copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

copybot_fills.jsonl

@@ -140,3 +140,4 @@
 {"ts": 1783653704.9, "side": "SELL", "token": "244048590847349569142622450288686721247802348946192951002087804863968899", "shares": 15.9254, "price": 0.963, "fee": 0.017, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1783658410.1, "side": "SELL", "token": "64240896700312109784630886706605953876703771364083875350159352793781549030993", "shares": 63.0099, "price": 0.58, "fee": 0.4605, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1783658969.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "64240896700312109784630886706605953876703771364083875350159352793781549030993", "shares": 1.4218, "price": 0.58, "fee": 0.0104, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1783661098.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?", "detect_lag_s": 2.8, "their_price": 0.77, "my_price": 0.79, "slippage_pct": 0.026, "shares": 75.95, "cost": 60.0, "fee": 0.378, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.79, "ba": 0.91, "spread": 0.12, "bid5c": 60.94, "ask5c": 32.35}}

copybot_state.json

@@ -182,6 +182,7 @@
     "0xe33ecd69fdc0d4bcb45ff8a70d01c5e95d5ef0661feed2da6cb73e0fa8a9253b",
     "0x11b232bd32cb14b386378da4e0734ea4f49fee869b36e47f3c9d07de17753430",
     "0x0d721109e3ca526b0bc99347753099cb75553d27910b2b196c8fa57829b03e67",
+    "0xc1df5293a9e705909c8effa848e6d9a62a7b8abfbf1e0188c81477a577fa67b3",
     "0x029b6f41d1a20a4ffec519f488751d7c25556246d1aceba62e7d5b7eb03481ab",
     "0x31b45e9b1df00eb290f5097ca07905bba8266c39a9be6e0fbedddc34c97fca3e",
     "0xf9731f7b86b19280494ca46b7f599b99dbfc9fc18f9fd5846aad661fc689166d",
@@ -315,6 +316,7 @@
     "0x57ddc88038082ade85356c5ff68a5bb1f723c4e8973745132f5403b1942d3e19",
     "0x8d1de7ab27d3328596bbea6a3aecf4b95a9272d791066be55a071f275415f1bd",
     "0x0dc94b593ac61fd853eaadd11415d5d49d749cdb65b58c7962bd8c4f79b7f9b2",
+    "0xe95f45fdddf6ad930ca135b2cb4577c8cefb2c874ed889710fe9525efb54428e",
     "0x7f25583a1040ce9e9e4b462ae8884cb5f8468af73f1f12cb2c06e856d461bdef",
     "0x2342ae857e27dd5669ba19f3e4932734a541ea580c3b63aec388f8b867246cab",
     "0x89c9966cb1867b9e4034799d211fe77680115924a5d86168c488d741c1b187ac",
@@ -1013,6 +1015,7 @@
     "0xd103a3d775087884c04c36d2e9bf87b93bcf4a2d471b82c77491ae878c155287",
     "0x31709a79e4ff7f2e079b48bee5fbdb9e7978eac742017d0221ba846aff72d0d6",
     "0x48b8073c83e7aed8399e2d2ee65d1466ea829dc6bcf1f72aacfba2ff207afe03",
+    "0x5aedcd08915bd1ba7aee97de4589314a4f021526fc61f49cd4fa6c10a21bd642",
     "0xa9864659dcd1562c58fd1a3beac0ca7b8a80b8479099cffb7956b0ee425db1ca",
     "0x03ef69b4fc7e680885a2296663d1ebc6f654c8d8639f364eed43722a335849c0",
     "0x953769e7ae61f98ac30fb732d773f6c5d3ede78c9ddfb49c9d3103d56de3bd97",
@@ -1859,13 +1862,13 @@
       "13756174703075983728146110881331317481534606122918486057448266785270818981117": 75.0573,
       "85184595423887629711994979074883454958273220167896080151476773011811989742432": 75,
       "107068249429431854980709729370702843860113480965959557036516592862568760054116": 74.1286,
-      "30034433792593206090154933931188017582266614629372714638447434194604403893159": 73.4936,
+      "30034433792593206090154933931188017582266614629372714638447434194604403893159": 13.4936,
       "93492469835047825001115064730757913298675587765023341049475189380366637097754": 73.3333,
       "22619733881373450511253919333446842316855925971544806294330329285715317632051": 73.25,
       "98809367725074840294619859154913073751359370515507513405712416391425727247227": 72.9907,
       "8982263881855222619915168340150681636167781547602968000183884476597441269515": 71.875,
       "60833731354533192146151746622961547686572863805540123517696217818998182694056": 71.4615,
-      "65803484114905865206751958513274350016670608281979099699640217578857619042731": 71.4411,
+      "65803484114905865206751958513274350016670608281979099699640217578857619042731": 11.441100000000006,
       "100840187172548196330075932216247338787447130968716481387789863455837213998862": 71.3846,
       "46040858049121783591991999929759419645588435692447852231978719690562517446173": 70.9914,
       "13532339185967689087998673630559018009513003265862485007437424768944873840182": 69.6,
@@ -2560,7 +2563,8 @@
       "115698328330845405148370502375325494799604023378411210581499332969077017813129": 0.0,
       "23065452804238654997888331243442427438047892165950306128073597468182021934978": 0.0,
       "106143829686220462038641690660105051299076056751148209194940374465017034304257": 0.0,
-      "90812800867011309560420897074991327387414131353807713195859727436592017703729": 0.0
+      "90812800867011309560420897074991327387414131353807713195859727436592017703729": 0.0,
+      "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309": 60
     },
     "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
       "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848,
@@ -4325,11 +4329,20 @@
       "event": "iaea-visits-isfahan-fordow-or-natanz-nuclear-site-by-july-31-20260624040209014",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0x73dd54214430d1d67ddf59ad22fdf62e00e71e273b229dc0040da504e5281b6f"
+    },
+    "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309": {
+      "shares": 75.94936708860759,
+      "cost": 60.0,
+      "title": "Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "event": "will-lambdas-valuation-hit-low-5b-by-december-31",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "cond": "0x20b0a4eb7e7ce4054637462158e6fdf7d8e9dcedc2caa9e398b51665a98364b2"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
-    "usd": 79.448273
+    "usd": 139.448273
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -4365,26 +4378,17 @@
     "64240896700312109784630886706605953876703771364083875350159352793781549030993": "0xd2cf27a164b628e715d98d212f16482adef61ac91f8bc635a477f2b5c1c1fdb2",
     "72834495383235297744666280877384242771579363352963523785873024005920870690952": "0xa6930fadb08512d5f798c2d474493af6d609ba246d43966cdf11af475b139dd6",
     "9744962581292514108386284350412915753392587449882449095731887011173957456753": "0x0fb63e987b28940eb8d299b466a34e5b404e0bd9a5c98df908bb55e6d00b694b",
-    "112398855248126389642334724080634566219399886008841203075173521868162852635909": "0x73dd54214430d1d67ddf59ad22fdf62e00e71e273b229dc0040da504e5281b6f"
+    "112398855248126389642334724080634566219399886008841203075173521868162852635909": "0x73dd54214430d1d67ddf59ad22fdf62e00e71e273b229dc0040da504e5281b6f",
+    "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309": "0x20b0a4eb7e7ce4054637462158e6fdf7d8e9dcedc2caa9e398b51665a98364b2"
   },
-  "cash": 1726.7207904447416,
+  "cash": 1666.3427904447417,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 37,
+    "n": 38,
-    "sum_s": 1324.9141829013824,
+    "sum_s": 1327.6846678256989,
-    "sum_slip_pct": -2.533812482318845
+    "sum_slip_pct": -2.507838456344819
   },
-  "fees_paid": 56.532822583962705,
+  "fees_paid": 56.910822583962705,
   "lag_recent": [
-    [
-      1783572102.6,
-      145.6,
-      -0.03077
-    ],
-    [
-      1783573792.1,
-      2.1,
-      -0.01611
-    ],
     [
       1783588745.3,
       150.3,
@@ -4549,6 +4553,11 @@
       1783651222.0,
       252.0,
       -0.04593
+    ],
+    [
+      1783661098.8,
+      2.8,
+      0.02597
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -5201,11 +5210,29 @@
       "exit_price": null,
       "pnl": null,
       "settled": null
+    },
+    "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309": {
+      "token": "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "name": "0xbadaf319",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "title": "Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?",
+      "their_price": 0.77,
+      "my_price": 0.79,
+      "slippage_pct": 0.026,
+      "shares": 75.95,
+      "cost": 60.0,
+      "fee": 0.378,
+      "opened": 1783661096,
+      "status": "open",
+      "exit_price": null,
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null
     }
   },
   "hwm": 2111.7857692521566,
-  "feed_sig": "f184d756f64153d94179b1dea0e4545b",
+  "feed_sig": "0043e7f29d3b1f50d7e6aa97365727d2",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1783660080.7781453,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1783661071.4818263,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,

live/copybot_live.json

@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 84.47,
+ "stake": 84.46,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 2111.79,
- "cash": 1726.72,
+ "cash": 1666.34,
- "deployed": 385.06,
+ "deployed": 445.06,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1111.76,
+ "realized": 1111.38,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": -0.0,
- "open_count": 6,
+ "open_count": 7,
- "fees_paid": 56.53,
+ "fees_paid": 56.91,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 37,
+  "n": 38,
-  "n24": 33,
+  "n24": 34,
-  "avg_s": 35.1,
+  "avg_s": 34.1,
-  "avg_slip_pct": -0.0749,
+  "avg_slip_pct": -0.0719,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -49,6 +49,24 @@
   "1kto1m": 323.3
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "95966691396738472275344791788162735368640282726919372432646833886066957862309",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "title": "Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?",
+   "their_price": 0.77,
+   "my_price": 0.79,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.026,
+   "shares": 75.95,
+   "cost": 60.0,
+   "fee": 0.38,
+   "opened": 1783661096,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null
+  },
   {
    "token": "244048590847349569142622450288686721247802348946192951002087804863968899",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -1025,5 +1043,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 0.87,
- "updated": 1783660206
+ "updated": 1783661098
 }