diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index 8b7d8828..8f36b25d 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -1008,3 +1008,4 @@
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 {"ts": 1785162562.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193", "shares": 10.9272, "price": 0.95, "fee": 0.0156, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785162655.1, "side": "SELL", "token": "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193", "shares": 4.3709, "price": 0.95, "fee": 0.0062, "mode": "paper"}
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diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
index 8f225117..7ce56744 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
@@ -887,3 +887,15 @@
 {"ts": 1785161475.4, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.42, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785161789.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785162428.9, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
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+{"ts": 1785166439.9, "token": "49952690042474298096697107838501147620642888076204079490031529723234270830286", "their_size": 52.5, "their_prev": 52.5, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.81, "shares_held": 71.91, "cost_held": 52.49, "title": "US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_rejects.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.jsonl
index d9e3cc1b..aa2ba081 100644
--- a/copybot_rejects.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_rejects.jsonl
@@ -349,3 +349,13 @@
 {"ts": 1785162217.3, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "32107218395923892176344541359138433055453127027522438107667081226609076316202", "cond": "0xde6df361c22f3dd7fc4a6a0c096e3ea93fddaa5cda4001e3caa4ef81c6bf58fb", "usd": 59.58, "price": 0.979, "reason": "entry 0.98 outside [0.00,0.95]", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 27?", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785162224.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "84894185529982554344915673498846308604621711134918487544121598865734260952244", "cond": "0x114d0257420ef8dc440685028e44eb7fe51b27c07e9b204c9561b0b8ba59a2f1", "usd": 2.45, "price": 0.04, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785162224.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "32107218395923892176344541359138433055453127027522438107667081226609076316202", "cond": "0xde6df361c22f3dd7fc4a6a0c096e3ea93fddaa5cda4001e3caa4ef81c6bf58fb", "usd": 59.2, "price": 0.96, "reason": "entry 0.96 outside [0.00,0.95]", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 27?", "mode": "paper"}
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diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 11ef8502..fff0a9e9 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1,28 +1,6 @@
 {
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+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785165805.0,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
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+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785166141.8,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
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+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785166439.9,
+      "token": "49952690042474298096697107838501147620642888076204079490031529723234270830286",
+      "their_size": 52.5,
+      "their_prev": 52.5,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.81,
+      "shares_held": 71.91,
+      "cost_held": 52.49,
+      "title": "US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
     }
   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 074e8dfa..f2e4cf8e 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,23 +1,23 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 134.58,
+ "stake": 134.56,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 3364.49,
- "cash": 1728.86,
- "deployed": 1635.63,
+ "cash": 1675.94,
+ "deployed": 1688.12,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 2364.46,
+ "realized": 2364.03,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": -0.03,
- "open_count": 24,
- "fees_paid": 389.49,
+ "open_count": 25,
+ "fees_paid": 389.92,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 279,
-  "n24": 7,
-  "avg_s": 8.0,
+  "n": 280,
+  "n24": 8,
+  "avg_s": 7.9,
   "avg_slip_pct": 0.0,
   "window_h": 24
  },
@@ -49,6 +49,26 @@
   "JuiceFarm": 735.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "49952690042474298096697107838501147620642888076204079490031529723234270830286",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?",
+   "their_price": 0.73,
+   "my_price": 0.73,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 7.4,
+   "shares": 71.91,
+   "cost": 52.49,
+   "fee": 0.43,
+   "opened": 1785166432,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "end_ts": 1788134400
+  },
   {
    "token": "5093836280630653877561190382016580808144147177143767913302616853585042535941",
    "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
@@ -2124,25 +2144,6 @@
    "sold_shares": 84.27,
    "sold_proceeds": 68.68,
    "end_ts": 1788134400
-  },
-  {
-   "token": "99769792009260570054217311703996683522727922229995804271060316488330979046706",
-   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
-   "name": "AIcAIc",
-   "outcome": "Hanwha Life Esports",
-   "title": "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner",
-   "their_price": 0.6,
-   "my_price": 0.59,
-   "slippage_pct": -0.0167,
-   "lag_s": 19.9,
-   "shares": 177.74,
-   "cost": 104.86,
-   "fee": 1.29,
-   "opened": 1784287050,
-   "status": "lost",
-   "exit_price": 0.0,
-   "pnl": -106.15,
-   "settled": 1784296722
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
@@ -3095,23 +3096,23 @@
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 111150.97,
  "last_fill": {
-  "ts": 1785162655,
-  "side": "SELL",
-  "price": 0.95,
-  "shares": 4.37,
-  "title": "Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?",
-  "outcome": "No"
+  "ts": 1785166439,
+  "side": "BUY",
+  "price": 0.73,
+  "shares": 71.91,
+  "title": "US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?",
+  "outcome": "Yes"
  },
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 538.65,
    "n": 64,
    "wins": 19,
-   "open_cost": 704.45,
-   "open_n": 12,
+   "open_cost": 756.94,
+   "open_n": 13,
    "miss_n": 81,
    "miss_pnl": 111921.67,
-   "last_ts": 1785144326
+   "last_ts": 1785166432
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
    "realized": 928.1,
@@ -3204,5 +3205,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785162662
+ "updated": 1785166439
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index 0071e57f..94f11c57 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785162662,
+ "updated": 1785166439,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
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    "n": 64,
    "wins": 19,
-   "open_cost": 704.45,
-   "open_n": 12,
+   "open_cost": 756.94,
+   "open_n": 13,
    "miss_n": 81,
    "miss_pnl": 111921.67,
-   "last_ts": 1785144326
+   "last_ts": 1785166432
   },
   "gkmgkldfmg": {
    "realized": 928.1,
@@ -104,6 +104,26 @@
   }
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "49952690042474298096697107838501147620642888076204079490031529723234270830286",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?",
+   "their_price": 0.73,
+   "my_price": 0.73,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 7.4,
+   "shares": 71.91,
+   "cost": 52.49,
+   "fee": 0.4252,
+   "opened": 1785166432,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "end_ts": 1788134400
+  },
   {
    "token": "5093836280630653877561190382016580808144147177143767913302616853585042535941",
    "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index 65b4295c..d40b9250 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -2073,3 +2073,29 @@
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