diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index f5a7c21a..c83aca42 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1,19 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783541947.246319,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0xf6a7fbb81a6170e47b6e58ad079d03577a899cda11e0b751b7a4d08bab91cc62",
-    "0x8cd0a8700e63092cb9362a31d56c1ee260c7462b14c9358d5afc3d820e042763",
-    "0x8baf901df1454eec64fec8ce0c42fec6149a429a32bf2e0557ffdd3fc6886dba",
-    "0xdfdd4c53e0a173a1cf8519a5ed48188be870b7608fbc4181fe988e9532ff3951",
-    "0x3907ef41a4de3c73c7dcd6acb8966a92b2e2a0d6a10e17db3d6cd0067469a7c5",
-    "0x85155c8d419206cee35fa2e5dba191e809ccaae959c530e4d63fc8d98bcd93ba",
-    "0x6badf877ea11e3dba0f01a1bf90a805055b7adaf1751632720f7836333325190",
-    "0xc1780463e46b0a65776ff289d0d230f02dc19f545922b37269256b4930e4a96c",
-    "0x22b4f3f6c169733c1581c991c893dc4e0f5239f7a6e2203fb317a947ac125e33",
-    "0x1121ec3f398a4e8eb717292996e09e499d594edb0fa79704c5688d607b7423f6",
-    "0x4b5c4ee4c6f3f57e91991c8b9208b7b2cc69be9501223624b927932d0805539f",
-    "0x70a1f552c93c15c25e362205fe7a913a63fc91f0bd3564568f8dc2244f3f6213",
-    "0xad51adbe5e1a50d26339a4387a1804b1e8abce664ea29a1d84288e3ed79f1ea3",
     "0x52616e6817fe4159a58d93e23bf73407d90ff0e071c3362f02b9c869a825d7e6",
     "0x5e1623cb958046a6f248b38261c3e2f53d407044c0af20cc24cc628119e1deb4",
     "0x3073065e36910423db7090b48c887463ab3eda73db618dee00d17a0b185508eb",
@@ -5000,7 +4987,20 @@
     "0xe48e1f8adeb82d18488c9252d11295b668c55e65d59f238eb1523d6e50ad01ff",
     "0xcd23451031ff3be4114e037ab9fd97f00387f98e4524015d2cf9758fa00bb181",
     "0x47ef4f3d1a7842a2a50f43ae00dc526cc2d2a2a0ea3ddfa09bf8ecc11a9592f9",
-    "0x46be8aaa41bc18f19ee27a4c62cc00296dc46e4c0d8d5c7591606a94f55c3d6f"
+    "0x46be8aaa41bc18f19ee27a4c62cc00296dc46e4c0d8d5c7591606a94f55c3d6f",
+    "0x9d48b410fb30fa9c12743ff69ba23bee2bbe6a7c238dcbf4b04527a6e2b5df87",
+    "0xa945296b84fcbfaac7b4681111495933f517049287735eb8bd0645922a9fd121",
+    "0x231af80f1d642763ddcbc06ecf86c1defe32db54cd4d7ebc59def82ab6ce5730",
+    "0x31bb4fb15afc00becd863141c526cb96f015c1369a764c777cfd04dd29c8dd92",
+    "0x82ba5aee644ac7760744732dace5d446a3d30f8e8a4f4003fcf6724a7adafe6d",
+    "0x84a5f133ad7f227b3f063e28fb89f199871cabd39044ceed4a8cb729d2f1551b",
+    "0x3c150ebcd331bbc1bf678e11d0bb4b4e5fc1616395ec86189c0f86a6668f3e04",
+    "0x216fbd83ab98214c50ef4ed6883cc7ecc03333a07d2793c19cdeb9b8ce784ed7",
+    "0xbac08f3d196d41dbb6e53b522ca39050fb51c42dc37f912524be9d5546efb1d3",
+    "0x21671c1ca78c3e586c91aef1214f5c6766ea878ec6b188d31ea0a570a28d3063",
+    "0x2e6e97a8fd6ab29d445a173eb28eacce3f3ed3c634242456ed4394cf85707289",
+    "0x27e1f17299afb126828dcd89a757e6b4518b10623d54cc3a5d5c9b47909dc1d4",
+    "0x4371abe865ae3a53b858c514c61dbcb7f6b31691e542d3f34a7e637d20863ee2"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -6924,7 +6924,17 @@
       "84591336473374778049805889473606469345009931255787426526456496427157222511656": 0.0,
       "13522665403651832321839646243823202246710705094011295341826985147193051567444": 0.0,
       "96250989442102910753927426423184094057206035023036053855360734239056168586928": 0.0,
-      "63211073606793804423333353862189269330913460147355410611068287262791890789543": 55.01
+      "63211073606793804423333353862189269330913460147355410611068287262791890789543": 55.01,
+      "89928760929608665682816597048612609011835913551439840039344109157761676663909": 0.0,
+      "78354823018181544612667830026257327948290181760148138440152137352269290899900": 0.0,
+      "40801364064437273630845357386996243296070000822838707087895440478654903250260": 0.0,
+      "103167499033018452059075006298992411180221549492670543917634287048720982909267": 0.0,
+      "63468209774192449230899835314739713446246616023817534747984700159100429756747": 0.0,
+      "78480438488015600560179191518810529592002719662388223051240231875649098714959": 0.0,
+      "89461410002030815342558828771270434919629711554778719064502973093564423581920": 0.0,
+      "68924847024647330976998545137338893693664735991064504622911402114058221848673": 0.0,
+      "21390226584382610998674942065990522256429733762027224072275903213720830098872": 0.0,
+      "35411636008182623341099675705229177619915196072678145338807597688423389262355": 0.0
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -7785,7 +7795,9 @@
       "16875760533533394451185867662509829176312172362509031310152846227633200268480": 0.0,
       "101483994531034508853518746755953660408034241474498451892392590663901766208359": 0.0,
       "17690278148508835155019931609189543780920989658272102578204459526402761837635": 0.0,
-      "77550502271002046516077274814100297099134677715818629828968702875677722769581": 0.0
+      "77550502271002046516077274814100297099134677715818629828968702875677722769581": 0.0,
+      "58771973562769831180038847146188015475119036162134094455264607826087312979630": 0.0,
+      "99792174697340676515425948524924814093211759500871460967744600488853853186427": 0.0
     },
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": {
       "110171125648822283483807302788459801078553019343858878759755941501211839974747": 14999.9909,
@@ -11093,15 +11105,6 @@
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0x13d11b097e5695ff9e9b331350410aed0df3cc8e907e32ec73e9c69edcc0642e"
     },
-    "61006664768704077610926643294818298224283851909931383706594588347736676023026": {
-      "shares": 59.35421794871795,
-      "cost": 50.925919,
-      "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 21?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "event": "bitcoin-above-on-july-21-2026",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "cond": "0x52fd47fa5b19ed52fcee4ed143cd613dc9bb87e26951b0f587e6d08ad5706a03"
-    },
     "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": {
       "shares": 166.586865619632,
       "cost": 93.28864474699395,
@@ -11276,7 +11279,6 @@
     "73148754771904705789992839223698652347584217442761841171877207189768130833542": "0x6c7fd298cf041b3799e694b590938affbe9495aa4c4dcb6bfcc1594cbe698adc",
     "108143450534940407450381347060623594467078916233801426854469869492374845960413": "0xc7b1d2a87a81ac16c0b44841328da8f324eec918468cbbfa3eeeb4e752f326e7",
     "8020089880920958927009226502257340268216634167927175441316718981939077905748": "0x8f560e5f5f6634d1105432083412c74b5541b5eeddd677ca8e263ce62d05c217",
-    "61006664768704077610926643294818298224283851909931383706594588347736676023026": "0x52fd47fa5b19ed52fcee4ed143cd613dc9bb87e26951b0f587e6d08ad5706a03",
     "64181675945626372952323128821772321053980258638788461732824523478139203605986": "0x1a76f4fe42919075b4021360354351cd6dcf3b60704540620a675595dcb3a8cf",
     "51819545177992980050544653528219085611945377861594412412561048331713992664435": "0xd32482d489509e99849d2d84f5c8285e73f838b3d4d81ff6ea2233fed6f99c47",
     "101552238332151500626156871765097980002581205887395904949373260936477658068746": "0xd819119a070b66f2c3b7136d8b6a2476b1a2d221d9d6757faf9501f1bcf1ca04",
@@ -11320,7 +11322,7 @@
     "20484110521571350875001435184260822941122652573371898844393462992759163157997": "0xb21d4b44e3ea95538a40c635241b96d4560e38791a2ab14e34d7dd90cacd0c72",
     "41408557405269649927496726924900111227532817303569129089131556212120131473157": "0x1ff3ead7a1d127fc8c042b3ce50ee5f9deece22799b0ce440801da1becd1b038"
   },
-  "cash": 1695.0168139024806,
+  "cash": 1754.3710318511985,
   "lag": {
     "n": 213,
     "sum_s": 6054.691945552826,
@@ -13911,10 +13913,10 @@
       "cost": 50.93,
       "fee": 0.2169,
       "opened": 1784103469,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null
+      "status": "won",
+      "exit_price": 1.0,
+      "pnl": 8.21,
+      "settled": 1784650955
     },
     "64181675945626372952323128821772321053980258638788461732824523478139203605986": {
       "token": "64181675945626372952323128821772321053980258638788461732824523478139203605986",
@@ -15222,7 +15224,7 @@
   },
   "hwm": 2849.150445045735,
   "feed_sig": "4c8c617a3e514864b1520602f5fa33cc",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1784649010.7614987,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1784650829.3747747,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,
@@ -16699,7 +16701,8 @@
       "status": "lost",
       "pnl": -101.51,
       "settled": 1784649073,
-      "name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
+      "name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
+      "exit_checked": true
     },
     {
       "ts": 1784136108,
@@ -16758,10 +16761,12 @@
       "price": 0.716,
       "stake": 64.21,
       "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.14 > 0.08)",
-      "status": "won",
-      "pnl": 24.92,
+      "status": "sold",
+      "pnl": 16.45,
       "settled": 1784649073,
-      "name": "0xbadaf319"
+      "name": "0xbadaf319",
+      "exit_checked": true,
+      "exit_price": 0.908
     },
     {
       "ts": 1784167406,
@@ -17866,10 +17871,10 @@
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784622183,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784648766,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784650489,
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784643546,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784472576,
-    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784638188,
+    "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784649723,
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784637658
   },
   "boot": {
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 75f6926b..0c19c8ef 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 110.34,
+ "stake": 110.68,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 2849.15,
- "cash": 1695.02,
- "deployed": 1063.57,
+ "cash": 1754.37,
+ "deployed": 1012.64,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1758.55,
+ "realized": 1766.98,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
- "ledger_drift": -0.01,
- "open_count": 18,
+ "ledger_drift": -0.02,
+ "open_count": 17,
  "fees_paid": 323.15,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
@@ -46,6 +46,25 @@
   "AIcAIc": 344.56
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "61006664768704077610926643294818298224283851909931383706594588347736676023026",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 21?",
+   "their_price": 0.864,
+   "my_price": 0.858,
+   "slippage_pct": -0.0069,
+   "lag_s": 51.0,
+   "shares": 59.35,
+   "cost": 50.93,
+   "fee": 0.22,
+   "opened": 1784103469,
+   "status": "won",
+   "exit_price": 1.0,
+   "pnl": 8.21,
+   "settled": 1784650955
+  },
   {
    "token": "47930487385442068307660985236580604031118404338161837203208216877292039014153",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -1579,25 +1598,6 @@
    "sold_shares": 69.72,
    "sold_proceeds": 63.63
   },
-  {
-   "token": "61006664768704077610926643294818298224283851909931383706594588347736676023026",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 21?",
-   "their_price": 0.864,
-   "my_price": 0.858,
-   "slippage_pct": -0.0069,
-   "lag_s": 51.0,
-   "shares": 59.35,
-   "cost": 50.93,
-   "fee": 0.22,
-   "opened": 1784103469,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null
-  },
   {
    "token": "16686602356235900511267666457287992561973903059220978509691578764880532993490",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2117,7 +2117,8 @@
    "status": "lost",
    "pnl": -101.51,
    "settled": 1784649073,
-   "name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
+   "name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
+   "exit_checked": true
   },
   {
    "ts": 1784148369,
@@ -2129,10 +2130,12 @@
    "price": 0.716,
    "stake": 64.21,
    "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.14 > 0.08)",
-   "status": "won",
-   "pnl": 24.92,
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 16.45,
    "settled": 1784649073,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_checked": true,
+   "exit_price": 0.908
   },
   {
    "ts": 1784597503,
@@ -3047,6 +3050,6 @@
    "exit_price": 0.2367
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": 95307.18,
- "updated": 1784649076
+ "missed_pnl": 95298.71,
+ "updated": 1784650965
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index 9be667e9..a53149a2 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -2786,3 +2786,17 @@
 {"ts": 1784648448.81, "trade_ts": 1784648448, "lat_s": 0.81, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 20, "price": 0.87, "title": "Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $140 in July?", "tx": "0x52d9dc06d11d668b6ab725c11891c6f3f34dbb7098963e919dbd8817660d01f4", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784648870.1, "trade_ts": 1784648869, "lat_s": 1.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 11.08108, "price": 0.1479999241951146, "title": "Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July ", "tx": "0x38480f65328ef825f828e03161f6a5f70dc6a0228d8e80016ada64fa6b5bc668", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1784648870.17, "trade_ts": 1784648869, "lat_s": 1.17, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 11, "price": 0.7990909090909091, "title": "Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July ", "tx": "0x6d29fdf8afa50bba68f3c5f19f228dc00981e9882311efc1fadd8d21bd8e657d", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784649580.65, "trade_ts": 1784649580, "lat_s": 0.65, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 129.352657, "price": 0.7730803627790962, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET", "tx": "0x2422cebc0412ac1078b944f646683e1e8b39a1bf94a8bfc2f736b0e0055e3591", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784649604.89, "trade_ts": 1784649604, "lat_s": 0.89, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "SELL", "size": 129.35, "price": 0.7400610746037882, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET", "tx": "0x9d48b410fb30fa9c12743ff69ba23bee2bbe6a7c238dcbf4b04527a6e2b5df87", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1784649621.6, "trade_ts": 1784649621, "lat_s": 0.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 50, "price": 0.5, "title": "Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 202", "tx": "0x6927cce7e57b922410f21e1323134ef87e0f76562c31ed2dbf69a354f5046e1c", "seen": false}
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