diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index 3510ec33..ea6ff0e6 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -240,3 +240,4 @@
 {"ts": 1783706792.0, "side": "SELL", "token": "100310596270945062702362561514133867597710410244661432843863262063183415273493", "shares": 163.2942, "price": 0.2, "fee": 0.7838, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1783707106.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "38744650140929980444150118816863740267135734413960049059734200133364895803618", "shares": 113.4024, "price": 1.0, "fee": 0.0, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1783707420.6, "side": "SELL", "token": "41527735652152287965662705198504489542457379550490679965396371339149288130273", "shares": 130.2921, "price": 1.0, "fee": 0.0, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1783709298.3, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "64116761477742027701109652941632411292105231683011506366532020565363935650673", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Hans Vanaken: 3+ shots", "detect_lag_s": 179.3, "their_price": 0.8, "my_price": 0.81, "slippage_pct": 0.0125, "shares": 79.88, "cost": 64.7, "fee": 0.3688, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.81, "ba": 0.98, "spread": 0.17, "bid5c": 9.72, "ask5c": 80.68}}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index c04c4825..f4393983 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -715,6 +715,7 @@
     "0x96a7559cf55a5110f67e0a899c8e5f682cd7ae34502da6842e60f8749013715d",
     "0x67d5fe84492fe67c9301d000df4301dda2b8d0cfd5a04fd33d2ea2cc512fa976",
     "0x8eb407a561a69dc6455de031d34437c971aacc5292b83470245a19fc2db4d086",
+    "0x42c13418727f31938ad709b62d1d6b8d398e564d1f219ce89751287ec36a18b1",
     "0x598c0540703e05b5c075af4eee027cc02859392256942fdf52e4e6e626dfc164",
     "0x5e45d1ad0719bd05ca6c2583a85e48c6c5a50bb053e5f9aba9dd0b8cf2537ca9",
     "0xd43c6fb2b54d54fc772338cb850a9d47f90d6c655a6fc328475342563554f181",
@@ -1133,6 +1134,7 @@
     "0xb18ae650cc0ffa1a20acaa662f96a31cd114ad6ca5e1d519817802cec75da738",
     "0x735c746593a0c3121982db78eebee13cc878d69bd2a94e70065873e965510a02",
     "0xad51adbe5e1a50d26339a4387a1804b1e8abce664ea29a1d84288e3ed79f1ea3",
+    "0x8ae550a8a0247fc220a70495d3cd1408ac68914da4163f354b7569e98e636e6e",
     "0xb5148f4222a78880d4c53701785458e3faaf7cb308c751c0b7bca0b94edb1074",
     "0x48a740042129fd00d343fb2bccebbd250cac75b1f72e2675bcccb5a41328cc60",
     "0x24c993aa405d3d4bccfa24246614c0f57e71e5d3cd95d8c81d0b6d2cd6aa79b3",
@@ -1248,6 +1250,7 @@
     "0x48b8073c83e7aed8399e2d2ee65d1466ea829dc6bcf1f72aacfba2ff207afe03",
     "0x5aedcd08915bd1ba7aee97de4589314a4f021526fc61f49cd4fa6c10a21bd642",
     "0x334bd989daf7e9a1475861c08f8022e32ac481f2be51892439fdd29a48ef6f5c",
+    "0x4328d3b20210ba5b6572c95e04c57fc60a45908b1069daaf9bc6bb39007e0ab2",
     "0xaff7f6add63a15222ccbfac932eb1a05766127b1b636a47da9ce212da9f8c863",
     "0xa9864659dcd1562c58fd1a3beac0ca7b8a80b8479099cffb7956b0ee425db1ca",
     "0x03ef69b4fc7e680885a2296663d1ebc6f654c8d8639f364eed43722a335849c0",
@@ -1274,6 +1277,7 @@
     "0x3d7c1756c32e1d76a36319a32ec330e47773bebaf009756a20b472b8502a73cd",
     "0x731287934cdbe5702d12d0e9ca14c1f6c5392d044bff88bdbe4a20dbfee04027",
     "0x4baaaf6e9db86913e9d9fca950e38b60748bbc8c5b7036bfe2a1371804b0331b",
+    "0xe8841f906b1d9b15d906e93bf9b0e01ef1d0bd2ce7585ea369d2156290d1d396",
     "0x152350709f092141cdfbfe1f3bf3483e6ff1982ad4ab1e756d057fbc3e06edea",
     "0x936169c038918aaba96cd7b196b785feb47f0aec1b0a3cd400f34b1afdc44623",
     "0xa4b1a264d35f7dfabd8efe89a6df870bb8c18c633e7e1ec18fc1e83d2f14ef02",
@@ -1621,6 +1625,7 @@
     "0x756ef9d5f61557fe5e9a61e8083ebc95149605483b7c34daf20821a5208fff26",
     "0xf268fc5d69eeb0b50abcd6d9daceea0c0500daf6905e8286d915e0a02cc5af93",
     "0x1ae1be1c4adf551f69957f14714848ddf7613447065475a4904278b3bb7ecfd6",
+    "0x64a583f244a0cd6577eed6bb549b1011eea7cbcc852b2bf09c530eecac6ea1d4",
     "0xa0af0dad77890d48a827bbaeaf722f6e12616d7637668de3c92403a4431fca01",
     "0xb6b40d2c824eef8b7759e5b5d57580691620932376f929cd6b385fc1de3d10c4",
     "0xbbc51478c16e480fb69b23103bb12c8658d75f538127d5f74470f9bc1c2af11e",
@@ -1834,6 +1839,7 @@
     "0x299c418c7c8d77f0703a20a99ce22c5702d0ba3004e644e5b28a63f9c85b9258",
     "0x8744b41c6a071a31fec778a96e4df2e3eb97ba2fa8e3fda04835f2b569d0a62b",
     "0x997302f506677bdbee9f827a03bce10ceeb72c77558c47b6e0d0c0694480b70b",
+    "0x370e76def6080efa25058383b68dcb2ab24ae2c49dde4eb4fad125a98689f5fc",
     "0x4a3b595bda9a1af4a9ef41b54ec9d7f339b6fe9b49740927cb931e698d164c7a",
     "0x4ef1b5b7d7d9c4ad052af92a84a5bed0bec7943716236b7968ffdff25a8cd9a1",
     "0xef1ea41e068ef87d6e6026301f2341d13bcaa76e66e0f5cd500e7fbb29ad2436",
@@ -2974,7 +2980,8 @@
       "33268179848265621237713870867722058093642476198748605647422147599104237593873": 0.0,
       "88138640523963801049795658209969160423651132279684171193438824814722006048673": 0.0,
       "112069965242217022550757250022691567133606000967466758187262022613460557901760": 0.0,
-      "73305975059705584196525994984524321116477414561341344536150877772985119073857": 0.0
+      "73305975059705584196525994984524321116477414561341344536150877772985119073857": 0.0,
+      "64116761477742027701109652941632411292105231683011506366532020565363935650673": 64.7
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -4785,11 +4792,20 @@
       "event": "what-level-will-the-dubai-real-estate-index-hit-in-2026",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0xf6d8ff2a90303b8906788c005ecfc5881a435714e6acdc2e1164fa5626ce71e4"
+    },
+    "64116761477742027701109652941632411292105231683011506366532020565363935650673": {
+      "shares": 79.87654320987654,
+      "cost": 64.7,
+      "title": "Hans Vanaken: 3+ shots",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "event": "fifwc-esp-bel-2026-07-10",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "cond": "0x9d4a016f4a18ff8f3b28a0c0adf2a03254033f6d022c88e13495738e2178c3d9"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
-    "usd": 1641.5273872762937
+    "usd": 1706.2273872762937
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -4838,21 +4854,17 @@
     "20753444326597808403433519410324896770837596585358560000183009522246701254242": "0x06f2a24626f9441cdb0e52b81b0b4f40dab91b6109ee5b9d5e3dce82aefcf2da",
     "38744650140929980444150118816863740267135734413960049059734200133364895803618": "0x993a12bda634e4b98a1ccec9f27ce8b44a0d8685ce64da6040a9db9ae7083a1b",
     "41527735652152287965662705198504489542457379550490679965396371339149288130273": "0x96bd5030085b63e3f7dae9a46709c67195f6b0c52efa2f3a94337623d36951ae",
-    "100310596270945062702362561514133867597710410244661432843863262063183415273493": "0xcb07d894f95ef028218fd01e2235c666e632ea3c29fe0eabcef71400f637a5c7"
+    "100310596270945062702362561514133867597710410244661432843863262063183415273493": "0xcb07d894f95ef028218fd01e2235c666e632ea3c29fe0eabcef71400f637a5c7",
+    "64116761477742027701109652941632411292105231683011506366532020565363935650673": "0x9d4a016f4a18ff8f3b28a0c0adf2a03254033f6d022c88e13495738e2178c3d9"
   },
-  "cash": 1829.6612962245356,
+  "cash": 1764.5925062245356,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 57,
-    "sum_s": 1643.405958890915,
-    "sum_slip_pct": -3.4996316439334247
+    "n": 58,
+    "sum_s": 1822.6717722415924,
+    "sum_slip_pct": -3.4871316439334246
   },
-  "fees_paid": 93.26451947327136,
+  "fees_paid": 93.63330947327137,
   "lag_recent": [
-    [
-      1783622710.2,
-      36.2,
-      0.04306
-    ],
     [
       1783622995.4,
       3.4,
@@ -4997,6 +5009,11 @@
       1783705653.5,
       4.5,
       -0.08
+    ],
+    [
+      1783709298.3,
+      179.3,
+      0.0125
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -6043,11 +6060,29 @@
       "settled": 1783706794,
       "sold_shares": 379.3962949926905,
       "sold_proceeds": 88.94478307498397
+    },
+    "64116761477742027701109652941632411292105231683011506366532020565363935650673": {
+      "token": "64116761477742027701109652941632411292105231683011506366532020565363935650673",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "name": "0xbadaf319",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "title": "Hans Vanaken: 3+ shots",
+      "their_price": 0.8,
+      "my_price": 0.81,
+      "slippage_pct": 0.0125,
+      "shares": 79.88,
+      "cost": 64.7,
+      "fee": 0.3688,
+      "opened": 1783709119,
+      "status": "open",
+      "exit_price": null,
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null
     }
   },
   "hwm": 2258.3082600369416,
-  "feed_sig": "2b50f52cb401bf1f569ccd21e77eed51",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1783709107.5486772,
+  "feed_sig": "e4f9663fafb7846c71953a62e3db034d",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1783709230.1590748,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,
@@ -6578,6 +6613,21 @@
       "settled": 1783702410,
       "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
       "exit_price": 0.0037
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1783709296,
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "token": "64116761477742027701109652941632411292105231683011506366532020565363935650673",
+      "cond": "0x9d4a016f4a18ff8f3b28a0c0adf2a03254033f6d022c88e13495738e2178c3d9",
+      "title": "Hans Vanaken: 3+ shots",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "price": 0.7844,
+      "stake": 83.09,
+      "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+      "status": "open",
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null,
+      "name": "0xbadaf319"
     }
   ],
   "no_miss_toks": [
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 4afb9d2b..9eb7626b 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 90.01,
+ "stake": 90.0,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 2258.31,
- "cash": 1829.66,
- "deployed": 420.61,
+ "cash": 1764.59,
+ "deployed": 485.31,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1250.25,
+ "realized": 1249.88,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": 0.01,
- "open_count": 8,
- "fees_paid": 93.26,
+ "open_count": 9,
+ "fees_paid": 93.63,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 57,
-  "n24": 29,
-  "avg_s": 28.5,
-  "avg_slip_pct": -0.054,
+  "n": 58,
+  "n24": 30,
+  "avg_s": 33.5,
+  "avg_slip_pct": -0.0518,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -49,6 +49,24 @@
   "1kto1m": 323.3
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "64116761477742027701109652941632411292105231683011506366532020565363935650673",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Hans Vanaken: 3+ shots",
+   "their_price": 0.8,
+   "my_price": 0.81,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0125,
+   "shares": 79.88,
+   "cost": 64.7,
+   "fee": 0.37,
+   "opened": 1783709119,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null
+  },
   {
    "token": "41527735652152287965662705198504489542457379550490679965396371339149288130273",
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -1095,6 +1113,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1783709296,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "64116761477742027701109652941632411292105231683011506366532020565363935650673",
+   "cond": "0x9d4a016f4a18ff8f3b28a0c0adf2a03254033f6d022c88e13495738e2178c3d9",
+   "title": "Hans Vanaken: 3+ shots",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.7844,
+   "stake": 83.09,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1783701159,
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -1627,5 +1660,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": -200.86,
- "updated": 1783709118
+ "updated": 1783709298
 }
\ No newline at end of file