diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index 3e99feba..96af4ee8 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -51,3 +51,4 @@
 {"ts": 1783513855.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "3190854311118956127770951783770847059067199259326144975916391196231309401395", "shares": 0.6545, "price": 0.93, "fee": 0.0013, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1783517497.6, "side": "SELL", "token": "17201633022551770129287755054798695848826438710017215402322556219454538059471", "shares": 72.8417, "price": 1.0, "fee": 0.0, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1783517615.8, "side": "SELL", "token": "17201633022551770129287755054798695848826438710017215402322556219454538059471", "shares": 23.823, "price": 1.0, "fee": 0.0, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1783521467.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "106357377462470777162074136663993867544289851940849210066031068582103797897415", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?", "detect_lag_s": 147.6, "their_price": 0.7288, "my_price": 0.64, "slippage_pct": -0.1218, "shares": 78.85, "cost": 50.47, "fee": 0.545, "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index a1a49e2e..21422524 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1178,6 +1178,7 @@
     "0x38afe9e56bd8f9b581cb089cac07c8d8030cdfd1c4b308ce6692673c72642d58",
     "0xbb23c9ef27239eadf8bf9b6a037e903888c4f49060a7322c5cf3f2eca7b09d45",
     "0xd53a681c61d73f814c68ef59dc1796422a3eb5202b5ba232b64f80f5dd1bae6c",
+    "0xee7b9f77722a586c71b6414e7612b0bd4256fdc639525424a9d8b201d6a0f53b",
     "0x988132c5ebb68ae53ca526b5bcda9119e05f661de8df5d9d9992e58e9c2a39d6",
     "0x8af5ed34143020098c4add7571b971ba701bd04c2eccb5b093de253489a38477",
     "0xeb27f10872db55ffa66470efb9d508706b76c2717219da23608d10f35e34c1f8",
@@ -1266,6 +1267,7 @@
     "0xc8098f3d29565513c321d68a540594e3550db56aa95b95231bd54f70b21a7baa",
     "0x65594ff52cf74c0447c2cd263be4c745af6d3cfeb154c6bee6aac740cdef77fa",
     "0xc868d234a2a8c517051536e22cf630e63cb51a8c306720e0a7978065504db095",
+    "0x7a4b3b7742a3641a86cf57827e4b199661d272f26ae1d1c283fce4315e97976e",
     "0xeabad7d1c35c62c1107d999435387a3171eeaa36d06125225c1b5c02d2c3e8da",
     "0xb9695ac8e83b93d951b8d6b20ab2f3f179956ae534f7bd0f5157a7cd386b2997",
     "0x5d4eeddc2352e4b31def0cc35a0ed8ba7991631a5a6746cfff851038057fa561",
@@ -1436,6 +1438,7 @@
     "0xe8cd049c3aa713b0b446431b99382fe0007af0dff1dd44b872a4fad9c1cf63f4",
     "0xe7591b2697485d546cd460c6544c1d3fab12e5657be042f81f2962f571a9df2f",
     "0x5072d55bec60593c2fe469c4ce5dbc47b64d74fc32d2e4a9053bc7c42bc548c5",
+    "0x23cea914a8569073d03f5ca0f871401f65d372269d6c06b1a33f99f42c7ad4c5",
     "0x37dcd44d75feb0d6ff108f0270fd4772db900d90fcd0a9f2b9e30868f45c53ca",
     "0x7c1b3c3d02ed8540ed23f3146a4208b8f6d6fac169774070bd8a4371d9521425",
     "0x2e48a20cb32078d7b557bd4a1f33059da5c570e285576471160549582d04f924",
@@ -2063,6 +2066,7 @@
     "0x67ca41780f4c5456d04e9a7434ecc02a8a96efd8ed78890bd91a197e7c7c8aeb",
     "0x8b79bc509384aa059ce561451d0ffeca6fcc2c4902deb6152ee24057a10b9f04",
     "0xd2aedff90539c23a31fecd732914c52f5bef43acb523c1ad15216ec5f6295b32",
+    "0x785c1c4af2c8031b64d2a00aabc3eaf6d87229be1b6a222620fcda72b76d1b0f",
     "0x58cab845a12f5b3a4b7ca3b16a98d7adedf2356bcea3c1c2f2432feb963625d3",
     "0x1fd5ab4b99e14355ecada2b01a420968efcd13e254dd58e70419c6ab472485e7",
     "0xf62cf6b69686a73c6eaf1d44458dc82265f61e88a2ceba61e3820c72ee871c96",
@@ -2344,6 +2348,7 @@
     "0x4ab065cfaeb3122a1ca772f77c0177c0aa812363c7fb065085a51072851d57c0",
     "0xd456422dd8ed0a435efb4cea8634a2ccda5324b72ca7d00a78415855007e6589",
     "0x55fe192a605cd2364ab79cf7b3f63ea0b37ad5abcad7b97085bd18bd5578b62f",
+    "0x2768e30479d13d72c6f1cefc1d6f5d83c688277e5d6c8c369cca8b68358e4b35",
     "0x41b81c8c07600f161c14549e316658cd510f959cbb1f32d86f076cce3c22f337",
     "0xb0e7a1992db1c90ce5e19ef44c8d781e6f7ee4666f40fe0504de2eeb329df3a1",
     "0x177c2a6e4f2b0a717056f80ae5adafb60277e1685b8e46bdc5b727f36c7f9d78",
@@ -2722,6 +2727,7 @@
     "0x17ad7a012e19fd03f802dd95e6ea1004c6fd6ee00f5455e217333473866f5bea",
     "0x494759ec0ec550a3e1b958a6db0a78dbdd2556fc5d068976e19848d48902554e",
     "0x3a53a857fe73dc8725ceb5bea705c78cb637d992f18de3dd7592836988a6a427",
+    "0x2edb947b7077433d04c4afd56e63065d33e98ee7af10541723d16e35e699f5ef",
     "0x99425633e02bad7007a25d279f5d0566789416ebfa76404e413fd4f9045e26bb",
     "0xd3dc703815a32902776d40ea01f19be1103936df6ad2044a4020a89470af8bc5",
     "0xf0dc51b80cf4685b048f0ac3723c2cdeeb9e62c9b69e8a3ad677a6c616267853",
@@ -3072,6 +3078,7 @@
     "0x3fdb9713c5c95206c23729778a5b6079b98e71ed19bcb76f9a901d260032aa91",
     "0x62a5615d4ae091ebf746e27a4ac0be8541efcd04f724cf9c91fff7e92d57bf65",
     "0xacce6cb02f9e3a77abe44361e246b314ad0c54cc17612e8dd57851e8cc29b694",
+    "0x5bf040b9c7a9944eee3aab0548bf10d74fd839591a3cfcef9dc9549396897a48",
     "0xcc2c5d7320f12c63df8765faa5cae2992c94cbbcdb66ccafc76f7305a1cb69fa",
     "0x6778a08a811167defb4cbfe8f6863aaa2aba2ecee24e1ded3b2e87725cb47217",
     "0xcc58ddb38a7a7487f6132e8b5749fe31bdcd5edf328278f98e43ecc7dba4dda6",
@@ -3128,6 +3135,7 @@
     "0x8d2a49d47e71f86287471f5c09b945a2fc8a3a07f424d7cbdb0884848ccf57a9",
     "0x8723d6573fc194170111b22250912c12f593163d1022667ffcc846c3f88586ca",
     "0x7b44dcb70627e8091ccaa47024825b6ca78245368f9ffc6f1285f1ec50840092",
+    "0x7e050762ce52a38239bf05115b31968663ea6760576cedb818ffbbbc7bcb946f",
     "0xad612d68786663c9b760ae6a2e4f8488dea6adb1c8fee9d214b1c601cb3853c6",
     "0xa913736cfc2b547e87839bb4888161bc20bfd5ce9ad0ca01963512ab85684f0f",
     "0x7c3435d7103569b30ce8b00b41893fbfdb94adeac7374f03b0422df147932023",
@@ -3492,6 +3500,7 @@
     "0x2b9ae17b863e26690c559fa311a56a114a98791241861161b3610f1744d2221f",
     "0x8e6f70d15b4915536f7a73bf10aeb675b0fae5b4d6113cf72adfea53d4380a88",
     "0x1f36ec481574d694304118dd4c87dccd10d63b84b98234ac8c969a52a868e46d",
+    "0x20741651358c4b82f5f6f02aa3eef8ac535c5c2b8af6870a06c835d99c49a4b4",
     "0x4f5dc5bb80419acbe35749ec1407884802174c0302387bf1e2d7af23f003be85",
     "0xeb5ee2aeca47c4ba1dfccbac9d47ee2b8cdacf13a51aa8505d8736bde80aa9e6",
     "0xc258370eea7adb82fc074607fe43f2600e140cdbcefab5c445eca8451afcc155",
@@ -5879,7 +5888,14 @@
       "72249813108322672801923069622629338970040337232370857410302306846858065180280": 0.0,
       "48582065689106982505314189015966535458143421194920306257928442232358930378978": 0.0,
       "5401228570456356751350645523858665870611668668540783530449485683439767455078": 0.0,
-      "95668275189194337557713538193083648279665204950728238180741056867955382637611": 0.0
+      "95668275189194337557713538193083648279665204950728238180741056867955382637611": 0.0,
+      "34030678738865986900158478658994462274382701800391366576508384255295695541689": 0.0,
+      "77819173842878546607067846432555301300398748674205380605467742412556597447836": 0.0,
+      "52553117179078605493211226037534604346268320324903666190049780022933032336464": 0.0,
+      "63406022611760270389123127039386281504990975667014683412745507524093720930518": 0.0,
+      "12666481809745627252867920324318749997553269270621720202705193034153639279650": 0.0,
+      "80928591789423807186960114590669158304737498142699198294871557590773047091081": 0.0,
+      "106357377462470777162074136663993867544289851940849210066031068582103797897415": 63.107834
     },
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": {
       "10690391194840875541563517589463912963575786539307433160985752952931887140267": 10957.6068,
@@ -9024,11 +9040,20 @@
       "event": "us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-july-31-2026-20260622191708361",
       "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
       "cond": "0xb838caec0354e09985f2c228c54ba190cb284f390beda5ffd58d163ba00648ec"
+    },
+    "106357377462470777162074136663993867544289851940849210066031068582103797897415": {
+      "shares": 78.85469013485965,
+      "cost": 50.46700168631018,
+      "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "event": "will-ukraine-re-enter-maliivka-by-march-31",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "cond": "0xb8879d2f55f3a15028660eba65785832c1dfc04f99e8e495010933688ccb9c6d"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
-    "usd": 500.3085593799859
+    "usd": 550.7755610662961
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
@@ -9684,7 +9709,7 @@
     }
   },
   "feed_sig": "3cf4c17a464100b888d4d2a34cd01287",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1783518871.9079509,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1783521341.8625963,
   "hwm": 1261.6750421577544,
   "missed": [
     {
@@ -10436,6 +10461,20 @@
       "pnl": null,
       "settled": null,
       "name": "0xbadaf319"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1783521466,
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "token": "106357377462470777162074136663993867544289851940849210066031068582103797897415",
+      "cond": "0xb8879d2f55f3a15028660eba65785832c1dfc04f99e8e495010933688ccb9c6d",
+      "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "price": 0.7287,
+      "stake": 45.99,
+      "reason": "bot offline (entered while down)",
+      "status": "open",
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null
     }
   ],
   "adjustments": [
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index d510ee65..6d36170d 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 50.47,
+ "stake": 50.45,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 1261.68,
- "cash": 1029.08,
- "deployed": 232.59,
+ "cash": 978.07,
+ "deployed": 283.06,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 246.23,
+ "realized": 245.68,
  "adjustments": 15.45,
  "ledger_drift": -0.0,
- "open_count": 7,
- "fees_paid": 25.82,
+ "open_count": 8,
+ "fees_paid": 26.37,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 37,
-  "n24": 17,
-  "avg_s": 11.3,
-  "avg_slip_pct": -0.1431,
+  "n": 38,
+  "n24": 18,
+  "avg_s": 18.9,
+  "avg_slip_pct": -0.1419,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -46,6 +46,24 @@
   "BikesAreTheBikes": 215.88
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "106357377462470777162074136663993867544289851940849210066031068582103797897415",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?",
+   "their_price": 0.7288,
+   "my_price": 0.64,
+   "slippage_pct": -0.1218,
+   "shares": 78.85,
+   "cost": 50.47,
+   "fee": 0.55,
+   "opened": 1783521320,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null
+  },
   {
    "token": "17201633022551770129287755054798695848826438710017215402322556219454538059471",
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -664,6 +682,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1783521466,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "106357377462470777162074136663993867544289851940849210066031068582103797897415",
+   "cond": "0xb8879d2f55f3a15028660eba65785832c1dfc04f99e8e495010933688ccb9c6d",
+   "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.7287,
+   "stake": 45.99,
+   "reason": "bot offline (entered while down)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1783494594,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -1416,5 +1449,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": -372.25,
- "updated": 1783518933
+ "updated": 1783521467
 }
\ No newline at end of file