diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
index b939b044..091398db 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
@@ -8128,3 +8128,7 @@
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 {"ts": 1785935760.3, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.396, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
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diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index cb59db34..4d677b4d 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -21906,8 +21906,8 @@
     }
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-  "feed_sig": "d679db8e6e189cb99a0df1d0f4e6fb82",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1785935693.8845828,
+  "feed_sig": "99d4d6026cabd271bb02ae097abb5c20",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1785936228.9768443,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783889397,
@@ -24975,9 +24975,9 @@
       "price": 0.63,
       "stake": 52.25,
       "reason": "maker bid unfilled (71s)",
-      "status": "open",
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "lost",
+      "pnl": -52.83,
+      "settled": 1785936296,
       "name": "AIcAIc"
     },
     {
@@ -25084,7 +25084,8 @@
       "reason": "maker bid unfilled (69s)",
       "status": "open",
       "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null
+      "settled": null,
+      "name": "AIcAIc"
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   "no_miss_toks": [
@@ -25247,7 +25248,7 @@
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@@ -25271,17 +25272,17 @@
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-    "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092": 197,
+    "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092": 198,
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@@ -25314,66 +25315,6 @@
     "misses": 88
   },
   "ignored_exits": [
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-      "shares_held": 210.4428,
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-      "mode": "paper"
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-      "mode": "paper"
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-      "mode": "paper"
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-      "shares_held": 115.61,
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-      "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
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-      "mode": "paper"
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@@ -28313,6 +28254,66 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
       "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
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+      "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
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+      "shares_held": 210.4428,
+      "cost_held": 116.53,
+      "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
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+      "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
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+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.29,
+      "shares_held": 168.23,
+      "cost_held": 68.97,
+      "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785936089.9,
+      "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062",
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+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
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+      "sell_px": 0.001,
+      "shares_held": 431.49,
+      "cost_held": 56.09,
+      "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",
+      "outcome": "No",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
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+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.383,
+      "shares_held": 115.61,
+      "cost_held": 52.95,
+      "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+      "mode": "paper"
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   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 6e63c627..e2ca8ba1 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -16,9 +16,9 @@
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
   "n": 400,
-  "n24": 12,
+  "n24": 11,
   "basis": "24h",
-  "avg_s": 4.7,
+  "avg_s": 6.9,
   "avg_slip_pct": 0.0,
   "window_h": 24
  },
@@ -2140,6 +2140,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785860438,
+   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
+   "token": "84280178692633099813648719405806308896735741056341574019747445899888245266337",
+   "cond": "0x059c5895cf8d87c45c4741cce23dd45cf1db267867ceec2684a0bb623708ae24",
+   "title": "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner",
+   "outcome": "Nongshim Red Force",
+   "price": 0.63,
+   "stake": 52.25,
+   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (71s)",
+   "status": "lost",
+   "pnl": -52.83,
+   "settled": 1785936296,
+   "name": "AIcAIc"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1785935821,
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -2296,21 +2311,6 @@
    "settled": null,
    "name": "0xbadaf319"
   },
-  {
-   "ts": 1785860438,
-   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
-   "token": "84280178692633099813648719405806308896735741056341574019747445899888245266337",
-   "cond": "0x059c5895cf8d87c45c4741cce23dd45cf1db267867ceec2684a0bb623708ae24",
-   "title": "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner",
-   "outcome": "Nongshim Red Force",
-   "price": 0.63,
-   "stake": 52.25,
-   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (71s)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "AIcAIc"
-  },
   {
    "ts": 1785858922,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -3088,7 +3088,7 @@
    "exit_checked": true
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": 20777.85,
+ "missed_pnl": 20725.02,
  "last_fill": {
   "ts": 1785919643,
   "side": "BUY",
@@ -3155,7 +3155,7 @@
    "open_cost": 50.09,
    "open_n": 1,
    "miss_n": 10,
-   "miss_pnl": -366.65,
+   "miss_pnl": -419.48,
    "last_ts": 1785919635
   },
   "BikesAreTheBikes": {
@@ -3199,5 +3199,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785935822
+ "updated": 1785936365
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index fe4fef8f..52499a02 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785935822,
+ "updated": 1785936365,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 569.32,
@@ -59,7 +59,7 @@
    "open_cost": 50.09,
    "open_n": 1,
    "miss_n": 10,
-   "miss_pnl": -366.65,
+   "miss_pnl": -419.48,
    "last_ts": 1785919635
   },
   "BikesAreTheBikes": {
@@ -7281,6 +7281,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785860438,
+   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
+   "token": "84280178692633099813648719405806308896735741056341574019747445899888245266337",
+   "cond": "0x059c5895cf8d87c45c4741cce23dd45cf1db267867ceec2684a0bb623708ae24",
+   "title": "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner",
+   "outcome": "Nongshim Red Force",
+   "price": 0.63,
+   "stake": 52.25,
+   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (71s)",
+   "status": "lost",
+   "pnl": -52.83,
+   "settled": 1785936296,
+   "name": "AIcAIc"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1785935821,
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -7437,21 +7452,6 @@
    "settled": null,
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-   "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
-   "token": "84280178692633099813648719405806308896735741056341574019747445899888245266337",
-   "cond": "0x059c5895cf8d87c45c4741cce23dd45cf1db267867ceec2684a0bb623708ae24",
-   "title": "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner",
-   "outcome": "Nongshim Red Force",
-   "price": 0.63,
-   "stake": 52.25,
-   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (71s)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "AIcAIc"
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   {
    "ts": 1785858922,
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