From 3ffd71092ced83113852994db064397b050a56e6 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "copybot[bot]" Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2026 15:38:25 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] copybot: live paper feed [skip ci] --- copybot_fills.jsonl | 1 + copybot_state.json | 58 ++++++++++++++++++++----------------- live/copybot_live.json | 38 ++++++++++++------------ live/copybot_live_full.json | 12 ++++---- rtds_shadow.jsonl | 6 ++++ 5 files changed, 64 insertions(+), 51 deletions(-) diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl index 74a8a0fb..112275b6 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl @@ -886,3 +886,4 @@ {"ts": 1784819791.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 1.5, "their_price": 0.92, "my_price": 0.91, "slippage_pct": -0.0109, "shares": 60.1, "cost": 54.69, "fee": 0.1477, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.91, "ba": 0.93, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 3118.58, "ask5c": 3466.74}} {"ts": 1784820189.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "shares": 5.2356, "price": 0.86, "fee": 0.0189, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1784820335.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 0.8, "their_price": 0.8, "my_price": 0.75, "slippage_pct": -0.0625, "shares": 42.36, "cost": 31.77, "fee": 0.2383, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.75, "ba": 0.78, "spread": 0.03, "bid5c": 71.22, "ask5c": 324.58}} +{"ts": 1784820994.7, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "No", "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "detect_lag_s": 0.7, "their_price": 0.51, "my_price": 0.53, "slippage_pct": 0.0392, "shares": 43.86, "cost": 23.24, "fee": 0.3277, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.53, "ba": 0.55, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 959.68, "ask5c": 1249.59}} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 2bb40903..54db7374 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -1,10 +1,6 @@ { "started_at": 1783541947.246319, "seen_tx": [ - "0x5578eda79e35664024360552a33ccd7a4cd20fd12f14d333a8b04d930dad8c28", - "0x7c14b096f402ee1f456fe26f3636a6acb97feb9ce647647040104e26b7ec4e8b", - "0x027a9d882b71a56686cd6fdfc0fbcb1c22f55ac1136065472bf3ff43a5c32c06", - "0xd0b2f1389fa93a7819221a4b411aab3854c818280c5f953bd73ddf9a818fa93d", "0x30261164a2d5b349b265f8480622f7b57f26de3d3c055897990450ab7d571e76", "0xd8775b09fe1e90f27721b1ddb4fca5011dd87ae21a84be0759c702d3d72b9ca5", "0x322e7c3c27e24d708c7de0942206c2793d5ac1462d69c37bf337958f1d2c8777", @@ -5000,7 +4996,11 @@ "0x92dea0e5b0065eba7cfa24367ffef76475ff584ffe06c67174d49dda4f41c12b", "0xf548e2bfbc6def6f445cf3acabfd13e7d8d8c239c18ee30e713cc2a587e41408", "0x596add106ff60bf34933a08dc2fee25cf3bfaad85a9d7fbc33203eb319b5ac63", - "0x7305799a342c5ff02ab426f52b623fdd4e3069475b427342674ddce84415f0a9" + "0x7305799a342c5ff02ab426f52b623fdd4e3069475b427342674ddce84415f0a9", + "0x9c3e3072899f55e3ac706777aee999a75ae17062fefab08636490f5e8fafd155", + "0x541aa58b4c88dfa4388e04f1c0dc5354f108b3318d7586dcc6699239c89f9561", + "0xdf3490c1a682610c5ed28ade7ab01c4a0a0ded4e8cb81923cf4f61b40bfa18b5", + "0x44b5b7fc4990cea6f5d7e111f23f7d622ce93f53770074758ff5684e2cf68fc0" ], "their_pos": { "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": { @@ -7245,7 +7245,8 @@ "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 294.9199, "70195645594183504777678766878116662362245796053178329148702111955860840923559": 0.0, "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": 61.85, - "43194096588815160672928507072662519771653403729580042724996842887266951343593": 0.0 + "43194096588815160672928507072662519771653403729580042724996842887266951343593": 0.0, + "32284178738579663894437626258993706432175883045516815764012315739186938482053": 0.0 }, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": { "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848, @@ -9068,7 +9069,7 @@ "4736352029144535005890820408231925407036939257059587790513004893363322306014": 680.58, "106117170598299515991778271448868055604686257762862584190468389838818487912270": 1492.53, "36572361863292743525172722296256449344593421343195350786366455281513675169221": 370.37, - "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 985.72, + "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 1597.96, "37906844316173351653431141004376509492088028380479597728611617251805844178802": 0.0, "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102": 2080.38, "96493470136581654430268359631814450290137534659017161119334974730318350734648": 1162.79, @@ -11443,8 +11444,8 @@ "cond": "0x13d11b097e5695ff9e9b331350410aed0df3cc8e907e32ec73e9c69edcc0642e" }, "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": { - "shares": 166.586865619632, - "cost": 93.28864474699395, + "shares": 210.44276609998073, + "cost": 116.53227200157879, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "event": null, @@ -11535,7 +11536,7 @@ }, "spend": { "date": "2026-07-23", - "usd": 246.28469857601524 + "usd": 269.52832583060007 }, "seeded": [ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -11696,13 +11697,13 @@ "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": "0x4bb8b2a094bdb1153e3b6c00ce53427fd5d987edd5090181162782b90764129f", "82768531874539579332422216880159980913196623213037059365722754442149714478353": "0x9d3c9c74d6dc88f3209c85176ee0f88b918d11eb00b59edddbcac37af1860ca3" }, - "cash": 1782.6301712555287, + "cash": 1759.0588088566542, "lag": { - "n": 230, - "sum_s": 6170.284677267075, - "sum_slip_pct": -7.269538469332156 + "n": 231, + "sum_s": 6171.0197587013245, + "sum_slip_pct": -7.230322783057646 }, - "fees_paid": 343.8419256587916, + "fees_paid": 344.16966080308123, "lag_recent": [ [ 1784790395.8, @@ -11728,6 +11729,11 @@ 1784820335.8, 0.8, -0.0625 + ], + [ + 1784820994.7, + 0.7, + 0.03922 ] ], "bets": { @@ -14667,12 +14673,12 @@ "outcome": "No", "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "their_price": 0.58, - "my_price": 0.56, + "my_price": 0.554156081176523, "slippage_pct": -0.0345, "lag_s": 5.8, - "shares": 182.17, - "cost": 102.01, - "fee": 1.3466, + "shares": 226.02590048034872, + "cost": 125.25362725458484, + "fee": 1.6743000000000001, "opened": 1784136655, "status": "open", "exit_price": null, @@ -15877,8 +15883,8 @@ } }, "hwm": 3017.9847339343023, - "feed_sig": "fe177ee6e109067045235f11a99d3202", - "feed_pushed_at": 1784820319.4192789, + "feed_sig": "cd5c233f3f9d4fb7753fec2a06af4dcf", + "feed_pushed_at": 1784820975.6195574, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783590977, @@ -18827,7 +18833,7 @@ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970, "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702, "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784814235, - "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784820336, + "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784820847, "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784745123, "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784807970, "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784798961, @@ -18838,11 +18844,11 @@ "ts": 1784658775 }, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784820335, + "ts": 1784820994, "side": "BUY", - "price": 0.75, - "shares": 42.36, - "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?", + "price": 0.53, + "shares": 43.86, + "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No" } } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index e4336a99..353ffbf6 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -1,24 +1,24 @@ { "mode": "paper", "bankroll": 1000.0, - "stake": 116.53, + "stake": 116.52, "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 3017.98, - "cash": 1782.63, - "deployed": 1130.68, + "cash": 1759.06, + "deployed": 1153.92, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": 1913.28, + "realized": 1912.95, "adjustments": 0.03, "ledger_drift": -0.03, "open_count": 19, - "fees_paid": 343.84, + "fees_paid": 344.17, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 230, - "n24": 5, - "avg_s": 5.9, - "avg_slip_pct": -0.0176, + "n": 231, + "n24": 6, + "avg_s": 5.0, + "avg_slip_pct": -0.0081, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -1391,12 +1391,12 @@ "outcome": "No", "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "their_price": 0.58, - "my_price": 0.56, + "my_price": 0.5542, "slippage_pct": -0.0345, "lag_s": 5.8, - "shares": 182.17, - "cost": 102.01, - "fee": 1.35, + "shares": 226.03, + "cost": 125.25, + "fee": 1.67, "opened": 1784136655, "status": "open", "exit_price": null, @@ -3069,11 +3069,11 @@ ], "missed_pnl": 96775.96, "last_fill": { - "ts": 1784820335, + "ts": 1784820994, "side": "BUY", - "price": 0.75, - "shares": 42.36, - "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 27\u00b0C on July 23?", + "price": 0.53, + "shares": 43.86, + "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No" }, "wallet_pnl": { @@ -3141,7 +3141,7 @@ "realized": 0.07, "n": 7, "wins": 1, - "open_cost": 706.41, + "open_cost": 729.65, "open_n": 7, "miss_n": 22, "miss_pnl": -466.97, @@ -3158,5 +3158,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1784820340 + "updated": 1784821000 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json index c11a258e..4383b48d 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "paper", - 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