diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl index 7a4f8091..73384951 100644 --- a/copybot_fills.jsonl +++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl @@ -365,3 +365,4 @@ {"ts": 1783865687.0, "side": "SELL", "token": "81729627908647113838238535400683468580916119670288864624921465071586268502282", "shares": 21.7401, "price": 0.9, "fee": 0.0587, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1783866040.1, "side": "SELL", "token": "99894914207898514284631305777217402140704104471002518113888183892335214453642", "shares": 188.0496, "price": 0.41, "fee": 1.3647, "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1783866067.6, "side": "SELL", "token": "81729627908647113838238535400683468580916119670288864624921465071586268502282", "shares": 105.244, "price": 1.0, "fee": 0.0, "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1783888429.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "107179792112987391529646299006880228718467140164269968140132399486412571398191", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 255.6, "their_price": 0.79, "my_price": 0.63, "slippage_pct": -0.2025, "shares": 99.42, "cost": 62.63, "fee": 0.6952, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.63, "ba": 0.81, "spread": 0.18, "bid5c": 372.67, "ask5c": 103.78}} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 37ad7dec..cbbcdb11 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -162,6 +162,7 @@ "0x1f6c99dc924e5577416c3a38c77a28d49821492c723a5e6b07524adeac64630f", "0x1193de34cf1a6b32fb881ca0f1f0c29474001717d09debe73ff92bb29484b182", "0x523faa23889d647525f82abdd695503e5f78681840c5a0da41a73e704bef664f", + "0x433759780f229eba8488152fc02273b99b766ef06f5c9f760f5c84fa717b9947", "0xcaaaee83082a6ca75c3ed8047304310a4e723c6751ef6c50cf7b8d95e0503493", "0x57202b42c39fe72006b8786a62eef61b9d1658e640c007db3ff48a2d3f54b553", "0x36ccc1d7f83fbb46c2d48df0c298c3b102726d62dec43cd2ec2bd8d2b423c212", @@ -831,6 +832,7 @@ "0x419cdb864a3805de86c74e48bafaeb4cd34bf52afc977664f0d0726e6db9d6f5", "0xf3fd78383d94519662086da2fcfb1ce9727c37325dce38aedc1990c9e2c6c3b6", "0x45136b93d1185e34642f9f8c2f8dea67888e604bb69b17c4de17621943ed3a84", + "0x5dec4c610f2d92ccbd98ac381ef6087a9a33d418a31676cf67614482bcb9cc77", "0x26c7653590609e841fbd5e6bc12df71f46439d2cb7df7172bb636512d6aeb387", "0x9968d5cac12af749510d195eeecee402a88e3928564a7e1507dbadea78646d86", "0xd72ff170dd2e86c529248f3e74d770ad43a137a02e1ecc98f97b81341ac6d4a5", @@ -1049,6 +1051,7 @@ "0x20350db69e3553fcb7dbac2d10b4fb00e0e0a2c98f5bebe26488cea20fa2ce42", "0xa0df5f89de3a97c73f472cad712181eb95757d906ff5241c132a517f150dae70", "0x4ef1b5b7d7d9c4ad052af92a84a5bed0bec7943716236b7968ffdff25a8cd9a1", + "0x6d098551cb353a6de0fd168100d4da5aac3c8b9a48d323d948ab4fa6c8ea7fd7", "0xa423fdbf844e1db35d7003cea83c719c0db654f326d6b439e0de7f25f79ca86d", "0xc14b321701873eed199013ab767bdf8ae3455746c67995ef4ec7519af111de3f", "0xfd49f73de8ddac1f74bdbd77efc8e81bccfe807c8ccb250c5e3857cf215c09a3", @@ -2306,6 +2309,7 @@ "0x7da5e58b47e04c4c852db75b4493d0e139de6bad2d4dedae5377c0dc2b05397e", "0x585559f547c7e4aca200f13f43a3981de1b540b09c7a7e6c68f22917ed61bcc9", "0xbc7f95ff1a89a8065f0ff96df1720525b6f421b72a3d8241aab5ff6f4b125884", + "0x3ba10ddb086eb8ff85a66247b58e025bf4bcc71f3d7e0e262f90677a155520fc", "0x381dd6428ab9f8243bcd2153687def927527ad771b9eef3c350b6470cdf7fe7b", "0xb199a85800b3dea8eafec5ffc61f91958d22ffcf027ce4dd5cbe44fb12dc6239", "0x9dfd1c042a7250ac967c83de05bdbc4927c838b12e3b1b0b611576532934c5f3", @@ -2430,6 +2434,7 @@ "0xa4256e2e97e9bf4b6044529b9b616e0db7116caa87d7f682505da2f9b44f9c1a", "0xe3fa4855832140efb886297b1a50ab283aa3c17dbb436caa3fe71514dff4f7a3", "0x20eeb1bd36666d28aeb8bec4bd4170a5917732f2a8f2d34b7f7a7aa821d527c4", + "0xe93a92452097707d741be6683d9c77638b80be4eb7eb067394c8e0f9f3ee078f", "0x23a92376d6356f9209021c23cf62bd07b30fb00641e4041c6e9dbac5fba1ba9d", "0x1ab4db91d422f110822aabf53e0d47ff6a968bba7c376c2771442828c78ddfc2", 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"0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": { "100468734153214358233990589631364606641061328246006529504204481849428608539045": 5322.2848, @@ -5854,11 +5861,20 @@ "event": "will-hyperliquid-hip-3-open-interest-hit-8b-in-2026", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "cond": "0x0b6116e7ce990ab76351002a3c7f471e2a499a7bb0cdf6437b5e7fa1412e6179" + }, + "107179792112987391529646299006880228718467140164269968140132399486412571398191": { + "shares": 99.41731746031746, + "cost": 62.63291, + "title": "Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "event": "gpt-6-released-by", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "cond": "0x880d4d315634908ffac985de5cd442ec679beeb25f0166a77bece698f35463f6" } }, "spend": { "date": "2026-07-12", - "usd": 1852.6520972358383 + "usd": 1915.2850072358383 }, "seeded": [ "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -5935,41 +5951,17 @@ 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"Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?", + "their_price": 0.79, + "my_price": 0.63, + "slippage_pct": -0.2025, + "shares": 99.42, + "cost": 62.63, + "fee": 0.6952, + "opened": 1783888174, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null } }, "hwm": 2548.9580606723184, - "feed_sig": "499bb97c0d90c7c25b5af80c7965de15", - "feed_pushed_at": 1783886002.2192402, + "feed_sig": "09d8feb211399e21803b97a81ae074c5", + "feed_pushed_at": 1783888364.0049837, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783590977, @@ -9117,6 +9132,21 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "LSB1" + }, + { + "ts": 1783888427, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "107179792112987391529646299006880228718467140164269968140132399486412571398191", + "cond": "0x880d4d315634908ffac985de5cd442ec679beeb25f0166a77bece698f35463f6", + "title": "Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.7899, + "stake": 49.48, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" } ], "no_miss_toks": [ diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index aac32221..f17e60e2 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -1,24 +1,24 @@ { "mode": "paper", "bankroll": 1000.0, - "stake": 90.43, + "stake": 90.4, "stake_pct": 0.04, "event_cap": 0, "hwm": 2548.96, - "cash": 2041.62, - "deployed": 219.03, + "cash": 1978.29, + "deployed": 281.66, "reserve": 0.0, - "realized": 1260.62, + "realized": 1259.92, "adjustments": 0.03, - "ledger_drift": 0.01, - "open_count": 6, - "fees_paid": 167.14, + "ledger_drift": 0.0, + "open_count": 7, + "fees_paid": 167.84, "fee_rate": 0.03, "lag": { - "n": 98, - "n24": 20, - "avg_s": 29.7, - "avg_slip_pct": -0.0393, + "n": 99, + "n24": 21, + "avg_s": 40.5, + "avg_slip_pct": -0.0471, "window_h": 24 }, "wallets": [ @@ -49,6 +49,24 @@ "1kto1m": 322.02 }, "bets": [ + { + "token": "107179792112987391529646299006880228718467140164269968140132399486412571398191", + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "name": "0xbadaf319", + "outcome": "No", + "title": "Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?", + "their_price": 0.79, + "my_price": 0.63, + "slippage_pct": -0.2025, + "shares": 99.42, + "cost": 62.63, + "fee": 0.7, + "opened": 1783888174, + "status": "open", + "exit_price": null, + "pnl": null, + "settled": null + }, { "token": "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155", "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -1889,6 +1907,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1783888427, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "107179792112987391529646299006880228718467140164269968140132399486412571398191", + "cond": "0x880d4d315634908ffac985de5cd442ec679beeb25f0166a77bece698f35463f6", + "title": "Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?", + "outcome": "No", + "price": 0.7899, + "stake": 49.48, + "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1783884689, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", @@ -2832,24 +2865,8 @@ "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.8525 - }, - { - "ts": 1783622007, - "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", - "token": "22725380484456966301228939445880731453285484401950854931468064580525084575682", - "cond": "0x143c926299a00a8efbbb4368be94376883164ebeca3006dcb384f11b00f85a8a", - "title": "PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC: Both Teams to Score", - "outcome": "Yes", - "price": 0.8593, - "stake": 77.32, - "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": -0.64, - "settled": 1783634212, - "name": "LSB1", - "exit_price": 0.8594 } ], "missed_pnl": 89892.11, - "updated": 1783886063 + "updated": 1783888429 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl index c2ff5a65..af6d628e 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl @@ -789,3 +789,13 @@ {"ts": 1783885465.85, "trade_ts": 1783885465, "lat_s": 0.85, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "LSB1", "side": "SELL", "size": 18, "price": 0.25, "title": "Will Cuiab\u00e1 EC win on 2026-07-12?", "tx": "0xdb9598ef43cf2edc8425d6ba1a17c7ae83f1c9ce18f98c4534ae702ead3767e7", "seen": false} {"ts": 1783885466.51, "trade_ts": 1783885466, "lat_s": 0.51, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "LSB1", "side": "SELL", "size": 12, "price": 0.25, "title": "Will Cuiab\u00e1 EC win on 2026-07-12?", "tx": "0x36020a867589405ae3f12b098743ab208ab19a4fe521c8410377860f70631160", "seen": false} {"ts": 1783885466.54, "trade_ts": 1783885466, "lat_s": 0.54, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "LSB1", "side": "SELL", "size": 25, "price": 0.25, "title": "Will Cuiab\u00e1 EC win on 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