl @@ -2252,3 +2252,7 @@ {"ts": 1785067185.84, "trade_ts": 1785067185, "lat_s": 0.84, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 5.118109, "price": 0.5079999273169055, "title": "Bitcoin above 63,600 on July 26, 8AM ET?", "tx": "0xa097272c512eb8e86fc974b46dadcd2566ecd2bc5a59b4e9412b0b303579d61d", "seen": false} {"ts": 1785067199.05, "trade_ts": 1785067198, "lat_s": 1.05, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.999, "title": "Bitcoin above 63,600 on July 26, 8AM ET?", "tx": "0xaf862fc50970c21bcb3c4c94635fae81bb523d03a59bd632bebc29aed7a97e73", "seen": false} {"ts": 1785067971.06, "trade_ts": 1785067970, "lat_s": 1.06, "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "name": "AIcAIc", "side": "SELL", "size": 1150, "price": 0.99, "title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - 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