diff --git a/copybot_fills.jsonl b/copybot_fills.jsonl
index 93a789b5..20dc0325 100644
--- a/copybot_fills.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_fills.jsonl
@@ -990,3 +990,4 @@
 {"ts": 1785066994.5, "side": "SELL", "token": "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684", "shares": 12.9694, "price": 0.927, "fee": 0.0263, "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785072254.7, "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf", "token": "113359571003047396767826426301838860151873706137356935468347609290162612073776", "name": "AIcAIc", "outcome": "Bilibili Gaming", "title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend", "detect_lag_s": 17.7, "their_price": 0.52, "my_price": 0.52, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 236.84, "cost": 123.16, "fee": 1.7735, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.51, "ba": 0.52, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 69105.5, "ask5c": 61075.71}, "maker": true}
 {"ts": 1785074431.7, "side": "SELL", "token": "113359571003047396767826426301838860151873706137356935468347609290162612073776", "shares": 236.84, "price": 0.95, "fee": 0.3375, "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785080092.1, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "outcome": "RE.Arise", "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 2.1, "their_price": 0.64, "my_price": 0.64, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 198.66, "cost": 127.14, "fee": 1.3731, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.62, "ba": 0.64, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 71.83, "ask5c": 3638.56}, "maker": true}
diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
index 8f4dc0b4..824a59b2 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
@@ -615,3 +615,7 @@
 {"ts": 1785077644.3, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785077976.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785078305.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785078647.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785078979.9, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785079620.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785079952.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_rejects.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.jsonl
index 80c9460b..a7b0dc24 100644
--- a/copybot_rejects.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_rejects.jsonl
@@ -128,3 +128,6 @@
 {"ts": 1785078265.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "48025382529750567685072394432380546840954558388193330194986975453537142750387", "cond": "0xf13b10468f72942e3e5bf520dbca6fa03f596e806c173195b8b4e622b5f57ef9", "usd": 2.54, "price": 0.4799999608, "reason": "$3 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785078265.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "101737069197249387963102004851211025566354274707549809068983221444221729231145", "cond": "0xc0a93ddba814197618a31c351b7491d8aaa2e2ae00d222a0bdaa4bf675f56712", "usd": 2.44, "price": 0.47, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 26?", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785078294.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "115473468773460773779037287694704603605055350918057990080306971866121986289715", "cond": "0x70eb82556e062975ed23ff8e07a355f132a79f17ef6267ee8be0a8c283ef7dbd", "usd": 27.13, "price": 0.3799999944, "reason": "$27 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785080003.6, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115", "cond": "0x904d962699c97f6e7be08a16b505ae8dd59dedd8818f848c7da59d48bf4bb47a", "usd": 3.2, "price": 0.64, "reason": "$3 < conviction floor $471", "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785080048.7, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115", "cond": "0x904d962699c97f6e7be08a16b505ae8dd59dedd8818f848c7da59d48bf4bb47a", "usd": 26.41, "price": 0.6400000096942283, "reason": "$26 < conviction floor $471", "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner", "mode": "paper"}
+{"ts": 1785080073.9, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115", "cond": "0x904d962699c97f6e7be08a16b505ae8dd59dedd8818f848c7da59d48bf4bb47a", "usd": 470.39, "price": 0.64, "reason": "$470 < conviction floor $471", "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner", "mode": "paper"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index b2bb4561..25a6223f 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1,17 +1,6 @@
 {
   "started_at": 1783541947.246319,
   "seen_tx": [
-    "0x0af78d4f36fec690d96d58ce69858151405bc6085fdbbe506b88e866449b5146",
-    "0x26505c096bdb03086ca8671ec159b891f65159af5d2c71a6ce2ea6a35632627e",
-    "0x97d314e8801939bc94d582c22f689e023c17b7630f8e5ba22f426541f4a1ccf3",
-    "0xeb10798c11c10d1228b2a5b3cfad6d748f7f8a96a014ea5822c2db73637d0692",
-    "0x0588bc3c36de369068ddf91402532ae667810c78808108d5ded8b047dc8d80d4",
-    "0x691e268175c9a82adf29f0bfd7cd907713a9e4b4bf885fe6db4aad5b3e468072",
-    "0x6a9e334d19964762f957c73583c6920c7ed6ff962d516b9a7da284ad89ab10a0",
-    "0xe4b7b18978eb8313e700badc5b2cc00368ea0d129f6410d50b197aff652fc135",
-    "0x177bc19c671f02399df1972eb0c26f0ef8474d311ff60b612d689b92cb8c834b",
-    "0x96f8599e2061ff2544b6f4b7b0d4eb6fba911ea909919b2911a23dea09c7e8a3",
-    "0x87b806d6ebee757d7b1e247e18e0916aa5edd651d6c0d8a9400bc258355bea4c",
     "0xdaaa7cc3c893e6a1869a83781473ce66b28beadd19f34b01267ae96c963f1f30",
     "0x3b03c795dc8aa8ed31a6f8d2f6330c75e605bc90d868d65dfc402811de648c15",
     "0x9eaa1e72f625779d0ab242c075ce966c2228573d652a90b77af9aa1fd22637f8",
@@ -5000,7 +4989,18 @@
     "0x87fe2fcb6fced04df39e36d2671f447034d5bc9335c723ff735b6b58435aeef1",
     "0x92248fa52857b472e77eb97bce168778bc7e53f2b53769d39410a92c46ab8e0d",
     "0xa7e3425c47d7dab63706f93ee8d6f7346047b0f00063556b70c0f074e7ffe91a",
-    "0x3f56b4f1c52874db3ac7150217f3bac9369027c6845546b41adca5938881f0a3"
+    "0x3f56b4f1c52874db3ac7150217f3bac9369027c6845546b41adca5938881f0a3",
+    "0xcf62872b53aaff1069ae832c3b4af75a0634c11856279ce67e57c076f2a37755",
+    "0xeb1bf429eb4a5a19234b0f4e96b818a1e66e489d2c14217e3f7b98df3fb95644",
+    "0x3a74e7b8d16d3e49b1c0aba45d70f9cc3dadc87608cf5d04299c2ea0b62a4281",
+    "0x59107a819dce20922dc7d71a1735b2cb268fae75885d6acb6ab565509c9796b5",
+    "0x0f872c6acab33e808388ebf282aa1a3f7624901c76af8abf5117460bf238f00d",
+    "0x5567a3de5b209a3f26dd4001f708e615dbf6c5c71fbcbc810e7095ed01d265e7",
+    "0x995d700c4bd6e31b04a1f981b6747ad114677627368871d98d3843573b03b6e5",
+    "0x07e02926f77fc562d797fb3d8a328bc2d96e7ad88aa519793e16c07d7ee95cf0",
+    "0xb6f28b1543239cc58a09a3259ee197abec0c0126da2545c0432b495989c55ea6",
+    "0x5c706989593606ab42eef55c0443d50e144b82836c2781d927bb191080192d88",
+    "0x4a9fc3e853182073ccf5a83f2cedfce5942a37dfe1c0c14172151d83c881c886"
   ],
   "their_pos": {
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -7965,7 +7965,8 @@
       "21061879239524957707894360327571380285386263211675190125814371772307670161901": 0.0,
       "9813729238721622440295199072182483266069584287294397729904340441074427123910": 0.0,
       "38870680360291703970571093973856484238741940564373297411198274857317071595974": 883.184209,
-      "3632761527830851126218403972215896322866498280718052589856316229871893863849": 0.0
+      "3632761527830851126218403972215896322866498280718052589856316229871893863849": 0.0,
+      "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115": 781.25
     },
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": {
       "113186575675900877797300695454355745875377602467971187276073118459901699932154": 767.49,
@@ -13625,11 +13626,20 @@
       "event": null,
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0xfe395db7923c74606153cd29c07c46c2e4421f57983408965937dacf02aa062d"
+    },
+    "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115": {
+      "shares": 198.66,
+      "cost": 127.1424,
+      "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner",
+      "outcome": "RE.Arise",
+      "event": "dota2-kw1-rearis-2026-07-26",
+      "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+      "cond": "0x904d962699c97f6e7be08a16b505ae8dd59dedd8818f848c7da59d48bf4bb47a"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
-    "usd": 486.9248
+    "usd": 614.0672
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -13811,21 +13821,17 @@
     "9813729238721622440295199072182483266069584287294397729904340441074427123910": "0x429f11968ea12d2f528bff9ce14d601fe160aa8e84ad78e6b33ce894bfe7ca29",
     "89340901248495209887282475621636749099978593982836424634713915099029001879979": "0x074950031f61621075f900096a3a667a0dfe233d175e841b9f9b483cca3328b7",
     "91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684": "0xfe395db7923c74606153cd29c07c46c2e4421f57983408965937dacf02aa062d",
-    "113359571003047396767826426301838860151873706137356935468347609290162612073776": "0x0b1cbc36ef6e5b8616ab4b64e0fc050343a2e8322a1d3002ef68ee61fdaeeef5"
+    "113359571003047396767826426301838860151873706137356935468347609290162612073776": "0x0b1cbc36ef6e5b8616ab4b64e0fc050343a2e8322a1d3002ef68ee61fdaeeef5",
+    "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115": "0x904d962699c97f6e7be08a16b505ae8dd59dedd8818f848c7da59d48bf4bb47a"
   },
-  "cash": 1528.810069030607,
+  "cash": 1400.294531110607,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 272,
-    "sum_s": 6610.489293336868,
+    "n": 273,
+    "sum_s": 6612.591609954834,
     "sum_slip_pct": -7.247834511462669
   },
-  "fees_paid": 385.15736156771453,
+  "fees_paid": 386.5304994877145,
   "lag_recent": [
-    [
-      1784991651.7,
-      2.7,
-      0.0
-    ],
     [
       1784997564.0,
       7.0,
@@ -13855,6 +13861,11 @@
       1785072254.7,
       17.7,
       0.0
+    ],
+    [
+      1785080092.1,
+      2.1,
+      0.0
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -18824,11 +18835,30 @@
       "end_ts": 1785024000,
       "sold_shares": 236.84,
       "sold_proceeds": 224.66050299999998
+    },
+    "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115": {
+      "token": "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115",
+      "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+      "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
+      "outcome": "RE.Arise",
+      "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner",
+      "their_price": 0.64,
+      "my_price": 0.64,
+      "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+      "lag_s": 2.1,
+      "shares": 198.66,
+      "cost": 127.14,
+      "fee": 1.3731,
+      "opened": 1785080090,
+      "status": "open",
+      "exit_price": null,
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null
     }
   },
   "hwm": 3279.700634625008,
   "feed_sig": "b76506d24b00ccc2f465a581735daea2",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1785078294.7708142,
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1785080009.603362,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783611728,
@@ -22136,7 +22166,7 @@
     "111238155193029214626119372717509509454868187612257655146390848111901958320265": 1,
     "54808825071623730922593344072571837691813951745707044026991588993889799442913": 1,
     "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 1,
-    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 543,
+    "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 547,
     "17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978": 1,
     "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": 1,
     "30105308353288988924984162628182939641372197734077392129497102501234749347616": 1,
@@ -22148,8 +22178,8 @@
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
     "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
     "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1785077212,
-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785078288,
-    "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785072937,
+    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785079705,
+    "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785080049,
     "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1785074847,
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1785061483,
     "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785048738,
@@ -22160,79 +22190,19 @@
     "ts": 1785008984
   },
   "last_fill": {
-    "ts": 1785074431,
-    "side": "SELL",
-    "price": 0.95,
-    "shares": 236.84,
-    "title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group As",
-    "outcome": "Bilibili Gaming"
+    "ts": 1785080092,
+    "side": "BUY",
+    "price": 0.64,
+    "shares": 198.66,
+    "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner",
+    "outcome": "RE.Arise"
   },
   "paper_maker": [],
   "maker_stats": {
-    "fills": 39,
+    "fills": 40,
     "misses": 17
   },
   "ignored_exits": [
-    {
-      "ts": 1785009329.2,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.88,
-      "shares_held": 0.8746,
-      "cost_held": 0.61,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1785009661.5,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.88,
-      "shares_held": 0.8746,
-      "cost_held": 0.61,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1785010002.3,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.88,
-      "shares_held": 0.8746,
-      "cost_held": 0.61,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
-    {
-      "ts": 1785010334.8,
-      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
-      "their_size": 0,
-      "their_prev": 0,
-      "frac": 1.0,
-      "reason": "band",
-      "sell_px": 0.88,
-      "shares_held": 0.8746,
-      "cost_held": 0.61,
-      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-      "mode": "paper"
-    },
     {
       "ts": 1785010670.6,
       "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
@@ -25172,6 +25142,66 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785078647.4,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785078979.9,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785079620.0,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785079952.5,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 0.8746,
+      "cost_held": 0.61,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "paper"
     }
   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index 86b42b31..174a5614 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,23 +1,23 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 127.15,
+ "stake": 127.09,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 3279.7,
- "cash": 1528.81,
- "deployed": 1649.89,
+ "cash": 1400.29,
+ "deployed": 1777.03,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 2178.67,
+ "realized": 2177.29,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
  "ledger_drift": -0.02,
- "open_count": 23,
- "fees_paid": 385.16,
+ "open_count": 24,
+ "fees_paid": 386.53,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 272,
-  "n24": 6,
-  "avg_s": 6.3,
+  "n": 273,
+  "n24": 7,
+  "avg_s": 5.7,
   "avg_slip_pct": 0.0,
   "window_h": 24
  },
@@ -49,6 +49,26 @@
   "JuiceFarm": 735.0
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115",
+   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+   "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
+   "outcome": "RE.Arise",
+   "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner",
+   "their_price": 0.64,
+   "my_price": 0.64,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 2.1,
+   "shares": 198.66,
+   "cost": 127.14,
+   "fee": 1.37,
+   "opened": 1785080090,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "end_ts": 1785024000
+  },
   {
    "token": "113359571003047396767826426301838860151873706137356935468347609290162612073776",
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -2114,27 +2134,6 @@
    "settled": 1784207069,
    "sold_shares": 157.41,
    "sold_proceeds": 115.58
-  },
-  {
-   "token": "6542858065381328138604971534407515790260577773140917193780294419054693674045",
-   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
-   "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
-   "outcome": "Team Yandex",
-   "title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner",
-   "their_price": 0.4852,
-   "my_price": 0.5,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0306,
-   "lag_s": 1.3,
-   "shares": 207.79,
-   "cost": 103.89,
-   "fee": 1.56,
-   "opened": 1784206536,
-   "status": "closed",
-   "exit_price": 0.3928,
-   "pnl": -23.83,
-   "settled": 1784206834,
-   "sold_shares": 207.79,
-   "sold_proceeds": 81.62
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
@@ -3096,12 +3095,12 @@
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 111220.62,
  "last_fill": {
-  "ts": 1785074431,
-  "side": "SELL",
-  "price": 0.95,
-  "shares": 236.84,
-  "title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group As",
-  "outcome": "Bilibili Gaming"
+  "ts": 1785080092,
+  "side": "BUY",
+  "price": 0.64,
+  "shares": 198.66,
+  "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner",
+  "outcome": "RE.Arise"
  },
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
@@ -3118,11 +3117,11 @@
    "realized": 776.39,
    "n": 86,
    "wins": 0,
-   "open_cost": 0.0,
-   "open_n": 0,
+   "open_cost": 127.14,
+   "open_n": 1,
    "miss_n": 53,
    "miss_pnl": 313.5,
-   "last_ts": 1784655289
+   "last_ts": 1785080090
   },
   "1kto1m": {
    "realized": 223.38,
@@ -3195,5 +3194,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785078313
+ "updated": 1785080145
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json
index e782b5b7..19a6bddc 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785078313,
+ "updated": 1785080145,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": 525.84,
@@ -16,11 +16,11 @@
    "realized": 776.39,
    "n": 86,
    "wins": 0,
-   "open_cost": 0.0,
-   "open_n": 0,
+   "open_cost": 127.14,
+   "open_n": 1,
    "miss_n": 53,
    "miss_pnl": 313.5,
-   "last_ts": 1784655289
+   "last_ts": 1785080090
   },
   "1kto1m": {
    "realized": 223.38,
@@ -94,6 +94,26 @@
   }
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "98557002898950649707610758478512958595262755016561795127783281070673537274115",
+   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
+   "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
+   "outcome": "RE.Arise",
+   "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner",
+   "their_price": 0.64,
+   "my_price": 0.64,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 2.1,
+   "shares": 198.66,
+   "cost": 127.14,
+   "fee": 1.3731,
+   "opened": 1785080090,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "end_ts": 1785024000
+  },
   {
    "token": "113359571003047396767826426301838860151873706137356935468347609290162612073776",
    "wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index 6cfdcce1..57cf7e03 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -2356,3 +2356,13 @@
 {"ts": 1785078123.7, "trade_ts": 1785078123, "lat_s": 0.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 5, "price": 0.43, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on J", "tx": "0x51662f80df307824d140a49dfd7432f7d584e721c1391f4adad2da790eb25606", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785078144.48, "trade_ts": 1785078144, "lat_s": 0.48, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.38, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?", "tx": "0x92248fa52857b472e77eb97bce168778bc7e53f2b53769d39410a92c46ab8e0d", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785078145.89, "trade_ts": 1785078145, "lat_s": 0.89, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.67, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on J", "tx": "0xa7e3425c47d7dab63706f93ee8d6f7346047b0f00063556b70c0f074e7ffe91a", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785079698.05, "trade_ts": 1785079697, "lat_s": 1.05, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.94, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on J", "tx": "0x0f872c6acab33e808388ebf282aa1a3f7624901c76af8abf5117460bf238f00d", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785079698.8, "trade_ts": 1785079698, "lat_s": 0.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.07, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?", "tx": "0x5567a3de5b209a3f26dd4001f708e615dbf6c5c71fbcbc810e7095ed01d265e7", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785079705.3, "trade_ts": 1785079705, "lat_s": 0.3, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.95, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on J", "tx": "0x995d700c4bd6e31b04a1f981b6747ad114677627368871d98d3843573b03b6e5", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785079705.4, "trade_ts": 1785079705, "lat_s": 0.4, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.08, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?", "tx": "0x07e02926f77fc562d797fb3d8a328bc2d96e7ad88aa519793e16c07d7ee95cf0", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785079813.61, "trade_ts": 1785079813, "lat_s": 0.61, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.09, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?", "tx": "0xb6f28b1543239cc58a09a3259ee197abec0c0126da2545c0432b495989c55ea6", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785079818.36, "trade_ts": 1785079813, "lat_s": 5.36, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 5, "price": 0.93, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on J", "tx": "0x5c706989593606ab42eef55c0443d50e144b82836c2781d927bb191080192d88", "seen": true}
+{"ts": 1785080003.55, "trade_ts": 1785080003, "lat_s": 0.55, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "BUY", "size": 5, "price": 0.64, "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner", "tx": "0x2474fe909433164a92eeb0023d3fbbba0b27f4617a898507950b2f9ebd62691d", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785080048.66, "trade_ts": 1785080048, "lat_s": 0.66, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "BUY", "size": 41.261665, "price": 0.6400000096942283, "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner", "tx": "0x115e529dc48226fcf7a75ce02bd14f1f8468bcd41aff78108668627ebd8f327e", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785080073.88, "trade_ts": 1785080073, "lat_s": 0.88, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "BUY", "size": 734.98, "price": 0.64, "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner", "tx": "0xe7d283b312df4f2fe5da1f6fb01bdec37f317eaf74de21ed016a540cac1895ac", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785080091.08, "trade_ts": 1785080090, "lat_s": 1.08, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "BUY", "size": 781.25, "price": 0.64, "title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner", "tx": "0x4a9fc3e853182073ccf5a83f2cedfce5942a37dfe1c0c14172151d83c881c886", "seen": false}