diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
index 8d573117..a3bc900a 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
@@ -871,3 +871,11 @@
 {"ts": 1785159047.0, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 7.63, "their_prev": 7.632299999999999, "frac": 0.9997, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.8, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785159112.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785159114.9, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.79, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
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+{"ts": 1785160122.5, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.58, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785160451.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785160453.7, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.53, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_rejects.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.jsonl
index b0e3f62a..38426758 100644
--- a/copybot_rejects.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_rejects.jsonl
@@ -324,3 +324,5 @@
 {"ts": 1785156733.6, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "token": "46197305097077039931852087458892006179625069063196195462934751482150561013302", "cond": "0xbb8433f070eea2b4b6f2a71a8e4f4dcf9b82d58bf170554639fa7bf9786d16be", "usd": 5.6, "price": 0.35, "reason": "$6 < conviction floor $735", "title": "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785156774.0, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "token": "46197305097077039931852087458892006179625069063196195462934751482150561013302", "cond": "0xbb8433f070eea2b4b6f2a71a8e4f4dcf9b82d58bf170554639fa7bf9786d16be", "usd": 4.55, "price": 0.35, "reason": "$5 < conviction floor $735", "title": "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785158056.4, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "token": "63297930528355372816285987544136673809759952805584090430682359945835692023069", "cond": "0x26b4eb321db097c22f0b6e13ae955fe9ddd775a52b1f9823a74a2192b439b00d", "usd": 6.72, "price": 0.15, "reason": "$7 < conviction floor $735", "title": "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785159266.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "40087368389623005723744273701857948020273953048478355774090622418745877846358", "cond": "0xe5773f2205ceac9e94601b3b5a60e3d6428d793e83391cfbd5f84e62ee4ebf84", "usd": 0.65, "price": 0.64, "reason": "$1 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of July 27 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785159266.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "5237194442750047999503687400046473418465218819908911058835123625288699485100", "cond": "0x4152ed46395e968a55b0e5f0ea4bd4810cbb071617a56e6efc14be118af67a29", "usd": 1.0, "price": 0.27, "reason": "$1 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 27 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 4540cddc..2947d548 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1,11 +1,6 @@
 {
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@@ -5000,7 +4995,12 @@
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-    "0x1e4fc75c5d831c8ae46653a8aaa9908730f32be5a283b9d742b7965954b60d93"
+    "0x1e4fc75c5d831c8ae46653a8aaa9908730f32be5a283b9d742b7965954b60d93",
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@@ -7649,7 +7649,8 @@
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@@ -19079,8 +19080,8 @@
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-  "feed_pushed_at": 1785158975.9886835,
+  "feed_sig": "6089a91d3d6141dca5c2a81bfbd1bfaf",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1785160321.892762,
   "missed": [
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@@ -22201,10 +22202,11 @@
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       "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
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-      "settled": null,
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+      "status": "won",
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+      "settled": 1785160376,
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@@ -22382,20 +22384,20 @@
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-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785159046,
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@@ -22420,126 +22422,6 @@
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@@ -25419,6 +25301,126 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
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       "mode": "paper"
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+      "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.79,
+      "shares_held": 37.5315,
+      "cost_held": 23.64,
+      "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785160120.8,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785160122.5,
+      "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.58,
+      "shares_held": 37.5315,
+      "cost_held": 23.64,
+      "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785160451.3,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785160453.7,
+      "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.53,
+      "shares_held": 37.5315,
+      "cost_held": 23.64,
+      "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
     }
   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index bca11464..30e57d3f 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -2146,6 +2146,22 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785126129,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "74119673575030259137547668301986785745647371043511033522238877972140940630607",
+   "cond": "0x40ef6ee7a563f8d48f60ad06cd27e175b070a5e2d48df2c42bc4f62091dcdd42",
+   "title": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.7487,
+   "stake": 93.58,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "won",
+   "pnl": 30.7,
+   "settled": 1785160376,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_checked": true
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1785145662,
    "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
@@ -2206,21 +2222,6 @@
    "settled": null,
    "name": "0xbadaf319"
   },
-  {
-   "ts": 1785126129,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "74119673575030259137547668301986785745647371043511033522238877972140940630607",
-   "cond": "0x40ef6ee7a563f8d48f60ad06cd27e175b070a5e2d48df2c42bc4f62091dcdd42",
-   "title": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of July 27 2026?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.7487,
-   "stake": 93.58,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
   {
    "ts": 1785116183,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -3093,7 +3094,7 @@
    "exit_checked": true
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": 111121.1,
+ "missed_pnl": 111151.8,
  "last_fill": {
   "ts": 1785159013,
   "side": "SELL",
@@ -3110,7 +3111,7 @@
    "open_cost": 704.45,
    "open_n": 12,
    "miss_n": 80,
-   "miss_pnl": 111890.97,
+   "miss_pnl": 111921.67,
    "last_ts": 1785144326
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
@@ -3204,5 +3205,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785159014
+ "updated": 1785160462
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index 371b035f..0bd6ab33 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785159014,
+ "updated": 1785160462,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 538.65,
@@ -9,7 +9,7 @@
    "open_cost": 704.45,
    "open_n": 12,
    "miss_n": 80,
-   "miss_pnl": 111890.97,
+   "miss_pnl": 111921.67,
    "last_ts": 1785144326
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
@@ -5227,6 +5227,22 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785126129,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "74119673575030259137547668301986785745647371043511033522238877972140940630607",
+   "cond": "0x40ef6ee7a563f8d48f60ad06cd27e175b070a5e2d48df2c42bc4f62091dcdd42",
+   "title": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.7487,
+   "stake": 93.58,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "won",
+   "pnl": 30.7,
+   "settled": 1785160376,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_checked": true
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1785145662,
    "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
@@ -5287,21 +5303,6 @@
    "settled": null,
    "name": "0xbadaf319"
   },
-  {
-   "ts": 1785126129,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "74119673575030259137547668301986785745647371043511033522238877972140940630607",
-   "cond": "0x40ef6ee7a563f8d48f60ad06cd27e175b070a5e2d48df2c42bc4f62091dcdd42",
-   "title": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of July 27 2026?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.7487,
-   "stake": 93.58,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
   {
    "ts": 1785116183,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index c85526a7..bca36fbc 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -2042,3 +2042,10 @@
 {"ts": 1785159046.9, "trade_ts": 1785159046, "lat_s": 0.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 7.63, "price": 0.72, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026", "tx": "0x11e56929e8afaf1c0f2c17edb24cb03437b5f7c9f357f4612f04bf109bd6cb53", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785159050.13, "trade_ts": 1785159049, "lat_s": 1.13, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 20, "price": 0.68, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 27 2026", "tx": "0x64d8450a7af8ec818fd6f15ba4cf0de95b7389688248b4e5b4492900e0fe39b1", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785159050.3, "trade_ts": 1785159050, "lat_s": 0.3, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 20, "price": 0.47, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 27 2026", "tx": "0x1e4fc75c5d831c8ae46653a8aaa9908730f32be5a283b9d742b7965954b60d93", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785159266.02, "trade_ts": 1785159265, "lat_s": 1.02, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 1.01, "price": 0.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of July 27 202", "tx": "0x885a64e9323baf616ab8f73cd7fbafa23f0de52f5a9c6591ce0a88dceff04917", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785159266.08, "trade_ts": 1785159265, "lat_s": 1.08, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 3.72, "price": 0.27, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 27 202", "tx": "0x7848b9452ee5a520a0e6baf2888dc1baa04c1e936791a3f9e4ce46a921cff061", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785159470.6, "trade_ts": 1785159470, "lat_s": 0.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 2.49, "price": 0.78, "title": "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 15", "tx": "0x8c1c6fe9e1865e3ba4471ceb8d95680253722801adbec8079ee057c1b2e708b7", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785159470.72, "trade_ts": 1785159470, "lat_s": 0.72, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 2.49, "price": 0.24, "title": "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 15", "tx": "0xf6930ccc2ff82b3a454c492a9f2b38a6c75ff25788f51976aa02105ab4678ebc", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785159473.16, "trade_ts": 1785159473, "lat_s": 0.16, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 3.51, "price": 0.78, "title": "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 15", "tx": "0x57f33bf84d8db92d1c3e31c7a6745ac94b05760ab8df0cfd7a76992c638d1c42", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785159477.87, "trade_ts": 1785159473, "lat_s": 4.87, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 3.51, "price": 0.24, "title": "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 15", "tx": "0x507698c8fcfc5384fe79e32881514c6dcf9e2549c4a594f846c5e94b9bbeb807", "seen": true}
+{"ts": 1785159975.25, "trade_ts": 1785159974, "lat_s": 1.25, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 2.71, "price": 0.34, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 27 202", "tx": "0x791e3dca580566590f51ec518ad8c8e48110619b09e7390b592591cc85862458", "seen": false}