diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
index 63df0049..338a3935 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
@@ -6355,3 +6355,20 @@
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 {"ts": 1785771983.3, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.27, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785771984.7, "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 431.49, "cost_held": 56.09, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
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diff --git a/copybot_rejects.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.jsonl
index fe7c03da..f47da2f2 100644
--- a/copybot_rejects.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_rejects.jsonl
@@ -2166,3 +2166,4 @@
 {"ts": 1785770198.1, "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "token": "53820077182918214965358713146942557073431136398982452444942036196620015335311", "cond": "0x2fa11fa006547148eee40f664ec19b3ce1d84f76dbda906691072704ce49ecb4", "usd": 3.94, "price": 0.55, "reason": "$4 < conviction floor $379", "title": "LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785772145.8, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "43019688431995958343952658756719598345364943886098363977519524880199585671680", "cond": "0xbea6b970f88ad9d3438bc28a19c806e0a256b5c837dd80e11aa2a6e5e7071617", "usd": 103.75, "price": 0.4646187844, "reason": "$104 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785772147.0, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "43019688431995958343952658756719598345364943886098363977519524880199585671680", "cond": "0xbea6b970f88ad9d3438bc28a19c806e0a256b5c837dd80e11aa2a6e5e7071617", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.468501, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785772349.4, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "87150316911747710389398782447337377964271008938887702894316010075241429634797", "cond": "0x86a2515d1df361ecd588ca8705c6eb83567cc9fbe907780c5d5d470877c1ce0c", "usd": 52.94, "price": 0.15, "reason": "$53 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 35ae727b..a5e77668 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1,32 +1,6 @@
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@@ -9070,7 +9070,8 @@
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@@ -10085,7 +10086,7 @@
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@@ -21338,8 +21339,8 @@
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@@ -23557,10 +23558,11 @@
       "price": 0.87,
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       "reason": "maker bid unfilled (90s)",
-      "status": "open",
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-      "settled": null,
-      "name": "0xbadaf319"
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+      "sell_px": 0.001,
+      "shares_held": 431.49,
+      "cost_held": 56.09,
+      "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
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+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.56,
+      "shares_held": 98.5,
+      "cost_held": 45.31,
+      "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785773347.8,
+      "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
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+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.41,
+      "shares_held": 210.4428,
+      "cost_held": 116.53,
+      "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
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+      "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191",
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+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.001,
+      "shares_held": 263.35,
+      "cost_held": 123.77,
+      "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785773349.6,
+      "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
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+      "their_prev": 0,
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+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.28,
+      "shares_held": 168.23,
+      "cost_held": 68.97,
+      "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785773351.1,
+      "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.001,
+      "shares_held": 431.49,
+      "cost_held": 56.09,
+      "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
     }
   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 01e11a9d..90449157 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -2162,6 +2162,22 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785379176,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "92062876943642517334204166558488649767389043731898736327419367578333707352166",
+   "cond": "0x2c2d6a33bd848d03b55f9c9ae23518675aafe29a116868168168a1036211a431",
+   "title": "Will \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.87,
+   "stake": 53.73,
+   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (90s)",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": -0.96,
+   "settled": 1785773357,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.8615
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1785562936,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -3090,24 +3106,9 @@
    "settled": 1785428238,
    "name": "0xbadaf319",
    "exit_checked": true
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1785423436,
-   "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
-   "token": "87150316911747710389398782447337377964271008938887702894316010075241429634797",
-   "cond": "0x86a2515d1df361ecd588ca8705c6eb83567cc9fbe907780c5d5d470877c1ce0c",
-   "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.75,
-   "stake": 54.4,
-   "reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": 21538.61,
+ "missed_pnl": 21537.65,
  "last_fill": {
   "ts": 1785771732,
   "side": "SELL",
@@ -3124,7 +3125,7 @@
    "open_cost": 690.54,
    "open_n": 13,
    "miss_n": 128,
-   "miss_pnl": 112405.62,
+   "miss_pnl": 112404.66,
    "last_ts": 1785765358
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
@@ -3218,5 +3219,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785772253
+ "updated": 1785773361
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index 47099ad7..c8023c27 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785772253,
+ "updated": 1785773361,
  "wallet_pnl": {
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    "realized": 618.49,
@@ -9,7 +9,7 @@
    "open_cost": 690.54,
    "open_n": 13,
    "miss_n": 128,
-   "miss_pnl": 112405.62,
+   "miss_pnl": 112404.66,
    "last_ts": 1785765358
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
@@ -6913,6 +6913,22 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785379176,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "92062876943642517334204166558488649767389043731898736327419367578333707352166",
+   "cond": "0x2c2d6a33bd848d03b55f9c9ae23518675aafe29a116868168168a1036211a431",
+   "title": "Will \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.87,
+   "stake": 53.73,
+   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (90s)",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": -0.96,
+   "settled": 1785773357,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.8615
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1785562936,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -8062,21 +8078,6 @@
    "name": "0xbadaf319",
    "exit_price": 0.61
   },
-  {
-   "ts": 1785379176,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "92062876943642517334204166558488649767389043731898736327419367578333707352166",
-   "cond": "0x2c2d6a33bd848d03b55f9c9ae23518675aafe29a116868168168a1036211a431",
-   "title": "Will \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.87,
-   "stake": 53.73,
-   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (90s)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
   {
    "ts": 1785373146,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index 25e33a6e..80b5dbfa 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -2328,3 +2328,30 @@
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 {"ts": 1785771411.03, "trade_ts": 1785771410, "lat_s": 1.03, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "SELL", "size": 5.04, "price": 0.13, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?", "tx": "0x5910c097a69a5a57648db981eb67f10a794dba701cd4face04d936535c1cb1ee", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785771732.18, "trade_ts": 1785771731, "lat_s": 1.18, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "SELL", "size": 25, "price": 0.96, "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?", "tx": "0xdc3c2303191684d86074e99d0efe38277184654d503582f95c5693a03d905eac", "seen": false}
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