From 5559b2ab6db2a6d7cf1dbf1d6849cc607f0671cc Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Fri, 7 Aug 2026 14:32:03 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl | 4 + copybot_missed_archive.jsonl | 1 + copybot_state.json | 176 +++++++++++++++++------------------ live/copybot_live.json | 36 +++---- live/copybot_live_full.json | 19 +++- 5 files changed, 128 insertions(+), 108 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl index ed0ef03f..aa8ad755 100644 --- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl +++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl @@ -9937,3 +9937,7 @@ {"ts": 1786112555.0, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.11, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1786112558.0, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.106, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1786112559.4, "token": "60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 64.11, "cost_held": 48.43, "title": "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1786112921.9, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.28, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1786112923.0, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.11, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1786112925.4, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.106, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1786112926.6, "token": "60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 64.11, "cost_held": 48.43, "title": "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"} diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl index 76daa9fb..d5cfea0b 100644 --- a/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl +++ b/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl @@ -128,3 +128,4 @@ {"ts": 1784482284, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "17973586937761078448873484917108971852340583833844287573538816307502825884858", "cond": "0xb12f5e328a7d9f7a26e0a074625ea775025104e673c776d575dab422a472ef59", "title": "Israel closes its airspace by July 31?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.63, "stake": 24.52, "reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a", "status": "sold", "pnl": 11.12, "settled": 1785429268, "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "exit_price": 0.9247} {"ts": 1784485443, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "3306035343466503934184175896783360690575375600980458166852017344010969201326", "cond": "0x55396f414e79e269de30965a8304b16ecf3e993ed13505c39ec0f5ece7296b4a", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET", "outcome": "Up", "price": 0.4664, "stake": 105.73, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 14.4, "settled": 1784485764, "name": "1kto1m", "exit_price": 0.5448} {"ts": 1784492349, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "62074667087255747412382561081475311823484268378809285620641251664614873335395", "cond": "0x514c3dd24cde8101ec8e3982b74fca425c592e3fe7526056a4d80aa269c98808", "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.79, "stake": 105.73, "reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a", "status": "won", "pnl": 27.44, "settled": 1784846419, "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "exit_checked": true} +{"ts": 1784493015, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "33752982532314842955867034258985568949958761450943043689987049583448528253590", "cond": "0x8240c24b4ac5c954241ee6a10cffc627abf676d88b9d7de5b034c2f7c060b00a", "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.882, "stake": 105.73, "reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a", "status": "sold", "pnl": -47.07, "settled": 1784583337, "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "exit_price": 0.5} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 80e0d50a..c11e9dcd 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -1,7 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783541947.246319, "seen_tx": [ - "0x270dd66dfe912388787475557d83efbf1d54a359725e96aa1798c8fc5282c4e7", "0x2eb7889dfb1b2356ca26627a325ddecc0244e7e25e56e857e0b355e5156f45f5", "0xa423ad2e98d440c39633ead29cc2e0097b66aa2b57a8f4defd1c9f2b3f28f807", "0x730d8ae941d6199dba4c889c489833f9fb32b97704a078d236e10a9768477002", @@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@ "0x0ac2394bbb2d839a967587832319af64e3a0d20f3b5541e6a0f980aaa0f255ef", "0x54c3d26cad1544c7b62c9ae12ca8c0d89e53107e90c27453ab2537d62d380a82", "0x9fe1fa9d243807aef7825f01ecc8b3f5cf9f0145be8bbbc89a927417521ec197", - "0x913f498bd5fce341d4b50cae25299d972c97ee5cfed5c34b0d2e5c0e9ea78cf5" + "0x913f498bd5fce341d4b50cae25299d972c97ee5cfed5c34b0d2e5c0e9ea78cf5", + "0xabcfc49ba5b8bea499bfb614f65b3c473519010804b250b664f5859b89e64adf" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -10279,7 +10279,8 @@ "200151319696111844652491412631482014847337257056971003992808586181134014409": 1044.18, "60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607": 0.0, "53812289218965842163370625485093046804125242126283385267078097747938545122586": 1951.15, - "6333843735155285450143276508143481064003286679791924447055152610295680774877": 571.42 + "6333843735155285450143276508143481064003286679791924447055152610295680774877": 571.42, + "23515221700905694854900888621593248886654890374386134630990707970966819867940": 511.02919999999995 }, "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": { "114711371330120068482313838962365747984220728893579964288039365743675176387739": 6259.0032, @@ -22112,8 +22113,8 @@ } }, "hwm": 3600.1933566560215, - "feed_sig": "04fb9e36061d4f9719cfaa827dfb9dca", - "feed_pushed_at": 1786112415.7630007, + "feed_sig": "eab5e89cb0736f9a2f7bd5a62afb6eec", + "feed_pushed_at": 1786112982.0492432, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783889397, @@ -22160,22 +22161,6 @@ "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" }, - { - "ts": 1784493015, - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "token": "33752982532314842955867034258985568949958761450943043689987049583448528253590", - "cond": "0x8240c24b4ac5c954241ee6a10cffc627abf676d88b9d7de5b034c2f7c060b00a", - "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.882, - "stake": 105.73, - "reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": -47.07, - "settled": 1784583337, - "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", - "exit_price": 0.5 - }, { "ts": 1784496391, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -25294,6 +25279,21 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, + { + "ts": 1786113047, + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "token": "23515221700905694854900888621593248886654890374386134630990707970966819867940", + "cond": "0x2d8df77da52cde87078501a9aa732d414d1fb5efadfedf6480258584a71a0229", + "title": "Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.5123, + "stake": 48.65, + "reason": "maker bid unfilled (65s)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" } ], "no_miss_toks": [ @@ -25464,7 +25464,7 @@ "107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933": 1, "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228": 338, "79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928": 4, - "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 2520, + "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 2521, "64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290": 15, "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": 65, "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684": 10, @@ -25492,27 +25492,27 @@ "76752916551697359157851234269297016591012843522959969977805224055761398575042": 48, "102071153892246039627048034194967021680193759805083679061162745293075874048047": 46, "36288736401955665119786973077283875206752336249826000621290926077161772340777": 44, - "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 1122, + "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 1123, "85120775770768568171037319691430512769043349724236381575493834592043972740948": 1, "84833713274530571479250444223158955887841795944345736012615608017701449951658": 1, "36170784529909729175483932196304779852897425726715038923506785466386030402957": 1, "44629810392325306078320885126725432925432567001348877770307512058002095840308": 142, "41800024459753239846641136399457022409586964534205265889258791197815836336250": 51, - "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092": 682, + "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092": 683, "15469460331352019135823646480486919090388437520615806921617791717165460861234": 7, "44878213123264609020900502267992317958528606661890344163785451259153992473346": 1, "12655298432856023401377623311129453877580829892143866780900963131940895536375": 62, - "60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607": 165 + "60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607": 166 }, "trade_cursor": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970, "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702, "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1786051556, - "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1786111294, + "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1786112172, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785429351, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1786109545, "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1786085994, - "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1786111068, + "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1786112974, "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1785617775 }, "boot": { @@ -25530,69 +25530,9 @@ "paper_maker": [], "maker_stats": { "fills": 175, - "misses": 95 + "misses": 96 }, "ignored_exits": [ - { - "ts": 1786093181.9, - "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.28, - "shares_held": 210.4428, - "cost_held": 116.53, - "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", - "outcome": "No", - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1786093183.0, - "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.12, - "shares_held": 168.23, - "cost_held": 68.97, - "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1786093185.3, - "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.117, - "shares_held": 115.61, - "cost_held": 52.95, - "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "mode": "paper" - }, - { - "ts": 1786093186.9, - "token": "60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607", - "their_size": 0, - "their_prev": 0, - "frac": 1.0, - "reason": "band", - "sell_px": 0.87, - "shares_held": 64.11, - "cost_held": 48.43, - "title": "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "mode": "paper" - }, { "ts": 1786093531.9, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", @@ -28532,6 +28472,66 @@ "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1786112921.9, + "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.28, + "shares_held": 210.4428, + "cost_held": 116.53, + "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", + "outcome": "No", + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1786112923.0, + "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.11, + "shares_held": 168.23, + "cost_held": 68.97, + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1786112925.4, + "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.106, + "shares_held": 115.61, + "cost_held": 52.95, + "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "mode": "paper" + }, + { + "ts": 1786112926.6, + "token": "60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607", + "their_size": 0, + "their_prev": 0, + "frac": 1.0, + "reason": "band", + "sell_px": 0.89, + "shares_held": 64.11, + "cost_held": 48.43, + "title": "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "mode": "paper" } ] } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index 97495552..968486d7 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -2138,6 +2138,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1786113047, + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "token": "23515221700905694854900888621593248886654890374386134630990707970966819867940", + "cond": "0x2d8df77da52cde87078501a9aa732d414d1fb5efadfedf6480258584a71a0229", + "title": "Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.5123, + "stake": 48.65, + "reason": "maker bid unfilled (65s)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" + }, { "ts": 1785946788, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -3071,24 +3086,9 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" - }, - { - "ts": 1785604907, - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "token": "14980109967714475040425172542938759843822646035539893575852591461888569553959", - "cond": "0x76c1a69f2b0a7fcfa97b56ddbeaad1981a8cb3d8f24c1adce62ffa2d010ebbe0", - "title": "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.3701, - "stake": 57.21, - "reason": "maker bid unfilled (94s)", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" } ], - "missed_pnl": 21162.67, + "missed_pnl": 21209.74, "last_fill": { "ts": 1786109675, "side": "BUY", @@ -3164,7 +3164,7 @@ "wins": 3, "open_cost": 1210.42, "open_n": 19, - "miss_n": 51, + "miss_n": 52, "miss_pnl": -662.54, "last_ts": 1786064354 }, @@ -3199,5 +3199,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1786112570 + "updated": 1786113055 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json index 3a203918..e9abc75a 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "paper", - "updated": 1786112570, + "updated": 1786113055, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": 542.3, @@ -68,7 +68,7 @@ "wins": 3, "open_cost": 1210.42, "open_n": 19, - "miss_n": 51, + "miss_n": 52, "miss_pnl": -662.54, "last_ts": 1786064354 }, @@ -7447,6 +7447,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1786113047, + "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", + "token": "23515221700905694854900888621593248886654890374386134630990707970966819867940", + "cond": "0x2d8df77da52cde87078501a9aa732d414d1fb5efadfedf6480258584a71a0229", + "title": "Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.5123, + "stake": 48.65, + "reason": "maker bid unfilled (65s)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" + }, { "ts": 1785946788, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",